Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next six months [4][13]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in consumer expectations, driven by a comprehensive policy initiative aimed at boosting consumption across various sectors, including support for families, cultural tourism, and the promotion of new consumption patterns [2][3]. - The policy emphasizes enhancing consumer capacity through income support and improving the quality of supply to create effective demand, addressing key issues that restrict consumption [2]. Summary by Sections Policy Impact - The policy plan covers a wide range of areas, including support for families, cultural tourism, and the promotion of new consumption, which is expected to stimulate growth in various sub-sectors [2]. - Specific measures include increasing support for childcare, optimizing services for the elderly and children, and promoting the replacement of old consumer goods with new, environmentally friendly options [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for the home furnishing sector, particularly with the recovery of the second-hand housing market in first-tier cities and the anticipated impact of national subsidies [3]. - Key companies to watch include leading custom furniture brands such as Oppein Home, Sophia, and Zhihong Home, as well as soft furniture leaders like Mousse and Gujia Home [3]. - In the packaging sector, the report recommends focusing on 3C packaging leader Yutong Technology due to expected improvements in industry demand [3]. - The entertainment and personal care sectors are also highlighted, with recommendations for companies like Morning Glory and HaoYue Care, which are expected to benefit from demographic changes and a recovery in consumer sentiment [3]. High-Growth Areas - The report identifies high-growth segments such as new consumption-related IP, toys, smart glasses, and electronic cigarettes, recommending companies like Blukoo and Mingyue Lens [3]. - Continuous recommendations are made for dental care leader Dengkang Dental, which is positioned to benefit from high-value products and growth channels [3]. - The outdoor sports sector is also noted for its demand growth, with recommendations for companies like Zhejiang Nature and Anta Sports [3].

[Table_Au 分析师：thor]糜韩杰 SAC 执证号：S0260516020001 SFC CE No. BPH764 021-38003650 mihanjie@gf.com.cn 分析师： 曹倩雯 SAC 执证号：S0260520110002 021-38003621 caoqianwen@gf.com.cn 分析师： 左琴琴 SAC 执证号：S0260521050001 SFC CE No. BSE791 021-38003540 zuoqinqin@gf.com.cn 分析师： 李咏红 SAC 执证号：S0260523100001 021-38003542 liyonghong@gf.com.cn 分析师： 李悦瑜 SAC 执证号：S0260524120002 021-38003784 liyueyu@gf.com.cn -24% -15% -6% 2% 11% 20% 03/24 05/24 08/24 10/24 12/24 03/25 纺织服饰 沪深300 请注意，曹倩雯,李咏红,李悦瑜并非香港证券及期货事务 监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_Page] ...

周观点：关注景气改善的低位顺周期，继续 布局新消费及消费成长 [Table_Industry] 轻工制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 03 月 02 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 | [Table_StockAndRank] 轻工制造 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | [Table_Author] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮 箱： jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 骆峥 轻工制造行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525020001 邮 箱： Luozheng1@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 消费及消费成长 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 03 月 02 日 本期内容提要: [Table_S [造纸： Table_Summary 浆价连续上涨后或企稳，重视特种纸涨价 um ...

Group 1: Baijiu Industry - The current PE-TTM for the baijiu sector is 19.31 times, which is at the 6.18% percentile over the past decade, indicating significant safety margins [1] - High-end baijiu brands like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye are expected to maintain market share through "price protection and volume control" strategies, with projected net profit growth rates of 13.3% and 12.7% for 2024 respectively [1] - Regional leaders such as Shanxi Fenjiu and Jinshiyuan are benefiting from channel penetration and the recovery of banquet scenarios, with sales growth expected to exceed 30% during the 2025 Spring Festival [1] Group 2: Consumer Goods - The beer sector continues to see high-end trends, with Qingdao Beer achieving an ASP of 4200 yuan per thousand liters and Yanjing Beer having over 25% revenue contribution from its U8 flagship product [3] - Functional beverages like Dongpeng Beverage, which holds a 31% market share, are rapidly expanding into coffee and energy tea, with a projected revenue growth of 45% year-on-year by Q4 2024 [4] - Health drinks such as Xiangpiaopiao's zero-sugar freeze-dried fruit tea have seen online sales double, with a projected PE of only 20 times in 2025 [5] Group 3: Snacks and Prepared Foods - Online sales for snack brands like Three Squirrels have surged, with a 200% year-on-year increase in GMV through Douyin, while Yanjinpuzi's quail egg product has annual sales of 1 billion [7] - The prepared food sector is benefiting from B-end restaurant recovery and C-end penetration, with companies like Anjifood seeing 30% of their revenue from prepared foods after acquiring Frozen Food Mr. [8] Group 4: Seasoning and Baking Supply Chain - Leading seasoning brands like Haitian Flavoring have reduced channel inventory to 2.5 months, while Qianhe Flavoring has over 50% revenue from zero-additive soy sauce, benefiting from restaurant recovery and household consumption upgrades [10] - Yeast leader Angel Yeast is experiencing over 25% growth in overseas revenue due to capacity release and cost reductions [11] - Innovations in raw materials are seen in companies like Lihai Foods, which has a 60% year-on-year increase in cream revenue, and Huirong Technology, with 30% of its plant-based cream revenue coming from exports [12] Group 5: New Tea Beverage Supply Chain - The IPO of Mixue Ice City has a significant impact, with a frozen capital of 1.77 trillion HKD, benefiting related A-share companies in the supply chain [14] - Companies like Anjifood and Xianle Health are positioned as suppliers of jam and frozen fruits, while Yudong Technology and Hexing Packaging are focusing on eco-friendly solutions and cost advantages in packaging materials [15][16] - The global expansion plan of Mixue, with 46,000 stores, could lead to a 30%+ increase in orders for supply chain companies [17] Group 6: Policies and Industry Trends - The Chinese government's "restore and expand consumption" policy is expected to result in over 300 billion yuan in consumer subsidies by 2025, directly benefiting the food and beverage sector [18] - Retail sales are projected to grow by 3.5% year-on-year in 2024, with health food categories (low-sugar/low-fat) expected to exceed 20% growth [19] - Valuation shifts are evident, with many sub-sectors like seasoning having a PE of 28 times compared to a historical average of 40 times, alongside noticeable foreign capital inflows [19]

Financial Performance - The company's revenue for Q3 2024 reached ¥4,905,213,094.30, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.45%[1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥616,976,510.05, up 11.41% compared to the same period last year[1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was ¥607,153,667.92, reflecting a 13.73% increase year-over-year[1] - Total operating revenue for the current period reached ¥12.26 billion, a 13.39% increase from ¥10.81 billion in the previous period[18] - Operating profit for the current period was ¥1.37 billion, up 15.43% from ¥1.19 billion in the previous period[19] - Net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was ¥1.11 billion, representing a 13.04% increase compared to ¥985.43 million in the previous period[20] - Total comprehensive income for the current period was ¥1.12 billion, compared to ¥1.04 billion in the previous period[20] Assets and Liabilities - The total assets at the end of Q3 2024 amounted to ¥22,700,195,561.05, a 2.32% increase from the end of the previous year[1] - The total current assets reached CNY 12,937,268,959.53, up from CNY 12,448,068,488.90, indicating an increase of about 3.93%[15] - The total liabilities increased to CNY 11,008,788,640.20 from CNY 10,594,684,027.62, representing a rise of approximately 3.91%[16] - The company's total equity reached CNY 11,691,406,920.85, up from CNY 11,591,609,367.78, marking an increase of about 0.86%[17] Cash Flow - The net cash flow from operating activities for the year-to-date was ¥1,612,639,863.99, down 37.47% year-over-year[4] - Cash flow from operating activities generated ¥1.61 billion, down 37.55% from ¥2.58 billion in the previous period[21] - The net cash flow from investment activities was -261,390,786.05 CNY, an improvement from -1,339,054,501.71 CNY in the previous year[22] - Cash inflow from financing activities totaled 3,326,957,793.21 CNY, slightly down from 3,344,944,957.65 CNY year-over-year[22] - The company reported a net increase in cash and cash equivalents of 375,406,334.68 CNY, contrasting with a decrease of -139,148,557.47 CNY in the previous year[22] - The total cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period reached 2,071,371,918.93 CNY, up from 1,388,713,760.20 CNY year-over-year[22] Shareholder Information - The total number of common shareholders at the end of the reporting period is 12,876[6] - The top shareholder, Wu Lanlan, holds 48.00% of shares, totaling 446,655,169 shares[6] - The second-largest shareholder, Wang Huajun, owns 10.49% of shares, amounting to 97,603,051 shares[6] - The company has a repurchase account holding 16,900,853 shares, representing 1.82% of total shares[7] - The top 10 shareholders do not have any known relationships or agreements as acting in concert, except for the couple Wang Huajun and Wu Lanlan[7] Investments and Corporate Actions - The company established Dalian Yutong Cloud Creation Technology Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of 50 million RMB on August 28, 2024[9] - The company has invested in the establishment of a Wuhan branch of Shenzhen Yutong Mutual Induction Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. on September 18, 2024[11] - The company has canceled Dongguan Jieling Technology Packaging Co., Ltd. on July 2, 2024, and Zhaoqing Huaboli Electronics Co., Ltd. on September 2, 2024[8][11] - The company’s subsidiary, Shenzhen Yutong Cultural Technology Co., Ltd., holds 100% of Dalian Yutong Cloud Creation Technology Co., Ltd.[9] Operational Efficiency - The company reported a significant increase in other income, which rose by 40.90% to ¥94,044,310.70 due to VAT policy benefits[4] - The company is focused on a dual improvement action plan for quality returns, announced on August 30, 2024, aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and product quality[13] - Research and development expenses amounted to ¥538 million, a 6.25% increase from ¥505 million in the previous period[18] - Total operating costs increased to ¥10.90 billion, reflecting a 14.23% rise from ¥9.54 billion in the previous period[18] Audit and Reporting - The third quarter report was not audited[23]

2023 可持续发展报告 03 / 关于本报告 04 / 董事长致辞 05 / 走进裕同 12 / 年度专题：减塑减碳先锋派 01 可持续发展管理 15 / 可持续发展管治架构 16 / 可持续发展战略 我们的产品 创新创造，绿色环保 02 坚持产品创新 / 25 创新培训与交流 / 29 03 04 我们的运营 节能减碳，环境友好 我们的服务 高效响应，客户至上 优质客户服务 / 48 客户权益保护 / 50 智能制造 / 52 42 / 绿色办公 43 / 气候变化与碳管理 01 35 / 绿色制造 19 / 利益相关方沟通 20 / 重要性评估 保障产品质量 / 30 知识产权管理 / 31 推动行业发展 / 32 05 06 我们的人才 合伙奋斗，协作共赢 我们的治理 合规诚信，稳健经营 公司治理 / 74 风险管理与内部监控 / 75 反贪腐与商业道德 / 75 80 / 供应商管理 81 / 可持续供应链 07 08 我们的公益 裕心向善，同道而行 我们的同伴 携手同心，共创价值 环境保护 / 83 教育助学 / 84 医疗资助 / 85 社区参与 / 86 附录 / 88 乡村振兴 / 87 0 ...

证券代码： 002831 证券简称：裕同科技 公告编号：2024-010 深圳市裕同包装科技股份有限公司 关于 2024 年度日常关联交易预计的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》等规章制度关于上市公司日常关联交 易的有关规定，以及公司 2024 年度经营计划及经营发展需要，深圳市裕同包装 科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）对 2024 年可能与关联方发生的日常关联 交易情况进行了预计，具体情况如下： 一、日常关联交易基本情况 （一）日常关联交易概述 公司于 2024 年 4 月 25 日召开第五届董事会第七次会议审议通过《关于 2024 年度日常关联交易预计的议案》，表决情况为 5 票同意、0 票弃权、0 票反对，关 联董事王华君先生、吴兰兰女士回避了表决。预计公司及子公司 2024 年度发生 的日常关联交易总金额为 22,044.00 万元，其中，预计 2024 年度公司及下属子公 司向关联方销售产品和提供劳务的关联交易总金额为人民币 10,174.00 万元，向 关联方采购产品和接受劳务的关联交易总金额为 ...

深圳市裕同包装科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）本次会计政策变更 系根据中华人民共和国财政部（以下简称"财政部"）发布的相关企业会计准则 解释而进行的相应变更，无需提交公司董事会和股东大会审议。本次会计政策变 更不涉及对公司以前年度的追溯调整，不会对公司财务状况、经营成果和现金流 量产生重大影响。 一、会计政策变更概述 证券代码： 002831 证券简称：裕同科技 公告编号：2024-020 深圳市裕同包装科技股份有限公司 关于会计政策变更的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 特别提示： 1、会计政策变更的原因及日期 2023 年 10 月 25 日，财政部发布了《企业会计准则准则解释 17 号》，其中 关于"关于流动负债与非流动负债的划分"、"关于供应商融资安排的披露"和 "关于售后租回交易的会计处理"的规定自 2024 年 1 月 1 日起施行。 由于上述会计准则解释的发布，公司需对会计政策进行相应变更，并按以上 文件规定的生效日期开始执行上述会计准则。 2、变更前公司采用的会计政策 本次会计政策变更前，公司执行财政部发布的《企业会计准则— ...

深圳市裕同包装科技股份有限公司 一、重要声明 根据企业内部控制规范体系的规定，建立健全和有效实施内部控制，评价其有效 性，并如实披露内部控制评价报告是公司董事会的责任；监事会对董事会建立和实施 内部控制进行监督；经理层负责组织领导企业内部控制的日常运行。 公司董事会、监事会及董事、监事、高级管理人员保证本报告内部不存在任何虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏，并对报告内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别 及连带法律责任。 2023年度内部控制自我评价报告 深圳市裕同包装科技股份有限公司全体股东： 根据《企业内部控制基本规范》及其配套指引的规定和其他内部控制监管要求 （以下简称"企业内部控制规范体系"），结合深圳市裕同包装科技股份有限公司（以 下简称"公司"）的内部控制制度和评价办法，在内部控制日常监督和专项监督的基 础上，我们对公司截至2023年12月31日（内部控制评价报告基准日）的内部控制有效 性进行了自我评价。 公司内部控制的目标是合理保证经营管理合法合规、资产安全、财务报告及相关 信息真实完整，提高经营效率和效果，促进实现发展战略。由于内部控制存在的固有 局限性，故仅能为实现上述目标提供合理保证。此外，由 ...

Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of RMB 3.5 billion for the year 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 15%[2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 450 million, reflecting a growth of 10% compared to the previous year[2]. - The company's operating revenue for 2023 was ¥15,222,695,087.69, a decrease of 6.96% compared to ¥16,362,098,347.86 in 2022[13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was ¥1,438,085,856.85, down 3.35% from ¥1,487,874,066.79 in 2022[13]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was ¥1,494,035,096.06, a decrease of 1.40% from ¥1,515,272,242.94 in 2022[13]. - The total revenue for 2023 was approximately ¥15.22 billion, a decrease of 6.96% compared to ¥16.36 billion in 2022[47]. - The paper packaging segment generated ¥14.82 billion, accounting for 97.32% of total revenue, with a decline of 6.49% from ¥15.84 billion in the previous year[47]. - The company reported a net loss of approximately ¥55.95 million for the period, compared to a net profit of ¥115.70 million in the previous period, indicating a significant decline in profitability[19]. Dividends and Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 6.20 per 10 shares, based on a total share count of 914,841,200 shares after excluding repurchased shares[2]. - The total cash dividend amount (including other methods) is ¥697,259,759.80, with cash dividends alone amounting to ¥567,201,544.00[157]. - The cash dividend distribution accounted for 100% of the total profit distribution[158]. - The company plans to distribute cash dividends of at least 20% of the distributable profits, with a minimum cash dividend ratio of 80% during mature stages without major capital expenditures[155]. Market Expansion and Strategy - The company aims to expand its market presence in Southeast Asia, targeting a revenue contribution of 25% from this region by 2025[2]. - The company is actively expanding its global service network, with service centers established in the United States, Australia, and Hong Kong to better serve international clients[21]. - The company is exploring potential mergers and acquisitions to enhance its supply chain capabilities[2]. - The company is focusing on biodegradable packaging materials, with ongoing iterations to meet customer production needs and improve performance[58]. - The company is committed to sustainable development, focusing on green, energy-saving, and low-carbon strategies across its operations and product development[93]. Research and Development - The company invested RMB 200 million in R&D for new technologies, focusing on automation and sustainability[2]. - The company has established 20 national, provincial, and municipal technology research projects and has obtained a total of 1,370 patents, including 165 invention patents, 1,129 utility model patents, and 76 design patents[32]. - The company's R&D investment in 2023 amounted to approximately ¥695.88 million, representing a 3.66% increase from ¥671.28 million in 2022, and accounting for 4.57% of total revenue[59]. - The number of R&D personnel increased by 6.73% to 2,631 in 2023, with the proportion of R&D staff in the total workforce rising to 12.55% from 11.29% in 2022[59]. Sustainability Initiatives - The company is focusing on green development and has aligned its strategies with national policies aimed at reducing plastic pollution and promoting sustainable packaging solutions[22]. - The company aims to achieve a carbon neutrality goal by 2040, implementing actions to reduce carbon emissions and enhance energy efficiency[102]. - The company has implemented a carbon reduction strategy, promoting green factory construction and using clean energy to replace traditional energy sources[182]. - The company has constructed 15 solar power stations, generating a total of 20.43 million kWh of electricity[41]. Governance and Compliance - The company maintains a governance structure that ensures fair treatment of all shareholders, particularly minority investors, to protect their rights[186]. - The company has established a comprehensive internal control system that effectively prevents operational risks and ensures the accuracy of financial reporting[165]. - The independent directors have played a significant role in ensuring the company's operations are compliant and have provided valuable suggestions for decision-making[145]. - The company has established a transparent information disclosure system, ensuring timely and accurate communication with investors through various platforms[118]. Employee and Talent Management - The total number of employees at the end of the reporting period was 20,966, including 3,112 in the parent company and 17,854 in major subsidiaries[150]. - The company has established a competitive and equitable salary system based on the "3P1M" principle, which considers position, performance, personal ability, and market factors[152]. - The company conducts annual talent assessments to identify core and high-potential talents, ensuring a succession plan for key positions[153]. - The company has launched an online learning platform, e Tongxue, to facilitate continuous learning and development for employees[153]. Risk Management - Risks identified include economic environment fluctuations and market competition, which may impact future performance[2]. - The company is addressing macroeconomic risks by diversifying its product line and expanding into emerging markets to mitigate potential market risks[106]. - The company is actively managing raw material price volatility risks by strengthening strategic partnerships with suppliers and optimizing its procurement processes[109]. Social Responsibility - The company actively engages in social responsibility initiatives, focusing on environmental protection, education, and rural revitalization[185]. - The company has donated over 48 million yuan to various charitable causes, including education, healthcare, and poverty alleviation efforts[191].