8月27日，由弗若斯特沙利文（Frost & Sullivan，简称："沙利文"）主办，头豹协办的2025第十九届沙 利文全球增长、科创与领导力峰会暨第四届新投资大会（以下简称"2025沙利文新投资大会"）在上海举 办，汇聚全球产业界、学术界、投资界的力量，共同探讨新时代下中国经济的新增长点、新市场、新赛 道。 在全国政协委员、世界发明创新联合会中方代表、江苏商会轮值会长、上海港湾集团董事长徐士龙看 来，科技是创新的种子，需要资本的阳光和企业家精神的土壤才能茁壮成长，最终造福民生、推动可持 续发展。他呼吁投资界积极为科创项目提供支持，推动新技术从实验室走向应用，为社会创造经济和社 会价值。 中国上市公司协会党委委员、副会长孙念瑞表示，随着新"国九条"等政策落地，A股上市公司发展质量 与投资价值持续提升。截至目前，A股上市公司总数达5400余家，总市值108万亿元，2024年研发投入 1.88万亿元，现金分红创历史新高，充分展现出韧性与责任担当。他同时指出，境内企业加快"出海"， 2024年境外收入9.44万亿元，同比增长7.97%，境外上市热潮涌现。 兴富资本董事长王廷富表示，2025年是《中国制造2025》 ...

Group 1 - The China Defense Index (399973) has seen an increase of 0.43% as of July 8, 2025, with notable gains from stocks such as Feiliwa (300395) up 4.87% and Yingliu Co. (603308) up 3.39% [1] - The Defense ETF (512670) has also risen by 0.65%, reaching a latest price of 0.77 yuan, and has experienced continuous net inflows over the past four days, totaling 430 million yuan [1] - The current scale of the Defense ETF has reached 5.99 billion yuan, marking a new high in nearly a year [1] Group 2 - The commercial rocket sector has recently reported positive developments, including successful test flights and advancements in various rocket technologies from companies like Beijing Arrow Yuan Technology and Blue Arrow Aerospace [2] - The military industry is expected to see a turning point in orders as the "Centenary of the Army Building Goals" approaches its second half, with new technologies and products anticipated to create new market opportunities [2] - Companies are advised to focus on aerospace themes and new technologies that promise greater elasticity in the market [2] Group 3 - The Defense ETF closely tracks the China Defense Index, which includes listed companies under the top ten military groups and those providing weaponry to the armed forces, reflecting the overall performance of defense industry stocks [3] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Defense Index account for 43.29% of the index, with significant players including AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760) and AVIC Aviation Power (600893) [3] - The management and custody fees for the Defense ETF are the lowest among its peers at only 0.40% [3]

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - In 2024, the 71 tracked military industry stocks achieved a total revenue of 566.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 0.76%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 26.24% to 23.90 billion yuan, primarily due to a decline in overall gross margin [4][20] - The shipbuilding sector showed significant performance growth, with a revenue of 190.05 billion yuan, up 11.25%, and a net profit of 6.55 billion yuan, up 115.10% [4][37] - The total contract liabilities for the 71 military stocks reached 198.56 billion yuan at the end of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.91% [5][58] Summary by Sections 1. Military Industry Performance in 2024 - The overall performance of the military industry in 2024 showed a slowdown in revenue growth and profit pressure, with a total revenue of 566.27 billion yuan and a net profit of 23.90 billion yuan [20] - The overall gross margin for the 71 military stocks was 17.67%, down 1.80 percentage points year-on-year [23] 2. Q1 2025 Performance Analysis - In Q1 2025, the 71 military stocks reported a total revenue of 106.75 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.15% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.61 billion yuan, down 4.40% [6][19] - The shipbuilding sector led the growth with a revenue of 40.99 billion yuan, up 9.81%, and a net profit of 2.05 billion yuan, up 232.11% [6][38] 3. Valuation and Index Performance - As of April 30, 2025, the military industry index had decreased by 4.21%, with a PE-TTM valuation of 96.49 times and a PB valuation of 3.27 times [7][49] - Historically, 74.88% of the time since January 1, 2014, the military sector's PE-TTM valuation has been below the current level [7] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on two main investment themes: the ongoing demand for aerospace and the new technologies, products, and markets that may offer greater elasticity [10][11] - Key companies to watch include those in the aerospace sector such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, as well as companies involved in missile technology and new market opportunities [10][12] 5. Contract Liabilities and Future Outlook - The total contract liabilities for military stocks remained high, with significant increases in the shipbuilding sector [5][60] - The report anticipates a turning point in military orders as the "Centenary of the Army Building" goals progress, indicating potential growth in the military industry [8]

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Viewpoints - In 2024, the 71 tracked military industry stocks achieved a total revenue of 566.27 billion, a year-on-year growth of 0.76%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 23.90 billion, a decrease of 26.24% [4][20] - The decline in profit is primarily attributed to a decrease in overall gross margin, which was 17.67%, down by 1.80 percentage points year-on-year [4][23] - The shipbuilding sector showed significant performance growth, with a revenue of 190.05 billion, up 11.25%, and a net profit of 6.55 billion, up 115.10% [4][37] Summary by Sections 1. Military Industry Performance in 2024 - The overall performance of the military industry in 2024 showed a slowdown in revenue growth and profit pressure [20] - The total gross profit for the 71 military stocks was 100.08 billion, a decrease of 8.53% year-on-year [21] - The overall four expense rate for the 71 military stocks was 12.24%, a slight decrease of 0.07 percentage points [26] 2. Q1 2025 Performance Analysis - In Q1 2025, the 71 military stocks reported a total revenue of 106.75 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 3.15%, and a net profit of 5.61 billion, down 4.40% [6][19] - The shipbuilding sector led in growth, achieving a revenue of 40.99 billion, up 9.81%, and a net profit of 2.05 billion, up 232.11% [6][38] 3. Contract Liabilities - As of the end of 2024, the total contract liabilities for the 71 military stocks reached 198.56 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.91% [5][58] - The shipbuilding sector saw a significant increase in contract liabilities, growing by 27.14% to 157.05 billion, while the aviation sector's liabilities decreased by 36.69% [5][60] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on two main investment themes: the ongoing demand for aerospace and the potential of new technologies, products, and markets [10][11] - Key companies to watch include those in the aerospace supply chain and missile industry, such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and AVIC Heavy Machinery [10][11]