华见早安之声 市场概述 科技股拖累美股回落，三大美股指止步两连涨。金融板块领跌标普，限制旗下基金赎回的资管公司Blue Owl跌近6%；年度指引逊色的沃尔玛跌超1%；苹果 跌超1%、"科技七巨头"中表现最差；芯片股和软件股回落，西部数据跌4%，Cadence Design跌近3%。 泛欧股指和英股跌落纪录高位，财报指引不佳的空客跌近7%、雷诺跌超3%，指引向好的雀巢涨近4%。 美国失业数据后，美债收益率靠近日高；美元盘中涨破98、创近四周新高。离岸人民币三连跌，盘中跌超百点失守6.90；比特币盘中跌破6.6万美元后一度转 涨超2%。 美伊局势叠加美EIA库存意外锐减，原油盘中涨超2%、油价创半年新高。降息分歧压制黄金涨势，黄金盘中曾转跌、艰难上攻5000美元。 要闻 特朗普：美伊必须达成有意义协议，否则发生"糟糕的事"，预计未来十天左右知道能否与伊朗达成协议。 特朗普阵营的坚定降息派动摇了？美联储理事米兰：劳动力市场改善可令今年少些降息。 美国12月贸易逆差扩大，去年全年录得1960年以来最大逆差之一。 另类资管巨头Blue Owl限制赎回、抛售贷款，股价一度大跌10%，引发市场对1.8万亿美元私募信贷市场的 ...

Market Overview - Futures are trading higher after a sluggish start to the holiday-shortened trading week, with all major indices ending the day modestly higher [2] - The Nasdaq closed at 22,578, up 0.14%, marking its fifth consecutive week of decline prior to this [2] - The Dow Jones closed at 49,533, up 0.07%, and the S&P 500 closed at 6,843, up 0.10%, while the small-cap Russell 2000 closed down 0.11% at 2,646 [2] Treasury Bonds - Yields on Treasury bonds were slightly higher as sellers took profits after a solid move higher last week [3] - The 30-year bond closed at 4.69%, and the benchmark 10-year note was last seen at 4.06% [3] Oil and Gas - Oil prices decreased after a rise the previous week, with Brent Crude finishing at $67.32, down 1.94%, and West Texas Intermediate at $62.23, down 1.05% [4] - Natural gas prices fell significantly, closing down 6.2% at $3.04 [4] Precious Metals - Gold and Silver experienced declines due to profit-taking and short selling, with Gold recorded at $4,876, down 2.31%, and Silver at $73.36, down 4.16% [5] Earnings and Economic Data - The focus will shift towards economic data as fourth-quarter earnings wrap up with Walmart's report on Thursday [6] - Despite solid earnings for the quarter, ongoing market issues persist, with some analysts suggesting a 10%-15% correction would be beneficial [6]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 and other major indices experienced a mixed trading day, with the S&P 500 and Dow finishing up about 0.1% each, while the Nasdaq composite also rose by 0.1%, but the Nasdaq 100 closed down by 0.1% [6][7] - Overall, the market showed indecisiveness, fluctuating between gains and losses throughout the day, indicating a "wait and see" approach among investors [5][6] Sector Performance - Real estate was the biggest gainer among sectors, increasing by 1%, while financials also performed well, and tech rose by approximately 0.5% [9] - Consumer staples were the largest losers, declining by 1.5%, followed closely by energy, which fell by 1.4% [10] Earnings Reports - Caesars Entertainment reported a fourth-quarter loss of $1.23 per share, with net revenue of $2.92 billion, slightly above the street estimate of $2.89 billion [11] - Norwegian Cruise Line was the top gainer in the S&P 500, rising by about 12% after Elliott Investment Management acquired a more than 10% stake and urged changes to unlock significant shareholder value [13] - Masimo saw a 34% increase in its stock price after Danaher announced its acquisition for $80 per share, representing a 40% premium over the previous close, with a total enterprise value of approximately $9.9 billion [14] - TripAdvisor's stock rose by about 9% following a letter from Starboard Value highlighting underperformance and plans to nominate a majority slate of directors [14] - Genuine Parts Company, the owner of Napa Auto Parts, fell by over 14.5% after reporting fourth-quarter earnings that missed expectations and announcing plans to split into two public companies [18] - General Mills' stock dropped by 7% after the company lowered its fiscal 2026 outlook due to a challenging consumer environment [24] Guidance and Future Outlook - Cadence Design reported adjusted EPS of $0.99, beating expectations, and provided full-year revenue guidance of $5.9 billion to $6 billion, aligning with street estimates [16] - Palo Alto Networks projected full-year adjusted EPS between $3.65 and $3.70, below the estimate of $3.87, with revenue guidance of $1.28 billion to $1.31 billion [21]

Group 1 - Cadence Design, Booking, and Devon are among the companies reporting earnings this week [1] - The week will also feature the personal consumption expenditures price index, Fed minutes, and durable goods data [1]

Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) stock suffered for years as peers like AMD, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) surpassed it on technical fronts, designing better chips and building better fabrication infrastructure. Previous management teams tried and failed to return the company to its former leadership position in the chip industry. However, under the new leadership of CEO Lip-Bu Tan, technical improvements and a coherent artificial intelligence (AI) strategy have begun to change investors' perceptions of the ...

Market Sentiment and Profit Taking - The market experienced profit-taking, particularly in momentum stocks, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment [1][4] - The momentum factor, driven by names like Palantir, peaked in mid-August, indicating a possible temporary or permanent top [4][5] - An Evercore ISI note suggested a potential 7% to 15% market pullback if the Fed Chair is neutral or hawkish [8] - The market is potentially front-running expectations of a neutral or hawkish stance from the Fed Chair at Jackson Hole [9] Economic Indicators and Fed Policy - The market is pricing in nearly an 80% rate cut in September, but there's a high probability the Fed Chair's words won't align with this expectation [3] - The Fed Chair has been data-driven, considering both inflation and job growth, making a dovish stance unlikely [10] - CPI was cooler than expected, but core CPI was hotter, not showing a clear downward trend in inflation [19][20] - PPI shows the impact of tariffs, while CPI does not, creating a dilemma for the Fed Chair [16][17][22] - A rate cut of 25 basis points is probable, but further cuts later in the year are uncertain [26] Market Performance and Exhaustion - The NASDAQ Composite is up 40% since April 8th, the NASDAQ 100 up 37%, the S&P 500 up 29%, and the equal weight up 22%, indicating significant gains and potential exhaustion [11][12] - The market's strength year-to-date has been driven by momentum names, leading to a modest correction due to exhaustion [7] - Institutional outlook suggests limited optimism for further market gains, with the median S&P target at 6,500, only a 2% increase [14] ETF Rebalancing and Stock Performance - Recent ETF rebalancing saw underperformance in entered momentum names, including software (Data Dog down 10%, Microsoft down 5%) and crypto (Coinbase, Block) [6] - September has historically been the worst month for the S&P, with an average decline of 2% [19]

据知情人士表示，在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普上周要求其下台后，英特尔CEO陈立武将于本周一访问白宫。英 特尔和白宫尚未立即回应置评请求。 陈立武希望通过展示其对美国的承诺，并保证将英特尔的制造能力作为国家安全问题的重要性，来赢得特朗普 的认可。 陈立武是一位出生于马来西亚的华裔美国企业高管，他曾于2008年至2021年12月担任Cadence Design公司 CEO。 转自：天天IC 加入"中国IC独角兽联盟"，请点击进入 报道称，预计陈立武将与特朗普进行深入交谈，同时解释其个人和职业背景，并可能提出英特尔与美国政府合 作的方式。 近期，特朗普要求陈立武立即辞职，称其与中国企业的关系使其"高度矛盾"，并对扭转这家陷入困境的美国 芯片巨头的计划表示怀疑。 陈立武表示，他赞同美国总统致力于推进美国国家和经济安全的承诺。 特朗普的介入标志着美国总统公开呼吁罢免公司CEO的罕见案例，并引发了投资者的争论。 今年4月报道称，陈立武向数百家中国先进制造和芯片公司投资至少2亿美元，其中一些公司与中国军方有关 联。 是说芯语转载，欢迎关注分享 ...

Core Viewpoint - Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan is facing pressure from President Trump, who has called for his resignation due to concerns over Tan's ties to Chinese firms and the implications for national security [3][4][7]. Group 1: CEO's Background and Actions - Tan is expected to meet with President Trump to discuss his background and propose collaboration between Intel and the US government [2][5]. - Tan aims to demonstrate his commitment to US national and economic security, emphasizing the importance of Intel's manufacturing capabilities [3][6]. Group 2: Controversies and Implications - Trump's demand for Tan's resignation is notable as it marks a rare instance of a US president publicly calling for a CEO's ouster, raising concerns among investors [4][7]. - Tan has previously invested at least $200 million in Chinese advanced manufacturing and chip firms, some linked to the Chinese military, which has contributed to the controversy surrounding his leadership [4][6].

Cadence Design pleaded guilty to charges accusing the company of violating US export controls by selling hardware and software to China’s National University of Defense Technology https://t.co/OchDJK7ANL ...

Market Overview & Economic Factors - Markets anticipate a potentially pivotal week with major tech earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting, jobs report, economic data, and trade deals influencing market direction [2] - Monday's trading day exhibited tepid price action and lower volatility, but expectations are for increased volatility in the coming sessions [5] - The U S housing market is experiencing its worst spring selling season in 13 years, impacting related industries [25] Sector Performance - Industry groups showed more decliners than advancers, with real estate investment trusts, materials, and utilities down over 1%, while energy stocks gained over 1% due to higher oil prices, and tech and consumer discretionary sectors also performed positively [8] - Semiconductor space significantly outperformed the broader market, rising approximately 16% [9] Individual Company Highlights - Figma's IPO is anticipated to be large and is scheduled to price on Wednesday and begin trading on Thursday under the ticker AIG [3][4] - UBS analyst raised their price target on AMD to $210 from $150, maintaining a buy rating, with AMD closing up approximately 43% at $173 [10] - Tesla's stock increased by about 3% following Morgan Stanley's forecast that the self-driving vehicle market will reach $200 billion by 2030 [12] - JP Morgan upgraded Nike from neutral to overweight, raising its price target from $64 to $93, advising clients to buy [12] Earnings & Outlook - Cadence Design reported revenue of $128 billion, slightly above expectations of $125 billion, with adjusted EPS of $165 versus estimates of $156 per share, and raised its 2025 revenue outlook to 13% growth [14][15] - Whirlpool's second-quarter net sales missed estimates at $377 billion versus $385 billion, with ongoing EPS also missing consensus at $134 versus $161, and the company maintained its full-year revenue outlook at $158 billion [22][23] - Whirlpool anticipates full-year cash from operating activities of approximately $850 million and free cash flow of $400 million, revised down from a previous range of $500 million to $600 million [23] Risks & Challenges - Opendoor's stock fell 79% after postponing a shareholder vote on a reverse stock split due to recent stock price volatility [16][17] - Gilead shares declined 27% due to potential risks to its HIV preventative franchise following reports of plans to dismiss an advisory panel [18] - Duolingo's shares decreased by 65% after Citizens expressed caution regarding upcoming results, citing third-party data suggesting slowed engagement since April, and lowered the price target to $450 from $475 [20][21]