| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002227 | 奥特迅 | 9.68 | -10.04% | 1.39万 | 1347.65万 | | 688411 | 海道屋與 | 224.66 | -5.81% | 6.72万 | 15.66 Z | | 301590 | 优优绿能 | 198.98 | -5.58% | 8540.97 | 1.72亿 | | 002364 | 中恒电气 | 29.76 | -5.22% | 1 26.73万 | 8.19亿 | | 002630 | ST华西 | 2.23 | -5.11% | 7.67万 | 1710.08万 | | 002851 | 麦格米特 | 120.99 | -4.87% | 17.82万 | 22.10亿 | | 300153 | 科泰电源 | 32.32 | -3.46% | 12.68万 | 4.19亿 | | 300491 | 通合科技 | 26.57 | -3.14% | 7.09万 | 1.92亿 | | 30087 ...

证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2026-02-02 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观点评 20260129：1 月 FOMC：平安夜——2026 年 1 月 FOMC 会议 点评 核心观点：1 月美联储 FOMC 会议以 10-2 投票维持利率水平不变，发布 会上 Powell 回避了所有的政治问题，其守口如瓶的行为弱化了市场对美 联储独立性的交易。由于此前市场已充分定价到 4 月累计降息概率仅 30%，因此决议与发布会上的利率指引并未显著冲击市场，而 Waller 投 票 25bps 降息的动作被市场视为鸽派信号，最终强化宽货币交易。向前 看，本月底仍需关注 Miran 理事到期后的去留和政府停摆问题，2 月上旬 需关注 1 月非农和 CPI 数据是否超预期让 3-4 月降息彻底落空、以及特 朗普是否提名美联储新主席，上述问题是未来商品涨跌的关键。 固收金工 [Table_FixedGain] 固收深度报告 20260128：分子与分母的拉锯战：债市波动中不同权益板 块的应对逻辑 [Table_Tag] 宏观策略 "股债跷跷板"并非一个稳定、普适的规律，其实质是股票与债券 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to experience an inflection point in its performance, particularly with the launch of its HVDC business [7] - The company anticipates a decline in net profit for 2025, with estimates ranging from 1.03 to 1.45 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 60% to 43% [7] - The establishment of the HVDC subsidiary marks the beginning of a second growth curve for the company, with expectations for product launches in early 2026 [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to decline from 1,497 million yuan in 2024 to 1,114 million yuan in 2025, before recovering to 1,487 million yuan in 2026 and reaching 2,313 million yuan by 2027 [1][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to decrease from 256 million yuan in 2024 to 129 million yuan in 2025, with a recovery to 233 million yuan in 2026 and 456 million yuan in 2027 [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to drop to 3.07 yuan in 2025, before increasing to 5.54 yuan in 2026 and 10.85 yuan in 2027 [1][8] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 210.75 yuan, with a market capitalization of 8,862.70 million yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 68.74 for 2025, decreasing to 19.42 by 2027 [1][8]

Market Overview - The other power equipment sector experienced a decline of 0.37% on January 30, with Aotexun leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1] Stock Performance - Hailansi Chuang (688411) saw a significant increase of 9.10%, closing at 238.52 with a trading volume of 79,800 shares and a transaction value of 1.866 billion [1] - Youyou Green Energy (301590) rose by 3.44%, closing at 210.75 with a trading volume of 10,900 shares and a transaction value of 225 million [1] - Aotexun (002227) led the declines with a drop of 9.96%, closing at 10.76 with a trading volume of 19,300 shares and a transaction value of 20.742 million [2] Capital Flow - The other power equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 1.132 billion in main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.053 billion [2] - The table of capital flow indicates that major funds had a negative net flow in several companies, including Aotexun and Kewell [3] Individual Stock Insights - Kewell (688551) had a minor net outflow of 158.16 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 204.74 million [3] - Gold Time Technology (002951) showed a net inflow of 397.03 million from retail investors, despite a negative net flow from main funds [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to face a performance inflection point with the launch of its HVDC business, which is anticipated to drive significant growth [7] - The company’s 2025 performance is projected to see a decline in net profit, with estimates ranging from 1.03 to 1.45 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 60% to 43% [7] - The establishment of a subsidiary focused on HVDC technology marks the beginning of a new growth phase for the company, with expectations for product launches in early 2026 [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is forecasted to decline to 1,114 million yuan in 2025, a decrease of 25.59% year-on-year, before rebounding to 1,487 million yuan in 2026 and 2,313 million yuan in 2027 [1][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to drop to 128.93 million yuan in 2025, a decline of 49.64%, but is projected to recover to 232.90 million yuan in 2026 and 456.31 million yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 80.64% and 95.92% respectively [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is anticipated to be 3.07 yuan in 2025, with a significant increase to 10.85 yuan by 2027 [1][8] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is reported at 210.75 yuan, with a market capitalization of 8,862.70 million yuan [5] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 68.74 for 2025, which is expected to decrease to 19.42 by 2027, indicating a potential for value appreciation as the HVDC business matures [1][8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Youyou Green Energy's stock has increased by 5.6%, reaching 215.16 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 158 million CNY and a turnover rate of 9.08%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 9.048 billion CNY [1] - Youyou Green Energy, established on August 20, 2015, is located in the Guangming District of Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, and specializes in the research, production, and sales of core components for DC charging equipment for new energy vehicles, with 96.15% of its revenue coming from charging modules [1] Group 2 - According to data from the top ten circulating shareholders of Youyou Green Energy, a fund under GF Fund, the GF New Energy Selected Stock A (015904), has entered the top ten shareholders, holding 74,600 shares, which accounts for 0.91% of the circulating shares, with an estimated floating profit of approximately 851,200 CNY [2] - The GF New Energy Selected Stock A (015904) was established on November 29, 2022, with a current scale of 609 million CNY, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 7.59%, ranking 2137 out of 5557 in its category, and a one-year return of 50.83%, ranking 1368 out of 4285 [2] Group 3 - The fund managers of GF New Energy Selected Stock A (015904) are Zheng Chengran and Mao Kun, with Zheng having a cumulative tenure of 5 years and 257 days and a total fund asset size of 14.168 billion CNY, achieving a best return of 82.68% and a worst return of -48.12% during his tenure [3] - Mao has a cumulative tenure of 2 years and 254 days, managing a fund asset size of 1.408 billion CNY, with a best return of 53.09% and a worst return of 50.67% during his tenure [3]

格隆汇1月29日丨优优绿能(301590.SZ)公布，预计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净利润10,300万 元-14,500万元，比上年同期下降43.37%—59.77%，扣除非经常性损益后的净利润8,850万元-13,000万 元，比上年同期下降46.89%—63.84%。 受国内行业竞争加剧以及海外区域政策调整的影响较大。内销方面，2025 年充电模块销量较上年同期 实现增长，但主要产品的售价在报告期内逐步下降，导致部分产品毛利率较上年同期下降幅度较大；海 外市场因欧美经济环境及区域政策调整导致需求减少，公司外销同比下降幅度较大。 ...

其三，报告期内，优优绿能持续引入关键研发人员，加大研发投入，研发费用较上年同期有所增长。 其二，报告期内，优优绿能内销业务占比提升，叠加国内行业竞争加剧，客户回款周期有所延长，2025 年度计提的信用减值损失较上年同期增长较大。对此，公司将加强信用管控和加大催收力度，目前正在 通过多种途径进行应收账款管理，力争将应收账款余额和账期控制在合理水平。 其四，优优绿能非经常性损益对公司净利润的影响金额约为1400万元至1500万元，主要系现金管理取得 的投资收益以及获得的政府补助影响所致。 北京商报讯（记者 马换换 李佳雪）1月29日晚间，优优绿能（301590）披露2025年业绩预告显示，公司 预计全年实现归属净利润1.03亿—1.45亿元，同比下降43.37%—59.77%。 对于业绩变动的原因，优优绿能给出了四点解释，其一，受国内行业竞争加剧以及海外区域政策调整的 影响较大。内销方面，2025年充电模块销量较上年同期实现增长，但主要产品的售价在报告期内逐步下 降，导致部分产品毛利率较上年同期下降幅度较大；海外市场因欧美经济环境及区域政策调整导致需求 减少，公司外销同比下降幅度较大。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Youyou Green Energy (301590.SZ), has disclosed its earnings forecast for the year 2025, indicating a significant decline in net profit attributed to shareholders, with expectations of a decrease between 43.37% and 59.77% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders is estimated to be between 103 million yuan and 145 million yuan [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to range from 88.5 million yuan to 130 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 46.89% to 63.84% [1]

Group 1 - The company, Youyou Green Energy (301590.SZ), has disclosed its performance forecast for the year 2025, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 103 million yuan and 145 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 43.37% to 59.77% [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 88.5 million yuan and 130 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year decrease of 46.89% to 63.84% [1]