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为绿色转型做好劳动力准备:如何通过关注南非的技能发展来促进绿色转型、竞争力和就业能力(英)
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-02-24 08:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The green transition in South Africa is expected to create new jobs while also leading to job losses, particularly in carbon-intensive sectors like coal [8][19] - The report outlines five strategies to prepare the workforce for the green transition, emphasizing the need for skills development to support employability and competitiveness [9][52] Summary by Sections A. Introduction - South Africa's green transition will significantly impact its workforce, with new job creation and changing skill requirements [8] - The report proposes strategies to enhance the skills development system to support the green transition [9] B. Global Context - A global commitment to achieving net-zero emissions is driving the need for substantial changes in various sectors, including energy and manufacturing [13] - Decarbonization is essential for maintaining competitiveness in international markets, particularly for countries reliant on exports [14] C. The Green Transition in South Africa - South Africa has ambitious goals for a Just Energy Transition, but progress has been modest due to various challenges [19] - Examples of promising investments include Toyota's R2.6 billion investment in hybrid vehicle production and renewable energy projects in the COEGA Development Cooperation [19] D. Impact on Labor and Skills Demand - The World Bank forecasts a net creation of approximately 1 million jobs in key industries affected by the green transition from 2022 to 2050, despite expected job losses in high-emission sectors [26] - The report highlights the importance of transversal skills, generic technical skills, and green-specific skills for the workforce [23] E. PSET System's Ability to Prepare Workforce - The PSET system faces structural weaknesses that hinder its performance in equipping workers with necessary skills for the green transition [39] - There is a need for better coordination among stakeholders to align education and training with labor market demands [46] F. Strategies for Workforce Preparation - The report emphasizes the importance of systematically collecting and disseminating information on skill needs for the green transition [53] - Establishing clear leadership and effective coordination mechanisms among stakeholders is crucial for preparing the workforce [57]
加纳公共财政评论:为弹性和公平的财政政策奠定基础第1卷概述(英)
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-02-24 08:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Ghana's economic growth has been significantly impacted by debt accumulation, making it vulnerable to global shocks [28] - The need for stronger domestic revenue mobilization is emphasized to create fiscal space [51] - Public expenditure has been growing rapidly, burdened by interest payments on debt, and lacks spending efficiency [64] - Ineffective public financial management has undermined the effectiveness of fiscal policy [77] - The public sector wage bill is large and unpredictable, failing to meet the civil service needs [19] - Human development spending must increase with a stronger pro-poor allocation across sectors [22] - Agriculture, vital for rural livelihoods and export earnings, requires more efficient government support [26] - Policy recommendations suggest a shift from short-term crisis responses to long-term structural reforms [30] Summary by Sections Overview - Ghana's GDP growth has been fueled by debt accumulation, leading to increased vulnerability to global economic shocks [28] - The country has faced setbacks in poverty reduction and inclusive growth due to recent global crises [28] Domestic Revenue Mobilization - Ghana's domestic revenue mobilization has declined, with revenues as a share of GDP falling from 15.7% in 2017 to 13% in 2021 [51] - The report highlights the need for reforms in personal income taxes and indirect taxes to enhance revenue [51][56] Public Expenditure - Public spending in Ghana nearly doubled from 2010 to 2022, with a significant portion allocated to public sector wages and interest payments [64] - High interest payments have crowded out capital expenditures, limiting infrastructure investment [68] Public Financial Management - Major challenges in public financial management include delays in budget preparation and ineffective expenditure controls [77] - The lack of integration among various IT systems hampers efficient budget management and data accuracy [88] Human Development and Agriculture - Increased human development spending is necessary, with a focus on pro-poor allocations [22] - The agriculture sector requires better-targeted government support to enhance productivity and livelihoods [26] Policy Recommendations - The report advocates for a transition from short-term crisis management to long-term structural reforms to ensure fiscal sustainability [30]
Technology and Corporate Ethical Standards
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-02-20 23:03
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The study indicates that technology and digitalization positively influence the adoption of environmental and social standards among digital-oriented firms, while governance standards are found to be lower [5][14][20] - The findings emphasize the role of country culture, regulatory burdens, and perceptions of the judicial system in shaping the ethical standards adopted by digital-oriented firms [5][16][17] Summary by Sections Introduction - The report highlights the growing global interest in ethics and sustainability in firm management, linking these concepts to the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) [9] - It discusses the dual nature of technology's impact on sustainability, presenting both opportunities and risks [10] Methodology - The analysis utilizes data from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys, covering 192,132 observations across 158 countries from 2006 to 2023, focusing on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards [12][25] - The study defines digital-tech-oriented firms based on their technological and digital presence [30] Findings - Digital-tech-oriented firms are more likely to monitor CO2 emissions and provide employee training, indicating a positive relationship with environmental and social standards [14][58] - However, these firms show a negative correlation with the employment of female top managers, suggesting a widening gender gap in leadership roles [59][74] - Cultural factors significantly influence the hiring of female top managers, particularly in countries with strong masculine preferences [16][63] Regulatory Environment - The report finds that a lower regulatory burden positively impacts the monitoring of CO2 emissions and the provision of training programs, but it also widens the gender gap in management positions [66][67] - Perceptions of courts as obstacles to business affect the hiring of female top managers, with fewer constraints leading to a lower representation of women in leadership [70][78] Conclusion - The relationship between technology and ethical practices is complex, with technology enabling better monitoring and training but also contributing to gender disparities in management [74][81] - The study underscores the importance of considering firm- and country-specific factors in promoting ethical business practices and addressing gender inequality [81]
Rapid Economic Growth but Rising Poverty Segregation
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-02-20 23:03
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Vietnam has experienced impressive economic growth and poverty reduction over the last few decades, but recent evidence indicates that economic growth has not been uniform, with rising within-province inequality and increasing segregation of the poor, particularly among ethnic minority populations [3][8][52] - Economic growth has a beneficial impact on poverty reduction, but this relationship can be influenced by levels of inequality, which can negatively affect economic growth and various poverty indicators [3][13][52] - Policymakers in Vietnam should focus on reducing spatial disparities and income inequality to achieve sustainable economic development [3][52] Summary by Sections Introduction - The report highlights the intertwined relationship between poverty, inequality, and economic growth, emphasizing the need to address both poverty and inequality as part of the Sustainable Development Goals [7][8] Trends in Economic Growth, Inequality, and Poverty - Between 2002 and 2020, per capita income in Vietnam increased from 4,565 thousand dong to 15,156 thousand dong, and real per capita expenditure more than tripled from 3,476 thousand dong to 14,251 thousand dong [19][20] - The Gini index for per capita expenditure averaged 0.37, indicating steady levels of inequality, with within-province inequality increasing significantly over time [21][23] - The headcount poverty rate decreased from 29% in 2002 to less than 10% in 2016 and around 5% in 2020, demonstrating significant poverty reduction [24][25] Regional Distribution of Poverty - Poverty rates vary significantly across provinces, with the lowest rates in Ho Chi Minh City (1.8%) and the highest in northwest provinces like Dien Bien (62%) [26][28] - The report indicates a rise in the segregation of the poor, with certain provinces experiencing disproportionate increases in their share of the poor population [29][31] Relationship Between Economic Growth, Inequality, and Poverty - The analysis shows that a 1% increase in per capita expenditure reduces the poverty rate by 0.26 percentage points, while a similar increase in the Gini index has a negative impact on poverty severity [35][36] - Provinces with higher shares of urban population and non-farm income tend to have lower poverty rates, while those with greater population density experience higher poverty levels [37][49] Discussion and Conclusion - The report concludes that while Vietnam has made substantial progress in reducing overall poverty, targeted policies are necessary to address the increasing segregation of the poor and rising inequality within provinces [52][54] - The findings suggest that economic transitions towards wage and service economies could benefit growth and poverty reduction but may also exacerbate poverty segregation [52][49]
Dynamic Social Registries for Adaptive Social Protection
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-02-19 23:03
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - Dynamic social registries (dSRs) are essential for adaptive social protection (ASP) in shock-prone contexts, enabling timely identification and support for vulnerable populations affected by climate-related shocks [2][10][11]. - The operationalization of dSRs involves direct and indirect data collection, various intake modalities, and modular questionnaires to ensure continuous updates and accurate assessments of household welfare [2][13][24]. - Key recommendations for implementing dSRs include establishing a permanent client interface for data collection, adopting a modular structure for socioeconomic questionnaires, ensuring interoperability with other data sources, and promoting peer-to-peer learning [2][13][24]. Summary by Sections 1. Introduction - The increasing frequency of interconnected shocks, particularly climate-related, necessitates effective systems to assess the changing welfare of populations [9][10]. - Social registries serve as critical delivery systems for social protection, enabling the collection and processing of demographic and socioeconomic data [9][10]. 2. Social Registries: Roles and Challenges - Social registries facilitate the intake, registration, and assessment of needs for social protection programs, addressing inclusion and coordination challenges [15][18]. - The concept of data half-life highlights the rapid obsolescence of data in static registries, emphasizing the need for dynamic systems to maintain accuracy [19][20][21]. 3. Dynamic Intake and Registration - dSRs are designed to continuously intake and update data, allowing for timely assistance during shocks and improving the effectiveness of ASP programs [24][25]. - The suitability of dSRs for shock-prone contexts is enhanced by their ability to combine direct and indirect data sources [24][31]. 4. Data Collection Trade-offs - Policymakers must balance data quality, coverage, timeliness, and privacy risks when designing social registries [65]. - The accuracy of needs assessments is contingent on the quality of underlying data, which can be influenced by various factors including the method of data collection [66]. 5. Case Study: Pakistan's Transition - The report includes a case study illustrating Pakistan's transition from a static to a dynamic social registry, showcasing the benefits of adopting dSRs [2][5]. 6. Recommendations and Conclusions - The report concludes with actionable recommendations for the operationalization of dSRs, emphasizing the importance of continuous data updates and integration with existing systems [2][13][24].
Deciding Not to Decide
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-02-19 23:03
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The concept of agency is central to empowerment, defined as the ability to define one's goals and make choices to achieve them [9] - Traditional measures of agency often underestimate the influence of individuals who do not directly participate in decision-making, particularly in rural households [5][11] - The study identifies two forms of effective power: effective power by proxy and effective power by influence or persuasion, highlighting the complexity of decision-making dynamics within households [5][27] Summary by Sections Introduction - Empowerment is linked to the ability to make strategic decisions and influence outcomes, with agency being a key component [9] - Agency is often measured through direct involvement in decision-making, but this may not accurately reflect an individual's power [10][11] Data and Methodology - The study utilized mixed methods data from rural households in Kilifi County, Kenya, collected between October 2022 and March 2023 [12][31] - The survey included both household and individual questionnaires, focusing on decision-making related to water collection and household expenditures [31][32] Decision-Making Dynamics - The report reveals that only 13% of men and 33% of women are directly involved in making decisions across various activities [41] - Women are less likely to participate in financial decisions, while men often do not engage in water-related decisions, which are typically seen as women's responsibilities [42][43] Effective Power - Effective power by proxy is more common among men, allowing them to have their preferences met without direct involvement in decision-making [55] - Women with effective power by proxy are less likely to achieve their desired outcomes compared to men, indicating a disparity in power dynamics [57] - Effective power through influence or persuasion allows individuals to shape decisions indirectly, often to avoid negative consequences [59][62] Conclusion - The findings suggest that measuring agency requires a nuanced understanding of decision-making processes and the various forms of power individuals may exert, even when not directly involved [18][26]
更好的道路,更好的道路?坦桑尼亚道路升级的证据
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-02-19 07:58
Economic Context - 80% of the world's extreme poor and 75% of the moderately poor live in rural areas, with spatial isolation being a major cause of poverty[2] - In sub-Saharan Africa, only 34% of the rural population lives within 2 kilometers of all-season roads, severely limiting access to agricultural production, healthcare, education, and job opportunities[2] Road Rehabilitation Program - The program aimed to upgrade 2,500 kilometers of major roads in Tanzania, addressing the poor infrastructure that ranked 118th out of 134 economies in the World Economic Forum's Global Competitiveness Index[21] - By the end of 2013, 2,564 kilometers of roads were paved, increasing the proportion of well-maintained roads from 11% to 29.4%[22] Impact on Rural Livelihoods - The program led to a decrease in rice prices, negatively impacting rural households' agricultural income, which was not compensated by increased wage employment[1] - Households reallocated labor away from agriculture, but the increase in wage income did not offset the losses from agricultural income[1] Market Dynamics - The reduction in transportation costs intensified competition, leading to greater market pressures on rural families[1] - The findings suggest that improved access to quality roads may not yield the expected benefits for rural households, as they face increased competition from external producers[7] Methodology and Analysis - The study utilized household fixed effects and propensity score matching to assess the program's impact, focusing on various household behavior variables[1] - The analysis revealed that while the program aimed to enhance market access, it resulted in reduced market entry for rural households rather than improved access to new markets[10]
Five Government Approaches to Promote Solar Hybrid Mini grids in Africa
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-02-14 23:03
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - The report reviews five government approaches to promote solar hybrid mini grids in Africa, highlighting that each approach has its own advantages and disadvantages depending on the local context [5][7][9]. Summary by Sections Government Approaches - Five common approaches to promote mini grids in Africa include: 1. Sites selected and operated by private developers 2. Competitive procurement for individual sites selected by the government 3. Competitive procurement for zones selected by the government 4. Utility outsourcing of construction and initial operation of mini grids 5. Community-owned mini grids [11][14][40]. Private Sector-Led Approach - In the private developer-led approach, developers select sites based on profitability, often using geospatial data [15][22]. - The Nigeria Electrification Project (NEP) serves as a leading example, with 173 mini grids commissioned as of November 2024, serving over 100,000 connections [22][24]. Government-Led Competitive Procurement - Governments can lead competitive procurements to promote private ownership of mini grids, with Nigeria initiating such efforts in 2017 [42][44]. - The African Development Bank supported a minimum subsidy tender for 150 solar hybrid mini grids in Nigeria [46]. Zonal Concessions - The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) plans to award concessions for large mini grids, with potential capacities of 60 MW to over 100 MW [55][57]. - The DRC's approach includes a minimum revenue guarantee for developers, which is unique compared to other mini grid projects [57]. Utility Outsourcing - In some countries, utilities may outsource the construction and operation of mini grids to private companies, as seen in Kenya and Ethiopia [61][66]. - This approach allows utilities to retain control over electricity distribution while potentially improving service delivery [68]. Community Ownership - Community-owned mini grids are another approach, where local communities take ownership and operation responsibilities, often supported by government or donor funding [11][14].
Preparing the Workforce for the Green Transition
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-02-13 23:08
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The green transition in South Africa is expected to create new jobs while also leading to job losses, particularly in carbon-intensive sectors like coal [8][19] - The report outlines five strategies to prepare the workforce for the green transition, emphasizing the need for skills development to support employability and competitiveness [9][52] Summary by Sections A. Introduction - South Africa's green transition will significantly impact its workforce, with new job creation and changing skill requirements [8] - The report proposes strategies to enhance the skills development system to support the green transition [9] B. Global Context - A global commitment to achieving net-zero emissions is driving the need for substantial changes in various sectors, including energy and transportation [13] - Decarbonization is essential for maintaining competitiveness in international markets, particularly for countries reliant on exports [14] C. The Green Transition in South Africa - South Africa has ambitious goals for a Just Energy Transition, but progress has been modest due to various challenges [19] - Examples of promising investments include Toyota's R2.6 billion investment in hybrid vehicle production and renewable energy projects in the COEGA Development Cooperation [19] D. Impact on Labor and Skills Demand - The World Bank forecasts a net job creation of approximately 1 million jobs in key industries affected by the low-carbon transition from 2022 to 2050 [26] - Job creation is expected to be highest in non-coal mining and renewable energy sectors, while job losses will primarily occur in high-emission industries [26] E. PSET System's Ability to Prepare Workforce - The PSET system faces structural weaknesses that hinder its performance in equipping workers with necessary skills for the green transition [39][41] - There is a need for better coordination among stakeholders to align education and training with emerging skill demands [46] F. Strategies for Workforce Preparation - The report emphasizes the importance of systematically collecting and disseminating information on skill needs for the green transition [53] - Establishing clear leadership and effective coordination mechanisms among stakeholders is crucial for aligning skills development with industry needs [57]
Awareness, Access, and Perceptions around Parental benefits among Urban Argentinians
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-02-13 23:08
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need for a comprehensive parental benefits framework in Argentina that integrates both maternity and paternity benefits to promote gender equality and support labor market participation [7][17][40] Summary by Sections Introduction - Argentina faces significant challenges in gender equality and labor market participation, particularly among women during childbearing years, necessitating robust parental policies [16][26] Section 1: Argentina Country Context and Motivation - Women represent half of Argentina's working-age population but have a lower labor force participation rate (53.1%) compared to men (72.2%) [23] - Informal employment affects 51% of workers, limiting access to social protections during lifecycle events [25] Section 2: Overview and Assessment of Argentina's Parental Benefits Legal Framework - Argentina has not ratified ILO Convention No. 183 but has enacted legislation covering many key elements [44] - Maternity leave is 90 days for private-sector workers and 100 days for public-sector workers, while paternity leave is only 2 days for private-sector workers [52] - The parental benefits system is fragmented, with varying eligibility criteria based on employment status, leading to inequities [49] Section 3: Survey Results - A survey of 832 urban Argentinians revealed significant gaps in awareness and access to parental benefits, particularly among informal workers [18][21] - Disparities exist in perceptions of childcare responsibilities, with entrenched gender norms influencing attitudes [19][20] Section 4: Assessment and Recommendations of Parental Benefits Policies - The report recommends extending minimum leave durations, simplifying eligibility criteria, and improving data transparency to enhance inclusivity [7][20][49] - It advocates for a shift from maternity-focused policies to a comprehensive parental benefits framework that includes fathers and aligns with labor market dynamics [17][41]