[Executive Summary & Q2 2025 Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Executive%20Summary%20%26%20Q2%202025%20Highlights) CNH Industrial N.V. navigated challenging Q2 2025 market conditions with effective operations, despite significant declines in consolidated revenue and net income, while achieving substantial industrial free cash flow growth [CEO Statement](index=1&type=section&id=CEO%20Statement) The CEO affirmed effective operations and strategic focus despite challenging market conditions, emphasizing product excellence and partner support - The company operated effectively and met targets despite challenging market conditions[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Strategic priorities include advancing operational improvements and investments to deliver superior products and technology[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Appreciation for supplier and dealer support in navigating uncertain trade environments and achieving long-term success[1](index=1&type=chunk) [Q2 2025 Consolidated Financial Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Q2%202025%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Highlights) Consolidated revenue and industrial net sales declined significantly in Q2 2025 due to lower demand, but industrial free cash flow improved substantially Q2 2025 Consolidated Financial Data (US-GAAP) | Indicator | Q2 2025 ($ million) | Q2 2024 ($ million) | Change ($ million) | Change Rate | | :--------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :----- | :------- | | Consolidated Revenue | 4,711 | 5,488 | (777) | (14)% | | Industrial Net Sales | 4,021 | 4,803 | (782) | (16)% | | Net Income | 217 | 404 | (187) | (46)% | | Diluted EPS | 0.17 | 0.32 | (0.15) | - | | Cash Flow from Operating Activities | 772 | 379 | +393 | +103.7% | | Industrial Free Cash Flow | 451 | 140 | +311 | +222.1% | - Consolidated revenue decreased by **14% to $4.711 billion**, and industrial net sales decreased by **16% to $4.021 billion**, primarily due to lower industry demand and dealer destocking[1](index=1&type=chunk)[4](index=4&type=chunk) - Net income and diluted EPS decreased by **46% and $0.15** to **$217 million and $0.17**, respectively[1](index=1&type=chunk)[4](index=4&type=chunk) [Q2 2025 Non-GAAP Financial Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Q2%202025%20Non-GAAP%20Financial%20Highlights) Non-GAAP metrics for Q2 2025 revealed substantial declines in industrial adjusted EBIT and net income, yet industrial free cash flow saw significant year-over-year improvement Q2 2025 Non-GAAP Financial Data | Indicator | Q2 2025 ($ million) | Q2 2024 ($ million) | Change ($ million) | Change Rate | | :--------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :----- | :------- | | Industrial Adjusted EBIT | 224 | 502 | (278) | (55)% | | Industrial Adjusted EBIT Margin | 5.6% | 10.5% | (490) bps | - | | Adjusted Net Income | 216 | 451 | (235) | (52)% | | Adjusted Diluted EPS | 0.17 | 0.35 | (0.18) | - | | Industrial Free Cash Flow | 451 | 140 | +311 | +222.1% | - Industrial gross margin decreased by **230 basis points to 20.6%**[4](index=4&type=chunk) - Adjusted effective tax rate (ETR) increased from **21.0% in Q2 2024 to 27.7%**[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Segment Performance - Q2 2025](index=3&type=section&id=Segment%20Performance%20-%20Q2%202025) Q2 2025 saw significant declines in net sales and adjusted EBIT for Agriculture and Construction due to weak demand, while Financial Services experienced slight revenue and net income decreases [Agriculture Segment](index=3&type=section&id=Agriculture%20Segment) The Agriculture segment experienced substantial declines in net sales and adjusted EBIT in Q2 2025, driven by weak demand and dealer destocking Q2 2025 Agriculture Segment Financial Data | Indicator | Q2 2025 ($ million) | Q2 2024 ($ million) | Change ($ million) | Change Rate | | :------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :----- | :------- | | Net Sales | 3,248 | 3,913 | (665) | (17)% | | Gross Margin | 21.8% | 24.4% | (260) bps | - | | Adjusted EBIT | 263 | 502 | (239) | (48)% | | Adjusted EBIT Margin | 8.1% | 12.8% | (470) bps | - | - North American sales of tractors under **140 HP decreased by 7%**, tractors over **140 HP decreased by 37%**, and combine harvesters decreased by **23%**[7](index=7&type=chunk) - R&D investment as a percentage of sales was **6.0%**, up from **5.5% in Q2 2024**[8](index=8&type=chunk) [Construction Segment](index=3&type=section&id=Construction%20Segment) Construction segment net sales and adjusted EBIT declined in Q2 2025, mainly due to lower volumes in North America, despite slight global heavy equipment sales growth Q2 2025 Construction Segment Financial Data | Indicator | Q2 2025 ($ million) | Q2 2024 ($ million) | Change ($ million) | Change Rate | | :------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :----- | :------- | | Net Sales | 773 | 890 | (117) | (13)% | | Gross Margin | 15.7% | 16.5% | (80) bps | - | | Adjusted EBIT | 35 | 60 | (25) | (42)% | | Adjusted EBIT Margin | 4.5% | 6.7% | (220) bps | - | - Global heavy construction equipment industry sales increased by **3% year-over-year**, while light construction equipment decreased by **2%**[9](index=9&type=chunk) - Total demand in North and South America decreased by **4%**, while EMEA and APAC grew by **1% and 3%**, respectively[9](index=9&type=chunk) [Financial Services Segment](index=3&type=section&id=Financial%20Services%20Segment) Financial Services revenue and net income slightly decreased in Q2 2025, impacted by currency, lower yields, and higher risk costs, partially offset by remarketing sales and improved interest margins Q2 2025 Financial Services Segment Financial Data | Indicator | Q2 2025 ($ million) | Q2 2024 ($ million) | Change ($ million) | Change Rate | | :------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :----- | :------- | | Revenue | 685 | 687 | (2) | (0.3)% | | Net Income | 87 | 91 | (4) | (4)% | | Equity at Quarter-End | 2,907 | 2,843 | +64 | +2.2% | | Retail Loan Originations | 2,740 | 2,864 | (124) | (4.3)% | - Managed portfolio (including unconsolidated joint ventures) was **$28.7 billion**, an increase of **$0.2 billion year-over-year**[13](index=13&type=chunk) - Receivables past due over **30 days increased from 2.5% in Q2 2024 to 3.9%** of total receivables, primarily due to higher delinquencies in Brazil[13](index=13&type=chunk) [2025 Outlook](index=4&type=section&id=2025%20Outlook) CNH Industrial N.V. anticipates lower 2025 retail sales in agriculture and construction, planning production cuts and cost reductions to mitigate margin erosion, while reaffirming full-year guidance [Market Conditions & Company Strategy](index=4&type=section&id=Market%20Conditions%20%26%20Company%20Strategy) The company expects lower 2025 retail sales in agriculture and construction, planning production cuts to reduce inventory and implementing cost-saving measures to mitigate margin erosion - Global retail sales for agriculture and construction equipment markets are expected to be **lower in 2025 than in 2024**[14](index=14&type=chunk) - The company will reduce production volumes to decrease excess channel inventory, resulting in **lower net sales in 2025**[14](index=14&type=chunk) - Operating costs are being reduced through lean manufacturing, strategic sourcing, and prudent management of SG&A and R&D expenses to partially mitigate margin erosion[15](index=15&type=chunk) - The company is navigating an evolving global trade environment, with uncertainties in U.S. trade policy potentially impacting full-year forecasts[16](index=16&type=chunk) [Reaffirmed Full-Year Guidance](index=4&type=section&id=Reaffirmed%20Full-Year%20Guidance) Full-year 2025 guidance was reaffirmed, anticipating decreased net sales and adjusted EBIT margins for agriculture and construction, but stable industrial free cash flow and adjusted diluted EPS Full-Year 2025 Guidance | Indicator | Full-Year 2025 Guidance | | :--------------------------------- | :------------- | | Agriculture Net Sales | Down 12% to 20% year-over-year | | Agriculture Adjusted EBIT Margin | 7% to 9% | | Construction Net Sales | Down 4% to 15% year-over-year | | Construction Adjusted EBIT Margin | 2% to 4% | | Industrial Free Cash Flow | $100 million to $500 million | | Adjusted Diluted EPS | $0.50 to $0.70 | [Six Months Ended June 30, 2025 Results (YTD Q2 2025)](index=5&type=section&id=Six%20Months%20Ended%20June%2030%2C%202025%20Results%20(YTD%20Q2%202025)) H1 2025 saw double-digit declines in consolidated revenue, industrial net sales, net income, and adjusted EBIT, but operating and industrial free cash flows significantly improved [YTD Q2 2025 Consolidated Financial Highlights](index=5&type=section&id=YTD%20Q2%202025%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Highlights) H1 2025 saw double-digit declines in consolidated revenue, industrial net sales, net income, and adjusted EBIT, but operating and industrial free cash flows significantly improved YTD Q2 2025 Consolidated Financial Data (US-GAAP) | Indicator | H1 2025 ($ million) | H1 2024 ($ million) | Change ($ million) | Change Rate | | :--------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :----- | :------- | | Consolidated Revenue | 8,539 | 10,306 | (1,767) | (17)% | | Industrial Net Sales | 7,193 | 8,934 | (1,741) | (19)% | | Net Income | 349 | 773 | (424) | (55)% | | Diluted EPS | 0.27 | 0.61 | (0.34) | - | | Cash Flow from Operating Activities | 934 | (515) | +1,449 | +281.4% | | Industrial Free Cash Flow | (116) | (1,069) | +953 | +89.1% | - Industrial gross margin decreased by **290 basis points to 19.9%**[19](index=19&type=chunk) - Industrial adjusted EBIT decreased by **63% to $325 million**, with adjusted EBIT margin down **530 basis points to 4.5%**[19](index=19&type=chunk) [YTD Q2 2025 Segment Performance](index=5&type=section&id=YTD%20Q2%202025%20Segment%20Performance) In H1 2025, both Agriculture and Construction segments experienced significant declines in net sales and adjusted EBIT due to persistent weak market demand, while the Financial Services segment also saw slight revenue and net income decreases [YTD Q2 2025 Agriculture Segment](index=5&type=section&id=YTD%20Q2%202025%20Agriculture%20Segment) H1 2025 Agriculture segment net sales decreased by **20%**, adjusted EBIT by **55%**, and adjusted EBIT margin by **530 basis points** YTD Q2 2025 Agriculture Segment Financial Data | Indicator | H1 2025 ($ million) | H1 2024 ($ million) | Change ($ million) | Change Rate | | :------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :----- | :------- | | Net Sales | 5,829 | 7,286 | (1,457) | (20)% | | Gross Margin | 21.0% | 24.1% | (310) bps | - | | Adjusted EBIT | 402 | 890 | (488) | (55)% | | Adjusted EBIT Margin | 6.9% | 12.2% | (530) bps | - | [YTD Q2 2025 Construction Segment](index=5&type=section&id=YTD%20Q2%202025%20Construction%20Segment) H1 2025 Construction segment net sales decreased by **17%**, adjusted EBIT by **56%**, and adjusted EBIT margin by **310 basis points** YTD Q2 2025 Construction Segment Financial Data | Indicator | H1 2025 ($ million) | H1 2024 ($ million) | Change ($ million) | Change Rate | | :------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :----- | :------- | | Net Sales | 1,364 | 1,648 | (284) | (17)% | | Gross Margin | 15.3% | 16.9% | (160) bps | - | | Adjusted EBIT | 49 | 111 | (62) | (56)% | | Adjusted EBIT Margin | 3.6% | 6.7% | (310) bps | - | [YTD Q2 2025 Financial Services Segment](index=5&type=section&id=YTD%20Q2%202025%20Financial%20Services%20Segment) H1 2025 Financial Services segment revenue decreased by **3%** to **$1.336 billion**, and net income declined by **15%** to **$177 million** YTD Q2 2025 Financial Services Segment Financial Data | Indicator | H1 2025 ($ million) | H1 2024 ($ million) | Change ($ million) | Change Rate | | :------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :----- | :------- | | Revenue | 1,336 | 1,372 | (36) | (3)% | | Net Income | 177 | 209 | (32) | (15)% | [Notes & Disclosures](index=6&type=section&id=Notes%20%26%20Disclosures) This section details non-GAAP financial information, outlines forward-looking statements and associated risks, and provides essential contact details for media and investor relations [Non-GAAP Financial Information](index=6&type=section&id=Non-GAAP%20Financial%20Information) Non-GAAP financial measures are used to monitor operations, provide useful insights, and enhance financial performance assessment, with detailed definitions provided - Non-GAAP financial measures are used to identify operating trends, make future spending and resource allocation decisions, and provide additional transparency into core operations[21](index=21&type=chunk) - Non-GAAP financial measures do not have standardized meanings under U.S. GAAP and may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies[21](index=21&type=chunk) - Prior period financial statements have been revised to reflect non-material corrections for highly inflationary accounting treatment of unconsolidated affiliates in Turkey, leading to an overstatement of equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries and affiliates in 2023 and H1 2024[22](index=22&type=chunk) [Forward-looking Statements](index=7&type=section&id=Forward-looking%20Statements) This report includes forward-looking statements based on current views and assumptions, subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors - Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance but are based on current views and assumptions, involving known and unknown risks and uncertainties[25](index=25&type=chunk) - Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include economic conditions, production and supply chain disruptions, government policies, international trade policies, competitor actions, new technology developments, labor relations, and interest and currency rate fluctuations[26](index=26&type=chunk)[28](index=28&type=chunk) - The company expressly disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements[29](index=29&type=chunk) [Contacts](index=8&type=section&id=Contacts) Contact information for media and investor relations, including names, phone numbers, and email addresses, is provided - Media inquiries: Laura Overall (**+44 207 925 1964**) or Rebecca Fabian (**+1 312 515 2249**), email: mediarelations@cnh.com[32](index=32&type=chunk) - Investor Relations: Jason Omerza (**+1 630 740 8079**) or Federico Pavesi (**+39 345 605 6218**), email: investor.relations@cnh.com[32](index=32&type=chunk) [Consolidated Financial Statements](index=9&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements) The consolidated financial statements for Q2 and H1 2025 reveal declines in revenue and net income, changes in asset and liability composition, and significant improvements in operating cash flow [Consolidated Statements of Operations](index=9&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Operations) Consolidated statements of operations reveal year-over-year declines in total revenue and net income for Q2 and H1 2025, with reduced costs and R&D, but high interest expenses Consolidated Statements of Operations Summary | Indicator ($ million) | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--------------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------- | | Total Revenues | 4,711 | 5,488 | 8,539 | 10,306 | | Cost of Sales | 3,192 | 3,702 | 5,761 | 6,897 | | Selling, General and Administrative Expenses | 478 | 461 | 864 | 872 | | Research and Development Expenses | 218 | 237 | 402 | 465 | | Restructuring Expenses | 5 | 51 | 11 | 82 | | Interest Expense | 360 | 418 | 722 | 812 | | Net Income | 217 | 404 | 349 | 773 | | Diluted EPS | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.61 | - In Q2 2025, total revenues decreased by **14.1% year-over-year**, and net income decreased by **46.3% year-over-year**[33](index=33&type=chunk) - In H1 2025, total revenues decreased by **17.1% year-over-year**, and net income decreased by **54.9% year-over-year**[33](index=33&type=chunk) [Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=10&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets) Total assets slightly increased as of June 30, 2025, primarily due to higher finance receivables and inventories, with corresponding increases in liabilities and equity Consolidated Balance Sheets Summary | Indicator ($ million) | June 30, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | | :--------------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | | Cash and Cash Equivalents | 2,512 | 3,191 | | Finance Receivables, Net | 23,387 | 23,085 | | Inventories, Net | 5,216 | 4,776 | | Property, Plant, Equipment and Operating Lease Assets, Net | 3,704 | 3,402 | | Intangible Assets, Net | 4,861 | 4,805 | | Total Assets | 43,687 | 42,933 | | Debt | 27,408 | 26,882 | | Other Payables and Liabilities | 8,376 | 8,221 | | Total Liabilities | 35,853 | 35,165 | | Equity | 7,779 | 7,713 | - As of June 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents decreased by **$679 million** compared to year-end 2024[35](index=35&type=chunk) - Net finance receivables increased by **$302 million**, and net inventories increased by **$440 million**[35](index=35&type=chunk) [Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows](index=12&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows) H1 2025 saw operating cash flow significantly improve from negative to positive, reduced investing outflows, and increased financing outflows due to net debt reduction and dividends Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows Summary | Indicator ($ million) | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--------------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | | Net Cash Provided (Used) by Operating Activities | 934 | (515) | | Net Cash Provided (Used) by Investing Activities | (622) | (929) | | Net Cash Provided (Used) by Financing Activities | (1,261) | (820) | | Cash, Cash Equivalents and Restricted Cash at End of Period | 3,147 | 2,647 | - Net cash provided by operating activities increased by **$1.449 billion year-over-year**, turning from a negative **$515 million in H1 2024 to a positive $934 million in H1 2025**[37](index=37&type=chunk) - Cash outflow from financing activities increased by **$441 million**, primarily due to a net debt reduction of **$935 million** and dividend payments of **$321 million**[37](index=37&type=chunk) [Supplemental Segment Financial Statements](index=13&type=section&id=Supplemental%20Segment%20Financial%20Statements) Supplemental segment financial statements for Q2 and H1 2025 detail significant revenue and net income declines for industrial activities, with financial services also showing decreases, alongside changes in balance sheet and cash flow components [Supplemental Statements of Operations - Three Months Ended June 30, 2025 and 2024](index=13&type=section&id=Supplemental%20Statements%20of%20Operations%20-%20Three%20Months%20Ended%20June%2030%2C%202025%20and%202024) Q2 2025 saw significant declines in industrial total revenue and net income, with financial services also experiencing slight reductions, impacted by rising costs and increased interest expenses Q2 2025 Industrial Activities and Financial Services Statements of Operations Summary | Indicator ($ million) | Industrial Activities (Q2 2025) | Financial Services (Q2 2025) | Industrial Activities (Q2 2024) | Financial Services (Q2 2024) | | :--------------------------------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | | Total Revenues | 4,060 | 685 | 4,832 | 687 | | Cost of Sales | 3,192 | — | 3,702 | — | | Selling, General and Administrative Expenses | 364 | 114 | 374 | 87 | | Research and Development Expenses | 218 | — | 237 | — | | Interest Expense | 65 | 329 | 75 | 374 | | Net Income | 130 | 87 | 313 | 91 | - Industrial net sales decreased by **16.3% year-over-year to $4.021 billion**[39](index=39&type=chunk) - Industrial net income decreased by **58.5% year-over-year to $130 million**[39](index=39&type=chunk) [Supplemental Statements of Operations - Six Months Ended June 30, 2025 and 2024](index=15&type=section&id=Supplemental%20Statements%20of%20Operations%20-%20Six%20Months%20Ended%20June%2030%2C%202025%20and%202024) H1 2025 saw significant declines in industrial total revenue and net income due to weak demand, with financial services also experiencing revenue and net income decreases from higher interest and operating costs H1 2025 Industrial Activities and Financial Services Statements of Operations Summary | Indicator ($ million) | Industrial Activities (H1 2025) | Financial Services (H1 2025) | Industrial Activities (H1 2024) | Financial Services (H1 2024) | | :--------------------------------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | | Total Revenues | 7,262 | 1,336 | 9,005 | 1,372 | | Cost of Sales | 5,761 | — | 6,897 | — | | Selling, General and Administrative Expenses | 669 | 195 | 716 | 156 | | Research and Development Expenses | 402 | — | 465 | — | | Interest Expense | 120 | 661 | 149 | 734 | | Net Income | 172 | 177 | 564 | 209 | - Industrial net sales decreased by **19.5% year-over-year to $7.193 billion**[43](index=43&type=chunk) - Industrial net income decreased by **69.5% year-over-year to $172 million**[43](index=43&type=chunk) [Supplemental Balance Sheets](index=17&type=section&id=Supplemental%20Balance%20Sheets) Industrial activities' total assets increased due to inventories and PPE, while financial services' total assets slightly decreased, with finance receivables remaining key, and total debt rising for both segments Industrial Activities and Financial Services Supplemental Balance Sheets Summary | Indicator ($ million) | Industrial Activities (Q2 2025) | Financial Services (Q2 2025) | Industrial Activities (Q4 2024) | Financial Services (Q4 2024) | | :--------------------------------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | | Cash and Cash Equivalents | 2,106 | 406 | 2,332 | 859 | | Finance Receivables, Net | 273 | 23,604 | 218 | 23,528 | | Inventories, Net | 5,155 | 61 | 4,713 | 63 | | Total Assets | 17,538 | 26,914 | 16,677 | 27,254 | | Debt | 5,230 | 22,744 | 4,499 | 23,173 | | Equity | 4,872 | 2,907 | 4,968 | 2,745 | - Industrial activities' total assets increased from **$16.677 billion at year-end 2024 to $17.538 billion as of June 30, 2025**[47](index=47&type=chunk) - Financial Services total assets decreased from **$27.254 billion at year-end 2024 to $26.914 billion**[47](index=47&type=chunk) [Supplemental Statements of Cash Flows](index=19&type=section&id=Supplemental%20Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows) H1 2025 saw industrial operating cash flow turn positive with increased investing outflows, while financial services maintained strong operating cash flow but experienced significantly higher financing outflows due to net debt reduction Industrial Activities and Financial Services Supplemental Statements of Cash Flows Summary | Indicator ($ million) | Industrial Activities (H1 2025) | Financial Services (H1 2025) | Industrial Activities (H1 2024) | Financial Services (H1 2024) | | :--------------------------------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | | Net Cash Provided (Used) by Operating Activities | 110 | 944 | (837) | 402 | | Net Cash Provided (Used) by Investing Activities | (639) | 17 | 101 | (1,029) | | Net Cash Provided (Used) by Financing Activities | 124 | (1,505) | (1,082) | 181 | | Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Period | 2,201 | 946 | 1,714 | 933 | - Industrial activities' net cash provided by operating activities increased by **$947 million year-over-year**, turning from a negative **$837 million in H1 2024 to a positive $110 million in H1 2025**[50](index=50&type=chunk) - Financial Services' cash outflow from financing activities increased by **$1.686 billion year-over-year**, primarily due to a net debt reduction of **$1.385 billion**[50](index=50&type=chunk) [Other Supplemental Financial Information & Reconciliations](index=21&type=section&id=Other%20Supplemental%20Financial%20Information%20%26%20Reconciliations) This section provides detailed reconciliations for adjusted EBIT, net cash (debt), and free cash flow, along with adjusted net income, and outlines revisions to prior period financial statements [Adjusted EBIT of Industrial Activities by Segment](index=21&type=section&id=Adjusted%20EBIT%20of%20Industrial%20Activities%20by%20Segment) Agriculture and Construction segments saw significant adjusted EBIT declines in Q2 and H1 2025 due to market challenges, with unallocated items negatively affecting overall industrial adjusted EBIT Adjusted EBIT of Industrial Activities by Segment | Indicator ($ million) | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--------------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------- | | Agriculture | 263 | 502 | 402 | 890 | | Construction | 35 | 60 | 49 | 111 | | Unallocated Items, Eliminations and Other | (74) | (60) | (126) | (127) | | **Total Industrial Adjusted EBIT** | **224** | **502** | **325** | **874** | - In Q2 2025, Agriculture segment adjusted EBIT decreased by **47.6% year-over-year**, and Construction segment decreased by **41.7%**[53](index=53&type=chunk) - In H1 2025, total industrial adjusted EBIT decreased by **62.9% year-over-year**[53](index=53&type=chunk) [Reconciliation of Consolidated Net Income to Adjusted EBIT of Industrial Activities](index=21&type=section&id=Reconciliation%20of%20Consolidated%20Net%20Income%20to%20Adjusted%20EBIT%20of%20Industrial%20Activities) This reconciliation details the calculation from consolidated net income to industrial adjusted EBIT by excluding taxes, financial services, industrial interest, FX, pension costs, restructuring, and other non-recurring items Reconciliation of Consolidated Net Income to Adjusted EBIT of Industrial Activities Summary | Indicator ($ million) | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--------------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------- | | Net Income | 217 | 404 | 349 | 773 | | Less: Consolidated Income Tax Expense | (76) | (95) | (123) | (172) | | Less: Financial Services Net Income | (87) | (91) | (177) | (209) | | Less: Financial Services Income Tax | (25) | (23) | (53) | (42) | | Add: Industrial Activities Net Interest Expense | 26 | 46 | 51 | 78 | | Add: Industrial Activities Net Foreign Exchange (Gains) Losses | 9 | 4 | 14 | 4 | | Add: Restructuring Expenses | 5 | 51 | 11 | 81 | | **Total Industrial Adjusted EBIT** | **224** | **502** | **325** | **874** | - In Q2 2025, restructuring expenses were **$5 million**, significantly lower than **$51 million in Q2 2024**[54](index=54&type=chunk) - Q2 2024 included a **$15 million loss** on the sale of a non-core product line, which was absent in Q2 2025[55](index=55&type=chunk) [Reconciliation of Total (Debt) to Net Cash (Debt)](index=22&type=section&id=Reconciliation%20of%20Total%20(Debt)%20to%20Net%20Cash%20(Debt)) This reconciliation details total debt and net cash (debt) as of June 30, 2025, segmented by industrial and financial services, including cash, restricted cash, intercompany notes, Iveco Group finance receivables, and hedging derivatives Reconciliation of Total (Debt) to Net Cash (Debt) Summary | Indicator ($ million) | Consolidated (Q2 2025) | Consolidated (Q4 2024) | Industrial Activities (Q2 2025) | Industrial Activities (Q4 2024) | Financial Services (Q2 2025) | Financial Services (Q4 2024) | | :--------------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | :----------------- | | Third-Party (Debt) | (27,408) | (26,882) | (4,989) | (4,043) | (22,419) | (22,839) | | Total (Debt) | (27,477) | (26,944) | (5,233) | (4,503) | (22,810) | (23,231) | | Cash and Cash Equivalents | 2,512 | 3,191 | 2,106 | 2,332 | 406 | 859 | | Restricted Cash | 635 | 675 | 95 | 89 | 540 | 586 | | Intercompany Notes Receivable | — | — | 325 | 334 | 241 | 456 | | Finance Receivables from Iveco Group N.V. | 263 | 168 | 174 | 50 | 89 | 118 | | Hedging Derivatives | (2) | (37) | (20) | (29) | 18 | (8) | | **Net Cash (Debt)** | **(24,069)** | **(22,947)** | **(2,553)** | **(1,727)** | **(21,516)** | **(21,220)** | - As of June 30, 2025, consolidated net cash (debt) was **negative $24.069 billion**, an increase from **negative $22.947 billion as of December 31, 2024**[56](index=56&type=chunk) - Industrial activities' net cash (debt) increased from **negative $1.727 billion at year-end 2024 to negative $2.553 billion**[56](index=56&type=chunk) [Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided (Used) by Operating Activities to Free Cash Flow of Industrial Activities](index=22&type=section&id=Reconciliation%20of%20Net%20Cash%20Provided%20(Used)%20by%20Operating%20Activities%20to%20Free%20Cash%20Flow%20of%20Industrial%20Activities) This reconciliation details the calculation from operating cash flow to industrial free cash flow by deducting financial services cash flow, hedging derivatives, operating lease asset investments, and PPE/intangible asset investments Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided (Used) by Operating Activities to Free Cash Flow of Industrial Activities Summary | Indicator ($ million) | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | | :--------------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------- | | Net Cash Provided (Used) by Operating Activities | 934 | (515) | 772 | 379 | | Less: Net Cash Provided (Used) by Financial Services Operating Activities | (824) | (322) | (186) | (124) | | Less: Industrial Activities Investments in Property, Plant, Equipment and Intangible Assets | (191) | (206) | (88) | (110) | | **Free Cash Flow of Industrial Activities** | **(116)** | **(1,069)** | **451** | **140** | - In H1 2025, industrial free cash flow was **negative $116 million**, a significant improvement from **negative $1.069 billion in H1 2024**[58](index=58&type=chunk) - In Q2 2025, industrial free cash flow was **$451 million**, a substantial increase from **$140 million in Q2 2024**[58](index=58&type=chunk) [Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Income Tax (Expense) Benefit](index=24&type=section&id=Reconciliation%20of%20Adjusted%20Net%20Income%20and%20Adjusted%20Income%20Tax%20(Expense)%20Benefit) This reconciliation details the calculation from net income to adjusted net income and adjusted income tax by excluding restructuring, U.S. medical plan benefits, and non-core product sales for comparable performance Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Income Tax (Expense) Benefit Summary | Indicator ($ million) | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | | :--------------------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------- | | Net Income (Loss) | 349 | 773 | 217 | 404 | | Adjusted Net Income (Loss) | 348 | 839 | 216 | 451 | | Adjusted Diluted EPS ($) | 0.27 | 0.66 | 0.17 | 0.35 | | Income Tax (Expense) Benefit | (123) | (172) | (76) | (95) | | Adjusted Income Tax (Expense) Benefit | (123) | (191) | (76) | (108) | | Adjusted Effective Tax Rate | 28.2% | 20.3% | 27.7% | 21.0% | - In H1 2025, adjusted net income was **$348 million**, and adjusted diluted EPS was **$0.27**[59](index=59&type=chunk) - In Q2 2025, the adjusted effective tax rate increased from **21.0% in Q2 2024 to 27.7%**[59](index=59&type=chunk) [Revision of Prior Period Financial Statements](index=25&type=section&id=Revision%20of%20Prior%20Period%20Financial%20Statements) Prior period financial statements were revised to correct non-material errors in highly inflationary accounting for Turkish affiliates, impacting equity in earnings, net income, diluted EPS, and non-GAAP measures - The revision is due to non-material corrections for highly inflationary accounting treatment of unconsolidated affiliates in Turkey[60](index=60&type=chunk) - This correction resulted in an overstatement of equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries and affiliates by **$96 million in 2023 and $67 million in H1 2024**, respectively[60](index=60&type=chunk) Summary of Prior Period Financial Statement Revision Impact (H1 2024) | Indicator ($ million) | Pre-Revision | Revision Impact | Post-Revision | | :--------------------------------------- | :------- | :------- | :------- | | Equity in Earnings of Unconsolidated Subsidiaries and Affiliates | 156 | (67) | 89 | | Net Income (Loss) | 840 | (67) | 773 | | Diluted EPS | 0.66 | (0.05) | 0.61 | | Adjusted Net Income | 906 | (67) | 839 | | Adjusted Diluted EPS | 0.71 | (0.05) | 0.66 | | Industrial Adjusted EBIT | 941 | (67) | 874 |

Core Viewpoint - CNH Industrial (CNH) is expected to report a significant decline in quarterly earnings and revenues, with earnings per share projected at $0.16, down 57.9% year over year, and revenues forecasted at $4.53 billion, a decrease of 17.5% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 3.3%, indicating a reassessment by analysts of their initial projections [1][2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [2]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Net Sales' to be $3.87 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 19.4% [4]. - 'Revenues- Total Industrial Activities- Agriculture' is projected at $2.97 billion, indicating a decrease of 24% from the prior year [4]. - 'Revenues- Total Industrial Activities- Construction' is expected to reach $783.84 million, down 11.9% year over year [5]. - 'Revenues- Finance, interest and other income' is forecasted at $661.32 million, a decline of 3.5% from the previous year [5]. Segment-Specific Sales Estimates - 'Agriculture Sales- North America' is anticipated to be $1.24 billion, down 28.8% year over year [5]. - 'Agriculture Sales- Europe, Middle East and Africa' is projected at $997.86 million, reflecting a decrease of 16.2% [6]. - 'Agriculture Sales- South America' is expected to reach $489.02 million, indicating a decline of 12.5% [6]. - 'Construction Sales- Asia Pacific' is forecasted at $55.77 million, down 7.1% from the prior year [6]. - 'Construction Sales- North America' is estimated to be $416.17 million, reflecting a decrease of 17.3% [7]. - 'Construction Sales- Europe, Middle East and Africa' is projected at $166.04 million, down 4.6% year over year [7]. - 'Construction Sales- South America' is expected to reach $146.14 million, indicating a decline of 4.5% [8]. - 'Agriculture Sales- Asia Pacific' is projected at $354.72 million, down 16.3% from the previous year [8]. Stock Performance - CNH shares have experienced a decline of 4.1% over the past month, contrasting with a 3.4% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [8].

Summary of China Import/Export Tracker and European Capital Goods Industry Overview - The report focuses on the capital goods industry, specifically analyzing 32 product categories relevant to European exports and Chinese imports/exports [3][51]. Key Insights - **Market Share Dynamics**: - Europe currently holds 44% of global capital goods exports, down from 56% in 2005. - China's market share has increased from 6% in 2005 to 22% in 2024, representing a 16 percentage point gain [3][17]. - **Export Growth Trends**: - In June 2025, global export values rose by 21% year-over-year, while import values increased by 9% year-over-year [8]. - Notable growth in Chinese exports includes: - Rail: +46% - Switchgear: +41% - Fibre cable: +40% - Heavy Duty Trucks: +40% - Copper wire: +31% [8][27]. - **Import Declines**: - Significant declines in Chinese imports were observed in: - Tractors: -78% - LED lighting: -40% - Shovel loaders: -39% - Turbochargers: -33% [30]. - **Regional Export Changes**: - Exports to Europe from China have shown substantial increases in categories like switchgear (+99%) and rail (+69%) [32]. - Conversely, exports of marine engines (-34%) and commercial vehicle engines (-27%) have decreased significantly [32]. Competitive Landscape - **Chinese Competition**: - Chinese exports to Europe have grown significantly, particularly in rail and construction equipment, indicating increased competition for European manufacturers [7][10]. - Certain product categories, such as commercial vehicle engines and bearings, have remained relatively insulated from Chinese competition [7]. - **Market Share Risks**: - The report highlights potential risks for European companies in sectors like automotive bearings, energy storage, and construction equipment due to increasing Chinese competition [44][43]. Additional Observations - **Trade Balance Trends**: - China has turned into a net exporter in categories like medium voltage equipment and heat exchangers, while imports have expanded in marine engines [36]. - **Technological Positioning**: - The report notes that the technological positioning of products exported from China may differ significantly from those imported, particularly in high-end industrial robots [54]. - **Long-term Implications**: - The ongoing trends suggest that China is making progress towards self-sufficiency in capital goods, which could impact European exporters negatively, especially in mid- to high-value categories [53]. Conclusion - The analysis indicates a shifting landscape in the capital goods market, with China increasing its competitive presence globally, particularly in Europe. European companies need to be aware of these dynamics and adjust their strategies accordingly to mitigate risks associated with rising Chinese competition.

Core Viewpoint - CNH Industrial (CNH) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating a significant impact on its near-term stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 57.9% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $4.53 billion, down 17.6% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.31% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for CNH is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.59%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - CNH currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, CNH was expected to post earnings of $0.09 per share but exceeded expectations with earnings of $0.10, resulting in a surprise of +11.11% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, CNH has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Industry Comparison - Agco (AGCO), a competitor in the manufacturing - farm equipment industry, is expected to report earnings of $1.06 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of -58.1% [18]. - Agco's revenues are projected to be $2.48 billion, down 23.6% from the previous year, with a consensus EPS estimate revised 1.3% upward in the last 30 days, but it has a negative Earnings ESP of -0.47% [19].

Core Insights - The Agnelli family is negotiating the sale of its controlling stake in Iveco, with Tata Motors as a potential buyer [3][4] - The sale does not include Iveco's IDV defense business, and the negotiations have not been confirmed by either party [4] - Following the news, Iveco's stock surged by 9.7% on the Milan Stock Exchange, indicating market interest [4] Company Overview - Iveco, a major player in the commercial vehicle sector with nearly 50 years of history, has faced strategic challenges that have impacted its market competitiveness [5] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately €4.2 billion and employs around 36,000 people, with 14,000 based in Italy [4][5] - Iveco's parent company, CNH Industrial, has undergone strategic adjustments that have affected resource allocation and development focus for Iveco [5] Strategic Implications - Tata Motors' interest in acquiring Iveco is driven by the need to enhance its capabilities in the mid-to-high-end commercial vehicle segment, where it currently lacks core technology and international competitiveness [6][7] - The acquisition could allow Tata Motors to leverage Iveco's advanced technology and established market presence to strengthen its position in the global automotive market [6][7] Market Impact - If the acquisition is successful, it could create a new commercial vehicle giant with annual sales exceeding 1.2 million units, positioning it to compete directly with industry leaders like Daimler Trucks and Volvo Group [8] - The merger could disrupt the dominance of Japanese manufacturers in emerging markets such as Southeast Asia and Latin America by utilizing Iveco's local production facilities [8] - In Europe, the combination of Tata's cost control and Iveco's brand strength could lead to the introduction of competitively priced products, intensifying competition in the commercial vehicle market [8][9] Broader Industry Significance - This potential acquisition may signify a transformative moment in the global automotive industry, reflecting the evolving landscape shaped by electrification and smart technologies [9] - The outcome of this deal could serve as a new benchmark for cross-border mergers and acquisitions in the context of globalization 3.0 [9]

Core Insights - Deere & Company (DE) and CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) are leading global players in agricultural machinery, with Deere holding the top position [1] - Both companies are significantly impacted by ongoing weaknesses in agricultural and construction markets, raising questions about investment choices [2] Company Overview - Deere has a market capitalization of $139 billion and specializes in agricultural, forestry, and turf equipment, with a strong presence in precision farming technology [3] - CNH Industrial has a market capitalization of approximately $16 billion and operates well-known agricultural equipment brands such as New Holland and Case IH [8] Financial Performance - Both DE and CNH have faced revenue declines for seven consecutive quarters, with DE's earnings slipping in the last six quarters due to lower volumes in agriculture and construction [4][9] - DE anticipates a 30% decline in large agriculture equipment sales in fiscal 2025, while CNH expects total net sales to decline between 11% and 19% compared to 2024 [5][10] Market Outlook - The agricultural equipment market in the U.S. and Canada is projected to decline by 10-15% for small equipment, while European markets are expected to decline approximately 5% [5] - Construction equipment demand is also under pressure, with DE expecting a 10% drop in U.S. and Canadian construction equipment sales [6] Innovation and Growth Prospects - Both companies are ramping up innovation capabilities, with DE focusing on advanced technologies and geographic expansion to drive long-term growth [7][11] - CNH is making strategic strides in automation and digital integration, with 80% of its precision components developed internally in 2024 [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DE's fiscal 2025 earnings is $18.82 per share, indicating a year-over-year fall of 26.54% [13] - CNH's 2025 earnings estimate is 62 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 41% [14] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, DE stock has gained 21.2%, outperforming the Zacks manufacturing - farm equipment industry's growth of 19.7%, while CNH has lagged at 15% [16] - DE is trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 24.49X, while CNH is at 17.71X, with CNH trading at a discount to industry averages [18] Investment Considerations - Both companies face near-term headwinds, but are fundamentally tied to long-term megatrends such as rising food demand and advancements in agricultural technology [20] - From a valuation standpoint, CNH appears more attractive currently, with a Value Score of B compared to DE's D [21]

Core Points - CNH's Case IH brand's Quadtrac 715 tractor has won the 2025 Red Dot Design Awards in two categories, highlighting its design excellence [1][2] - The awards recognize the tractor's combination of aesthetics, ergonomics, and innovation, showcasing world-class industrial design [2] - The Quadtrac 715 is a flagship model with 778 horsepower and features CNH's new Heavy-Duty Suspension system, enhancing comfort and productivity [4] Company Overview - CNH Industrial is a global leader in equipment, technology, and services, focusing on innovation, sustainability, and productivity [6] - The company operates various brands, including Case IH and New Holland for agriculture, and CASE and New Holland Construction Equipment for construction [6] - CNH has a workforce of over 35,000 employees, emphasizing a diverse and inclusive workplace aimed at empowering customers [7]

Core Insights - CNH Industrial has introduced advanced AI sprayer precision technology that enhances agricultural efficiency, reduces input costs, and promotes sustainable farming practices [1][2] - The smart sprayer technology can detect weeds and apply resources like water, herbicides, and fertilizers precisely, leading to increased productivity and reduced chemical usage [2] Company Overview - CNH Industrial is a leading global equipment, technology, and services company focused on innovation, sustainability, and productivity, with brands like Case IH and New Holland providing comprehensive agricultural solutions [3][4] - The company employs over 35,000 individuals globally, fostering a diverse and inclusive workplace aimed at empowering customers and enhancing agricultural practices [4]

Group 1: Investment Opportunities in Heilongjiang - Heilongjiang Province has seen a significant increase in foreign investment, with actual utilization of foreign capital growing at a rate 30.6 percentage points higher than the national average in 2024 [1] - Over 10,000 foreign enterprises from 116 countries and regions are currently operating in Heilongjiang, indicating a robust investment environment [1] - The province is focusing on developing a comprehensive ice and snow economy, integrating sports, tourism, equipment, and culture to enhance economic effects [1] Group 2: Agricultural Development - Heilongjiang is a major agricultural hub, contributing to one out of every nine bowls of rice consumed in China, with the highest total grain output and organic food certification area in the country [2] - Nestlé aims to collaborate with local agricultural enterprises and farmers in Heilongjiang to promote regenerative agriculture, focusing on sustainable practices [2] - Companies like CNH Industrial are increasing investments in Heilongjiang, particularly in high-end agricultural machinery, aligning with the province's goals for advanced agricultural development [2] Group 3: Industrial and Technological Advancements - The province has a comprehensive industrial system, including equipment, energy, petrochemicals, food, pharmaceuticals, metallurgy, and building materials, with a strong emphasis on technological collaboration [2] - Volvo's Daqing plant is recognized as one of the most advanced manufacturing bases globally, contributing to the growth of the high-end automotive industry cluster in Daqing [3] - The government is actively improving the business environment to attract foreign investment, implementing policies to streamline project approvals and enhance operational efficiency for enterprises [3] Group 4: Government Support and Collaboration - The Heilongjiang government prioritizes support for foreign enterprises, aiming to create a favorable investment climate and promote the "Investment in Heilongjiang" brand [3] - The province encourages collaboration in tourism resource development, hotel construction, and smart tourism, as well as in organizing ice and snow events and athlete training [1][3] - The government’s commitment to cross-departmental and cross-regional service initiatives is seen as crucial for fostering a supportive environment for businesses [3]

Group 1 - The 34th Harbin International Economic and Trade Fair attracted over 1,500 enterprises from 38 countries and regions, showcasing the growing interest of foreign companies in the Chinese market [2] - Hokkaido brought 14 companies and 36 products to the fair, with 12 companies and 34 products making their debut, indicating a strong push to find more buyers in China [2] - Companies like Case New Holland and Nestlé are increasing their investments in Heilongjiang, with Case New Holland planning to invest further in local manufacturing and product development [3][5] Group 2 - Nestlé has invested a total of 3 billion RMB in Heilongjiang, with over 700 million RMB in the last five years, impacting 33,000 dairy farmers and creating 10,000 jobs [3] - The fair also attracted new companies, such as Lulu Lemon, which has seen rapid growth since opening its first store in Heilongjiang in 2022 [6] - The event provided a platform for foreign enterprises to deepen their understanding of investment opportunities in Heilongjiang and China, emphasizing the region's favorable business environment [6]