Summary of Conference Call on China Autos & Shared Mobility Industry Overview - The focus is on the integration of smart-driving and cockpit functionalities within the automotive industry, particularly in China. This integration is expected to accelerate significantly in the next 6-12 months due to advancements in VLA (vision-language-action) models and a pressing need for cost savings [1][2]. Key Insights 1. **Integration of Smart Systems**: The integration of smart cockpit and smart driving systems is anticipated to reach a new level, with penetration rates of approximately 80% for smart cockpits and 60% for smart driving (L2 and above) in China by 2025. This shift is driven by the synergy between these systems, increased AI computing needs, and OEMs' focus on cost savings [2][3]. 2. **Cost Savings from Integration**: Integrating cockpit and driving functions onto a single SoC (System on Chip) could yield cost savings of Rmb2-3k per vehicle by eliminating the need for separate hardware components. This integration is expected to make advanced features accessible in vehicles priced below Rmb150k [10][11]. 3. **Technological Advancements**: The automotive industry is witnessing rapid technological upgrades, with chip processes advancing from 7nm to 5nm and below. This is crucial for meeting the higher computing power demands of L3 autonomous driving systems, which require onboard computing power ranging from 700 to 2250 TOPS [4]. 4. **Market Dynamics**: Companies like Horizon Robotics are positioned to benefit from this trend, provided they can compete effectively with established players like Nvidia in the SoC market. However, this integration poses risks for tier-one DCU makers, as it may lead to a decrease in the value content of their products [11][16]. Additional Considerations - **Supplier Landscape**: Key suppliers and OEMs adopting integrated smart cockpit and driving solutions are highlighted, indicating a shift in the competitive landscape within the industry [11]. - **Risks**: Potential risks include slower-than-expected adoption of ADAS/AD technologies, supply chain disruptions, and successful in-house hardware design initiatives by OEMs [18]. Conclusion The automotive industry in China is on the brink of significant transformation with the integration of smart-driving and cockpit functionalities. This shift is driven by technological advancements, cost-saving measures, and changing market dynamics, presenting both opportunities and risks for stakeholders involved.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The focus is on the Chinese equity market, particularly in relation to US investor interest and the implications of regulatory actions on companies like Trip.com [2][3][10]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **US Investor Interest in Chinese Equities**: There is a growing interest from US investors in diversifying their portfolios to include Chinese equities, with expectations of potential upside from government measures to boost household income and consumption [2][4]. 2. **Trip.com Anti-Trust Investigations**: Concerns were raised regarding the anti-trust investigations into Trip.com, but it is viewed as a company-specific issue rather than a sector-wide problem. Historical trends suggest that affected companies may see their share prices underperform for 4-6 months [3][10]. 3. **Economic Outlook Alignment**: US investors' views on the Chinese economy align with domestic investors, acknowledging challenges like the property downturn but not anticipating a systemic breakdown. There is hope for more stimulus to boost consumption [4][5]. 4. **Market Sentiment and Regulatory Actions**: Recent tightening of regulations in the A-share market has cooled sentiment, but these measures are seen as temporary, aimed at fostering a sustainable bull market rather than suppressing long-term growth [5][20]. 5. **Performance Expectations Leading to NPC Meeting**: Historically, the A-share market performs well leading up to the National People's Congress (NPC) meetings, and there is an expectation for a buoyant market in the first half of the year due to institutional inflows and retail participation [5][33]. 6. **Sector Preferences**: The model portfolio has shifted to favor copper over the solar supply chain, reflecting better supply/demand dynamics and a thematic play on global energy shortages [8][9]. 7. **Bullish and Bearish Scenarios for 2026**: - **Base Case**: Assumes 10% earnings growth driven by 5% revenue growth and margin expansion [29]. - **Bull Case**: Envisions a global AI boom leading to higher productivity and earnings growth, with a potential re-rating of valuations [30]. - **Bear Case**: Considers a global AI bust leading to a significant selloff in equities, particularly impacting AI-related stocks in the MSCI China index [31]. 8. **Going Global Theme**: US investors are interested in "going abroad" stocks, which are high-quality exporters with significant overseas revenue exposure, as domestic demand remains subdued [50][55]. Other Important Insights 1. **Regulatory Environment**: The tightening of margin financing requirements is seen as a measure to prevent market overheating, with historical highs in A-share market turnover and margin financing balance [20][21]. 2. **Market Performance Around Key Events**: The HK equity market typically performs better before the Chinese New Year, while A-shares tend to do well before NPC meetings, with expectations of policy stimulus influencing market reactions [46][47]. 3. **Valuation and Risk Considerations**: Risks facing Chinese equities include a potential hard landing in the property market and slow structural reforms. Excessive stimulus could hinder the transition to a consumption-driven economy [57]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the current sentiment and outlook for the Chinese equity market, particularly in relation to US investors and regulatory impacts.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Autos & Shared Mobility - **Focus**: Autonomous Driving (AD) and Electric Vehicles (EVs) Core Insights 1. **Tesla's FSD Rollout in China**: Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) rollout in China could receive approval as early as February 2026, with discussions in the final stages, although stringent data scrutiny may cause delays [1][2][3] 2. **Impact on AD Supply Chain**: The potential approval of Tesla's FSD is expected to positively impact the AD supply chain and robotaxi players, potentially accelerating Level 3 (L3) license approvals and expanding Level 4 (L4) robotaxi operations [2][3] 3. **Regulatory Environment**: Improved Sino-US relations may facilitate regulatory approval for FSD in China, but local data capture and cloud access remain sensitive issues that require careful management [3][4] 4. **L3 Technology Adoption**: The Chinese government has been granting L3 AD permits since December 2025, with several local brands like Chang'an and XPeng receiving approvals. The rollout of Tesla's FSD could significantly boost the entire AD ecosystem in China [4][6] 5. **AI Technology Implications**: Tesla's suite of AI technologies could catalyze advancements in China's AI supply chain, positioning the country for long-term growth in this sector [5] 6. **Local Competition**: Local brands are preparing for the competitive impact of Tesla's FSD rollout, with expectations that major Chinese players will accelerate their own L3 development to maintain market share [6] Additional Important Points 1. **Stock Recommendations**: Preferred stocks in the China AD space include Hesai (HSAI.O) and WeRide (WRD.O), with Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) and Desay SV (002920.SZ) expected to benefit from faster adoption of Level 2 and above technologies [2][8] 2. **Market Dynamics**: The potential for Tesla's FSD to act as a quasi-robotaxi does not guarantee a smooth rollout for robotaxis in China, as this would involve more complex data collection and regulatory challenges [10] 3. **Valuation Methodology**: The report includes various valuation methodologies for companies like Huizhou Desay SV and Horizon Robotics, with key assumptions regarding WACC and growth rates [11][12][13] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and implications for the China Autos & Shared Mobility industry, particularly focusing on Tesla's developments and their potential impact on local competitors and the broader market.

Group 1 - The company has officially delivered its first batch of unmanned logistics vehicles, marking a significant entry into the unmanned logistics sector with the launch of the "Xiao Zhu Unmanned Vehicle" brand and two models, T5 and T8 [1] - The management has reported that the cumulative order volume has exceeded 1,000 units since the launch, with an expectation to deliver 10,000 unmanned logistics vehicles this year across cities like Shenzhen, Chengdu, Xi'an, and Jiangyin [1] - The introduction of the T5 and T8 models covers various logistics scenarios, including express logistics, urban distribution, and fresh cold chain, showcasing the company's ability to meet diverse market needs [1] Group 2 - The chairman and CEO, Dr. Liu Guoqing, purchased a total of 150,000 H shares in the open market, representing 0.04% of the company's issued shares, indicating confidence in the company's long-term investment value [2] - Horizon Robotics, a cornerstone investor, also increased its stake by acquiring 688,200 H shares this month, further demonstrating confidence in the company's future development [2] - The company has repurchased approximately 3 million H shares for a total amount of HKD 44.8786 million, reflecting its commitment to providing reasonable returns to shareholders [2] Group 3 - The company is accelerating its strategic layout in intelligent driving, gaining more designated projects from major manufacturers and continuing to advance its L4 business, which is expected to enhance revenue growth significantly [2] - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 are set at RMB 1.01 billion and RMB 1.6 billion, respectively, with anticipated year-on-year growth rates of 53.0% and 59.6% [2] - The target price is set at HKD 36.70, based on an 8x price-to-sales ratio, with a strong buy rating maintained [2]

Core Insights - Volkswagen AG has fallen to third place in China's auto market, overtaken by Geely Automobile Holdings Limited, marking a significant decline for the German automaker in the world's largest vehicle market [1][9] - The shift in market leadership indicates increasing pressure on traditional foreign automakers as domestic brands strengthen their positions [1][3] Market Share Dynamics - Volkswagen's joint ventures in China accounted for a 10.9% share of retail vehicle sales, down from 12.2% in 2024, while Geely's market share increased to 11% from 7.7% in 2025 [2] - BYD remains the market leader but saw its share decrease to 14.7% from 16.2% [2] Competitive Landscape - Established global automakers like Volkswagen, General Motors, and Toyota are losing ground to Chinese competitors due to a slower transition to electric vehicles, as Chinese consumers increasingly favor EVs supported by government incentives [3] Strategic Responses - Volkswagen is enhancing its localization efforts in China, including partnerships with Xpeng and Horizon Robotics to develop electric vehicle technologies and smart vehicle chips tailored for the Chinese market [4] - The company is also exploring opportunities to export vehicles developed and manufactured in China to international markets, similar to strategies employed by Chinese automakers like BYD [5] Global Performance - Volkswagen delivered approximately 4.73 million vehicles globally, with around 382,000 fully electric vehicles delivered in 2025, reflecting a slight decline of 0.2% [6] - Battery-electric models constituted 8.1% of Volkswagen's total vehicle deliveries for the year [6] Competitor Performance - BYD achieved sales of 4.6 million vehicles in 2025, a 7.7% increase from 2024, with sales evenly split between fully electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids [7] - Geely sold 3.02 million vehicles, meeting its target, and has set a sales goal of 3.45 million vehicles for 2026, indicating a projected growth of about 14% from 2025 [8]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - Focus on the Asia technology (hardware) sector, particularly the AI supply chain, as a priority investment area for 1H26 due to its significant influence on earnings growth amid concerns over smartphone/PC demand and auto production recovery [2][12] Core Themes and Stock Recommendations 1. **AI Supply Chain Investment**: - Emphasis on investing in the AI supply chain, which is expected to drive earnings growth despite potential slowdowns in other sectors [2][12] - Anticipation of clearer benefits from AI for earnings in 2026, with no signs of slowdown heading into 2027 [12] 2. **Under-the-Radar AI Themes**: - Five notable themes identified: 1. **Power Consumption**: Opportunities in power supply, power rack products, capacitors, and power semiconductors. Companies to watch include Delta Electronics, Panasonic HD, Murata Mfg., Taiyo Yuden, and Renesas Electronics [6][25] 2. **Data Transmission**: Advancements in large-scale data transmission technologies, with companies like Fujikura and Mitsubishi Electric highlighted [6][25] 3. **Niche Components**: Price stabilization and increases in demand for components like MLCCs and substrates, with key players including Murata Mfg. and SEMCO [6][25] 4. **Physical AI Integration**: Companies like Hitachi and Mitsubishi Electric are leading in embedding AI into industrial applications [6][27] 5. **Software/Services Disruption**: Generative AI's potential to improve productivity in Japan's software industry, with Fujitsu and NEC as key players [6][27] 3. **High-Profile Sub-Sectors**: - Continued growth in foundry, memory, semiconductor production equipment, AI servers, and edge AI, with recommended stocks including TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Hon Hai [30][31] Market Dynamics and Risks - **Top-Down Risks**: - Concerns regarding valuations, implementation risks, over-investment, monetization challenges, and funding sources, particularly with emerging players in the market [13] - **Bottom-Up Perspective**: - Fundamentals differ from the IT bubble of 2000, with a larger scale and longer timeline for AI infrastructure development, and sound supply chain management in Asian hardware [14][16] Technological Advancements - **Power Consumption Trends**: - Significant rise in power consumption for AI servers, with expectations for voltage increases to 800V and beyond, creating business opportunities for power-related products [33][38] - **Data Transmission Innovations**: - Transition to higher communication speeds (800-1.6Tbps) and co-packaged optics (CPO) expected to enhance industry value [58][59] Conclusion - The Asia technology sector, particularly the AI supply chain, presents substantial investment opportunities driven by technological advancements and evolving market dynamics. Key players and themes are positioned to benefit from these trends, while investors should remain cautious of potential risks associated with rapid market changes.

Summary of Horizon Robotics Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) - **Industry**: Smart driving technology and AI capabilities Key Points 1. Product Development - Management is committed to R&D, developing a BPU (brain processing units) platform for the next chipset, Journey 7, which is expected to enhance AI capabilities - Journey 7 is currently under design, aiming for completion in 1H27, with computing power projected to reach 1,500 to 2,000 TOPS, facilitating the migration of smart driving levels for car OEMs - The company is also working on chipsets that integrate smart cockpits and smart driving, positioning itself as a competitor to Qualcomm, with a launch planned for 2Q26 [2][3] 2. 2026 Outlook - Management is optimistic about growth in 2026, driven by the increasing smart driving trend in China, local car OEMs opting for more local suppliers, and product mix upgrades from ADAS to AD - Revenue growth is expected to outpace shipment growth due to product mix upgrades, with Geely identified as a key customer for growth in 2026E, alongside BYD, Chery, Changan, and FAW - China is anticipated to remain the primary market, with non-China markets expected to contribute by 2028E - Gross margin (GM) is believed to depend on product mix, with software yielding higher GM compared to domain controllers [3][4] 3. Competitive Landscape - Management is confident in their strong R&D capabilities and competitive price-to-performance ratio, which supports car OEMs in achieving smart driving - Transitioning from in-house solutions to third-party solutions may take time for car OEMs due to the longer product life cycle of automobiles compared to smartphones - Car OEMs have better balance sheets than smartphone manufacturers, allowing for sustained R&D investments - NVIDIA is viewed as a market leader, driving the adoption of smart driving across more car models, with Horizon Robotics aiming to be a significant player in this space [4][10] 4. Financial Projections - A 12-month target price of HK$15.30 is derived based on an EV/EBITDA multiple of 28.0x, using estimates of the company's 2029E EBITDA - The target price reflects a potential upside of 57.9% from the current price of HK$9.69 [9][11] 5. Risks - Key downside risks include: - Increased competition or pricing pressure in the auto supply chain amid slow demand - Slower-than-expected product mix upgrades towards AD - Delays in expanding the customer base - Supply chain risks due to geopolitical tensions [10][11] Additional Insights - The company is focused on continuous product mix upgrades to enhance dollar content per vehicle - Management's positive outlook is supported by ongoing trends in smart driving and localization within the automotive industry [1][3]

Core Viewpoint - Horizon Together Holding Ltd. has increased its stake in Youjia Innovation by acquiring a total of 688,200 H-shares, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term business development [2][3] Group 1: Investment Details - Horizon Together, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Horizon Robotics, has made this purchase in the open market [2] - The acquisition is based on the strong collaborative foundation between Horizon Robotics and Youjia Innovation over the years [3] Group 2: Business Collaboration - Youjia Innovation and Horizon Robotics have a deep partnership in the development of intelligent driving solutions and L4 unmanned logistics vehicle solutions [2] - Youjia Innovation's auxiliary driving domain controller products, developed based on Horizon Robotics' processing hardware, have achieved large-scale production and are being utilized by several leading domestic and international passenger and commercial vehicle manufacturers [2]

Summary of China Semiconductors Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Semiconductors - **Key Themes**: AI, memory, localization, and domestic substitution are driving growth in the semiconductor sector for 2026 [3][12][14] 2025 Review - **Domestic Substitution**: Continued to enhance in 2025 amid trade tensions, with a focus on domestic AI and memory super cycles [2][14] - **Performance**: Positive reactions from Chinese semiconductor stocks during trade tensions; however, some misjudgments on specific stocks like Cambricon and Silergy [2][19] - **Key Players**: NAURA, AMEC, Piotech, SMIC, Hua Hong, Hygon, and Horizon Robotics were highlighted as outperformers [10][17] 2026 Outlook - **Growth Projections**: Anticipated strong beta for China Semiconductors driven by AI, memory, and localization themes [3][4] - **Semicap Sector**: Expected EPS growth of ~30% with a potential P/E re-rate contributing another ~20% upside; NAURA and AMEC are top picks [4][10] - **AI Chips**: Cambricon's sales projected to double in 2026, with significant growth potential into 2027/28; Hygon expected to grow slower due to its existing CPU revenue base [5][49] - **Foundry Sector**: SMIC and Hua Hong expected to benefit from increased demand and capacity expansion [6][10] - **Smart Driving Chips**: Weaker new vehicle sales anticipated, but smart driving penetration expected to accelerate; Horizon Robotics positioned well against competitors [7][10] - **Analog Sector**: Recovery expected to be moderate due to weak macro conditions and high inventory levels; Silergy's performance remains uncertain [8][10] Investment Implications - **Ratings**: NAURA, AMEC, Piotech, SMIC, Hua Hong, Cambricon, Hygon, and Horizon Robotics rated as Outperform; Silergy as Market-Perform; Black Sesame as Underperform [10][12] Key Risks and Considerations - **Market Sentiment**: Long-term investors should be cautious about timing profit-taking if the market overheats [3][10] - **Supply Chain Dynamics**: Local supply chain developments are crucial, with expectations of significant growth in local AI chip production capacity by 2028 [25][26] - **NVIDIA H200 Sales**: Potential government regulations on NVIDIA H200 sales to China could impact local players' revenue growth [27][10] Additional Insights - **AI Narrative**: The "DeepSeek moment" in early 2025 marked a significant shift in market perception regarding China's AI capabilities, expanding the total addressable market for semiconductors [15][24] - **Memory Sector**: China's NAND production is expected to accelerate, with YMTC's technology returning to Global Tier 1 levels, creating competitive advantages [16][65] - **Localization Trends**: Continued emphasis on localization in semiconductor production, particularly in DRAM and matured logic sectors [66][10] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the China semiconductor industry, highlighting growth opportunities, investment implications, and potential risks for 2026.

Core Viewpoint - Horizon Together, a cornerstone investor of Youjia Innovation (02431), has purchased a total of 688,200 H-shares in the open market, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term business development [1][2] Group 1: Investment Activity - Horizon Together acquired 688,200 shares of Youjia Innovation, indicating strong belief in the company's future prospects [1] - The acquisition was made in the open market, showcasing Horizon Together's commitment to the company's growth [2] Group 2: Strategic Partnership - Horizon Together's decision to increase its stake is based on the long-standing collaboration between its parent company, Horizon Robotics, and Youjia Innovation [2] - The partnership focuses on the development of intelligent driving solutions and L4 unmanned logistics vehicles, aiming to leverage technology and resources for rapid business growth [2] - The board of Youjia Innovation views this acquisition as a strong endorsement of the company's future and long-term development [2]