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11月27日金市早评:美国劳动力市场显韧性 黄金避险魅力不减
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-27 03:25
上一交易日美元指数收跌0.24%,报99.569,由于市场对美联储在下月会议上降息的预期进一步增强, 金价走高再创一周多新高,现货黄金收涨0.79%,报4162.35美元/盎司。在现货黄金上涨之际,其他贵 金属纷纷上涨:现货白银收涨3.60%,报53.31美元/盎司;现货铂金收涨2.18%,报1588.15美元/盎司; 现货钯金收涨2.59%,至1427.00美元/盎司。 【最新数据一览】 摘要北京时间周四(11月27日)亚市盘中,美元指数交投于100关口下方,现货黄金开盘于4162.46美元/ 盎司,目前交投于4150美元/盎司附近,黄金t+d交投于940元/克附近,沪金主力交投于946元/克附近。 北京时间周四(11月27日)亚市盘中,美元指数交投于100关口下方,现货黄金开盘于4162.46美元/盎 司,目前交投于4150美元/盎司附近,黄金t+d交投于940元/克附近,沪金主力交投于946元/克附近。 5、美国财政部针对通胀保值国债宣布10月份CPI的替代指数数值。 【今日重点关注的财经数据与事件】 03:00美联储公布经济状况褐皮书 11月26日COMEX黄金库存1137.35吨,较前一交易日减少0 ...
11月24日金市晚评:地缘双刃剑与联储迷雾下 黄金震荡回升
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-25 02:20
摘要北京时间周一(11月24日)欧洲时段,美元指数小幅回落,交投于100.120附近,金价目前交投于 4066.81美元/盎司,涨幅0.05%,最高触及4076.69美元/盎司,最低触及4039.72美元/盎司。展望未来, 黄金市场的走势将取决于多个关键因素的演变。美联储12月的利率决策仍是市场关注的焦点,而即将公 布的经济数据,特别是推迟至12月18日发布的11月CPI报告,将为市场提供更清晰的通胀路径指引。 近期美国就业数据呈现"强劲中的疲软":9月非农就业人口增长11.9万人,远超预期的5万人,但7月和8 月数据合计下修3.3万人,且失业率意外升至4.4%,创2021年10月以来新高。这种矛盾信号导致市场对 美联储12月降息预期剧烈波动,短期内预期概率在40%-74%间大幅震荡。 纽约联储主席威廉姆斯近期释放鸽派信号,表示美联储仍可在"短期内"降息而不会危及通胀目标,这一 表态使得市场对12月降息的预期概率一度从40%大幅攀升至74%。然而,达拉斯联储主席洛根则坚持鹰 派立场,呼吁利率应"在一段时间内"维持不变。这种政策信号的不一致性,直接导致了黄金市场的频繁 波动。 俄乌冲突方面出现重大进展,特朗普提 ...
今日黄金期货价格实时行情(2025年11月25日)
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-25 02:08
今日黄金期货价格实时行情(2025年11月25日) 备注:以上 黄金期货价格仅供参考,更多 黄金期货行情实时价格、 黄金期货一手要多少钱请以官方价 格为准,如有对黄期货价格有何疑问可咨询本站客服。 | 名称 | 最新价 | 开盘价 | 昨收价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 报价单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪金主力 | 938.68 | 935.60 | 930.32 | 939.88 | 933.38 | 元/克 | 打开APP,查看更多高清行情>> 今日黄金期货价格(2025年11月25日) ...
11月24日金市早评:金价跌破4060美元 市场关注俄乌和谈进展
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-24 02:07
北京时间周一(11月24日)亚市盘中,美元指数交投于100.271附近,现货黄金开盘于4065.22美元/盎 司,目前交投于4051.90美元/盎司附近,黄金t+d交投于925.11元/克附近,沪金主力交投于930.14元/克附 近。 上一交易日美元指数收跌0.03%,报100.190,现货黄金收跌0.30%,报4064.74美元/盎司。在现货黄金下 跌之际,其他贵金属纷纷下跌:现货白银收跌1.26%,报50.00美元/盎司;现货铂金收跌0.11%,报 1511.00美元/盎司;现货钯金收跌0.85%,至1374.75美元/盎司。 【最新数据一览】 11月21日COMEX黄金库存1143.49吨,较前一交易日减少5.38吨;COMEX白银库存14329.46吨,较前一 交易日减少37.57吨。 11月21日SPDR黄金ETF持仓1040.57吨,较前一个交易日增加1.14吨;SLV白银ETF持仓15246.63吨,较 前一个交易日增加19.75吨。 11月21日延期补偿费支付方向:Au(t+d)--多付空,Ag(t+d)--空付多,mAu(t+d)--多付空。 摘要北京时间周一(11月24日)亚市盘中,美元指 ...
11月12日金市晚评:三驾马车驱动 黄金多头狂欢!下一目标剑指4200
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-12 10:00
摘要北京时间周三(11月12日)欧洲时段,美元指数止跌震荡,交投于99.564附近,金价目前交投于 4130.88美元/盎司,涨幅0.13%,最高触及4144.99美元/盎司,最低触及40698.29美元/盎司。美国政府停 摆危机的解除、经济数据回暖在望,加之美联储内部鹰派立场转向鸽派的明确信号,共同为黄金市场的 多头行情注入了强劲动力。 北京时间周三(11月12日)欧洲时段,美元指数止跌震荡,交投于99.564附近,金价目前交投于4130.88 美元/盎司,涨幅0.13%,最高触及4144.99美元/盎司,最低触及40698.29美元/盎司。美国政府停摆危机 的解除、经济数据回暖在望,加之美联储内部鹰派立场转向鸽派的明确信号,共同为黄金市场的多头行 情注入了强劲动力。 今日黄金价格最新查询(2025年11月12日) | 名称 | 最新价 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | | 现货黄金 | 4130.88 | 美元/盎司 | | 黄金t+d | 944.50 | 元/克 | | 纸黄金 | 944.89 | 元/克 | | 沪金主力 | 945.76 | 元/克 | 【基本面解析】 美就业 ...
银河期货:本周迎来“超级央行周” 贵金属或持续调整
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-27 07:13
Macro News - The recent China-U.S. trade talks led by Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen resulted in constructive discussions on key economic issues, including maritime logistics, shipbuilding industry measures, and agricultural trade [1] - The U.S. September CPI data came in below expectations, with the annual rate at 3% compared to the expected 3.10%, which has led traders to bet on two more interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [1] Institutional Views - The better-than-expected U.S. CPI data has cleared the way for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October, supporting precious metal prices [2] - The recent China-U.S. trade negotiations have improved market risk sentiment, which has exerted some downward pressure on precious metals [2] - The upcoming "super central bank week" is expected to increase market volatility, with the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Bank of Japan all holding meetings amid economic risks from a potential government shutdown in the U.S. [2]
10月24日金市晚评:美国9月CPI数据倒计时 黄金回撤还未结束
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-24 11:08
Core Insights - The dollar index is stabilizing above the 99 mark, while gold prices are trading at $4066.70 per ounce, reflecting a decline of 1.45% [1] - The market is focused on the upcoming U.S. September CPI data, with expectations for the core inflation rate to remain at 3.1% [1][4] - Investors are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week, with potential implications for gold prices depending on the inflation data [1] Market Analysis - Gold prices have increased approximately 57% this year, driven by geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, rate cut expectations, and ongoing central bank purchases [4] - Recent geopolitical risks have spurred safe-haven demand for gold, leading to a rebound after two days of decline [3] - The focus is on the U.S. CPI report, which is expected to provide clear inflation signals ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting [4] Technical Analysis - The daily K-line for gold shows a small bullish star, indicating a pause after two consecutive bearish days, suggesting a potential for further adjustments [5] - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at $4120 and $4150, with the possibility of a bullish trend if prices remain near $4150 [5] - The MACD indicator suggests further correction is needed, indicating a cautious outlook for the short term [5]
10月22日金市晚评:黄金反弹遇CFTC数据缺失 牛市能否延续?
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-22 09:55
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility influenced by various geopolitical factors, including trade issues between the US and China, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the situation in the Middle East, alongside concerns about the US government shutdown impacting economic outlooks [3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of October 22, 2025, the spot gold price is trading at $4091.02 per ounce, with a decline of 0.78% from the previous day, having reached a high of $4161.17 and a low of $4003.58 [2][3]. - The recent sell-off in the gold market was the most severe in years, attributed to profit-taking after significant price increases and a retreat in market sentiment, although banks remain optimistic about gold's performance in the coming year [1][3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The end of the Diwali festival in India has led to a decrease in physical demand for gold, contributing to the recent price drop [3]. - Reports indicate that the US is nearing a trade agreement with India, potentially lowering tariffs to the 15%-16% range, which may signal a reduction in risk aversion in the market [3]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Speculation - The absence of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) weekly report due to the US government shutdown has created uncertainty, making it easier for speculative funds to concentrate in one direction, leading to extreme positioning [3][4]. - Traders are using options to hedge against potential volatility, as implied volatility has surged to its highest level since March 2022, indicating heightened expectations for price fluctuations [4]. Group 4: Silver Market Insights - Silver has shown even more dramatic price movements than gold, with a significant outflow of silver inventory reported in Shanghai and New York, leading to a price drop of up to 8.7% in a single trading session [4]. - A historical squeeze in the London market has driven silver prices above the previous record set in 1980, as traders moved physical silver to alleviate supply shortages [4]. Group 5: Long-term Outlook - Central banks are increasingly diversifying their reserve assets and reducing reliance on the US dollar, which could support a bullish trend in gold prices [5][6]. - Retail investors are actively investing in gold ETFs, contributing to upward pressure on gold prices as they seek to capitalize on the current market momentum [6]. Group 6: Technical Analysis - Recent technical analysis indicates that gold prices have reached a critical support level around 4083, with resistance at 4190 and a potential maximum pressure point at 4239.70 [7]. - The price action suggests a bullish outlook as long as gold remains above the identified support level, with the market closely monitoring the upper resistance created by the upward channel and the 10-day moving average [7].
金价,跌上“热搜”!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 08:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant drop in gold prices, with a single-day decline exceeding 5% after reaching a historical high of $4,398 per ounce [2][6] - Social media reactions indicate mixed investor sentiments, with some remaining calm about the price drop while others express anxiety over the volatility [3][4] - The adjustment in gold prices is attributed to geopolitical developments that have increased market risk appetite, leading to a reduction in safe-haven demand for gold [7][8] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that while short-term fluctuations in gold prices may occur, the long-term fundamentals supporting gold's value remain intact, including potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and challenges to the dollar's credit system [9] - Investment firms recommend that investors consider entering the market during price corrections, as the long-term outlook for gold prices is expected to trend upward [9]
崩了!金价巨震!创12年来最大单日跌幅
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 03:11
Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in gold prices, dropping over 6.3% to below $4100 per ounce, is attributed to easing geopolitical tensions and a softening of trade attitudes from Trump, leading to profit-taking in the precious metals market [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - On October 21, gold prices experienced a significant drop, falling from around $4342 to $4068.7 per ounce within hours, marking the largest single-day decline since April 2013 [1]. - Prior to the drop, gold had surged over 2.5% on October 20, reaching a historical high of $4381.29 per ounce before closing at $4356.26 [3]. - The volatility in gold and silver prices indicates a potential overheating in the market, with the implied volatility of gold options exceeding 20, suggesting increased trading risks [3]. Group 2: Future Outlook - HSBC forecasts that gold's upward momentum may continue until 2026, with a target price of $5000 per ounce, driven by strong central bank purchases and ongoing concerns over U.S. fiscal deficits [5]. - The demand for gold is increasingly viewed as a hedge against debt sustainability risks and potential dollar weakness, particularly among emerging market central banks [5]. - However, HSBC warns that if the Federal Reserve's rate cuts are fewer than market expectations, the upward trajectory of gold prices may face challenges [5].