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AI for Risk-Based Supervision
世界银行· 2025-02-27 23:15
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report emphasizes that AI has the potential to transform the financial sector, particularly in risk-based supervision (RBS), by enhancing efficiency and effectiveness in supervisory processes [12][13][18] - AI can automate routine tasks, improve data processing, and enable predictive analytics, which allows supervisory authorities to proactively manage risks [64][82][84] - The integration of AI into supervisory practices is seen as a significant advancement, enabling authorities to handle large volumes of data and identify trends that traditional methods may miss [90][91] Summary by Sections Executive Summary - AI is poised to revolutionize the financial sector, particularly in risk-based supervision, which has been a challenge for many countries, especially middle- and low-income nations [12][13] - The report highlights the need for supervisors to adapt to AI technologies to enhance their capabilities and address existing challenges [18] Main Challenges Faced by Financial Sector Supervisors - Supervisory authorities struggle with implementing effective RBS due to limited resources, outdated processes, and insufficient data quality [19][23][28] - The report identifies that many supervisors have not fully embraced advanced supervisory technologies, which hampers their ability to implement RBS effectively [26][30] Empowering Financial Supervisors with AI Capabilities - AI can significantly enhance RBS by automating time-consuming tasks and allowing supervisors to focus on high-risk activities [64][65] - The report discusses various AI technologies, such as machine learning and natural language processing, that can improve data quality and assist in compliance monitoring [70][67] Use Case of AI in Supporting Activities of Supervisory Authorities - Financial authorities globally are adopting AI to improve regulatory supervision and risk management, with examples from regions like North America, Asia, and Europe [93][94] - The Australian Securities and Investments Commission's MAI system exemplifies how AI can generate real-time alerts for market anomalies, enhancing market surveillance [95][96]
Financing for NCDs and Mental Health
世界银行· 2025-02-26 23:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) and mental health conditions are significant public health challenges exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to increased illness, disability, and mortality [1][2] - There is a critical need for increased domestic financing for NCD and mental health programs, as current public spending is insufficient [6][7] - Health taxes on products like tobacco, alcohol, and sugar-sweetened beverages can generate revenue while improving health outcomes [9][10] - Development assistance for health (DAH) plays a catalytic role in initiating NCD and mental health programs, but national governments must take primary responsibility for long-term financing [13][14] Summary by Sections Domestic Financing - Most funding for NCD and mental health programs must come from domestic sources, requiring substantial increases in public finance [6] - The estimated cost for essential NCD services is around 0.1% of GDP for middle-income countries and up to 0.4% for low-income countries [6][15] - Low public spending is attributed to factors like low government revenue and prioritization of health within budgets [7] Health Taxes - Health taxes are effective in reducing consumption of unhealthy products and can provide additional government revenue [9] - These taxes do not significantly harm economic growth and can be pro-poor when considering healthcare savings [9][22] - Earmarking health tax revenues for health initiatives can enhance political support, although the overall resource gains may be limited [9][23] Development Assistance for Health - DAH can support the initiation of NCD and mental health programs, especially in low-income countries [13][14] - DAH should be viewed as a short-term funding source to kickstart initiatives rather than a long-term solution [14][15] - Successful examples of DAH include workforce development and construction of specialized facilities [15] Conclusion - Increased public funding is essential to meet health-related Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and address the growing burden of NCDs and mental health issues [19][30] - Multisectoral partnerships are crucial for increasing health sector funding and addressing NCD risk factors [22]
NCDS和非精神健康疾病的融资
世界银行· 2025-02-26 23:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The healthcare demand for non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and mental health services has increased globally due to economic growth, aging populations, and epidemiological shifts since the 2000s [2] - Governments face challenges in financing healthcare systems, particularly for chronic NCDs and mental health, including insufficient public spending, reliance on out-of-pocket expenses, and inefficient allocation of funds [2][6] - The report emphasizes the need for improved financing mechanisms for NCDs and mental health, particularly in the context of tighter healthcare budgets post-COVID-19 [2][6] Summary by Sections Introduction - The report highlights the rising healthcare demand for NCDs and mental health services due to various socio-economic factors [2] - It identifies three interconnected issues in healthcare financing: inadequate government spending, reliance on out-of-pocket payments, and misallocation of resources [2] Financing Mechanisms - The report discusses mechanisms to increase financing for NCDs and mental health, derived from the International Dialogue on Sustainable Financing for NCDs and Mental Health [2] - It notes that healthcare spending is positively correlated with national income levels, with low-income countries relying heavily on private spending [6] Investment Returns - Studies indicate that investing in cost-effective NCD and mental health services can yield high returns, with benefit-cost ratios ranging from 3.3 to 19 [7] - The report stresses the importance of prioritizing primary healthcare (PHC) to improve service delivery and outcomes for NCDs and mental health [7] Policy Recommendations - The report outlines strategies for policymakers to enhance the use of existing funds, including increasing health budget allocations and ensuring specific disease-focused activities receive funding [12] - It emphasizes the need for comprehensive approaches to chronic disease management and the importance of integrating financing systems to support continuous care [10] Conclusion - The report concludes that the 2025 UN High-Level Meeting presents a significant opportunity to reassess and commit to improving financing for NCDs and mental health [19] - It calls for a collaborative effort to ensure affordable, high-quality care for NCDs and mental health as part of universal health coverage [19]
Mapping Impact in Niger
世界银行· 2025-02-26 23:10
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of cash transfers in enhancing resilience among poor households in the Sahel region, particularly in response to climatic shocks [9] - It highlights the role of adaptive social protection systems in improving the livelihoods of vulnerable communities affected by climate change [9] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Cash Transfers and Resilience**: The report discusses how cash transfers can mitigate the impacts of climatic shocks on poor households, thereby improving their resilience [9] - **Adaptive Social Protection Systems**: It outlines the support from multiple donors to strengthen adaptive social protection systems in the Sahel, which includes countries like Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, and Senegal [9] - **Behavioral Change and Development**: The report references various studies that explore the relationship between cash transfers, behavioral change, and early childhood development in low-income settings [8]
Overcoming Intertwined Challenges to Reach Upper Middle Income Status in Bhutan by 2029
世界银行· 2025-02-26 23:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Bhutan's economic growth has led to a significant decline in poverty over the past two decades, but structural transformation remains slow, with challenges in diversifying the economy beyond hydropower [6] - The new Government aims to transform Bhutan into a developed nation within five years, with a focus on reaching upper middle income status by 2029 through investments in people, economic progress, and sustainability [9] - The hydropower sector is crucial for Bhutan's economy, contributing significantly but employing less than 1% of the labor force, indicating a need for economic diversification [6][8] Summary by Sections Economic Challenges - Bhutan faces intertwined challenges, including high unemployment among youth, a failing education system, and strained healthcare services due to shortages of medical professionals [8] - The economy is in crisis, with farmlands left fallow while the government spends billions on food imports, leading to low confidence in public administration [8] Policy Recommendations - Immediate policy actions suggested include strengthening cross-sectoral coordination and public-private partnerships to enhance the renewable natural resource sector [2] - The Government should implement a health financing strategy to ensure sustainability in healthcare amidst rising costs [13] - A comprehensive financing strategy for hydropower projects is necessary, aiming to generate nearly 7,000 MW from 13 projects by 2035, requiring around USD 14 billion [17] Investment in People - Investments in quality education, healthcare, and social protection services are essential to stabilize the population and reverse emigration trends [10] - Expanding employment service centers and labor market information systems can strengthen the link between skills and private sector needs [12] Economic Progress - The private sector is envisioned as the main job creator, necessitating efficient public sector operations and infrastructure investments to connect economic centers [14] - Enhancing trade with neighboring countries through improved sanitary and phytosanitary standards and trade facilitation measures is crucial for rural entrepreneurs [16]
An Evaluation of the World Bank Group’s Support to Electricity Access in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2015–24 (Approach Paper)
世界银行· 2025-02-24 23:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the electricity access sector in Sub-Saharan Africa Core Insights - The World Bank Group aims to support electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa, with a target to provide access to 300 million people by 2030, addressing the significant gap in electricity access in the region [27][34] - The evaluation highlights the importance of reliable, sustainable, and affordable electricity access for improving human welfare and boosting productivity, which is essential for economic development [3][24] - The report identifies a financing gap of approximately US$35 billion to US$50 billion annually needed to achieve the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 7 for universal electricity access by 2030 [23] Summary by Sections Background and Context - The evaluation assesses the World Bank Group's contributions to electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa from 2015 to 2024, focusing on the region's significant electricity access gaps [2][1] - Over 85% of the global population without electricity access resides in Sub-Saharan Africa, with a stark urban-rural divide in access levels [8][12] Evolution of the World Bank Group's Electricity Access Agenda - The Bank Group has engaged in systematic support for electricity access in low-access countries, developing national electrification plans and supporting various projects across Sub-Saharan Africa [25][26] - The Corporate Scorecard monitors progress in electricity access, focusing on direct and inferred access through various interventions [26] Rationale and Objective of the Evaluation - The evaluation aims to assess the relevance, effectiveness, and coherence of the Bank Group's support for scaling up electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa [34][3] - It emphasizes the need to evaluate not just connectivity but also the reliability, sustainability, and affordability of electricity access [29][30] Barriers to Electrification - Key barriers identified include insufficient planning, high costs of electrification, and unsustainable business models for power system operators [39][3] - The report stresses the importance of national electrification plans (NEPs) as a strategy for expanding access to electricity [40] Government Actions and World Bank Group Activities - The World Bank supports the design and operationalization of NEPs, providing technical assistance and resources for new connections [41][42] - The report outlines the Bank Group's role in improving regulatory frameworks to attract private sector investments in electricity access [45][46] Intermediate Outcomes and Impact - The theory of change suggests that effective interventions can lead to increased electricity access, improved welfare, and enhanced productivity for households [48][50] - The report indicates that achieving universal access requires collaboration among stakeholders, including governments, private sector participants, and development partners [50][27] Evaluation Scope and Design - The evaluation covers projects and activities from FY15 to FY24, focusing on their impact on electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa [52][51] - A mixed methods approach will be used to assess the relevance, effectiveness, and coherence of the Bank Group's interventions [60][61]
Revisiting the Gains from Trade in EMDEs
世界银行· 2025-02-24 23:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry under review. Core Insights - The paper estimates the welfare impact of the growth of imported goods variety in 28 countries in East Africa and East Asia from 1995 to 2021, revealing that African countries gained an average of 5.47% of their GDP (0.20% annually), while Asian countries (excluding Bhutan) gained 3.46% (0.13% annually) [3][16][18] - The findings emphasize that the creation and extension of trade linkages can significantly enhance welfare, particularly for small and transitioning economies, which is often overlooked in discussions about globalization and economic integration [17][18] - The study provides a comprehensive analysis of the gains from import variety, utilizing over 100,000 estimated elasticities of substitution to construct an exact price index for measuring welfare gains [3][9][54] Summary by Sections Introduction - The paper discusses the benefits of increased variety in imported goods, which leads to lower unit costs and welfare gains, contrasting with traditional studies that focus on productivity and efficiency improvements [8][9] Data and Descriptive Analysis - The analysis uses trade data from BACI covering 27 years, revealing significant growth in both the value and variety of imports across the selected countries [21][22] - The average number of imported products increased by 31% for the sample countries, with notable increases in total varieties, particularly in African countries [26][27] Methodology - The report follows the methodology established by Feenstra and Broda & Weinstein to derive an exact price index for measuring welfare gains from import variety [31][39] - The estimation of elasticities of substitution is crucial for understanding the responsiveness of demand to price changes among different varieties [50][56] Results - The average elasticity of substitution across the 28 countries is 13.0, with a median of 4.1, indicating significant potential for gains from variety due to the high differentiation of goods [56] - The report highlights that the average welfare gain from newly imported varieties from 1995 to 2021 amounts to 5.49% of GDP, with African countries showing higher gains compared to Asian countries [16][54]
De Jure and De Facto Coverage of Parental Benefits in Nepal
世界银行· 2025-02-24 23:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry under discussion Core Insights - The report highlights the need for a holistic and inclusive parental benefits framework in Nepal to support both men and women in balancing childcare responsibilities and employment [8] - It identifies significant gaps in awareness and compliance regarding parental benefits in the formal sector, while the informal sector lacks such benefits entirely [8] - The study emphasizes the importance of addressing societal norms and policies to improve women's labor force participation, particularly in relation to childcare responsibilities [8] Summary by Sections I. Country Context and Motivation - Nepal has a young working-age population, with women constituting a significant portion, yet their labor force participation is low compared to men [15][16] - The labor force participation rate (LFPR) for women is 26% compared to 54% for men, with women more likely to be engaged in informal and subsistence work [15][16] - Gender wage gaps persist, with women earning on average 26% less than men, and the gap is larger for women in informal sectors [15][16] II. Literature Review on Impacts of Parental Benefits on Labor Market Participation - Evidence from OECD countries shows that parental benefits positively impact women's employment rates, with maternity leave linked to increased female labor force participation [32][33] - In developing countries, mandated maternity leave has been associated with increased female employment, particularly when funded by the government [36][37] III. Review of International Standards on Parental Benefits - The ILO's Maternity Protection Convention outlines minimum standards for maternity leave, but lacks provisions for paternity leave, reinforcing traditional gender roles [40][41] - The report notes that while many countries provide maternity leave, only 56% offer paid paternity leave, highlighting a gap in gender-neutral parental benefits [44][45] Part 1: De-jure Parental Benefits in Nepal - The report analyzes the legal framework for parental benefits in Nepal, identifying areas such as parental leave, cash benefits, and workplace protections that require improvement [46][47] Part 2: De-facto Implementation of Parental Benefits - A survey of 1000 urban workers reveals low awareness and uptake of parental benefits, particularly in the informal sector, where workers express willingness to contribute to a social insurance scheme [48][49] - The findings indicate that societal norms significantly influence labor market choices for mothers, while fathers are less likely to consider childcare in their employment decisions [8]
通用无障碍建筑规范检查表(英)2025
世界银行· 2025-02-24 08:15
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of universal accessibility in building regulations, highlighting that inclusive access is a societal imperative and essential for promoting equity and equality [33][40]. - It outlines the need for a robust building regulatory framework that includes universal accessibility provisions alongside structural resilience, fire safety, and sustainability [55][56]. - The report presents a Building Code Checklist for Universal Accessibility as a practical tool for policymakers and building professionals to enhance accessibility in the built environment [28][58]. Summary by Sections Overview - Rapid urbanization and population growth are expected to double global building stocks in the next 15 to 20 years, raising concerns about resilience, safety, and accessibility [22][23]. - The Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR) aims to promote resilient and inclusive built environments through enhanced regulatory frameworks [24][27]. Introduction - Universal accessibility is defined as a design philosophy aimed at making environments usable for a broad group of people, regardless of age or ability [40][41]. - The report discusses the diverse needs of individuals with disabilities, the elderly, and children, emphasizing the importance of creating an inclusive environment [34][36]. Objectives - The Building Code Checklist for Universal Accessibility is designed to assist building professionals in enhancing accessibility provisions in building codes [56][58]. - It serves as both an assessment tool for current codes and a reference model for developing new codes [58]. Guidance - A systematic approach for reviewing universal accessibility provisions is outlined, guiding practitioners through steps to assess regulatory frameworks [63][66]. - The checklist is intended to work alongside other modules for fire safety, green buildings, and structural resilience [60]. Key Concepts - The report identifies six fundamental components of universal accessibility, including access routes, entrances, circulation, building facilities, fixtures, and evacuation [87][89]. - Each component is essential for ensuring that buildings are usable and accessible for all individuals [90][98]. Building Code Checklist - The checklist provides guiding questions to assess the coverage and contents of universal accessibility provisions in building regulations [101][102]. - Priority questions are highlighted to focus on critical areas deemed important by international experts [102].
评估技术以加快减排计划的监测、报告和验证过程(英)
世界银行· 2025-02-24 08:15
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report identifies significant delays and complexities in the measurement, reporting, and verification (MRV) processes for jurisdictional scale REDD+ programs, which hinder access to climate finance [21][22][30] - It emphasizes the need for innovative technologies to enhance efficiency, accuracy, and scalability in MRV processes [22][28] - The report suggests that integrating advanced technologies such as LiDAR, SAR, and high-resolution satellite imagery can significantly improve the MRV cycle [26][31] Summary by Sections I. Context - The MRV cycle under the World Bank's FCPF and ISFL is lengthy, often taking years to become functional, even in technically capable countries [30][31] - Key challenges include inconsistent methodologies, high costs, and reliance on optical satellite imagery, which can lead to delays in data collection and reporting [23][24][31] II. Implementation - The report explores the use of various technologies to improve the MRV process, including terrestrial laser scanning, unmanned aerial vehicle laser scanning, and airborne laser scanning [59][61] - A centralized cloud service combined with a decentralized data lake is proposed to address data integration challenges [42][63] III. Digital Architecture Solutions - The report highlights the need for a centralized data repository to manage and process large volumes of data effectively [74][78] - It discusses the potential of Amazon Web Services' Simple Storage Service (S3) as a foundation for the data lake, which can facilitate data storage and access [79][82]