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China Outlook_ A shallow recovery in Q4
China Securities· 2024-11-26 06:25
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 FICC Research Economics 22 November 2024 Completed: 22-Nov-24, 09:28 GMT Released: 22-Nov-24, 22:49 GMT Restricted - External China Outlook A shallow recovery in Q4 In view of improved data and announced policy support, we expect a mild recovery in Q4 growth momentum. We maintain our below-consensus 4% growth forecast for 2025 on structural headwinds, looming tariff hikes, and absence of DM-like demand-side stimulus. We note LG debt resolution has accelerated. Local-government d ...
The Metal Monitor_China scraps the export tax rebate for aluminum and copper products; week recap & ahead
China Securities· 2024-11-22 16:18
J.P.Morgan Asia Pacific Equity Research 18 November 2024 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. The Metal Monitor China scraps the export tax rebate for aluminum and copper products; week recap & ahead | --- | --- | |-------------------------------- ...
China Clean Energy_ Lower export tax rebate rates for solar products
China Securities· 2024-11-22 16:18
November 18, 2024 01:00 AM GMT M Update | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
China_ 2025 Equity Outlook_ Policy showtime
China Securities· 2024-11-20 14:54
18 November 2024 | 12:23AM HKT Kinger Lau, CFA +852-2978-1224 | kinger.lau@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Timothy Moe, CFA +65-6889-1199 | timothy.moe@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Singapore) Pte Si Fu, Ph.D. +852-2978-0200 | si.fu@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Kevin Wang, CFA +852-2978-2446 | kevin.wang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. 2131d4eaf4cb4d50b1d51c8af07b64b4 China 2025 Equity Outlook: Policy showtime Explore > A policy-managed growth deceleration, and economic rotation GDP growth will decelera ...
China Technology & Communication_ Key Takeaways from Citi 2024 China Investor Conference and Tech Tours
China Securities· 2024-11-18 03:33
13 Nov 2024 22:30:22 ET │ 23 pages V i e w p o i n t | China Technology & Communication Key Takeaways from Citi 2024 China Investor Conference and Tech Tours CITI'S TAKE We met with 26 HK/China tech companies at Citi's 2024 China Investor Conference. We also visited 12 companies in Shanghai, Shenzhen, Bangkok, and Hanoi. Key takeaways include: (1) Apple chain is positive to upgrade cycle in iPhone 17; (2) Under-supply in large-sized panels creates opportunities for panel makers; (3) Auto chain sees double-d ...
China Resources Sanjiu (.SZ)_ Results_ Mild growth in 3Q24
China Securities· 2024-11-18 03:33
15 Nov 2024 12:10:15 ET │ 11 pages China Resources Sanjiu (000999.SZ) Results: Mild growth in 3Q24 CITI'S TAKE CR999 reported 3Q24 revenue of Rmb5,634mn (+3% yoy) and net profit of Rmb561mn (7% yoy or -7% yoy if excluding one-offs). Gross margin slightly declined to 50.5% from 50.8% in 3Q23. SG&A and R&D expense ratio decreased to 35.4% vs. 36.7% in 3Q23. Mgmt. expect decreasing selling cost ratio. Net margin picked up to 10.0% from 9.6% in 3Q23. KPC generated Rmb1.9bn (+3% yoy) revenue and Rmb158mn net pro ...
China_ SAFE data suggest modest FX inflows in October
China Securities· 2024-11-18 03:32
15 November 2024 | 6:52PM HKT China: SAFE data suggest modest FX inflows in October | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | | Bottom line: Our preferred FX flow measure shows modest FX inflows of US$5bn in October | Xinquan Chen +852-2978-2418 \| xinquan.chen@gs.com Goldman Sach ...
Metal Matters_ China export tax rebate removal for copper and aluminum semis bigger impacts on LME_ShFE price ratio than global balance
China Securities· 2024-11-18 03:32
15 Nov 2024 15:02:39 ET │ 9 pages Metal Matters China export tax rebate removal for copper and aluminum semis bigger | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------- ...
Tracking U.S. Supply Chain Congestion_ GS Supply Chain Congestion Scale_ Nov 11th; Weekly Index ~Flat W_W, Scale Remains at '2'
China Securities· 2024-11-15 03:17
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 本文档仅供上海信鱼私募基金管理有限公司18860455898研究使用,请勿外传 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 11 November 2024 | 4:06PM EST Tracking U.S. Supply Chain Congestion GS Supply Chain Congestion Scale: Nov 11th; Weekly Index ~Flat W/W, Scale Remains at '2' shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 2 1 10 Fully Open Fully Bottlenecked GS Supply Chai ...
China_ Deflation continued despite pickup in activity
China Securities· 2024-11-15 03:17
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 本文档仅供上海信鱼私募基金管理有限公司18860455898研究使用,请勿外传 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: Asia Pacific Economic Research 11 November 2024 J P M O R G A N China: Deflation continued despite pickup in activity shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: • October CPI moderated to 0.3%oya on a 0.1%m/m sa decline. Food prices fell 0.8%m/m sa in October, with falling pork prices (-3. ...