Core Viewpoint - Cantor Fitzgerald has upgraded Tesla from Neutral to Overweight, maintaining a price target of $425 following a visit to Tesla's Austin Gigafactory and AI data centers [1] Group 1: Investment Outlook - Tesla shares have declined approximately 45% year-to-date, presenting an attractive entry point ahead of key catalysts such as the introduction of the Robotaxi segment, Full Self-Driving rollout, a lower-priced vehicle, Optimus bot production, and the Tesla Semi [2][3] - The introduction of the Robotaxi segment is expected in June, with Full Self-Driving rollout in China already underway and anticipated in Europe in the first half of the year [3] - A lower-priced vehicle around $30,000, including tax credits, is expected to be introduced in the first half of 2025 [3] Group 2: Production and Revenue Expectations - High-volume production of the Optimus bot is expected in 2026, with initial deliveries in the first half of that year [4] - Production of the Tesla Semi is anticipated to start in the second half of 2025 or 2026, which is expected to positively impact Tesla's stock [4] - Future revenue growth is expected from Full Self-Driving, Robotaxi, Energy Storage & Deployment, and Optimus Bots, which are fundamental to Tesla's long-term thesis [5] Group 3: Near-term Challenges - Despite the bullish outlook, some near-term softness is anticipated, with a "mild" first quarter expected due to lower demand in Europe, increased competition in China, and negative sentiment surrounding CEO Elon Musk [6] - Growth in Tesla's automotive business may be partially offset by tariffs and the potential removal of the EV tax credit [7] Group 4: Delivery and Revenue Estimates - Cantor Fitzgerald has revised its full-year 2025 delivery estimates from approximately 2 million to 1.9 million and 2026 estimates from approximately 2.39 million to 2.33 million [8] - Full-year 2025 revenue estimates have been cut from $115.7 billion to $107.4 billion, and 2026 revenue estimates from $148.3 billion to $141 billion [8] Group 5: Upcoming Earnings Report - Tesla is not scheduled to report quarterly results until late April, with consensus estimates currently predicting earnings of 53 cents per share and revenue of $24.52 billion [9]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: Tesla Inc (TSLA) - **Industry**: Autos & Shared Mobility Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Investor Sentiment**: Tesla shares are experiencing significant pressure, with reported sales declines in key regions of over 50%. This low investor sentiment presents a potential buying opportunity as the market may begin to recognize the importance of Tesla's advancements in AI-enabled autonomy and robotics [3][11] 2. **Valuation of Humanoid Robots**: The estimated net present value (NPV) of a humanoid robot in the U.S. is approximately $200,000. A 1% substitution of the U.S. labor pool (160 million people) could equate to a market value of $320 billion, translating to an increase of about $100 per Tesla share [4] 3. **Increased Investment in Robotics**: Major companies like Meta, OpenAI, and X-Peng are significantly investing in robotics, with X-Peng committing $15 billion over several years. Alphabet's DeepMind is enhancing robotic capabilities, and Amazon is deploying AI-enabled robotics to improve efficiency [5] 4. **Performance of Humanoid 100 Index**: The Morgan Stanley Humanoid 100 index has increased by 14% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 has decreased by 5%. Notably, Tesla is among the underperformers in this index, with a year-to-date decline of 39% [10][12] 5. **Future Growth Potential**: Tesla's capabilities in physical AI, including autonomous vehicles and humanoid robotics, are expected to offer growth and margin opportunities that surpass those of the traditional EV business, which is currently under pressure [11] Additional Important Information - **Price Target and Stock Rating**: Tesla is rated as "Overweight" with a price target of $430, indicating a significant upside potential from the current price of $240.68 [7][11] - **Market Capitalization**: Tesla's current market capitalization is approximately $850.83 billion [7] - **Risks**: Potential risks include competition from legacy OEMs and Chinese players, execution risks related to factory ramp-ups, and market recognition of Tesla's future business opportunities [20] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and data points from the conference call, highlighting Tesla's current challenges and future opportunities within the evolving landscape of robotics and AI.

President Donald Trump recently announced he was purchasing a red Tesla Model S vehicle from Tesla Inc TSLA during a White House event.The purchase was made to help Tesla CEO Elon Musk and drew plenty of attention to the car company, but Benzinga readers are torn about whether the event made them more or less likely to purchase a vehicle from the electric vehicle company.What Happened: Trump's purchase of the Model S may have led to a spike in interest on Google searches for Tesla, but people aren’t rushing ...

Renowned trader and chartist Larry Williams believes the market is ready to rally after falling into correction territory last week — and he has a few ways to play it.What To Know: The S&P 500 officially closed in correction territory on Thursday, representing the fastest market correction decline since March 2020. Everyone wants to know what’s going to happen next and Williams believes he has answers.In a YouTube video posted by StockCharts TV on Saturday, Williams explained that he sees a rally ahead beca ...

An electric vehicle and autonomous vehicle analyst sees the ramp-up and near-term deployments as the key catalysts for the sectors.What Happened: Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney met with several companies in the sectors and shares takeaways in a new investor note, with robotaxis one of the key areas of focus.Among the public companies covered in the report are Tesla Inc TSLA, Rivian Automotive RIVN and Aurora Innovation AUR."Several companies we spoke to are focused on near-term deployments and/or ramps, ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Tesla Inc, with an industry view of "In-Line" [4][67]. Core Insights - The survey results indicate that 85% of respondents believe Elon Musk's political activities negatively impact Tesla's business fundamentals [6]. - A significant 59% of respondents expect Tesla's FY25 deliveries to decline year-over-year, contrasting sharply with previous bullish sentiments [6]. - Despite the negative outlook, investor sentiment is relatively mixed regarding Tesla's stock performance by year-end, with 45% expecting the stock to rise and 36% expecting it to fall [6]. Summary by Sections Investor Survey Results - The survey collected 245 responses, revealing that 40% of investors view Musk's political activities as insignificant, while 3% see them as positive [3][6]. - Expectations for Tesla's auto delivery growth in 2025 show that 38% anticipate a decline of 10% or less year-over-year, while only 4% expect growth of more than 10% [8]. Valuation - Tesla's current valuation stands at 19x FY30 PE and approximately 10x EV/EBITDA for FY30, indicating a favorable risk-reward profile [6]. - The price target for Tesla is set at $430, with the stock closing at $230.58 on March 11, 2025 [4][6]. Market Sentiment - The report highlights a stark contrast in sentiment compared to earlier bullish outlooks, with a notable shift in expectations regarding Tesla's growth trajectory [6]. - The survey results suggest a cautious approach among investors, reflecting concerns over delivery forecasts and external factors impacting the company's performance [6].

Group 1: Industry Overview - Automobile manufacturers are in the spotlight following President Trump's announcement of tariffs against Canada and Mexico, with a temporary postponement of these tariffs impacting the industry [1] - Tesla Inc is the largest automobile manufacturer by market capitalization, but its stock has seen a significant decline of over 50% after reaching all-time highs in December 2024 [1] Group 2: Tesla's Performance - Despite a recent decline, Tesla maintains a strong momentum relative to peers, ranking in the 82nd percentile for momentum, 14th for value, and 55th for growth according to Benzinga Edge [2] - Tesla's stock is still up over 29% in the past year, indicating some resilience despite short-term performance issues [2] Group 3: Comparative Valuation - Tesla's high valuation is evident, trading at 109 times earnings and 207 times free cash flows, which contributes to its lagging value rating [3] - In contrast, Ford Motor Co ranks in the 91st percentile for perceived value, trading at 6.82 times earnings, suggesting it may be a deep value play [3] - General Motors is highlighted as a potential hidden gem, performing well in value and momentum, with its stock up 22% in the past year [4]

Few stocks have been as divisive in recent months as Tesla Inc NASDAQ: TSLA. After surging to an all-time high in December on the back of CEO Elon Musk’s closeness with President Trump and renewed optimism around its longer-term growth prospects, shares have since crashed, shedding 55% in just three months. Tesla is now back to 2020 price levels, erasing years of gains despite still being dominant in the EV market. The company’s most recent earnings report at the end of January did little to restore investo ...

Core Insights - Tesla Inc has faced a setback with a $5 million contract for electric vehicles with Baltimore being paused, allowing a rival to take over the deal [1][2][3] - The city of Baltimore has decided to explore options with other automakers, specifically General Motors and Ford, indicating a shift in preference away from Tesla [3][4] - The political landscape, including Tesla CEO Elon Musk's support for Donald Trump, may have influenced the city's decision, although it is not confirmed as a political move [4][6][7] Summary by Sections Contract Details - The $5 million contract with Baltimore was paused in September, with no Tesla units ordered or included in the city's fleet [2][3] - The contract was intended to run until 2027, but the city is now considering Ford's Mustang Mach-E, which was the vehicle Tesla was set to replace [3] Political Context - The political dynamics in Maryland, where Kamala Harris won by a significant margin, may play a role in the city's decision to pivot away from Tesla [5][6] - The timing of the contract pause coincided with Musk's increased political activity supporting Trump, raising questions about potential political motivations behind the city's choice [6][7] Market Impact - Following the news, Tesla's stock dropped 15.43% to $222.15, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 41.4% in 2025 and a 25% increase over the last year [7] - Tesla's stock is currently trading below its value at the time of Trump's election victory, indicating a potential loss of investor confidence [8]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock is experiencing significant volatility, with concerns over deliveries and ongoing protests against CEO Elon Musk contributing to a decline in stock value [1][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Tesla stock dropped 15.4% to $222.15, with a year-to-date decline of 41.4% in 2025 and a 25% increase over the last year [7]. - The stock is now trading below its value when Trump won the 2024 election, having closed at $251.44 on November 5 and opened at $284.67 on November 6 [7]. - Tesla's stock is down over 50% from its all-time highs set in December [7]. Group 2: Market Valuation Concerns - Swedish hedge fund manager Christer Gardell believes Tesla stock could decline by as much as 95%, citing it as potentially the most expensive stock globally [2][3]. - Gardell describes Tesla as being in an "eternal bubble" and questions the sustainability of its current valuation, which he finds incomprehensible [3][4]. - He notes that the U.S. stock market is overpriced, with American stocks trading at a significant premium compared to European stocks, which are at a 40% discount [4]. Group 3: Brand Value and Reputation - Tesla's brand value fell to $43 billion, ranking 36th in a Brand Finance survey, down from 18th place and $58.27 billion in 2024 [6]. - This decline in brand value is attributed to a lack of new vehicle releases and Musk's controversial public persona, which has negatively impacted Tesla's reputation and consumer consideration [6].