转自：新华财经 •Comerica Bank：美联储有可能在鲍威尔任期结束前一直维持利率不变 【机构分析】 •Comerica Bank首席经济学家比尔·亚当斯表示，美联储将在鲍威尔的任期于5月结束前保持短期利率不 变。美国经济增长面临的最大下行风险来自劳动力供应瓶颈，这可能会引发通货膨胀的反弹。 •英国投资者正等待英国央行货币政策委员会成员格林、泰勒、皮尔以及行长贝利今晚向议会财政委员 会发表证词。加拿大皇家银行资本市场策略师表示，市场将密切关注贝利的言论，以寻找英国央行降息 路径的线索，因为他是委员会中关键的摇摆票。 •市场调查显示，经济学家预测韩国央行将在2月26日会议上维持指标利率在2.50%不变，并预计2026年 全年将保持这一水平。政策制定者正面临韩元贬值压力与房地产市场持续过热的双重挑战。分析师指 出，韩国央行日益关注外汇与房地产风险，且经济复苏基础更为稳固，今年降息的可能性极低。若资产 价格持续走高并传导至房地产市场，央行或需考虑在2027年收紧政策以防范通胀风险。 •日本国债收益率周二跌至数周低点，跟随隔夜美国国债走势；在美国总统特朗普关税政策的不确定性 下，投资者买入避险债券。三井住友信托 ...

Financing Agreements - Pivot Energy announced three financing agreements totaling $225 million, bringing its total financing in 2025 to $435 million [1][2] - The financing includes a $170 million upsize to an existing construction warehouse facility, a $40 million equipment facility, and a $15 million corporate financing facility [6] Strategic Partnerships - The financing is backed by Energy Capital Partners, highlighting the strength of solar developers in attracting capital despite federal policy challenges [2] - Strong partnerships with ATLAS, First Citizens, and Comerica are emphasized as crucial for Pivot's growth and ability to scale distributed generation projects [3][6] Project Development - The new financing supports a portfolio of approximately 60 community solar projects, equivalent to 225 Megawatts (MW), across multiple states including Illinois, Colorado, and California [6] - Pivot Energy aims to contribute to a reliable electricity grid, lower electricity prices, and meet growing energy demand through its community solar projects [3] Company Overview - Pivot Energy is a renewable energy provider and independent power producer focused on solar and energy storage projects, committed to accelerating the clean energy transition [4] - The company is a U.S.-based Certified B-Corporation, emphasizing its commitment to environmental stewardship and social responsibility [4]

Core Insights - The latest jobs report indicates a rising unemployment rate of 4.4%, the highest since October 2021, leading to a shift in investor sentiment towards defensive ETFs as rate-cut odds diminish to 28% [1][9] - The mixed labor data suggests a cooling labor market, prompting investors to consider low-beta ETFs to mitigate risks associated with economic uncertainties [1][7] ETF Market Dynamics - SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) initially rallied due to strong performances from companies like NVIDIA, but closed lower by 1.5% and 2.4% respectively, reflecting the impact of the higher jobless rate [2] - The shift towards safety-first ETFs is reinforced by the instinct to reduce market froth amid rising unemployment [2][9] Low-Beta ETF Recommendations - iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF (USMV) has a beta of 0.76 and an expense ratio of 0.15%, designed for smoother returns during volatile macro conditions [3] - Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF (SPLV) features a beta of 0.61 and an expense ratio of 0.25%, providing a cushion during market fluctuations [3] - SPDR Select Sector Fund – Consumer Staples (XLP) has a beta of 0.58 and a low expense ratio of 0.08%, focusing on companies with stable demand [4] - SPDR Select Sector Fund – Utilities (XLU) also has a beta of 0.57 and an expense ratio of 0.08%, appealing to investors seeking stable cash flows [5] Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators - The September jobs report showed a gain of 119,000 jobs, but the rising unemployment rate has shifted the market's tone from celebratory to cautious [7] - Economists highlight a broader cooling trend in the labor market, with significant downward revisions to previous payroll figures [8] - Bank of America economists predict a "dovish hold" at the upcoming Fed meeting due to the higher jobless rate, indicating less room for monetary easing and increased market volatility [9]

Economic Overview - The U.S. economy saw inflation acceleration in August, with a 2.9% annual headline inflation rate and a 3.1% core inflation rate, which excludes food and energy prices [2][5] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.4% for the month and 2.9% over the past year, aligning with market expectations [5][6] Federal Reserve Response - Economists believe the inflation report strengthens the case for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September, despite some noting that the headline inflation was higher than expected [3][4] - The inflation data suggests a gradual approach to rate cuts rather than an aggressive pivot, as inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target [4] Contributing Factors to Inflation - The increase in inflation was primarily driven by the shelter index, which rose by 0.4%, along with a 0.5% increase in the food index and a 0.7% rise in the energy index, influenced by a 1.9% jump in gasoline prices [6] Market Reaction - Following the inflation report, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) rose by 0.83% to $657.63, while the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) increased by 0.58% to $584.08 [7]

Group 1 - Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ZBH) is considered an undervalued stock with a strong market position, as evidenced by Comerica Bank increasing its stake by 36.3% in Q1, now holding 46,206 shares valued at approximately $5,230,000 [1] - The company is focusing on business acceleration initiatives, including the acquisition of Monogram Technologies to enhance its total knee robotics technology, aiming for fully automated total knee surgeries by 2027-28 [2] - Zimmer Biomet completed its acquisition of Paragon 28 for $1.2 billion, positioning itself in the $5 billion foot and ankle orthopedic market [3] Group 2 - Zimmer Biomet, based in Warsaw, Indiana, is a medical technology company founded in 1927, dedicated to improving quality of life through orthopedic reconstructive products and other medical technologies [4]