At what point does Intel become interesting as an investment opportunity when the government seems to be backing it so hard. Well, clearly the government is changing the game for Intel, but their challenges remain and there are challenges around the innovation side. Their design plus manufacturing has run into trouble over the past few years, so much so that they've lost a lot of market share to AMD and they failed to become a player in the AI advanced chips.No amount of government investment is going to ma ...

What was the structure of what they discussed. And what do we know about the status of those talks. Yeah, these are early talks.I would say there are still a few unknowns. There's no sense at this point what that investment could look like. There has definitely been some commentary this morning as people are sort of digesting this news.And you can see Intel shares are up some 12% or so since yesterday and today as they think about what this could mean for both companies, I think if you're intel in, you're l ...

Key Takeaways TSMC plans volume production of its A16 process in the second half of 2026.A16 offers 8-10% speed gains or 15-20% power efficiency versus the N2P process.TSMC's Q2 2025 revenues jumped 44% as 3nm and 5nm nodes drove 58% of wafer sales.Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) , also known as TSMC, is preparing to launch its A16 process technology, with volume production expected in the second half of 2026. The A16 node, which is an extension of its 2nm platform, introduces Super Power R ...

Core Viewpoint - Shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSMC) have reached an all-time high of $286.00, indicating strong market performance and investor confidence in the company [1] Company Summary - TSMC's stock price has achieved a record level, reflecting its significant position in the semiconductor industry and potential growth prospects [1]

>> NEWSMAKERS AND MARKET MOVERS, THIS IS "THE PULSE WITH FRANCINE LACQUA." TOM: GOOD MORNING AND WELCOME TO "THE PULSE." THE AI BOOM HAS MADE ITS WAY TO THE CREDIT MARKET AFTER ORACLE'S JUMBO BOND SALE, SOFTWARE MAKER RAMPS UP ITS SPENDING ON THE TECHNOLOGY. LET'S BRING IN VALERIE TYTEL. HOW WELL RECEIVED WAS THIS BOND SALE. >> IT WAS DECENTLY RECEIVED.THEY ISSUED A TOTAL OF $18 MILLION. THEY STARTED WITH A TARGET OF $15 BILLION SO IT WAS OUTSIZED OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY YESTERDAY. IT TRACKED A TOTAL OF ...

Investment Overview - NVIDIA plans to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, expecting to generate $35 billion in annual revenue from this partnership[3] - Each 1 Gigawatt (GW) of data center (DC) deployment corresponds to approximately $50 billion investment and is projected to yield around $35 billion in NVIDIA content[3] Financial Projections - Revenue for CY26 has been revised up by 12% to $324 billion, reflecting the anticipated revenue from the OpenAI partnership[3] - Estimated earnings per share (EPS) for CY25 and CY26 are projected to be $4.9 and $7.5 respectively, leading to a target price of $225 based on a 30x price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2026[3] Revenue and Profit Growth - FY24A revenue is reported at $130.5 billion, with a year-over-year (YoY) growth of 114%[4] - FY25A revenue is projected at $217.2 billion, with a YoY growth of 66%[4] - FY26E revenue is expected to reach $324.1 billion, reflecting a 49% YoY growth[4] Profitability Metrics - Net income for FY24A is $74.2 billion, with a YoY growth of 130%[4] - FY25A net income is estimated at $120.2 billion, with a YoY growth of 62%[4] - FY26E net income is projected to be $183.1 billion, corresponding to a 52% YoY growth[4] Risk Factors - Potential risks include lower-than-expected AI demand, supply chain disruptions, and geopolitical uncertainties[4]

Core Insights - The article introduces Joseph Montezuma as a new contributing analyst for Seeking Alpha, encouraging others to share investment ideas for publication [1] Group 1 - The finance student at St. John's University is pursuing a Bachelor's degree in Finance and aims to earn a CFA certification, focusing on becoming an equity analyst in tech and semiconductors [2] - The research emphasizes identifying undervalued companies with strong competitive advantages, delivering data-driven ideas linked to long-term fundamentals [2] - The analyst has been studying markets since the age of 18, building a foundation in equity research and financial modeling, analyzing company fundamentals, insurance dynamics, and macroeconomic factors [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an Overweight (O/W) rating for Taiwan, Neutral/Weight (N/W) for Korea, and moves Japan to Neutral/Weight from Underweight (U/W), while China is rated Underweight (U/W) from Neutral/Weight [4]. Core Insights - The smartphone industry unit Sell In forecasts have been raised to +3% YoY for 2025 and +1% YoY for 2026, with PC forecasts increased to +4% YoY for 2025 and +3% YoY for 2026, and server forecasts to +6% YoY for 2025 and +4% YoY for 2026 [1][9]. - AI demand remains robust, with expectations for Nvidia's GB200/300 NVL72 racks in 2025 at 28-29k and initial conservative estimates for 2026 at around 50-60k [1]. - The foundry outlook for 3nm and 2nm is strong, driven by AI accelerator projects, while DDR and NAND supply is tightening, with DDR potentially "sold out" until 2027 [2]. - Wafer Fab Equipment (WFE) spending is trending upwards, with forecasts for 2025 at US$109 billion (+12% YoY) and 2026 at US$118 billion (+8% YoY) [3]. Summary by Sections Smartphones - The smartphone market is expected to see unit Sell In of 1.26 billion in 2025 (+3% YoY) and 1.27 billion in 2026 (+1% YoY), with Apple’s iPhone 17 builds projected to increase [9][11]. - Component upgrades in the iPhone 17 series include significant camera enhancements, indicating ongoing technological advancements despite cost pressures [12]. PCs - Global PC unit shipments are forecasted to grow by +4.4% YoY in 2025 and +3.4% YoY in 2026, with commercial segments showing resilient momentum due to the Windows 10 EOL replacement cycle [16][19]. - The report highlights a modestly positive outlook for PC shipments, with consumer PCs expected to grow 0.5% YoY in 2025, while commercial PCs are forecasted to grow by +6.6% YoY [19]. Memory and Foundry - The report indicates a tightening supply for DDR and NAND, with long-term agreements being established by major customers, particularly US hyperscalers [2]. - The outlook for 3nm and 2nm foundries is robust, with expectations for multi-year growth driven by AI projects [2]. Wafer Fab Equipment - WFE spending is expected to increase, particularly from Korean memory makers, with forecasts for domestic China WFE at US$37 billion in 2025 (+3% YoY) [3].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: The conference call primarily discusses the **AI Semiconductor** industry within the **Asia Pacific** region, particularly focusing on the **Taiwan/China AI supply chain** [1][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Demand Drivers**: The demand for AI semiconductors is significantly driven by **Generative AI** applications [5]. - **Growth Limitations**: Key limitations affecting growth include: - **Budget constraints** - **Energy availability**, particularly in the US - **Chip capacity issues** in China - **Regulatory challenges** [5]. - **Semiconductor Solutions**: Various technological advancements are highlighted, including: - **Moore's Law** for chip scaling - **CoWoS/SoIC** (Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate) - **High Bandwidth Memory (HBM)** - **Chiplet Packaging Options (CPO)** - **Custom chips** and **GaN HVDC 800V** technology [5][16]. - **Market Growth Projections**: The global semiconductor market is projected to reach **US$1 trillion**, with AI semiconductors being the primary growth driver, expected to account for approximately **34% of TSMC's revenue by 2027** [26][30]. - **Capital Expenditure (Capex)**: The top six companies in the AI semiconductor space are forecasted to increase their capex by **62% year-over-year**, reaching **Rmb373 billion** [40][41]. Additional Important Insights - **AI Tokens and Cloud Capex**: Monthly tokens processed are expected to justify an additional **US$3-4 trillion** in AI capital expenditures over the remainder of the decade [23][25]. - **Competitive Landscape**: The competition among major players like **TSMC**, **Intel**, and **Samsung** is highlighted, with a focus on logic density comparisons and foundry process roadmaps [44][46]. - **AI Infrastructure in China**: The call discusses the development of AI infrastructure in China, emphasizing the growth of **hyperscaler capex spending** and the demand for data centers [56][58]. - **AI Applications**: The call outlines various **2C and 2B AI applications** in China, detailing the major players and their unique features [61][73]. Conclusion The conference call provides a comprehensive overview of the AI semiconductor industry, highlighting growth drivers, technological advancements, and competitive dynamics. The insights presented indicate a robust growth trajectory for AI semiconductors, driven by increasing demand and significant capital investments.

TSMC, the world's leading semiconductor manufacturer, has unveiled a groundbreaking initiative leveraging artificial intelligence to design next-generation chips that are up to ten times more energy e... ...