本周时尚行业动态丰富，多家奢侈品集团面临下跌的市场环境，业绩呈分化态势。部分品牌仍能够整体 呈稳健趋势，甚至超出预期。 Ralph Lauren 2026财年第一季度实现超预期增长；Capri集团上季度营收和盈利改善超出预期；Hugo Boss 2025上半年业绩与去年持平；资生堂集团虽上半年销售额同比下降7.6％，但核心营业利润同比增 长21.3%。然而，部分品牌发展不尽人意：Crocs面临股价暴跌30%，Tapestry集团为保销售量，完成了 对亏损品牌Stuart Weitzman的出售。 部分品牌通过探索新盈利模式，以此应对当前疲软市场。安踏再传收购锐步，展现全球化扩张野心；开 云集团携手太古地产践行可持续发展品牌理念，构建新零售模式；Fendi坎昆首店开业拓展墨西哥市场 版图，试图构建本地化销售体系。 1.洞洞鞋潮流退烧，股价暴跌30% Crocs在8月7日公布了令人失望的财报展望，并预警第三季度营收将同比下滑9%至11%，随即股价暴跌 29.2%，创近三年来最低点，也几乎追平2011年以来最惨单日跌幅。 CEO Andrew Rees在分析师会议上直言：美国消费者在非必需品支出方面变得非常谨慎，甚 ...

Group 1 - Yisou Technology (02550) rose nearly 12.63% after announcing a share subscription agreement with Lightnet Pte. Ltd., acquiring approximately 1.23% equity for $5 million [1] - Maifushi (02556) fell nearly 2.28% despite a profit forecast of RMB 31.8 million to RMB 41 million for the six months ending June 30, 2025, a significant turnaround from a loss of RMB 820 million in the same period last year [1] - New World Development (00086) increased nearly 4.19% after announcing a profit forecast of no less than HKD 800 million for the six months ending June 30, 2025, compared to HKD 75.4 million in the same period last year [2] Group 2 - Cao Cao Travel (02643) surged nearly 15.68% after signing a strategic cooperation memorandum with Victory Securities to explore virtual asset tokenization and stablecoin applications [2] - Boan Bio (06955) dropped nearly 5.06% after announcing a placement of 48 million shares at HKD 16.42 each, aiming to raise approximately HKD 780 million for R&D and operational purposes [2] - Huaxing Capital Holdings (01911) rose nearly 6%, with a year-to-date stock price increase of 1.1 times, as it plans to invest $100 million in Web 3.0 and cryptocurrency assets [3] Group 3 - Cathay Pacific Airways (00293) continued to decline nearly 3% after a report indicated an 8.3% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of the year, but operating profit fell short of market expectations [3] - Keep (03650) rose over 10%, with a cumulative increase of over 22% this week, reporting an adjusted net profit of approximately RMB 10 million for the first half of the year [4] - Smoore International (06969) increased nearly 5%, with BAT's new tobacco product revenue growing 2.4% year-on-year, and Smoore is expected to benefit from this growth [4] Group 4 - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) fell over 4% after Nomura raised its target price by 79% to HKD 61 but downgraded its rating to "Neutral" due to limited upside potential [5] - Apple (AAPL.US) rose 5.09% after announcing a commitment to invest an additional $100 billion in U.S. manufacturing, bringing its total investment commitment to $600 billion [6] - McDonald's (MCD.US) increased 2.98% with second-quarter revenue growing 5.4% year-on-year to $6.84 billion, exceeding analyst expectations [6]

Core Viewpoint - Capri Holdings (CPRI.US), the parent company of the Michael Kors brand, experienced a stock price increase of over 18% at the beginning of trading, reaching a peak of $21.5 before narrowing to approximately 12% [1] Financial Performance - Capri reported a 6% decline in revenue for the first fiscal quarter, totaling $797 million, which was slightly above expectations [1] - Earnings per share were $0.50, exceeding market expectations of $0.13 [1] - Revenue from Michael Kors, which accounts for 68% of total revenue, decreased by 5.9%, compared to a 14.2% decline in the same period last year [1] Future Outlook - The company anticipates second fiscal quarter revenue to be between $815 million and $835 million, with market expectations at $819 million [1]

Group 1 - Major component stocks experienced a general decline on Tuesday, July 29, with Stanley Black & Decker falling by 7.2% [1] - Rivian, identified as a competitor to Tesla, dropped by 5.22% [1] - Fluence Energy saw a decrease of 4.41%, while Coach declined by 2.74% and Harley-Davidson fell by 2.59% [1] Group 2 - Hasbro's stock remained flat, indicating no change in its market performance [1] - Skechers experienced a slight increase of 0.13%, while MTD gained 0.4% [1] - On the other hand, On Running rose by 1.57%, and Polaris saw a significant increase of 16.84% [1]

Acquisition & Strategy - Tapestry's attempted $85 billion acquisition of Capri Holdings was blocked by the FTC due to concerns about creating an excessively concentrated player in the accessible luxury handbags market [1][2] - Wall Street disliked the Capri deal, fearing Tapestry would overstretch its balance sheet to acquire a consistently worse operator [3] - Tapestry redeemed deal debt and announced a $28 billion buyback program, including a $2 billion accelerated share repurchase program, representing roughly 15% of shares outstanding [6][7] - Tapestry sold its Steuart Weitzman brand to focus on the core Coach brand and turning around Kate Spade [8][9] Financial Performance & Market Dynamics - Tapestry's stock has increased 148% since the merger was blocked and is up 69% for the year [2] - Coach's revenue growth accelerated from 2% to 15% on a constant currency basis [11][12] - Tapestry delivered substantial top and bottom-line beats, raising full-year earnings forecast by $025 [10] - Kate Spade's constant currency revenue growth has declined for eight straight quarters, down 12% [16] Future Outlook & Risks - Tapestry aims to turn around Kate Spade by emulating Coach's strategies, targeting younger consumers and developing new products [17] - The stock trades at just under 22 times this year's earnings estimate, with 18% earnings growth, but is considered inherently risky given its recent performance [19][20] - The report suggests a potential buying opportunity if Tapestry reports a good quarter that doesn't fully satisfy shareholders, leading to a sell-off [20]

Group 1 - LVMH is in discussions to sell the fashion label Marc Jacobs, with a potential deal valued at around $1 billion [1][5] - The company has been engaging with multiple parties, including Authentic Brands, Bluestar Alliance, and WHP Global [2][7] - The luxury retail sector is experiencing increased deal-making activity, highlighted by Prada's acquisition of Versace for $1.4 billion earlier this year [3][7] Group 2 - LVMH's second-quarter sales slightly missed market expectations, indicating ongoing challenges in the luxury market [4] - French luxury brands are facing prolonged market challenges, including economic downturns and potential impacts from US import tariffs [6]

SharkNinja则收涨0.41%，孩之宝涨0.56%，3M涨1.33%，安德玛A类股涨2.04%，蔻驰涨3.17%，Five Below涨3.75%。 周一（7月14日），"特朗普关税输家"指数跌0.79%，报101.73点。 成分股Gap收跌6.13%，e.l.f. Beauty跌3.60%，储能公司Fluence Energy跌2.82%，"特斯拉劲敌"Rivian跌 2.15%。 ...

Company Overview - Stitch Fix shares have lost about 5% over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500 [1] - The most recent earnings report is crucial for understanding the important drivers of the company's performance [1] Estimates and Revisions - Estimates for Stitch Fix have trended upward during the past month, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [2] - The magnitude of these revisions appears promising, contributing to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for Stitch Fix, suggesting an expectation of above-average returns in the coming months [4] VGM Scores - Stitch Fix has a strong Growth Score of A, but a lower Momentum Score of D, and a value grade of C, placing it in the middle 20% for the value investment strategy [3] - The aggregate VGM Score for Stitch Fix is A, which is significant for investors not focused on a single strategy [3] Industry Performance - Stitch Fix operates within the Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, where Capri Holdings has gained 8.3% over the past month [5] - Capri Holdings reported revenues of $1.04 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 15.4%, with an EPS of -$4.90 compared to $0.42 a year ago [5] Future Expectations for Industry Player - Capri Holdings is expected to post earnings of $0.13 per share for the current quarter, indicating a change of +225% from the year-ago quarter [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Capri Holdings has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of D [6]

周三（6月11日），"特朗普关税输家"指数跌0.44%，报97.13点。 成分股多数收跌，HELE跌3.89%，百思买跌3.02%，耐克跌1.19%，Wayfair跌0.5%，美泰跌0.21%。 孩之宝则收涨0.28%，Gap涨0.63%，美元树涨1.17%，Five Below涨1.28%，3M涨1.46%，蔻驰涨 2.30%，美妆公司e.l.f. Beauty涨5.56%。 ...

Core Insights - The luxury goods industry is experiencing a gradual slowdown in growth, partly due to brands continuously raising prices over the past few years [1][3] - Consumers have noticed an increase in the frequency of luxury goods sales events, indicating a shift in market dynamics [1] Industry Trends - Since 2020, most luxury brands have been increasing prices at a double-digit annual rate, surpassing inflation, which cannot solely be attributed to supply chain and labor cost increases [3] - High pricing has suppressed consumer demand, leading to a consensus that excessive pricing is detrimental to overall industry performance [3] Company Strategies - Burberry has begun to adjust its pricing strategy, reducing the average price of some bags by 5% [4] - YSL has also lowered the price of its popular Loulou handbag by approximately 10% [4] - Some brands are opting for discreet sales strategies, such as flash sales and VIP private sales, to manage unsold inventory while maintaining brand image [4] - LVMH has introduced more affordable product lines, such as the upgraded Neverfull bag, to attract consumers [4] Consumer Behavior - Consumers are increasingly engaging with sales associates, indicating a shift in how luxury brands interact with their customer base [1] - The trend of brands offering significant discounts during private sales events suggests a response to changing consumer expectations and purchasing power [1][4]