Group 1 - The military industry sector continues to strengthen, with the aerospace ETF (159277) rising by 2.44% and a trading volume of 141 million yuan, leading its category [1] - Key stocks such as Great Wall Military Industry and Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group have shown significant gains, with Great Wall Military Industry hitting the daily limit and Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group rising over 8% [1] - The ongoing escalation of geopolitical conflicts and the continuous increase in global military spending highlight the technological advantages of Chinese military enterprises in areas like drones, fighter jets, and missiles, making the aerospace sector a core beneficiary [1] Group 2 - The aerospace ETF (159277) closely tracks the National Aerospace Index, focusing on the core track of China's military industry and strategically positioning itself in cutting-edge aerospace technologies [1] - The index covers critical industry chain segments such as aviation equipment, aerospace equipment, satellite navigation, and new materials, aligning with national defense modernization and high-end equipment upgrade strategies [1] - The component stocks are selected from leading enterprises in the military sector, encompassing emerging fields like large aircraft manufacturing, low-altitude economy, and commercial aerospace, capturing the rapid development of national defense technology [1] Group 3 - According to Zhongyou Securities, by 2025, the military industry is expected to see a turning point in orders as the "Centenary of the Army Building" goal enters its second half, with new technologies aimed at improving equipment performance or reducing costs [1] - New products representing new domains and new types of combat forces, along with military trade and military technology transformation, are anticipated to create new market directions with greater elasticity [1] - The recommendation is to focus on the aerospace main line as the military industry evolves [1]

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the first deployment of US nuclear weapons in the UK in 17 years, with the B61-12 thermonuclear gravity bombs being stationed at RAF Lakenheath, enhancing NATO's tactical nuclear capabilities [4][13] - Ongoing conflicts between Thailand and Cambodia have resulted in military engagements, indicating potential geopolitical risks that may affect defense spending and military operations in the region [5][16] - Looking ahead to 2025, the military industry is expected to see a turning point in orders, driven by new technologies and products aimed at improving equipment performance and reducing costs [6][17] Summary by Sections 1. Investment Highlights - The report suggests focusing on two main investment themes: aerospace and "gap-filling" new priorities, including companies like Fihua, Fenghuo Electronics, and others [6][17] - The second theme involves new technologies, products, and market directions with greater elasticity, featuring companies such as Aerospace Intelligence and Guangdong Hongda [6][17] 2. Market Overview - The China Securities Military Industry Index rose by 1.51%, while the Shenwan Military Industry Index increased by 1.28%, indicating a positive trend in the military sector compared to broader market indices [18] - The top ten performing stocks in the military sector included Xinguang Optoelectronics (+32.55%) and Boyun New Materials (+25.16%), showcasing significant gains [19][20] 3. Valuation Levels - As of July 25, 2025, the China Securities Military Industry Index stood at 11,987.24, with a PE-TTM valuation of 118.72 and a PB valuation of 3.70, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to historical levels [21][24] - The report provides detailed valuation percentiles for various military companies, highlighting significant differences in market performance [24] 4. Data Tracking - The report tracks recent capital increases and stock incentive plans among military companies, indicating ongoing financial activities that may impact stock performance [27][29] - It also notes significant orders in the low-altitude economy sector, with a $1.75 billion order for eVTOL aircraft, reflecting growth opportunities in emerging markets [31][32]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the defense industry is experiencing a bullish trend, with the China Securities Defense Index rising by 0.80% and several constituent stocks showing significant gains, such as Steel Research High-Tech up by 7.25% [1] - As of July 20, 2025, among 120 tracked defense industry listed companies, 37 have disclosed their H1 2025 performance forecasts, with 14 companies expecting positive year-on-year growth [1] - The defense industry is anticipated to reach a turning point in orders as the "Centenary Goal of Military Building" enters its second half, driven by new technologies and products aimed at enhancing equipment performance and reducing costs [1] Group 2 - The China Securities Defense Index closely tracks the performance of listed companies under the ten major military groups and those providing weaponry and equipment to the armed forces [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Defense Index account for 43.29% of the index, with companies like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and AVIC Engine Holdings among the leaders [2] - The Defense ETF has the lowest management and custody fees in its category at 0.40%, making it an attractive option for investors [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - As of July 20, 2025, among the 120 tracked defense industry listed companies, 37 have disclosed their H1 2025 earnings forecasts, with significant growth in the shipbuilding and defense information sectors [5][12] - The defense information sector shows high growth potential, with companies like Gaode Infrared and Chengchang Technology forecasting net profit growth rates of 846% and 335% respectively [6][12] - The shipbuilding sector also demonstrates strong performance, with companies such as China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry predicting net profit growth rates of 109% and 105% respectively [6][12] - The report suggests that the defense industry is expected to see an inflection point in orders, driven by new technologies and products aimed at enhancing equipment performance and reducing costs [14] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the defense industry is at 1669.63, with a 52-week high of 1712.48 and a low of 1113.62 [2] Performance Analysis - The defense sector index has outperformed the broader market, with a 2.58% increase in the China Securities Defense Index and a 2.26% increase in the Shenwan Defense Index [15] - The top-performing stocks in the defense sector this week include Yingliu Co. (+20.37%) and Feiliwa (+15.98%) [18] Earnings Forecasts - Among the 37 companies that disclosed earnings forecasts, 14 expect positive growth, while 12 anticipate losses [12] - Notable companies with high growth forecasts include Nairui Radar, Gaode Infrared, and China Heavy Industry, all projecting substantial increases in net profits [6][12] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on two main investment themes: aerospace and new technologies/products with greater elasticity [14] - Suggested companies for investment include Feiliwa, Gaode Infrared, and China Shipbuilding among others [14] Valuation Metrics - As of July 18, 2025, the defense sector's PE-TTM valuation stands at 117.29, with 83.01% of historical data indicating lower valuations [20][22]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the mixed performance of the aerospace industry index, with specific stocks like China Shipbuilding Emergency (300527) and Great Wall Military Industry (601606) showing significant gains, while Zhenxin Technology (300101) led the decline [1] - The Aerospace ETF (159227) has seen continuous net inflows over the past 14 days, with a peak single-day net inflow of 49.81 million yuan, totaling 334 million yuan, averaging 23.88 million yuan daily [1] - The successful launch of the Long March 7 Yao 10 rocket carrying the Tianzhou 9 cargo spacecraft marks a significant achievement in China's space endeavors, with the spacecraft docking with the space station approximately three hours post-launch [1] Group 2 - The Aerospace ETF (159227) tracks the National Aerospace Index, with a high concentration of 98.2% in the defense and military sector, making it the purest military ETF in the market [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Aerospace Industry Index (CN5082) as of June 30, 2025, include companies like Guangqi Technology (002625) and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation (600760), collectively accounting for 49.42% of the index [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the mixed performance of the aerospace industry index, with notable gains from companies like China Shipbuilding Emergency (up 15.33%) and Hailanxin (up 10.57%), while Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group led the declines [1] - The Aerospace ETF (159227) shows active trading with a turnover rate of 12.24% and a total transaction volume of 42.3766 million yuan, indicating strong market activity [1] - The Aerospace ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past four days, with a peak single-day net inflow of 29.1454 million yuan, totaling 84.8466 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The military industry is expected to experience a turning point in orders as the "Centenary of the Army Building Goals" enters its second half, with new technologies and products offering greater market flexibility [2] - The Aerospace ETF (159227) tracks the National Aerospace Index, with a high concentration of defense and military industry stocks, accounting for 98.2% of its portfolio [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Aerospace Industry Index (CN5082) account for 49.42% of the index, including companies like Guangqi Technology and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Viewpoints - A military parade will be held on September 3, showcasing both traditional main battle forces and new domain capabilities, reflecting the modernization of the military [12][13] - The military industry is expected to see a turning point in orders in 2025, driven by new technologies and products aimed at enhancing equipment performance and reducing costs [20] - Investment recommendations focus on two main lines: aerospace and "gap-filling" new focuses, and new technologies, products, and markets with greater elasticity [20] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the military industry is 1596.82, with a 52-week high of 1712.48 and a low of 1113.62 [2] Market Performance - The military sector index increased by 6.23%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.91% [22] - The top ten performing stocks in the military sector this week include Changcheng Military Industry (+43.85%) and Zhongke Haixun (+34.89%) [24] Valuation Levels - As of June 27, 2025, the military sector's PE-TTM valuation is 110.98, with 81.19% of the time since January 1, 2014, the PE-TTM valuation has been lower than the current level [26][29] Investment Suggestions - Suggested stocks for the aerospace main line include Feilihua, Fenghuo Electronics, and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft [20] - New technology and market opportunities include companies like Aerospace Zhizao and Guangdong Hongda [20]

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector is experiencing renewed activity, particularly in aerospace and defense, driven by geopolitical tensions and increased domestic military spending [1] Group 1: Market Activity - As of June 13, the aerospace ETF (159227) rose by 0.7% with a trading volume of 14.81 million yuan, leading its category [1] - Key stocks in the ETF, including drones, Tianhe Defense, Andavil, Aerospace Rainbow, and China Ordnance, showed significant gains [1] Group 2: Long-term Outlook - The global geopolitical landscape is unstable, suggesting that defense spending will likely maintain a high growth rate [1] - The aerospace sector is expected to benefit directly from the focus on air and space threats in modern warfare [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - The aerospace ETF (159227) tracks the Guozheng Aerospace Index, which has over 99% weight in the military industry, with aerospace and aviation equipment comprising 73% of the index [1] - According to Zhongyou Securities, by 2025, the military industry is anticipated to reach a turning point in orders, driven by new technologies and products aimed at enhancing equipment performance and reducing costs [1]

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - In 2024, the 71 tracked military industry stocks achieved a total revenue of 566.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 0.76%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 26.24% to 23.90 billion yuan, primarily due to a decline in overall gross margin [4][20] - The shipbuilding sector showed significant performance growth, with a revenue of 190.05 billion yuan, up 11.25%, and a net profit of 6.55 billion yuan, up 115.10% [4][37] - The total contract liabilities for the 71 military stocks reached 198.56 billion yuan at the end of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.91% [5][58] Summary by Sections 1. Military Industry Performance in 2024 - The overall performance of the military industry in 2024 showed a slowdown in revenue growth and profit pressure, with a total revenue of 566.27 billion yuan and a net profit of 23.90 billion yuan [20] - The overall gross margin for the 71 military stocks was 17.67%, down 1.80 percentage points year-on-year [23] 2. Q1 2025 Performance Analysis - In Q1 2025, the 71 military stocks reported a total revenue of 106.75 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.15% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.61 billion yuan, down 4.40% [6][19] - The shipbuilding sector led the growth with a revenue of 40.99 billion yuan, up 9.81%, and a net profit of 2.05 billion yuan, up 232.11% [6][38] 3. Valuation and Index Performance - As of April 30, 2025, the military industry index had decreased by 4.21%, with a PE-TTM valuation of 96.49 times and a PB valuation of 3.27 times [7][49] - Historically, 74.88% of the time since January 1, 2014, the military sector's PE-TTM valuation has been below the current level [7] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on two main investment themes: the ongoing demand for aerospace and the new technologies, products, and markets that may offer greater elasticity [10][11] - Key companies to watch include those in the aerospace sector such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, as well as companies involved in missile technology and new market opportunities [10][12] 5. Contract Liabilities and Future Outlook - The total contract liabilities for military stocks remained high, with significant increases in the shipbuilding sector [5][60] - The report anticipates a turning point in military orders as the "Centenary of the Army Building" goals progress, indicating potential growth in the military industry [8]

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Viewpoints - In 2024, the 71 tracked military industry stocks achieved a total revenue of 566.27 billion, a year-on-year growth of 0.76%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 23.90 billion, a decrease of 26.24% [4][20] - The decline in profit is primarily attributed to a decrease in overall gross margin, which was 17.67%, down by 1.80 percentage points year-on-year [4][23] - The shipbuilding sector showed significant performance growth, with a revenue of 190.05 billion, up 11.25%, and a net profit of 6.55 billion, up 115.10% [4][37] Summary by Sections 1. Military Industry Performance in 2024 - The overall performance of the military industry in 2024 showed a slowdown in revenue growth and profit pressure [20] - The total gross profit for the 71 military stocks was 100.08 billion, a decrease of 8.53% year-on-year [21] - The overall four expense rate for the 71 military stocks was 12.24%, a slight decrease of 0.07 percentage points [26] 2. Q1 2025 Performance Analysis - In Q1 2025, the 71 military stocks reported a total revenue of 106.75 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 3.15%, and a net profit of 5.61 billion, down 4.40% [6][19] - The shipbuilding sector led in growth, achieving a revenue of 40.99 billion, up 9.81%, and a net profit of 2.05 billion, up 232.11% [6][38] 3. Contract Liabilities - As of the end of 2024, the total contract liabilities for the 71 military stocks reached 198.56 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.91% [5][58] - The shipbuilding sector saw a significant increase in contract liabilities, growing by 27.14% to 157.05 billion, while the aviation sector's liabilities decreased by 36.69% [5][60] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on two main investment themes: the ongoing demand for aerospace and the potential of new technologies, products, and markets [10][11] - Key companies to watch include those in the aerospace supply chain and missile industry, such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and AVIC Heavy Machinery [10][11]