
Search documents
关于在低收入和中等收入国家设计和实施优质早期学习环境原则的指导说明(英)
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-03-17 09:40
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry Core Insights - High-quality early childhood education (ECE) environments are crucial for enhancing children's learning experiences, characterized by dynamic opportunities for interaction, collaboration, and exploration [7][8] - The report outlines key principles for creating quality learning environments in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), emphasizing the importance of assessing needs and implementing targeted improvements [3][5] Summary by Sections Principles of Quality Learning Environments - Quality learning environments should provide dynamic spaces for children to interact with educators and peers, explore materials, and engage in various activities [2] - Five fundamental principles define high-quality early education environments: overall safety, pedagogical organization, spatial flexibility, empowerment and identity, and child-centered design [10][9] Key Elements of Quality Early Learning - Quality elements in ECE environments include physical space, furniture, teaching materials, classroom design, daily routines, and the use of everyday materials for teaching [4][12] - Structural quality encompasses aspects like adult-to-child ratios, classroom size, and the qualifications of the workforce [13][14] Process Quality in Early Childhood Education - Process quality relates to children's experiences in the classroom, including activities, methods, and interactions with caregivers [14][53] - Daily routines provide opportunities for learning and community building, enhancing children's social and emotional skills [54][62] Recommendations for Enhancing Quality - Policymakers and stakeholders should focus on assessing current conditions, improving existing learning spaces, and investing in flexible, child-friendly infrastructure [94][95] - Long-term strategies should foster collaboration among parents, communities, and educators to optimize learning environments [95][96]
不丹的愿景:人民、进步与地球——到2029年达到中上收入水平:2024年政策说明(英)
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-03-17 09:40
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Bhutan aims to achieve upper-middle-income status by 2029, facing various short-term and long-term challenges, including economic stagnation and high youth unemployment [14][15] - The government needs to implement immediate policy actions and investments to support private sector growth, enhance macroeconomic stability, and improve public sector efficiency [21][22] - The report emphasizes the importance of investing in human capital to improve individual well-being and productivity, which is crucial for economic growth [32][37] Summary by Sections Socioeconomic Constraints Facing Bhutanese Families - A typical family in Bhutan faces significant socioeconomic constraints, leading to considerations of emigration for better opportunities [5][6] - The lack of access to financing and market opportunities hampers business expansion for local entrepreneurs [7][8] Urgency of Reforms - Bhutan has experienced rapid poverty reduction but structural transformation has been slow, necessitating urgent reforms to address economic vulnerabilities [13][14] - The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated existing economic challenges, leading to a surge in youth emigration [14][16] Investment in Human Resources - Investing in human capital is essential for enhancing productivity and addressing social inequalities [32][34] - The report highlights the need for comprehensive systems to support human capital accumulation throughout the lifecycle [36][37] Early Investments - Early childhood development investments yield high returns, with well-designed programs significantly improving long-term outcomes for children [42][45] - Access to quality early childhood education remains limited, particularly in vulnerable and remote areas [44][45] Adult Investments - The labor market is at a critical juncture, with a need for more quality jobs in the private sector to absorb the educated workforce [56][57] - High-quality health services are essential for maintaining a productive workforce, especially as Bhutan faces an aging population [59][60] Economic Development - Bhutan's economy has grown significantly over the past two decades, but structural challenges remain that could delay its transition to a developed country [72][73] - The government should promote private sector development to create jobs and enhance economic resilience [72][74]
采购低增长
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-03-14 23:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The study evaluates the impact of political favoritism in public procurement on private sector productivity growth, revealing that companies with strong political ties have an 18% to 32% higher likelihood of winning public contracts [4][15][17] - Non-competitive procurement processes lead to stable growth for companies but result in higher profit margins, indicating rent-seeking behavior [17][31] - The absence of favoritism in public procurement could increase the annual total factor productivity (TFP) growth rate by 8%, from 1.5% to 1.63% [17] Summary by Sections Introduction - The research addresses whether political connections only have distributional consequences or also affect economic growth, highlighting the dual nature of political ties [8][9] Data and Methodology - The study combines three novel microeconomic datasets: administrative data on over 4 million companies, public procurement contract data covering over 150,000 contracts, and a new dataset on political connections [12][14][56] - The comprehensive dataset allows for a detailed analysis of how political connections influence public procurement favoritism and its subsequent impact on private sector growth [14][56] Findings - Companies with political ties are more likely to win contracts through unfair competition, with a significant increase in contract awards in non-competitive bidding scenarios [15][17] - The report indicates that only contracts awarded through competitive bidding lead to higher subsequent productivity growth [15][17] - Political connections result in companies receiving higher payments for their products and services, with a rent extraction of 9% to 11% from overpaid contracts [17][31] Conclusion - The findings suggest that political favoritism in public procurement undermines overall economic growth by reducing the efficiency of resource allocation and overall productivity growth [11][25]
Decarbonizing Ammonia and Nitrogen Fertilizers with Clean Hydrogen
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-03-12 23:10
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the decarbonization of ammonia and nitrogen fertilizers using clean hydrogen, highlighting its potential to enhance global food security while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Core Insights - The production of synthetic fertilizers is responsible for 1.8–2.4 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions, and transitioning to clean hydrogen can significantly reduce this carbon intensity [1][2] - Clean hydrogen, produced from renewable sources or low-carbon methods, is essential for decarbonizing ammonia synthesis, which is crucial for fertilizer production [5][17] - The report emphasizes the need for policy adjustments and subsidies to facilitate the transition to cleaner fertilizers and to support farmers in adopting new fertilizer types [24][36] Summary by Sections Decarbonization Potential - The fertilizer industry is vital for global agriculture, but traditional production methods are energy-intensive and reliant on fossil fuels [2][4] - Clean hydrogen can replace fossil fuels in ammonia synthesis, aligning with climate goals such as those set by the Paris Agreement [2][16] Production Challenges - Current estimates for renewable ammonia production costs range from $794 to $1,543 per ton, significantly higher than grey ammonia costs of $121 to $518 per ton [16] - The transition to renewable ammonia production requires stable renewable energy sources and may involve higher costs due to the need for energy storage and infrastructure [14][15] Market Dynamics - Approximately 200 million metric tons of ammonia are produced globally each year, with 170–180 million metric tons used in agricultural fertilizers [25] - The report notes that the prices of natural gas heavily influence ammonia production costs, leading to volatility in the market [27][28] Role of Subsidies - Subsidies are critical in shaping fertilizer prices and supply chains, with conventional fertilizers benefiting from significant government support [36][55] - The report suggests that renewable ammonia will require substantial subsidies to compete with conventional urea, estimated at $500–$1,200 per metric ton by 2030 [36][41] Technological Innovations - Advancements in solar and electrolysis technologies are expected to lower the cost of renewable ammonia, making it a competitive option in agriculture [41] - The report highlights several ongoing renewable and low-carbon ammonia projects globally, showcasing the potential for clean hydrogen in fertilizer production [42][45] Policy Recommendations - Governments should implement robust carbon pricing mechanisms and streamline regulatory processes to support clean hydrogen investments [53][56] - The report recommends addressing the price gap through offtake agreements and developing niche markets for clean fertilizers [57][62]
提高公共支出对包容性增长的影响
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-03-12 06:05
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need for South Africa to reform public spending to enhance inclusive growth and improve service delivery efficiency [13][14][39] - It identifies three key priorities to improve public spending efficiency: creating fiscal space for current and future public spending, allocating public resources to alleviate constraints on inclusive growth, and enhancing the capacity of the public sector to deliver services [11][42][68] Summary by Sections Public Spending Efficiency - Public spending in South Africa has not generated the expected impact on long-term economic growth and poverty reduction, with the fiscal multiplier declining since 2010 [14][17] - The report highlights that public debt has tripled, limiting the fiscal space available for essential services [16][19] - It notes that public consumption is prioritized over public investment, leading to an infrastructure crisis that hampers economic growth [20][25] Key Actions Proposed - Action 1: Coordinate and consolidate social projects with a focus on results to improve efficiency [41][51] - Action 2: Collaborate with the private sector to enhance service delivery and reduce costs [52][54] - Action 3: Improve public investment management to better allocate resources and address infrastructure needs [59][60] - Action 4: Invest intelligently in programs that enhance the employability of disadvantaged groups in the labor market [62][63] - Action 5: Professionalize the public service to build a high-status bureaucratic elite [65][66] - Action 6: Enhance monitoring systems to ensure accountability and effectiveness in public spending [68] Challenges Identified - The report indicates that the capacity of the public sector to deliver services effectively has declined, which negatively impacts the fiscal multiplier [28][66] - It points out that governance indicators have weakened over the past two decades, affecting the efficiency of public spending [33][34] - The inefficiency of public spending disproportionately affects the poorest segments of the population, despite generous allocations to social welfare [34][39]
关于尼泊尔的法定和事实上的父母福利覆盖情况(英译中)
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-03-12 05:58
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights the significant gender disparity in labor force participation in Nepal, with women being less likely to participate compared to men, primarily due to childcare responsibilities and lack of social protection [8][13][20] - A comprehensive parental benefits framework is necessary to bridge the gap between childcare responsibilities and women's employment [8][20] - The study emphasizes the need for policy changes and sustainable social norm transformations to support women's labor market participation [8][20] Summary by Sections I. National Background and Motivation - Nepal has a large, young labor force with a significant proportion of women, yet formal employment opportunities are scarce, particularly for women [13][15] - The labor force participation rate (LFPR) for women is significantly lower than that of men, with only 26% of women participating compared to 54% of men [13][15] - Women face a substantial wage gap, earning on average 26% less than men, and are more likely to work in informal sectors with limited protections [13][15] II. Literature Review on the Impact of Parental Benefits on Labor Market Participation - Evidence from developed countries shows that parental leave policies are associated with increased female employment [29][30] - In developing countries, mandatory parental leave can positively impact women's employment rates, especially when funded by the government rather than employers [30][33] - The report discusses the widening gap between maternity and paternity leave, which negatively affects women's labor market outcomes [33][34] III. Overview of International Standards on Parental Benefits - The International Labour Organization (ILO) sets minimum standards for maternity leave, recommending at least 14 weeks of paid leave [36][37] - There are no specific standards for paternity leave, which perpetuates gender inequality in caregiving responsibilities [37][38] - The report highlights the need for gender-balanced parental leave policies to enhance women's labor market participation [34][39]
欧盟27国的受过教育和管理的工人
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-03-12 05:57
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights that the lack of adequately educated workers is perceived as the primary obstacle for businesses in the EU-27, with 27% of companies reporting this issue as a major barrier to operations [2][6][12] - It identifies a significant correlation between the availability of skilled and educated workers and various business performance metrics, such as labor productivity, employment growth, exports, R&D, and management quality [1][12][35] - The report suggests a shift in policy focus from reducing other barriers to ensuring the availability of educated workers as economies develop [1][12] Summary by Sections Education and Skills - Approximately 10% of workers in the EU-27 hold a university degree, with only 30% of companies employing such workers [22][49] - The proportion of skilled production workers is higher in larger firms, exporters, and foreign-owned companies [22][49] - The report indicates that training provided by companies is positively correlated with income levels in NUTS2 regions, with 43% of firms offering training [14][16] Training and Productivity - Companies that provide training exhibit an average labor productivity that is approximately 48% higher than those that do not [21][27] - Training appears to help lower productivity firms catch up to higher productivity firms, potentially impacting overall regional productivity [27][49] Employment Growth - The report finds mixed evidence regarding the relationship between the use of skilled workers and employment growth, with a significant decline in employment growth rates associated with higher shares of skilled and semi-skilled workers [32][34] Management Education - Companies with highly educated top management show significantly higher labor productivity, with a 14% increase compared to those with less educated management [49][50] - The presence of highly educated managers is linked to increased exports, job creation, and R&D activities [50]
将城市打造为经济增长和经济包容的发动机(英译中)
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-03-12 05:56
优先级 3 将城市打造为经济增 长和经济包容的发动 机 南非政策包 公开披露授权 公开披露授权 © 2024 国际重建与发展银行 / 世界银行 1818 H Street NW, 华盛顿,DC 20433 电 话:202-473-1000;互联网:www.worldbank.org 一些权利保留。 这项工作是世界银行工作人员及外部贡献者的成果。本工作中表达的研究发现、解释和结论并不一定反映世界银行、 其执行董事会或他们所代表的政府的观点。世界银行不对本工作中包含的数据的准确性做出保证。本工作中任何地图 上显示的边界、颜色、名称以及任何其他信息,在世界银行集团方面,并不表示对任何领土法律地位的任何判断,也 不表示对这种边界的认可或接受。 此处内容不构成,也不应被视为对世界银行特权与豁免权的限制或放弃,所有此类特权与豁免权均明确保留。 权利和许可 此作品受Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO许可(CC BY 3.0 IGO)保护(http://creativecommons.org/licenses /by/3.0/igo)。根据Creative Commons Attribu ...
增值税改革对津巴布韦的财政和分配影响
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-03-12 05:14
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - The report analyzes the fiscal and distributional impacts of VAT reform in Zimbabwe, highlighting the importance of domestic revenue mobilization to create fiscal space and support macroeconomic stability. The announced changes in November 2023 are expected to increase VAT revenue by 0.88% of GDP, but they may also increase poverty by 1.4 percentage points and inequality by 0.14 percentage points. Therefore, any VAT reform must be accompanied by compensatory mechanisms targeting poorer households [10][22][50]. Summary by Sections Introduction - Taxation and transfer payments can significantly influence income distribution and reduce poverty and inequality. Many countries provide lower VAT rates or exemptions for goods that constitute a large share of poor households' consumption. However, evidence suggests that VAT is not an effective means of resource redistribution [13][14]. VAT Structure and Proposed Changes - VAT has been a major revenue contributor in Zimbabwe since 2009, surpassing income tax. The government announced measures to increase tax revenue, including limiting VAT exemptions and zero rates primarily to exports and essential goods. The changes aim to broaden the tax base and increase revenue while ensuring fairness in tax distribution [16][22]. Data and Methodology - The analysis utilizes data from the 2017 Poverty, Income, Consumption, and Expenditure Survey (PICES) and employs a fiscal impact analysis framework to assess the effects of VAT reform on households. The methodology includes VAT gap analysis and distributional impact assessments [26][33]. Results - The current VAT gap in Zimbabwe is estimated to be 5.4% of GDP, with a significant portion attributed to policy choices rather than compliance issues. The proposed VAT reforms are expected to enhance revenue efficiency and reduce the VAT gap to 5.36% of GDP by 2024. The policy gap is projected to decrease from 4.3% to 3.42% of GDP, indicating improved tax collection efficiency [47][50].
独立评估小组(IEG)FY26工作计划和预算以及FY2728指示性计划(英)2025
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-03-11 06:30
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) is adapting its strategic framework to address multiple global challenges, including climate change, public debt, food insecurity, and the impacts of geopolitical conflicts, which threaten the World Bank Group's mission to end extreme poverty and promote shared prosperity [5][6] - IEG plans to deliver 9 thematic and corporate evaluations, 4-5 Country Program Evaluations (CPEs), and annual reports in FY26, maintaining a focus on pressing development issues and aligning with the World Bank Group's strategic priorities [7][22] Summary by Sections 1. Introduction - IEG's mandate includes assessing the relevance, efficacy, and efficiency of World Bank Group (WBG) operational policies and programs [13] - IEG aims to enhance accountability and generate learning to inform future WBG strategies [14][15] 2. IEG FY26-28 Work Program and Strategic Framework - The FY26 work program includes 9 thematic evaluations and 4-5 CPEs, reflecting a commitment to adapt to evolving global challenges [22] - The strategic framework emphasizes urgent development issues and aligns with WBG's priorities, focusing on thematic streams such as Planet, People, Prosperity, Infrastructure, and Digital Technology [23][26] 3. Thematic Directions - IEG is developing Theories of Change (ToCs) for thematic streams to guide evaluation questions and prioritize evidence gaps [28] - Proposed evaluations include Food and Nutrition Security (FY26), Emergency Health Preparedness (FY26), and Vocational and Jobs Training (FY27), addressing critical areas of development [36][46] 4. Human Resources and Budget - IEG requests a budget of $46.1 million for FY26, representing a 3.8% increase, aimed at enhancing data analytics and validation work [11] 5. Proposed FY26-28 Evaluation Pipeline - The evaluation pipeline includes thematic evaluations on climate resilience, health preparedness, and infrastructure, with a focus on cross-cutting themes such as gender and fragility [79][80]