Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 16.83 billion RMB and a net profit of 4.27 billion RMB for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.2% and 10.4% respectively [2] - The company's traditional business segments are showing stable growth, while the new energy sector is expanding rapidly, with a revenue increase of 104.7% in 2024 [3] - The gross margin for 2024 is reported at 43.3%, with a slight decline in the fourth quarter and the first quarter of 2025 due to rising raw material costs [3] Performance Summary - For Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.23 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.4%, while the net profit decreased by 4.6% to 1.01 billion RMB [2] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.92 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 3.1% and a net profit of 970 million RMB, up 4.9% [2] Business Analysis - The company’s revenue from electrical connections, smart electrical lighting, and new energy products for 2024 was 7.68 billion RMB, 8.33 billion RMB, and 780 million RMB respectively, with the new energy segment showing significant growth [3] - The company has developed over 25,000 C-end terminal points and has more than 3,000 B-end customers by the end of 2024, maintaining a leading market share in the charging category on e-commerce platforms [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.67 RMB, 4.06 RMB, and 4.45 RMB respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 19, 18, and 16 [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][11] Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on overall performance due to increased product volume but decreased prices in 2024. The revenue for 2024 is projected at 26,692 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1,740 million yuan, a decrease of 33.64% year-on-year [4][5] - The company anticipates gradual recovery in profitability within the silicon industry chain, maintaining a "Buy" rating despite downward adjustments in profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 26,692 million yuan, with a net profit of 1,740 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 33.64%. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a net profit of 286 million yuan, down 34.73% year-on-year and 39.97% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5,228 million yuan, a decrease of 3.47% year-on-year and 17.30% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 260 million yuan, down 50.81% year-on-year and 9.21% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - The company forecasts net profits of 2,005 million yuan in 2025, 3,097 million yuan in 2026, and 4,004 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.70, 2.62, and 3.39 yuan respectively [4][5] Product and Price Trends - In 2024, the production of industrial silicon and organic silicon reached 1,871,000 tons and 1,621,000 tons, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 38% and 19%. Sales volumes were 1,230,000 tons and 949,000 tons, reflecting year-on-year increases of 21% and 11% [5] - The average prices for industrial silicon, silicone rubber, silicone oil, and cyclic siloxane in 2024 were 11,175 yuan, 12,405 yuan, 10,013 yuan, and 13,000 yuan per ton, showing year-on-year changes of -16.36%, -4.30%, +7.18%, and -2.23% respectively [5] - In Q1 2025, the average prices for these products further declined, with industrial silicon at 9,342 yuan per ton, down 29.80% year-on-year [5] Cost and Raw Material Trends - The procurement prices for key raw materials in 2024 showed significant decreases, with prices for ore, petroleum coke, and coal down by 4.24%, 44.27%, and 20.68% respectively [5] - The company expects that the current prices of industrial silicon and organic silicon are at the bottom of the cycle, with limited downward price pressure due to strong cost support [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [10][3]. Core Views - The company has achieved rapid growth in performance, with a projected revenue of 1146.01 billion CNY for 2024, a slight decrease of 1.31% year-on-year, and a net profit of 45.04 billion CNY, reflecting a significant increase of 64.30% year-on-year [1][3]. - The feed business has seen both volume and profit growth, with a total feed sales volume of 26.5 million tons in 2024, up 9% year-on-year, and a notable 40% increase in overseas sales [2][3]. - The company is focusing on a light asset operation model in livestock farming, which enhances its risk resistance, and has successfully turned around its pig farming business to profitability [3][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1146.01 billion CNY, with a net profit of 45.04 billion CNY, and for Q1 2025, revenue reached 256.29 billion CNY, up 10.60% year-on-year, with a net profit of 12.82 billion CNY, up 48.99% year-on-year [1][3]. - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 50.71 billion CNY, 57.87 billion CNY, and 65.84 billion CNY respectively, with EPS projected at 3.05 CNY, 3.48 CNY, and 3.96 CNY [3][4]. Business Segments - The feed segment is expected to see a rise in both volume and profit, with a target of over 3 million tons in external sales for 2025, driven by a strong domestic market and expanding overseas operations [2][3]. - The company has adopted a light asset operation model in pig farming, which has proven effective in mitigating risks and enhancing profitability [3][2]. Market Outlook - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on its core cost advantages amid expected fluctuations in feed raw material prices in 2025, with a continuous increase in market share anticipated [3][2]. - The overseas market is expected to replicate the success of domestic operations, contributing to additional growth [3][2].

Investment Rating - The report adjusts the investment rating to "Recommended" due to recent stock price increases and reasonable valuation levels [2][7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the konjac product segment, benefiting from category advantages that drive high growth [4][7]. - The financial performance for 2024 and Q1 2025 meets expectations, with revenue growth of 28.89% and 25.69% respectively, indicating strong operational momentum [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of CNY 5.30 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28.89%, and a net profit of CNY 640 million, up 26.53% [3][11]. - For Q1 2025, revenue reached CNY 1.54 billion, reflecting a 25.69% year-on-year growth, while net profit was CNY 178 million, an increase of 11.64% [3][11]. Product Category Performance - The company focuses on six core product categories, with significant revenue contributions from spicy snacks and konjac products, achieving revenue growth rates of 32.4% and 76.1% respectively [4][11]. - The launch of the sesame-flavored konjac product has become a standout item, with sales reaching CNY 838 million in 2024, marking a 76.1% increase [4][11]. Channel Performance - The company’s sales channels show strong growth, particularly in e-commerce and overseas markets, with overseas revenue increasing to CNY 62.73 million in 2024 [5][11]. - Direct sales through supermarkets and e-commerce channels have also seen significant growth, with e-commerce sales up 40% year-on-year [5][11]. Profitability and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for 2024 was 30.68%, slightly down from the previous year, attributed to a higher proportion of lower-margin products [6][11]. - Despite a decrease in net profit margin to 12.08%, the company anticipates long-term improvements in profitability as brand recognition and scale efficiencies grow [6][11]. Earnings Forecast - The company’s net profit is projected to grow to CNY 850 million in 2025, representing a 32.82% increase, with further growth expected in subsequent years [7][11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue growth in 2024, achieving 1.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.24%, while net profit attributable to the parent company reached 388 million yuan, up 27.77% [1][2] - The growth in the contact lens segment is robust, with a significant increase in revenue, and the company is optimistic about the launch of high-end new products in 2025 [2][3] - The profit growth rate is lagging behind revenue growth due to fluctuations in gross margins, influenced by intensified competition in the artificial lens and orthokeratology markets [2][3] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.41 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 66.23%, down 9.78 percentage points year-on-year [2] - For Q1 2025, revenue was 357 million yuan, a 15.07% increase year-on-year, but net profit decreased by 10.05% [1][2] - The company’s gross margins for 2024 and Q1 2025 were 66.23% and 64.60%, respectively, reflecting the impact of competitive pricing and a higher proportion of lower-margin products [2] Segment Performance - Contact lenses generated revenue of 426 million yuan in 2024, a remarkable increase of 211.84%, with a gross margin of 26.18% [3] - Revenue from artificial lenses was 588 million yuan, up 17.66%, with a gross margin of 89.16% [3] - The orthokeratology lens segment saw revenue of 236 million yuan, an 8.03% increase, with a gross margin of 85.68% [3] Market Expansion - Domestic revenue reached 1.36 billion yuan in 2024, a 49.52% increase, while overseas revenue was 46 million yuan, up 16.73% [4] - The company has established a comprehensive domestic sales network covering over 6000 hospitals and optical centers across 31 provinces and municipalities [4] - Internationally, the company has expanded its sales network to Europe, Asia, and Oceania, with products recognized in over 30 countries [4] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.82 billion yuan, 2.38 billion yuan, and 3.07 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 29.2%, 30.5%, and 29.1% respectively [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 469 million yuan, 585 million yuan, and 725 million yuan, with growth rates of 20.8%, 24.8%, and 23.9% respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 7.799 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.56%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.76% to 1.629 billion yuan [4][10] - The company experienced significant growth in overseas revenue, which increased by 43.83% to 5.523 billion yuan, while domestic revenue fell by 22.23% to 1.649 billion yuan [5] - The gross margin slightly decreased to 33.68%, down by 1.06 percentage points year-on-year, with domestic gross margin increasing by 0.89 percentage points to 26.39% and overseas gross margin decreasing by 3.99 percentage points to 35.86% [5] - The company has a robust product lineup with over 200 models, including high-end products and innovative solutions, which are expected to meet diverse customer needs [6] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.001 billion yuan, 10.028 billion yuan, and 11.055 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.849 billion yuan, 2.066 billion yuan, and 2.345 billion yuan [7][10] Financial Summary - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 41.47 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 21 billion yuan [3] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 34.6% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.88 [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is 3.22 yuan, with projections of 3.65 yuan, 4.08 yuan, and 4.63 yuan for the following years [10][11]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·证券Ⅱ 国金证券（600109） 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评：单季度净 利润增速均超 50%，经纪市占小幅提升 2025 年 04 月 25 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 何婷 执业证书：S0600524120009 heting@dwzq.com.cn 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 6,730 | 6,664 | 6,684 | 7,076 | 7,606 | | 同比（%） | 17.39% | -0.98% | 0.29% | 5.88% | 7.49% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,718 | 1,670 | 1,850 | 1,985 | 2,162 | | 同比（%） | 43.41% | -2.80% | 10.78% | 7.29% | 8.92% | ...

基础化工/化学制品 巨化股份（600160.SH） 2024 业绩符合预期，趋势仍在延续，双击终会到来 2025 年 04 月 25 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/24 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 24.74 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 26.72/14.25 | | 总市值(亿元) | 667.92 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 667.92 | | 总股本(亿股) | 27.00 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 27.00 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 49.07 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -48% -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 巨化股份 沪深300 相关研究报告 《2025Q1 经营情况超预期，制冷剂主 升行情徐徐展开—公司信息更新报 告》-2025.4.9 《2024 业绩预计符合预期，蓄势双击， 期 待 主 升 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2025.1.23 《制冷剂景气延续上行趋势，公司利 润释放或将不断向好—公司信息更新 报告》-2024 ...

2025 年 4 月 25 日 公司研究 24 年业绩有所承压，"双海"布局持续推进 ——泰胜风能（300129.SZ）2024 年年报点评 要点 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报，2024 年实现营收 48.38 亿元，同比增长 0.52%； 实现归母净利润 1.82 亿元，同比减少 37.77%；扣非归母净利润 1.78 亿元，同 比减少 29.11%；拟向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 0.6 元（含税）。公司 2024Q4 实现营收 18.88 亿元，同比增长 2.88%，环比增长 45.91%；实现归母净利润 0.33 亿元，同比减少 41.91%，环比增长 65.80%。 陆风装备业务营收保持增长，各业务毛利率均有所承压。分产品来看，2024 年 公司陆上风电装备（含混凝土塔筒）业务营收同比增长 15.24%至 40.26 亿元， 主要受益于陆风产品出海持续推进，毛利率同比下降 5.21pct 至 13.69%；海上 风电及海洋工程装备业务营收同比减少 37.77%至 6.72 亿元，毛利率同比下降 1.77pct 至 8.13%，主要受国内海风建设较缓影响所致；零碳业务营收同比减少 8.34% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.805 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 14.19%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 189 million yuan, an increase of 1.63% year-on-year [7] - The company has a robust order backlog, with a total order amount of 2.782 billion yuan as of the end of 2024, indicating potential growth in revenue [7] - The company is actively expanding into emerging sectors such as gas turbines, nuclear power, hydrogen energy, and marine equipment, which may contribute to future revenue growth [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to increase from 2.127 billion yuan in 2025 to 2.874 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 16.7% [6][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 244 million yuan in 2025 to 374 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [6][8] - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 27.6% from 2025 to 2027, indicating effective cost control measures [6][8]