[Table_Reportdate] 2025年07月11日 [table_invest] 超配 行 业 简 评 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 商俭 S0630525060002 shangjian@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] -22% -8% 7% 21% 36% 50% 64% 24-07 24-10 25-01 25-04 申万行业指数:机械设备(0764) 沪深300 [Table_NewTitle 上半年挖掘机 ] 内销大增，新兴国家加速 渗透 ——机械设备行业简评 [table_main] 投资要点： 装载机：2025年6月销售各类装载机12014台，同比增长11.3%。其中国内6015台，同比增 长13.6%；出口5999台，同比增长9.11%。2025年6月销售电动装载机3049台。2025年上 半年共销售装载机64769台，同比增长13.6%。 ➢ 风险提示：贸易摩擦风险；海外需求放缓；市场竞争风险；政策不及预期风险。 行 业 研 究 [table_product] ➢ 事件：中国工程机械工业协会发布2025年6月主要企业挖掘机和装载机销 ...

长龄液压晚间公告，根据2025年7月10日，核芯听涛与夏继发、夏泽民，澄联双盈与夏继发分别签署的 《股份转让协议》，核芯听涛、澄联双盈拟协议收购夏继发、夏泽民持有的长龄液压43,211,714股股份，占长 龄液压股份总数的29.99%。 核芯破浪向除收购人及其一致行动人以外的长龄液压全体股东发出的部分要约，预定要约收购股份数量 为17,290,448 股股份（占上市公司股份比例为12.00%），要约收购价格为36.24元/股。本次要约收购以核芯 听涛、澄联双盈拟协议收购夏继发、夏泽民持有的长龄液压43,211,714股股份为前提。本次要约收购所需资金 总额预计不超过626,605,835.52元。 本次要约收购完成后，收购人核芯破浪及其一致行动人最多合计持有长龄液压60,502,162股股份，占上市公 司股份总数的41.99%。上市公司的实际控制人将变更为 胡康桥 。 经公司向上海证券交易所申请，公司股票将于2025年7月11日（星期五）开市起复牌。 专业工程机械用液压关键零部件 江苏长龄液压股份有限公司（长龄液压）成立于2006年12月，于2021年3月22日在上交所上市，股票代 码605389，是一家拥有 ...

Core Viewpoint - The excavator sales in China showed significant growth in the first half of the year, exceeding expectations, with a total of 120,520 units sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.8% [1] Sales Performance - In the first half of the year, domestic sales reached 65,637 units, up 22.9%, while exports totaled 54,883 units, marking a 10.2% increase [1] - In June alone, excavator sales reached 18,804 units, a 13.3% year-on-year increase, with domestic sales at 8,136 units (up 6.2%) and exports at 10,668 units (up 19.3%) [3] Market Trends - After a brief decline in May, domestic excavator sales rebounded in June, supported by accelerating second-hand machine exports and policy-driven demand [2] - The construction machinery industry is experiencing a recovery, with the real estate sector's negative impact on excavator sales diminishing and infrastructure investment remaining resilient [3] Export Dynamics - The export value of China's construction machinery in May was 36.168 billion yuan, a 10.1% increase year-on-year, with a total export value of 165.91 billion yuan from January to May, also up 10.2% [4] - Emerging markets in the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa are driving demand, with Chinese equipment's cost-performance advantage facilitating market expansion [4] Industry Outlook - Major construction machinery companies are optimistic about the market recovery, with expectations of stable growth in domestic and overseas markets [5][7] - The industry is anticipated to continue its upward trajectory, driven by infrastructure investments, new urbanization, and the increasing penetration of renewable energy products [9]

中国工程机械工业协会最新统计显示，今年上半年 挖掘机总销量达12.05万台，同比增长16.8%。记者 从 柳工方面获悉，受益于矿山、水利工程及设备更新政策，预计下半年国内土方设备需求仍将保持稳 定的正增长，全年有望保持两位数以上增速；今年海外整体需求仍将下滑但不同区域存在分化。 中联 重科相关人士表示，行业复苏趋势已由挖机初步传导至非挖，在强化内需的宏观背景下，今年全年内销 预计驶入增长轨道。公司矿山板块产能较年初实现 3 倍增长，公司看好农机、矿机等新兴产业的海外增 长空间。（记者 黄路） ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" for the machinery equipment sector, specifically for construction machinery [5][28]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a recovery in excavator sales in June 2025, with total sales reaching 18,800 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%. Domestic sales were 8,136 units, down 3% month-on-month but up 6% year-on-year, while exports were 10,700 units, up 19% year-on-year [1][2]. - The growth in second-hand excavator exports is expected to drive domestic replacement demand, with a notable increase in the market share of domestic brands overseas [1][4]. - The report highlights that domestic infrastructure investment has shown slight improvement, with a 5.6% year-on-year increase in completed investment in the first five months of 2025 [2]. Summary by Sections Excavator Sales and Market Trends - In June 2025, excavator sales showed a recovery, with a total of 18,800 units sold, marking a 13.3% increase year-on-year. The domestic market saw sales of 8,136 units, while exports reached 10,700 units, reflecting a 19% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The report emphasizes the role of second-hand excavator exports in supporting domestic demand, with May exports showing a 52% year-on-year increase [3]. Domestic Demand and Infrastructure Investment - The report notes a slight improvement in domestic demand, with new housing starts down 22.8% year-on-year in the first five months, a slight narrowing from a 23.8% decline in the previous period. Infrastructure investment, excluding electricity, increased by 5.6% year-on-year [2]. - The report anticipates that improved project funding will gradually translate into construction and equipment usage [2]. Recommendations for Key Companies - The report recommends key companies in the industry, including SANY Heavy Industry (600031 CH) with a target price of 23.10, LiuGong (000528 CH) with a target price of 14.55, and Hengli Hydraulic (601100 CH) with a target price of 82.00, all rated as "Buy" [6][10].

据中国工程机械工业协会对挖掘机主要制造企业统计，2025年6月销售各类挖掘机18804台，同比增长13.3%。 其中国内销量8136台，同比增长6.2%；出口量10668台，同比增长19.3%。 2023年 挖掘机 数据回顾 2022年 挖掘机 数据回顾 2025年1—6月，共销售挖掘机120520台，同比增长16.8%；其中国内销量65637台，同比增长22.9%；出口 54883台，同比增长10.2%。 2025年6月销售电动挖掘机27台（6吨以下11台，10至18.5吨级4台，18.5至28.5吨级12台）。 [数据来源：中国工程机械工业协会] 2025年 挖掘机 数据回顾 2024年 挖掘机 数据回顾 ◆ 2025年5月挖掘机国内销量8392台，同比下降1.48% ◆ 2025年4月挖掘机国内销量12547台，同比增长16.4% ◆ 2025年3月挖掘机国内市场销量19517台，同比增长28.5% ◆ 2025年2月挖掘机国内市场销量11640台，同比增长99.4% ◆ 2025年1月挖掘机国内市场销量5405台，同比下降0.3% ◆ 2024年12月挖掘机国内市场销量9312台，同比增长22.1% ...

据中国工程机械工业协会统计： 2025年6月工程机械主要产品月平均工作时长为77.2小时，同比下降9.11%，环比下降8.56%。其中：挖掘机 64.2小时；装载机92.7小时；汽车起重机109小时；履带起重机86.6小时；塔式起重机47.7小时；压路机35.1小 时；摊铺机44.7小时；旋挖钻机61.3小时；非公路矿用自卸车142小时；混凝土泵车42.7小时；搅拌车64.7小 时；叉车92.7小时。 2025年6月工程机械主要产品月开工率为56.9%，同比下降7.55个百分点，环比下降2.65个百分点。其中：挖掘 机58.2%；装载机59.5%；汽车起重机73.3%；履带起重机58.7%；塔式起重机39.5%；压路机45.7%；摊铺机 57.1%；旋挖钻机45%；非公路矿用自卸车47.4%；混凝土泵车37.7%；搅拌车34.7%；叉车53.4%。 【来源：中国工程机械工业协会】 2024年开工情况 数据回顾 2025年开工情况 数据回顾 ◆ 2024年12月工程机械主要产品月平均工作时长为93.9小时，环比下降2.91% ◆ 2024年10月工程机械主要产品月平均工作时长为88.9小时，环比下降1.24% ...

Core Viewpoint - The excavator industry serves as a key indicator for infrastructure construction and fixed asset investment in China, with recent data showing a continuous increase in the workload of construction machinery across multiple provinces, indicating ongoing progress in major projects such as roads and bridges [1]. Summary by Sections National Overview - In May, the national construction machinery operating rate was 47.34%, with the top ten provinces being Anhui, Beijing, Zhejiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Hainan, Hebei, Qinghai, Jiangxi, and Ningxia. Qinghai saw the highest month-on-month growth rate of 3.14% [2]. - Sixteen provinces experienced a month-on-month increase in workload, with eight provinces, including Heilongjiang, Qinghai, Jilin, Tibet, Beijing, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Ningxia, showing growth rates exceeding 10% [3]. Equipment Performance - The operating rate for road construction equipment was 29.83% in May, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1.72% and a year-on-year increase of 1.87%. Notably, the operating rate of pavers increased by 4.22%, with a workload growth of 14.65% [4]. - The Northeast region led with an operating rate of 60.39%, showing a month-on-month increase of 17.01%. Excavation equipment in this region had an operating rate of 65.82%, the highest in the country [6]. Regional Highlights - The Northeast region's workload increased by 3.58% year-on-year, with significant month-on-month growth of 17.01%. The region's operating rates for various equipment types, including excavators and crawler cranes, were the highest nationally [6]. - The Western region's operating rate was 53.77%, ranking second nationally. Notably, the workload for crawler cranes in Ningxia surged by 249.03% year-on-year, indicating strong growth driven by favorable policies in infrastructure and international trade [7][8]. - The Eastern region's operating rate was 46.4%, with concrete equipment leading at an operating rate of 47.05%. Various concrete-related equipment also ranked first nationally in their respective categories [9].

Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry in China is experiencing a recovery, with significant growth in export values despite a decline in import values in recent months [7][8]. Trade Data Summary - In May 2025, China's engineering machinery import and export trade amounted to $5.238 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, with imports at $214 million (down 0.74%) and exports at $5.024 billion (up 8.51%) [1]. - In April 2025, the trade total was $5.377 billion, a 12% increase year-on-year, with imports at $226 million (down 2.2%) and exports at $5.152 billion (up 12.7%) [2]. - For March 2025, the trade value was $5.167 billion, reflecting a 7.53% year-on-year growth, with imports at $255 million (down 5.85%) and exports at $4.912 billion (up 8.33%) [2]. - The cumulative trade from January to May 2025 reached $24.185 billion, an 8.49% increase year-on-year, with imports totaling $1.09 billion (down 0.86%) and exports at $23.095 billion (up 8.98%) [3]. - From January to April 2025, the trade value was $18.947 billion, an 8.51% increase year-on-year, with imports at $877 million (down 0.86%) and exports at $18.07 billion (up 9.01%) [4]. Export Performance - In April 2025, the export value was 36.966 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, while the cumulative export from January to April was 129.738 billion yuan, up 10.3% [5]. - In March 2025, the export value was 35.231 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.51% year-on-year increase, with the first quarter's total exports at 92.787 billion yuan, up 8.99% [6]. - The export value for January 2025 was 34.001 billion yuan, a 16.8% increase year-on-year, while February saw a decline to 23.558 billion yuan, down 1.27% [6]. Market Dynamics - The engineering machinery industry is expected to see improved conditions, with a notable increase in demand and a positive outlook for the coming months [9][10].

Group 1 - In May 2025, a total of 18,202 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.12%. Domestic sales were 8,392 units, down 1.48%, while exports reached 9,810 units, up 5.42% [1] - From January to May 2025, a total of 101,716 excavators were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 17.4%. Domestic sales were 57,501 units, up 25.7%, and exports were 44,215 units, up 8.2% [2] - In May 2025, 36 electric excavators were sold, with various weight categories contributing to the total [3] Group 2 - In May 2025, a total of 10,535 loaders were sold, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.24%. Domestic sales were 6,037 units, up 16.7%, while exports were 4,498 units, down 3.31% [4][5] - From January to May 2025, a total of 52,755 loaders were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.1%. Domestic sales were 29,607 units, up 25.4%, and exports were 23,148 units, up 2.39% [5] Group 3 - In May 2025, 649 graders were sold, down 3.28% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 112 units, up 31.8%, while exports were 537 units, down 8.36% [7] - From January to May 2025, a total of 3,580 graders were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.9%. Domestic sales were 677 units, up 40.7%, and exports were 2,903 units, up 10.1% [7] Group 4 - In May 2025, 1,748 truck cranes were sold, down 8.1% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 978 units, down 3.36%, while exports were 770 units, down 13.5% [7] - From January to May 2025, a total of 9,103 truck cranes were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.94%. Domestic sales were 5,181 units, down 13.8%, and exports were 3,922 units, down 1.61% [8] Group 5 - In May 2025, 261 crawler cranes were sold, up 31.8% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 56 units, down 3.45%, while exports were 205 units, up 46.4% [10] - From January to May 2025, a total of 1,282 crawler cranes were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.25%. Domestic sales were 402 units, down 1.23%, and exports were 880 units, up 8.51% [11] Group 6 - In May 2025, 1,681 truck-mounted cranes were sold, down 20.3% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 1,286 units, down 27.5%, while exports were 395 units, up 18.6% [13] - From January to May 2025, a total of 10,695 truck-mounted cranes were sold, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.85%. Domestic sales were 8,535 units, down 6.71%, and exports were 2,160 units, up 9.42% [14] Group 7 - In May 2025, 538 tower cranes were sold, down 28.4% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 292 units, down 51.7%, while exports were 246 units, up 67.3% [15] - From January to May 2025, a total of 2,334 tower cranes were sold, marking a year-on-year decrease of 36.6%. Domestic sales were 1,278 units, down 57.1%, and exports were 1,056 units, up 51.1% [16] Group 8 - In May 2025, 123,472 forklifts were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.8%. Domestic sales were 79,129 units, up 9.25%, while exports were 44,343 units, up 16.6% [17] - From January to May 2025, a total of 601,764 forklifts were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.33%. Domestic sales were 392,490 units, up 6.66%, and exports were 209,274 units, up 14.7% [18] Group 9 - In May 2025, 1,589 rollers were sold, up 17% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 577 units, up 6.07%, while exports were 1,012 units, up 24.3% [19] - From January to May 2025, a total of 7,772 rollers were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 23.7%. Domestic sales were 2,905 units, up 10.8%, and exports were 4,867 units, up 32.9% [20] Group 10 - In May 2025, 149 pavers were sold, up 30.7% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 107 units, up 33.8%, while exports were 42 units, up 23.5% [21] - From January to May 2025, a total of 708 pavers were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.4%. Domestic sales were 521 units, up 32.2%, and exports were 187 units, up 29% [22] Group 11 - In May 2025, 15,653 aerial work platforms were sold, down 26.2% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 5,284 units, down 48.1%, while exports were 10,369 units, down 5.8% [25] - From January to May 2025, a total of 74,533 aerial work platforms were sold, marking a year-on-year decrease of 33.5%. Domestic sales were 29,191 units, down 48.3%, and exports were 45,342 units, down 18.4% [26] Group 12 - In May 2025, 296 high-altitude work vehicles were sold, down 33.3% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 286 units, down 34.1%, while exports remained flat at 10 units [26] - From January to May 2025, a total of 1,906 high-altitude work vehicles were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.2%. Domestic sales were 1,803 units, up 9.74%, and exports were 103 units, up 87.3% [27]