吃喝板块今日（12月10日）逆市拉升。反映吃喝板块整体走势的食品ETF（515710）开盘短暂下探后迅 速拉升翻红，盘中场内价格最高涨幅达到0.68%，截至发稿，涨0.34%。 有分析指出，贵州出台白酒销售新政，旨在通过线上线下多渠道联动与跨界融合，为产业注入新活力。 该政策将直接利好贵州白酒企业，为其开辟了商超、交通枢纽、积分商城等增量场景，有助于稳定市场 预期并拓宽增长路径。 从估值方面来看，吃喝板块估值处于历史低位，当前或为板块左侧布局较好时机。数据显示，截至昨日 （12月9日）收盘，食品ETF（515710）标的指数细分食品指数市盈率为19.93倍，位于近10年来4.11% 分位点的低位，中长期配置性价比凸显。 展望后市，湘财证券指出，当前板块估值分位数处于历史低位，随着市场风格切换，已逐步显现相对收 益，建议关注基本面压力释放后的底部回暖机遇与估值修复潜力。建议关注两条主线：一是需求稳定、 抗风险能力强的龙头；二是积极布局新品新渠道新场景、抢占高增长赛道的企业。 太平洋证券表示，从股价层面来看，当前白酒板块的调整已较为充分，悲观预期在股价中得到显著反 映，估值已进入历史低位区间，长期配置价值凸显。当 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guizhou Moutai's Q3 report indicates a strategic slowdown in growth to help the industry manage inventory pressure, despite maintaining over 6% growth in total revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of the year [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first three quarters exceeded 130.9 billion yuan, with net profit around 64.6 billion yuan, both showing growth of over 6% [1] - In Q3 alone, revenue and profit growth slowed to approximately 0.3%, nearly flat compared to previous periods [1] Industry Context - Industry experts suggest that Moutai's decision to slow down is a proactive measure to assist the sector in digesting inventory pressures, rather than a pursuit of high growth [1] - While Moutai's core products continue to perform well, series products and the online platform iMoutai are experiencing market pressure [1] - Moutai's adjustment sets a positive example for other liquor companies in the industry [1] Investment Opportunities - Following recent adjustments, the stock prices in the liquor sector are at relatively low levels, prompting some institutions to believe that now may be a good time to invest in the food and beverage sector [1] - Analysts indicate that signals of a bottoming out in the liquor industry are becoming more apparent, with well-managed leading companies likely to see better development in the future [1] ETF Insights - The Food and Beverage ETF (515170) tracks the CSI segmented food and beverage industry theme index, focusing on high-barrier and resilient sectors such as liquor, beverages, dairy products, and seasoning [1] - The top ten constituent stocks include major players like Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, and Fenjiu, providing investors with a convenient way to access core assets in the food and beverage sector [1] - Compared to the high minimum investment thresholds of individual constituent stocks, the ETF offers a more accessible investment tool for smaller capital [1]

Group 1 - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a downturn, with the Food ETF (515710) showing a decline of 0.64% as of the report time [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector, particularly in the liquor and consumer goods categories, are seeing significant drops, with Meihua Biological down over 3% and several others down more than 1% [1][2] - The report indicates that the overall performance of the food and beverage sector is under pressure due to policy impacts and increased competition, leading to reduced profit margins for companies [1][4] Group 2 - The valuation of the food and beverage sector is at a historical low, with the Food ETF's underlying index PE ratio at 21.22 times, indicating a potential opportunity for left-side positioning [3] - The report highlights that leading liquor companies are showing resilience despite the pressure on their financial statements, suggesting a potential for high-quality development in the coming year [4][5] - The demand side is expected to improve gradually, with policies likely to become less restrictive, which may drive demand recovery in the sector [5]

Core Insights - Guizhou Moutai (600519) reported total revenue exceeding 130.9 billion yuan and net profit around 64.6 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, both showing over 6% growth [1] - In Q3 alone, revenue and profit growth slowed to approximately 0.3%, nearly flat [1] - Industry experts suggest that Moutai is intentionally slowing down to help the industry digest inventory pressure rather than pursuing aggressive growth [1] Company Performance - The core Moutai liquor continues to sell well, but series liquor and the online platform iMoutai are experiencing market pressure [1] - Moutai's proactive adjustment sets a positive example for other liquor companies in the industry [1] Market Outlook - The white liquor sector's stock prices are currently at relatively low levels, prompting many institutions to consider this a good time to invest in the food and beverage sector [1] - Analysts indicate that signals of a bottoming out in the white liquor industry are increasing, with well-managed leading companies expected to see better development in the future [1] Investment Tools - The Food and Beverage ETF (515170) tracks the CSI segmented food and beverage industry index, focusing on high-barrier and resilient sectors like liquor, beverages, and seasoning products [1] - The top ten constituent stocks include major brands such as Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, and Fenjiu, providing investors with a convenient way to access core assets in the "food and beverage" sector [1]

Group 1: Market Performance - The food and beverage sector has shown strong performance, leading the market with a 3.64% increase in the food ETF (515710) as of the close on November 10 [1][3] - Major liquor stocks experienced significant gains, with Shede Liquor and Jiu Gui Liquor hitting the daily limit, and Luzhou Laojiao rising by 8.23% [1][3] Group 2: Capital Inflow - The food and beverage sector attracted over 10 billion CNY in net inflows from main funds in a single day, ranking first among 30 sectors [3][4] - The food ETF (515710) has seen a net inflow of over 1.2 billion CNY in the last five trading days and more than 2.4 billion CNY in the last ten trading days [4][5] Group 3: Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The valuation of the food and beverage sector is currently at a historical low, with the food ETF's underlying index PE ratio at 20.59, indicating a good entry point for long-term investments [6][7] - Analysts suggest that the food and beverage industry is gradually bottoming out, with opportunities to invest in liquor stocks at low prices [7][8]

Group 1 - The food and beverage sector is experiencing significant gains, with the Food ETF (515710) showing an intraday price increase of up to 3.8%, closing with a rise of 3.47% [1] - Major stocks in the liquor industry are performing exceptionally well, with Shide Liquor and Jiu Gui Liquor hitting the daily limit, and Luzhou Laojiao increasing by over 8% [1] - The food and beverage sector has attracted substantial capital inflow, with the food and beverage sector recording a net inflow of over 96 billion yuan in a single day, leading among 30 major sectors [3] Group 2 - The Food ETF (515710) has seen a net inflow of over 1.2 billion yuan in the last five trading days and over 2.4 billion yuan in the last ten trading days, indicating strong investor interest [2] - The valuation of the food and beverage sector is at a historical low, with the price-to-earnings ratio of the Food ETF's underlying index at 20.59, which is in the 7.55% percentile of the last ten years, suggesting a favorable long-term investment opportunity [2] - Analysts suggest focusing on liquor companies that are showing early signs of recovery and growth potential, as the sector is entering a phase of pressure relief and performance recovery [4] Group 3 - The Food ETF (515710) tracks the CSI segmented food and beverage industry index, with approximately 60% of its holdings in leading high-end and mid-range liquor stocks, and nearly 40% in leading stocks from beverages, dairy, condiments, and beer [4] - Investors can also consider the Food ETF linked funds (Class A 012548/Class C 012549) for exposure to core assets in the food and beverage sector [4]

Group 1 - The food and beverage sector experienced a decline on October 24, with the Food ETF (515710) closing down 1.13% after fluctuating near the surface at the opening [1] - Key stocks in the sector, particularly in the liquor category, saw significant drops, with Zhujiang Beer down 5.23%, and both Luzhou Laojiao and Shede Distillery falling over 4% [1] - The overall performance of the sector was negatively impacted by declines in several stocks, including Miaokelando and New Dairy, which dropped over 3% and 2% respectively [1] Group 2 - Guosen Securities noted that as the impact of second-quarter consumption policies weakens, the restaurant supply chain is gradually recovering, with positive signals from the supply side, such as frequent mergers among leading companies [2] - The food and beverage sector is currently at a low valuation, with the food ETF's price-to-earnings ratio at 20.49, which is at the 7.06% percentile of the past decade, indicating a favorable configuration opportunity [2] - Historical trends suggest that any changes in supply and demand could catalyze stock price increases, especially in the fourth quarter when macro policies are expected to be active [2] Group 3 - Future outlook indicates that the food and beverage industry will focus on growth, with beverage leaders maintaining structural prosperity driven by major products, while companies in food raw materials and health products are expected to see accelerated performance [3] - The white liquor industry is currently in a "low expectation, weak reality" state, with the third-quarter reports being a crucial observation window as external factors diminish and liquor companies adjust strategies [3] - There is a mixed performance in consumer goods, with snacks, beverages, and health products showing good demand, while traditional products like dairy and beer are experiencing flat demand [3] Group 4 - Major liquor brands such as Luzhou Laojiao and Yanghe have launched new products recently, indicating ongoing innovation in the sector [4] - Luzhou Laojiao's new product was launched on Douyin, while Yanghe's new offering was showcased during the Nanjing Autumn Sugar event [4] Group 5 - The Food ETF (515710) focuses on core assets in the food and beverage sector, with approximately 60% of its portfolio allocated to high-end and mid-range liquor leaders, and nearly 40% to leading stocks in beverages, dairy, and condiments [5] - The top ten weighted stocks in the ETF include well-known brands such as Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili [5] - Investors can also access the core assets of the food and beverage sector through the Food ETF linked funds [5]

Group 1 - The food and beverage sector continues to rise, with the Food ETF (515710) showing a maximum intraday increase of 0.64% and closing up 0.48% [1][2] - Notable stock performances include Jin Dawei surging by 7.92%, Yan Jin Pu Zi increasing by 6.41%, and both Chengde Lulu and Yanjing Beer rising over 4% [1][2] - Recent inflows into the food and beverage sector ETFs have been significant, with the Food ETF (515710) seeing a net subscription of 42.16 million yuan over the last five trading days [1][2] Group 2 - Wuliangye announced the results of its share buyback plan, acquiring 6.2733 million shares, representing 0.16% of total shares, for approximately 800 million yuan [3] - Wuliangye is the largest holding in the Food ETF (515710), accounting for 14.65% of the fund's assets as of the second quarter of 2025 [3][4] Group 3 - Analysts suggest that the current low valuation period for the liquor sector presents a mid-to-long-term investment opportunity [4] - The Food ETF (515710) tracks a food and beverage index with a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.44, which is at a low percentile compared to the last decade [4] Group 4 - The food and beverage sector is characterized by low expectations and low holdings, indicating potential for price increases with any changes in supply and demand [5] - The sector is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at promoting quality development, which may enhance market confidence [5] - The Food ETF (515710) has a significant allocation to leading high-end liquor stocks and other beverage segments, making it a focal point for investors [5]

Core Viewpoint - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a pullback, with the Food ETF (515710) showing volatility in its performance, reflecting broader market trends [1][3]. Market Performance - The Food ETF (515710) opened weakly but later attempted to recover before declining again, currently down by 0.48% [1]. - Major consumer goods stocks, particularly in the liquor segment, are underperforming, with several stocks like Yanjinpuzi and Guangzhou Restaurant dropping over 2% [1]. Fund Flows - The Food ETF (515710) has seen significant inflows, with a net subscription of over 95 million yuan in the last five trading days and over 190 million yuan in the past 20 days [3]. Industry Trends - The liquor industry is shifting towards quality enhancement, brand influence, and cultural expression, with younger consumers favoring personalized and lower-alcohol options [3]. - The upcoming Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day are expected to impact liquor sales, with a focus on the performance of mid-range and resilient regional brands [4]. Valuation Insights - The food and beverage sector is currently at a low valuation, with the Food ETF's underlying index PE ratio at 20.49, which is in the lower 6.46% percentile over the past decade, indicating a potential good entry point for investors [3]. Future Outlook - The liquor sector is expected to face challenges in the short term due to policy impacts and demand pressures, but a recovery is anticipated in the latter half of the year as conditions improve [4]. - The sales channels for liquor are showing a mixed performance, with traditional channels under pressure while new retail formats are growing rapidly [4][5].

Group 1 - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a pullback, with the Food ETF (515710) showing a significant decline of 1.43% at the close, and individual stocks like Dongpeng Beverage and Shede Liquor dropping over 3% [1][3] - Despite the recent downturn, the Food ETF has seen net inflows of 69.18 million yuan over the last five trading days, indicating continued investor interest [3][4] - The white liquor sector is under demand pressure, but there are signs of improvement in sales performance as the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day approach, suggesting a potential recovery in the market [3][5] Group 2 - The current valuation of the food and beverage sector is at a low point, with the food index's price-to-earnings ratio at 20.74, which is in the 7.06% percentile of the last decade, indicating a good time for long-term investment [4][5] - The government’s advocacy for reducing competition is expected to stabilize prices and support high-quality development, which may lead to a recovery in the liquor sector [5][6] - The white liquor sector is entering a peak season, with signs of improved sales and inventory reduction, suggesting that the bottoming out of the sector may present investment opportunities [6][7]