医疗器械 渠道积淀筑底，自研驱动与战略拓展打开成长空间 可孚医疗（301087.SZ） 证券研究报告/公司深度报告 2026 年 02 月 11 日 | 评级： | 买入（首次） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | | 营业收入（百万元） | 2,854 | 2,983 | 3,384 | 4,098 | 5,100 | | 分析师：祝嘉琦 | | 增长率 yoy% | -4% | 5% | 13% | 21% | 24% | | 执业证书编号：S0740519040001 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 254 | 312 | 359 | 436 | 551 | | Email：zhujq@zts.com.cn | | 增长率 yoy% | -16% | 23% | 15% | 22% | 26% | | | | 每股收益（元） | 1.22 | 1.49 | 1.72 | 2.09 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Kefu Medical (301087) has shown a positive performance with a closing price of 55.2 yuan, reflecting a 1.28% increase as of February 10, 2026, with significant trading activity and a notable net inflow of funds [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Kefu Medical reported a main revenue of 2.398 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.63% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 260 million yuan, up 3.3% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 222 million yuan, reflecting a 1.46% increase [2] - In Q3 2025 alone, the company achieved a quarterly revenue of 902 million yuan, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 30.72% [2] - The quarterly net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 92.83 million yuan, which is a 38.68% increase year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was about 85.80 million yuan, up 62.68% [2] - The company's debt ratio stands at 27.37%, with investment income of 18.18 million yuan and financial expenses of -3.77 million yuan, while maintaining a gross profit margin of 53.35% [2] Market Activity - On February 10, 2026, the stock experienced a trading volume of 25,100 hands and a total transaction amount of 139 million yuan [1] - The net inflow of main funds was 10.61 million yuan, accounting for 7.65% of the total transaction amount, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 8.20 million yuan, representing 5.91% of the total [1]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from Kewei Medical indicates that the total guarantees provided by the company amount to RMB 43,307.47 million, which represents 9.03% of the company's most recent audited net assets attributable to shareholders [2] Group 1 - The total amount of guarantees provided by the company is RMB 43,307.47 million [2] - The guarantees are exclusively for the company's wholly-owned subsidiaries [2] - There are no overdue external guarantees, no litigation related to external guarantees, and no losses incurred from guarantees resulting in adverse judgments [2]

证券代码：301087 证券简称：可孚医疗 公告编号：2026-014 可孚医疗科技股份有限公司 关于为子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、担保情况概述 可孚医疗科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"可孚医疗"）于 2025 年 4 月 25 日召开第二届董事会第十四次会议、第二届监事会第十四次会议，审 议通过了《关于公司及子公司向银行申请综合授信及公司为子公司提供担保的议 案》，根据公司发展计划，为满足公司日常经营及业务结算的需要，提高资金使 用效率，公司及子公司拟向银行申请不超过人民币 13 亿元的综合授信额度，综 合授信品种包括但不限于：流动资金贷款、中长期借款、银行承兑汇票、保函、 信用证、抵押贷款等。在授信有效期限内，授信额度可循环使用。公司为全资子 公司申请的银行授信额度内的融资提供担保，担保总额不高于人民币 9 亿元。该 事项自董事会通过之日起十二个月内有效，董事会授权公司法定代表人或法定代 表人指定的授权代理人根据实际经营情况需要，在总额度内办理公司及子公司的 融资和担保事宜，具体内容详见公司刊登于巨潮 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance and financial metrics of Kefu Medical (301087) as of February 9, 2026, with a closing price of 54.5 yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 0.06% [1] - Kefu Medical's main business includes the research, production, sales, and service of home medical devices [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, Kefu Medical reported a main revenue of 2.398 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.63%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 260 million yuan, up 3.3% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - In the third quarter of 2025, Kefu Medical achieved a single-quarter main revenue of 902 million yuan, representing a significant year-on-year increase of 30.72%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 92.83 million yuan, up 38.68% year-on-year [1] - The company’s financial metrics include a debt ratio of 27.37%, investment income of 18.18 million yuan, financial expenses of -3.77 million yuan, and a gross profit margin of 53.35% [1] - Over the past 90 days, five institutions have provided ratings for the stock, with four buy ratings and one hold rating, and the average target price set at 54.92 yuan [2]

来源：新浪基金 开源证券指出，中国创新药正经历从"规模积累"走向"价值释放"的国际化跨越，并持续迎来从"管线预 期"转向"业绩兑现"的商业化收获期。创新药板块已回调近两个季度，长期看，较多优质标的估值性价 比明显，当前位置建议加大关注。* 再来看港股通医疗板块表现，AI医疗、脑机接口概念股较为活跃，大权重领衔涨势，京东健康、阿里 健康、平安好医生齐涨3%左右，港股通医疗ETF华宝（159137）日线五连阳。 目前AI医疗在C端的渗透正在加速，从智能问诊到慢病管理的应用场景不断拓展，推动阿里健康、京东 健康等港股互联网医疗平台价值重估。 中信建投证券指出，港股器械整体创新属性较强，部分企业的创新产品具有license-out或被并购的可 能。基本面维度，行业内部多数公司经营业绩持续改善，低估值投资价值凸显。事件方面，预计迈瑞医 疗、可孚医疗今年将在港股上市，港股医疗器械板块效应和投资机会或将增多。* 2月9日，港股市场全面反弹，港股医药板块延续修复行情。 信达生物拿下88.5亿美元BD大单，无意外全天领涨，最高涨至8.55%，收涨7.42%，龙头股大受提振， 百济神州涨超3%，石药集团、中国生物制药、三生制药集 ...

2月9日，港股市场全面反弹，港股医药板块延续修复行情。 信达生物拿下88.5亿美元BD大单，无意外全天领涨，最高涨至8.55%，收涨7.42%，龙头股大受提振， 百济神州涨超3%，石药集团、中国生物制药、三生制药集体跟涨。 100%创新药研发标的——港股通创新药ETF（520880）高开后上探2.75%，收涨1.77%成功连阳，一并 站上10日均线，全天成交3.81亿元。 2月8日晚，信达生物公告，公司与礼来制药达成战略合作，携手推进肿瘤及免疫领域创新药物的全球研 发进程。信达将获3.5亿美元首付款，最高可获85亿美元里程碑付款及大中华区以外净销售额梯度分 成。 2025年中国创新药License-out总交易规模达到创纪录的1357亿美元，2026年开年以来重磅合作频出，除 信达外，1月份石药-阿斯利康（185亿美元）、荣昌-艾伯维（56亿美元）两笔超级BD均充分验证国产 创新药管线的全球价值。 开源证券指出，中国创新药正经历从"规模积累"走向"价值释放"的国际化跨越，并持续迎来从"管线预 期"转向"业绩兑现"的商业化收获期。创新药板块已回调近两个季度，长期看，较多优质标的估值性价 比明显，当前位置建议加大 ...

Group 1: US Pharmaceutical Earnings Season - Eli Lilly reported Q4 revenue of $19.3 billion, a 43% year-over-year increase, with non-GAAP EPS of $7.54, up 42%. The weight loss drug Zepbound has surpassed Novo Nordisk's Wegovy in prescriptions, and the 2026 revenue guidance is set at $80-83 billion, exceeding market expectations with a projected growth of 27% [1][10]. - Novo Nordisk's sales for semaglutide (Ozempic/Wegovy) are expected to reach $34.608 billion in 2025, accounting for 73.9% of total revenue. In China, Ozempic's sales are approximately ¥5.932 billion, while Wegovy's are about ¥874 million. The oral version of Wegovy is set to launch in the US on January 5, 2026, with around 50,000 prescriptions within the first month [2][10]. - Merck's Keytruda achieved annual sales of $31.68 billion, a 7% increase, nearing 50% of total revenue. The new pulmonary hypertension drug Winrevair generated $1.443 billion in sales, more than tripling from 2024 [4][10]. - Johnson & Johnson's Q4 revenue was $24.56 billion, exceeding expectations, with a 10% increase in the innovative pharmaceuticals segment. The 2026 revenue guidance is set at $99.5-100.5 billion, also above expectations [6][10]. - Pfizer's Q4 revenue was $17.6 billion, with a 9% increase excluding COVID products. The 2026 revenue guidance is conservative at $59.5-62.5 billion, reflecting declines in COVID product sales and patent expirations [7][10]. - Sanofi's Q4 earnings exceeded expectations, with record sales of Dupixent reaching €4.246 billion, a 32.2% year-over-year increase [8][10]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Insights - The current earnings season indicates that in the innovative-driven pharmaceutical industry, there are no eternal leaders, only continuous evolution [9][10]. - The competition in the GLP-1 drug market has intensified, with Eli Lilly's tirzepatide overtaking Novo Nordisk's semaglutide, marking a new phase in the industry [10]. - The slowdown in sales growth for Merck's Keytruda, despite record sales, highlights the need for new products and acquisitions to navigate the post-Keytruda era [10]. - The focus of competition is shifting from injectable to oral formulations, as seen with Novo Nordisk's oral Wegovy and Eli Lilly's multi-target drug Retatrutide, to build product moats [10]. - Price competition and pipeline iteration will be key observation points, with the impact of US drug pricing legislation becoming evident and the onset of a "price war" among GLP-1 drugs [10]. Group 3: Hong Kong Pharmaceutical Sector Opportunities - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector has seen significant changes, with innovation drugs remaining the strongest growth engine, shifting from "signing" to "realization" of value [11][12]. - The medical device sector is experiencing a "double recovery" opportunity as the impact of centralized procurement policies diminishes, leading to performance and valuation recovery [13][14]. - The Chinese traditional medicine sector is active, driven by favorable policies, but there is a "temperature difference" between policy drivers and fundamental performance, necessitating careful selection of stocks [17][19]. Group 4: ETF Configuration and Strategy - Valuations in the Hong Kong medical sector remain attractive, with the latest PE ratio at 30.77x, still low compared to the past five years [18][19]. - Macro liquidity conditions are favorable, with expectations of RMB appreciation and stable HKD attracting funds to Hong Kong stocks [18][19]. - The upcoming National People's Congress in March will clarify annual growth targets and industry policy priorities, serving as a critical point for risk appetite re-evaluation [18][19].

Industry Overview - The ear thermometer is a non-contact temperature measurement tool that offers advantages such as accuracy, speed, convenience, safety, and resistance to external environmental interference, making it suitable for various applications in healthcare, industry, schools, homes, and public places [1][12] - The market demand for ear thermometers has been steadily increasing, particularly influenced by heightened public health awareness and advancements in medical detection technology [1][12] - In 2020, the domestic ear thermometer market size exceeded 600 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.31%, highlighting its critical role in public health emergency systems [1][12] - The market size for the ear thermometer industry in China is projected to reach 830 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 6.41%, and approximately 900 million yuan in 2025 [1][12] Industry Development History - The ear thermometer industry traces back to the 1980s, gaining momentum in the 1990s due to rising household demand for medical devices [7] - The 21st century has seen unprecedented growth in the ear thermometer industry, driven by continuous innovation in medical technology and increased public health awareness [7] Industry Chain - The ear thermometer industry chain consists of upstream raw materials and components, including metals, plastics, infrared sensors, chips, displays, batteries, and microcontrollers [8] - The midstream involves the production and manufacturing of ear thermometers, while the downstream encompasses sales channels such as medical device specialty stores, large chain pharmacies, e-commerce platforms, and supermarkets [8] Market Competition - The competition in the ear thermometer industry features both domestic and international brands, with foreign companies holding significant market positions due to their established technology and brand advantages [13] - Notable domestic companies include Yuyue Medical, Jiuan Medical, and Kefu Medical, which are rapidly developing through product innovation and channel expansion [13] Key Companies - Yuyue Medical Equipment Co., Ltd. focuses on providing home medical devices and clinical products, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from home health monitoring solutions [13] - Kefu Medical Technology Co., Ltd. specializes in medical device research, production, and sales, with a diverse product line covering health monitoring and rehabilitation [14] Future Trends - The ear thermometer is expected to evolve into a personal health management terminal that integrates health data monitoring and intelligent analysis, enhancing its role in chronic disease management and early epidemic screening [15] - Continuous improvements in measurement accuracy will focus on overcoming complexities in deep ear canal measurements through multi-sensor fusion technology and adaptive calibration algorithms [16] - The industry is anticipated to shift towards data and service-oriented ecological integration, establishing new standards for measurement accuracy and data privacy, which will enhance the reliability of temperature data for remote healthcare and public health monitoring [18]

证券之星消息，截至2026年2月6日收盘，可孚医疗(301087)报收于54.47元，上涨0.15%，换手率 1.51%，成交量2.94万手，成交额1.6亿元。 可孚医疗2025年三季报显示，前三季度公司主营收入23.98亿元，同比上升6.63%；归母净利润2.6亿 元，同比上升3.3%；扣非净利润2.22亿元，同比上升1.46%；其中2025年第三季度，公司单季度主营收 入9.02亿元，同比上升30.72%；单季度归母净利润9282.98万元，同比上升38.68%；单季度扣非净利润 8580.27万元，同比上升62.68%；负债率27.37%，投资收益1818.06万元，财务费用-377.36万元，毛利率 53.35%。可孚医疗（301087）主营业务：家用医疗器械的研发、生产、销售和服务。 该股最近90天内共有5家机构给出评级，买入评级4家，增持评级1家；过去90天内机构目标均价为 54.92。 资金流向名词解释：指通过价格变化反推资金流向。股价处于上升状态时主动性买单形成的成交额是推 动股价上涨的力量，这部分成交额被定义为资金流入，股价处于下跌状态时主动性卖单产生的的成交额 是推动股价下跌的力量，这部分 ...