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提高公共支出对包容性增长的影响
世界银行· 2025-03-12 06:05
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need for South Africa to reform public spending to enhance inclusive growth and improve service delivery efficiency [13][14][39] - It identifies three key priorities to improve public spending efficiency: creating fiscal space for current and future public spending, allocating public resources to alleviate constraints on inclusive growth, and enhancing the capacity of the public sector to deliver services [11][42][68] Summary by Sections Public Spending Efficiency - Public spending in South Africa has not generated the expected impact on long-term economic growth and poverty reduction, with the fiscal multiplier declining since 2010 [14][17] - The report highlights that public debt has tripled, limiting the fiscal space available for essential services [16][19] - It notes that public consumption is prioritized over public investment, leading to an infrastructure crisis that hampers economic growth [20][25] Key Actions Proposed - Action 1: Coordinate and consolidate social projects with a focus on results to improve efficiency [41][51] - Action 2: Collaborate with the private sector to enhance service delivery and reduce costs [52][54] - Action 3: Improve public investment management to better allocate resources and address infrastructure needs [59][60] - Action 4: Invest intelligently in programs that enhance the employability of disadvantaged groups in the labor market [62][63] - Action 5: Professionalize the public service to build a high-status bureaucratic elite [65][66] - Action 6: Enhance monitoring systems to ensure accountability and effectiveness in public spending [68] Challenges Identified - The report indicates that the capacity of the public sector to deliver services effectively has declined, which negatively impacts the fiscal multiplier [28][66] - It points out that governance indicators have weakened over the past two decades, affecting the efficiency of public spending [33][34] - The inefficiency of public spending disproportionately affects the poorest segments of the population, despite generous allocations to social welfare [34][39]
关于尼泊尔的法定和事实上的父母福利覆盖情况(英译中)
世界银行· 2025-03-12 05:58
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights the significant gender disparity in labor force participation in Nepal, with women being less likely to participate compared to men, primarily due to childcare responsibilities and lack of social protection [8][13][20] - A comprehensive parental benefits framework is necessary to bridge the gap between childcare responsibilities and women's employment [8][20] - The study emphasizes the need for policy changes and sustainable social norm transformations to support women's labor market participation [8][20] Summary by Sections I. National Background and Motivation - Nepal has a large, young labor force with a significant proportion of women, yet formal employment opportunities are scarce, particularly for women [13][15] - The labor force participation rate (LFPR) for women is significantly lower than that of men, with only 26% of women participating compared to 54% of men [13][15] - Women face a substantial wage gap, earning on average 26% less than men, and are more likely to work in informal sectors with limited protections [13][15] II. Literature Review on the Impact of Parental Benefits on Labor Market Participation - Evidence from developed countries shows that parental leave policies are associated with increased female employment [29][30] - In developing countries, mandatory parental leave can positively impact women's employment rates, especially when funded by the government rather than employers [30][33] - The report discusses the widening gap between maternity and paternity leave, which negatively affects women's labor market outcomes [33][34] III. Overview of International Standards on Parental Benefits - The International Labour Organization (ILO) sets minimum standards for maternity leave, recommending at least 14 weeks of paid leave [36][37] - There are no specific standards for paternity leave, which perpetuates gender inequality in caregiving responsibilities [37][38] - The report highlights the need for gender-balanced parental leave policies to enhance women's labor market participation [34][39]
欧盟27国的受过教育和管理的工人
世界银行· 2025-03-12 05:57
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights that the lack of adequately educated workers is perceived as the primary obstacle for businesses in the EU-27, with 27% of companies reporting this issue as a major barrier to operations [2][6][12] - It identifies a significant correlation between the availability of skilled and educated workers and various business performance metrics, such as labor productivity, employment growth, exports, R&D, and management quality [1][12][35] - The report suggests a shift in policy focus from reducing other barriers to ensuring the availability of educated workers as economies develop [1][12] Summary by Sections Education and Skills - Approximately 10% of workers in the EU-27 hold a university degree, with only 30% of companies employing such workers [22][49] - The proportion of skilled production workers is higher in larger firms, exporters, and foreign-owned companies [22][49] - The report indicates that training provided by companies is positively correlated with income levels in NUTS2 regions, with 43% of firms offering training [14][16] Training and Productivity - Companies that provide training exhibit an average labor productivity that is approximately 48% higher than those that do not [21][27] - Training appears to help lower productivity firms catch up to higher productivity firms, potentially impacting overall regional productivity [27][49] Employment Growth - The report finds mixed evidence regarding the relationship between the use of skilled workers and employment growth, with a significant decline in employment growth rates associated with higher shares of skilled and semi-skilled workers [32][34] Management Education - Companies with highly educated top management show significantly higher labor productivity, with a 14% increase compared to those with less educated management [49][50] - The presence of highly educated managers is linked to increased exports, job creation, and R&D activities [50]
将城市打造为经济增长和经济包容的发动机(英译中)
世界银行· 2025-03-12 05:56
优先级 3 将城市打造为经济增 长和经济包容的发动 机 南非政策包 公开披露授权 公开披露授权 © 2024 国际重建与发展银行 / 世界银行 1818 H Street NW, 华盛顿,DC 20433 电 话:202-473-1000;互联网:www.worldbank.org 一些权利保留。 这项工作是世界银行工作人员及外部贡献者的成果。本工作中表达的研究发现、解释和结论并不一定反映世界银行、 其执行董事会或他们所代表的政府的观点。世界银行不对本工作中包含的数据的准确性做出保证。本工作中任何地图 上显示的边界、颜色、名称以及任何其他信息,在世界银行集团方面,并不表示对任何领土法律地位的任何判断,也 不表示对这种边界的认可或接受。 此处内容不构成,也不应被视为对世界银行特权与豁免权的限制或放弃,所有此类特权与豁免权均明确保留。 权利和许可 此作品受Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO许可(CC BY 3.0 IGO)保护(http://creativecommons.org/licenses /by/3.0/igo)。根据Creative Commons Attribu ...
增值税改革对津巴布韦的财政和分配影响
世界银行· 2025-03-12 05:14
公共信息披露授权 公共信息披露授权 公共信息披露授权 公共信息披露授权 世界银行工作论文 © 2025 国际重建与发展银行 / 世界银行 1818 H Street NW, 华盛顿特区,DC 20433 电话:202-473-1 000;互联网: www.worldbank.org 这项工作是世界银行工作人员及外部贡献者的成果。本工作中表达的研究发现、解释和结论并不一定反 映世界银行、其执行董事会或其所代表政府的观点。世界银行不对本工作中包含的数据的准确性作出保 证。本工作中任何地图上所示的边界、颜色、名称和其他信息并不代表世界银行对任何领土的法律地位 作出任何判断,也不表示对上述边界或其接受的支持或认可。本条款中的任何内容均不构成或被视为对 世界银行特权与豁免权的限制或放弃,所有这些特权与豁免权均特别保留。 增值税改革在津巴布韦的财政和分配影 响 Dhiraj Sharma Taw anda Chingozha M aya Goldman Indir a Iyer Victor Steen bergen 权利与许可 —请按照以下格式引用该作品:Sharma, Dhiraj; Chingozha, Tawan ...
独立评估小组(IEG)FY26工作计划和预算以及FY2728指示性计划(英)2025
世界银行· 2025-03-11 06:30
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) is adapting its strategic framework to address multiple global challenges, including climate change, public debt, food insecurity, and the impacts of geopolitical conflicts, which threaten the World Bank Group's mission to end extreme poverty and promote shared prosperity [5][6] - IEG plans to deliver 9 thematic and corporate evaluations, 4-5 Country Program Evaluations (CPEs), and annual reports in FY26, maintaining a focus on pressing development issues and aligning with the World Bank Group's strategic priorities [7][22] Summary by Sections 1. Introduction - IEG's mandate includes assessing the relevance, efficacy, and efficiency of World Bank Group (WBG) operational policies and programs [13] - IEG aims to enhance accountability and generate learning to inform future WBG strategies [14][15] 2. IEG FY26-28 Work Program and Strategic Framework - The FY26 work program includes 9 thematic evaluations and 4-5 CPEs, reflecting a commitment to adapt to evolving global challenges [22] - The strategic framework emphasizes urgent development issues and aligns with WBG's priorities, focusing on thematic streams such as Planet, People, Prosperity, Infrastructure, and Digital Technology [23][26] 3. Thematic Directions - IEG is developing Theories of Change (ToCs) for thematic streams to guide evaluation questions and prioritize evidence gaps [28] - Proposed evaluations include Food and Nutrition Security (FY26), Emergency Health Preparedness (FY26), and Vocational and Jobs Training (FY27), addressing critical areas of development [36][46] 4. Human Resources and Budget - IEG requests a budget of $46.1 million for FY26, representing a 3.8% increase, aimed at enhancing data analytics and validation work [11] 5. Proposed FY26-28 Evaluation Pipeline - The evaluation pipeline includes thematic evaluations on climate resilience, health preparedness, and infrastructure, with a focus on cross-cutting themes such as gender and fragility [79][80]
基于风险的人工智能监管:另一个值得拥有的工具或游戏规则改变者(英)2025
世界银行· 2025-03-11 06:25
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report emphasizes that AI has the potential to transform financial sector supervision, particularly through risk-based supervision (RBS), which has been the gold standard for the past two decades [12][13] - AI can enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of supervisory processes, enabling proactive and preventive measures even in resource-constrained environments [13][15] - The integration of AI into supervisory practices is seen as a game-changer, allowing for automation of routine tasks and improved data processing capabilities [14][35] Summary by Sections Executive Summary - AI is poised to revolutionize the financial sector, particularly in risk-based supervision, which has faced implementation challenges globally [12][18] - The report highlights the need for supervisors to adapt to AI technologies to enhance their capabilities and address existing challenges [12][18] Main Challenges Faced by Financial Sector Supervisors - Supervisory authorities struggle with implementing effective RBS due to limited human resources and outdated processes [19][28] - The report identifies key challenges such as data quality, granularity, and the need for advanced analytical tools [39][53] - Many supervisors have not fully adopted advanced supervisory technologies, which hampers their ability to effectively implement RBS [26][30] Empowering Financial Supervisors with AI Capabilities - AI can automate time-consuming tasks, allowing supervisors to focus on high-risk activities [64][65] - Machine learning and natural language processing can enhance data analysis and improve compliance monitoring [66][67] - AI technologies can help address data quality issues and improve the granularity of data collected by supervisory authorities [70][72] Use Case of AI in Supporting Activities of Supervisory Authorities - Financial institutions are expected to provide large amounts of data, and AI can analyze this data to uncover trends and anomalies [90][91] - Predictive risk modeling using AI allows for proactive risk management, enabling authorities to mitigate potential issues before they escalate [91][92] - Examples of AI adoption by financial authorities include the Australian Securities and Investments Commission's Market Analysis and Intelligence system, which generates real-time alerts for market anomalies [95][96]
Firm-Level Climate Change Adaptation
世界银行· 2025-03-10 23:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Firms in low- and middle-income countries face significant challenges in adapting to climate change, with small and medium-sized firms particularly vulnerable, experiencing a 12% decline in revenues when temperatures exceed historical averages by 0.5°C [3][12][49] - The study highlights the importance of local policy constraints, such as limited access to finance and burdensome regulations, which exacerbate firms' difficulties in adapting to climate change [12][14][28] - The economic impact of rising temperatures is substantial, with small and medium-sized firms in low and lower-middle income countries experiencing revenue losses of approximately 20-22% for a 1 standard deviation increase in temperature [49][50] Summary by Sections Introduction - The report investigates how firms adapt to climate change, focusing on the constraints faced by firms in low- and middle-income countries [7][8] - It combines granular satellite weather data with firm-level data to assess the impact of rising temperatures on firm performance [9][10] Data - The analysis utilizes data from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys, covering nearly 160,000 firms across 134 countries from 2006 to 2023 [30][31] - The climate data is sourced from the EU Copernicus satellite system, providing detailed geospatial information on temperatures [32][33] Results - Rising temperatures negatively impact labor productivity, leading to lower wages and reduced revenues for firms in low and lower-middle income countries [54][55][60] - The report finds that while large firms in these regions can somewhat mitigate the adverse effects of heat, they still face significant challenges [50][61] - Young firms and those with lower export orientation are more severely affected by temperature shocks, indicating that firm characteristics play a crucial role in adaptive capacity [63][64]
氢及其主要衍生物的安全方面:政策制定者的文献综述
世界银行· 2025-03-10 12:56
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the hydrogen and its derivatives industry Core Insights - Hydrogen, as the simplest and most abundant element in the universe, has significant potential for transforming the energy sector, particularly through its derivatives like ammonia and methanol [3][4] - The production of clean hydrogen from renewable energy sources can accelerate global climate goals and contribute to decarbonization in hard-to-abate sectors such as steel production and long-distance transportation [5][4] - Effective risk management is crucial as the global efforts to develop clean hydrogen intensify [5] Summary by Sections Hydrogen and Its Derivatives - Hydrogen is primarily used indirectly through its derivatives, ammonia and methanol, which allow for efficient storage and transportation [3][4] - The unique properties of hydrogen, such as its high diffusivity and low ignition energy, present both opportunities and safety challenges [7][13] - Hydrogen's potential as a clean energy carrier is emphasized, particularly in the context of global energy transition [4][5] Safety Considerations - The report highlights the importance of adhering to established safety standards and protocols to mitigate risks associated with hydrogen production, storage, and utilization [2][7] - Hydrogen's flammability and the challenges in detecting leaks due to its colorless and odorless nature necessitate robust detection systems [9][10] - The report discusses the comparative safety of hydrogen relative to other fuels, noting that while it has specific risks, it is not inherently more dangerous than gasoline or natural gas [12][14] Ammonia and Methanol - Ammonia is recognized for its role as a key industrial chemical and potential clean fuel, with ongoing developments in low-emission ammonia production [16][24] - The safety characteristics of ammonia, including its toxicity and corrosiveness, require stringent handling and storage protocols [17][22] - Methanol is highlighted for its versatility and applications, but it also poses risks related to toxicity and environmental pollution, necessitating careful management [25][24]
衡量、报告和核实(MRV)碳信用额
世界银行· 2025-03-07 23:15
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The carbon market is expected to drive climate financing and help achieve climate goals, with record fiscal revenues of $104 billion generated through carbon taxes and emissions trading systems in 2023 [1] - The integrity of carbon credit markets remains a challenge, particularly in verifying greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions and removals [1][3] - The Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification (MRV) process is crucial for ensuring the credibility of climate mitigation project outcomes and supporting financial flows for climate action [2][6] Summary by Sections MRV Process - The MRV process involves several steps, including selecting standards, defining the scope of activities, establishing baselines, and verifying emissions reductions [7][10][12][13] - Accurate, transparent, and verifiable GHG accounting is essential for a high-integrity carbon market [6] World Bank Support - The World Bank provides grants and technical assistance to build capacity for MRV, supporting innovation and the development of new standards and methods [19][20] - The World Bank has helped countries like Rwanda and Costa Rica establish MRV systems, enhancing their ability to track emissions and access climate financing [22][24] Digital MRV Innovations - Digital MRV (D-MRV) tools, such as smart sensors and satellite technology, are being developed to streamline the MRV process and improve data accuracy [20][22] - The implementation of D-MRV systems can minimize human error and provide real-time insights, leading to more reliable and transparent reporting [22] Case Studies - In Rwanda, the World Bank has assisted in establishing a standardized credit framework (SCF) and has successfully issued emission reduction credits [22] - Costa Rica has developed its MRV process with support from the World Bank, enabling access to renewable climate financing and carbon markets [25]