美元兑瑞郎技术分析 11月24日，美元兑瑞郎汇率维持平盘震荡，当日开盘报0.8081，收盘于0.8082，盘中最高触及0.8090， 最低下探至0.8075，全日交投区间清晰。进入11月25日上午时段，汇率延续窄幅整理态势，截至当前最 新报价为0.8083，较前一交易日收盘价微涨0.01%；日内开盘0.8082，最高上探0.8087，最低下探 0.8079。从驱动因素看，24日美股大幅上涨引发市场风险偏好升温，瑞郎的避险属性受到压制，美元兑 瑞郎未能获得有效上行动能；25日美元指数呈现弱势震荡特征，叠加中东地缘局势紧张预期有所回升， 多空因素形成博弈，致使汇率波动幅度受限。 核心驱动聚焦避险情绪与央行政策。24日纳指大涨2.69%，风险偏好升温压制瑞郎避险买盘，美元兑瑞 郎跌幅收窄；25日中东地缘紧张预期回升，瑞郎获得支撑。利差方面，美瑞10年期国债收益率分别为 4.035%、1.25%，利差优势对美元形成基础支撑。 政策预期分化明显：美联储12月降息概率82.9%，美元承压；瑞央行虽暂停加息，但强调警惕瑞郎过度 升值，口头干预预期限制其涨幅。瑞士10月贸易顺差扩大至32亿瑞郎，经济韧性为瑞郎提供隐性支撑， ...

小米股價近期經歷深度調整後，在38.4元水平初現企穩跡象，反彈0.84%雖不算強勁，卻可能預示著技術修復的開始。令人矚目的是，該股五日振幅高達 16.2%，技術指標層面呈現出罕見的強烈看漲信號。技術指標總結給出「強力買入」評級，信號強度達到13，是多日來少見的明確看漲格局。 RSI數值19已進入嚴重超賣區域，威廉指標顯示超賣狀態並發出買入信號，隨機震盪指標同樣給出買入信號，而變動率指標更明確指出「嚴重超跌，可能築 底」的技術特徵。儘管MACD與保力加通道仍維持賣出信號，但多個關鍵指標的一致性買入信號，是否足以讓您考慮在此位置進行左側布局？ 關鍵價位分析顯示，小米目前首要挑戰41.6元的初步阻力，突破後下一目標看向45.1元。下行保護方面，35.8元構成近期重要支撐，若意外失守，下一防線 位於33元整數關卡。當前股價與移動平均線的關係透露出深度調整格局，股價明顯低於MA10的41.22元、MA30的44.43元及MA60的49.76元，這種大幅偏離 均線系統的狀態，從歷史經驗來看，往往蘊含著較大的技術修復空間。 從窩輪市場的近期表現觀察，熊證產品在下跌過程中展現了良好的收益表現。回顧近期數據，法興熊證64595 ...

美元走势受美联储言论影响 上周五纽约交易时段，美元指数从多周高点回落。这一波动主要与纽约联邦储备银行主席约翰·威廉姆斯的讲话有关。其言论被市场解读为偏向鸽派，强化 了投资者对美联储在未来数月可能进一步放宽货币政策的预期。美元指数的下跌在一定程度上缓解了欧元兑美元的短期压力。 周一欧洲交易时段开盘，欧元兑美元汇率呈现小幅上涨，报价位于1.1520附近。此前，该货币对在周五的交易中曾触及1.1490的两周低点，随后出现反弹。 亚洲市场交易相对平淡，日本因银行假日休市，而美国市场则因感恩节假期缩短交易周。 欧元/美元4小时图 从技术分析角度看，欧元兑美元目前仍处于短期下行趋势中。4小时图显示，相对强弱指数低于40，移动平均收敛发散指标也已下穿零轴，表明当前上涨动 力不足。汇率在1.1550附近面临阻力，该水平在过去两个交易日中限制了进一步上涨。若能突破该位置，则可能向上测试1.1600附近区域，甚至挑战1.1625 的通道阻力位。 另一方面，1.1500心理关口仍是短期重要支撑。若汇率跌破该水平，可能进一步下探1.1470附近低点，甚至测试1.1425通道支撑位。 本文仅为市场信息客观梳理，不构成任何投资建议。外汇 ...

指数表现 中证A500成分股表现 | | | 本周涨幅前十 ↑ | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 000547.SZ | 航天发展 | 31.77% | | 2 | 300058.SZ | 蓝色光标 | 20.18% | | 3 | 603650.SH | 彤程新材 | 14.75% | | 4 | 688099.SH | 晶晨股份 | 9.66% | | 5 | 300346.SZ | 南大光电 | 8.47% | | 6 | 300459.SZ | 汤姆猫 | 8.37% | | 7 | 601988.SH | 中国银行 | 8.08% | | 8 | 601100.SH | 恒立液压 | 7.06% | | 9 | 002292.SZ | 奥飞娱乐 | 5.00% | | 10 | 601155.SH | 新城控股 | 4.63% | | | | 本周跌幅前十 ↓ | | | 1 | 300769.SZ | 德方纳米 | -19.27% | | 2 | 300037.SZ | 新宙邦 | -17.98% | | 3 | 688390.SH | 固德威 | -17.5 ...

It has been an interesting week for the S&P 500 index (($INX). After posting a new all-time high of 6,920.34 the last week of October, the Index has fallen to a low of 6,574.32 this week (Tuesday, October 18), a drop of 346.02 (5%). While still a long way from the 20% level that marks a “bear” market, from a technical point of view, the Index took out its previous 4-week low of 6,631.44 from the week of October 3. What does this tell us? According to John J. Murphy in his book “Technical Analysis of the ...

Core Views - The wisdom of trading lies in "planning before action", seeing the overall situation, being patient and waiting for the right opportunity to strike [2] - Successful trading requires strategic vision and systematic thinking, paying attention to fundamental evolution, macro - economic cycles, and industrial policy orientation [3] - Traders should establish a trading system with fundamental trends as the anchor, technical analysis as the ruler, and risk control as the shield, and wait patiently for high - probability and high - profit - loss - ratio opportunities [4] - In trading, one should reconcile with the market and oneself, admit mistakes, conduct calm reviews, and correct strategies [4] Summary Based on Related Ideas - The story of Zheng庄公's brother's failure in the "Digging the Ground to See His Mother" is similar to traders who are over - confident due to small gains in the early stage of the trend and end up in a fiasco when the market reverses, emphasizing the importance of not being blinded by small profits and seeing the overall situation [2] - The author's own experience of almost losing all account funds due to greed and luck in early trading shows that market risks come from cognitive blind spots and emotional out - of - control, and traders need to control their desires and abide by rules [3] - The story of Guan Zhong assisting Duke Huan of Qi to dominate the world shows that successful trading requires strategic vision and systematic thinking, not just focusing on K - line fluctuations [3] - The stories of Lin Xiangru and Lian Po in "The Complete Return of the Jade to Zhao" and "Lian Po Carrying Thorns to Apologize" reflect the power of "harmony" in trading, that is, reconciling with the market and oneself [4]

专访高净值组第六名王然 "今年得知比赛结果时，情绪上并没有太大波动。"从全国期货实盘赛高净值组中脱颖而出的交易者王然 告诉期货日报记者。也许是多年的交易生涯早已磨平了情绪的棱角，但在期货这个被数字和图表充斥的 世界里，这仍是一份迟来的告慰。"当时很想能够和另外一个世界的父亲分享这个消息。"他坦言。 在比赛中，他主要选择黄金、白银和豆粕这三个品种。"黄金、白银走的是宏观经济、地缘政治逻辑， 波段周期长、趋势明显，易于把握。"而选择豆粕，则源于他过去在农产品现货交易中心的工作经历， 对农产品价格波动有深入了解。 成长之路 王然的交易生涯并非一帆风顺。大学毕业后，他就职于国内一家商品现货交易中心，首次接触类似期货 的交易机制。他记忆中最早的风险教育是"穿仓"——亏完本金。 而真正的重击来自2008年的豆油行情。"账户资金从十倍收益到断臂求生。"王然回忆道，"这段经历让 我深刻地认识到了物极必反的道理。" 在迷茫期，两件事改变了他的交易路径。一是读了傅海棠老师的《一个农民的亿万传奇》。他说，这本 书让他认识到普通人在期货市场也有成功的可能，他的交易风格也从技术分析转向基本面分析，重拾了 做交易的信心。二是认真学习了巴 ...

美團股價近日呈現震盪格局，最新價位守在100元關口，目前反弹0.9%，股价报100.8元。顯示多空雙方正在激烈博弈。從技術角度觀察，股價目前處於關鍵的區間內 波動，短期移動平均線MA10位於101.79元，略高於當前價位，而MA30和MA60分別在101.06元及103.14元，形成一道阻力帶，暗示上行空間可能受限。不過，RSI指 標處於48水平，屬於中立區域，尚未出現超買或超賣信號，其他震盪指標如ADX和MACD則發出買入信號，顯示動能可能正在積聚，但隨機震盪指標卻提示賣出，這 種矛盾現象正反映出市場的不確定性。投資者應密切關注價格能否站穩支持位，並結合成交額變化來判斷趨勢強度。 在支持與阻力分析方面，美團的短期支持位分別位於96.8元及93.5元，這兩個水平若被跌破，可能引發進一步的下行壓力；反之，阻力位則在103.2元及106.5 元，若能成功突破，或可開啟反彈空間。考慮到5日振幅達4.9%，股價波動性相對較高，這為短線交易者提供了機會，但同時也伴隨著風險。從上升概率 55%來看，市場略偏向樂觀，但投資者需謹慎評估整體市況，避免盲目跟進。 回顧近期窩輪和牛熊證市場表現，在美團正股下跌時，認沽證和熊證產品 ...

阳光透过百叶窗，在交易软件上投下细密的光斑。屏幕上，两条曲线正悄然交汇——一条是敏锐的短期 均线，一条是沉稳的长期均线。当它们彼此穿越，形成那个被称为"黄金交叉"的经典形态，往往预示着 市场情绪的微妙转变。这不是什么神秘代码，而是市场用最直观的方式诉说着机遇的到来。 当那条代表短期趋势的曲线悄然上穿，它不仅在图表上划出一道优美的弧线，更在提醒每一个投资者： 市场永远在变化，而真正值得坚守的，是对价值的信仰，对风险的敬畏，以及对学习永不停歇的热情。 这条财富之路没有终点，每个交叉点都既是小结，也是新章。 账户开立只是起点，真正的旅程始于对市场规律的理解。黄金交叉作为一种常见的技术信号，其价值不 仅在于形态本身，更在于它背后的市场逻辑。当短期均线从下向上穿过长期均线，往往意味着近期买入 力量开始超越长期平均成本，市场情绪正从谨慎转向乐观。这种转变不是偶然，而是无数投资者用真金 白银投票的结果。 投资是一场马拉松，而非百米冲刺。每一个黄金交叉的出现，都像是赛道旁的补给站，提醒你检查自己 的投资策略是否依然有效。是继续持有，还是适当调整？答案往往藏在你对公司的深入研究里，藏在宏 观经济的变化中，也藏在行业发展的趋势间 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of reading as a pathway to growth and wisdom, highlighting the investment philosophy of long-term growth and the significance of understanding changes in the market [2][10][15]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The article introduces the investment philosophy of Baillie Gifford, which focuses on long-term growth and understanding market changes rather than short-term gains [10][15]. - Baillie Gifford's investment strategy has successfully identified and invested in high-growth companies like Amazon, Tesla, and Nvidia, leading to exceptional returns [10][19]. - The philosophy is rooted in the belief that true competitive advantages take at least five years to manifest, and that long-term investments can maximize returns through compounding effects [19][20]. Group 2: Long-Term Investment Strategy - Long-term investment is defined as investments held for more than five years, with a focus on patience and understanding the future potential of companies [17][20]. - The article discusses the challenges of maintaining a long-term perspective in a market driven by short-term information and pressures [16][17]. - Baillie Gifford's approach includes low turnover in portfolios and continuous engagement with company management to ensure alignment with long-term goals [18][19]. Group 3: Growth Investment Focus - The article categorizes growth companies into three types: transformative growth companies, vibrant growth companies, and enduring growth companies, each with distinct characteristics and investment potential [22][23]. - Baillie Gifford prioritizes non-linear growth and exceptional returns, often investing in private companies that are not yet publicly traded [22][23]. - The firm emphasizes the importance of management quality and corporate culture in sustaining long-term growth [24][25]. Group 4: Global Investment Perspective - Baillie Gifford's investment strategy is globally oriented, seeking opportunities across various regions and sectors, particularly in rapidly growing markets [26]. - The firm has a historical commitment to global investment, leveraging its long-standing presence in the market to identify growth opportunities worldwide [26].