毫无疑问，中国锂电，尤其动力与储能电池江湖正在经历极度残酷的内卷周期。 内卷与竞争有多惨烈？或许，财务数据可以给我们管中窥豹的机会。24潮产业研究院 (TTIR) 将 100家锂电上市公司 （动力与储能电池产业链为主） 作为研究分析样本，2022年至2024年，100 家锂电上市公司 "扣非后归母净利润" 合计分别为1894亿元、915亿元、538亿元，2023年、2024 年下滑幅度分别为51.67%、41.21%；若是剔除宁德时代，2022年-2024年锂电上市公司 "扣非后 归母净利润" 降幅分别为68.08%和82.84%。 笔者曾多次强调，在锂电大退潮席卷全球的当下，财务健康已经成为衡量企业持续生存与发展力 最核心的指标，甚至没有之一。 本文笔者试图从 "扣非后归母净利润"、"金债差"、"固定资产购置折旧差" 三个维度分析对比， 判断中国锂电上市军团谁更具有穿越产业周期的能力与潜力。特别注，本文仅是一家之言，意在 抛砖引玉，为读者朋友提供一种思考视角，不构成投资建议，也欢迎读者朋友交流、探讨，甚至 批评。 三大指标意义及说明 一是，"扣非后归母净利润" 这一指标，这一指标越高，则说明上市公司越能依靠 ...

Core Viewpoint - CF Industries stock is considered an attractive investment opportunity at its current price of approximately $100, primarily due to its low valuation compared to its operational performance and financial health [2][3]. Valuation Comparison - CF Industries' stock appears inexpensive when compared to the S&P 500 based on cost per dollar of sales or profit [4]. - The company has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2.6, a price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio of 6.6, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.8, all of which are lower than the S&P 500 averages of 3.0, 20.5, and 26.4 respectively [7]. Revenue Performance - CF Industries has experienced a contraction in revenues at an average rate of 5.6% over the last three years, while the S&P 500 saw an increase of 5.5% [6]. - The company's revenues increased by 0.7% from $6.1 billion to $6.1 billion in the past 12 months, compared to a growth of 5.5% for the S&P 500 [6]. - Quarterly revenues rose by 13.1% to $1.7 billion from $1.5 billion a year prior, outperforming the S&P 500's 4.8% improvement [6]. Profitability Metrics - CF Industries boasts significantly higher profit margins than most companies in the Trefis coverage spectrum [6]. - The company's operating income over the last four quarters was $1.9 billion, with an operating margin of 30.7%, compared to 13.2% for the S&P 500 [8]. - CF Industries' operating cash flow (OCF) was $2.4 billion, indicating a high OCF margin of 39.4%, versus 14.9% for the S&P 500 [8]. - The net income for the last four quarters was $1.3 billion, reflecting a net income margin of 21.8%, compared to 11.6% for the S&P 500 [8]. Financial Stability - CF Industries has a debt figure of $3.3 billion and a market capitalization of $17 billion, resulting in a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 20.8%, slightly higher than the S&P 500's 19.9% [9]. - The company holds $1.4 billion in cash (including cash equivalents) out of $13 billion in total assets, yielding a cash-to-assets ratio of 10.6%, compared to 13.8% for the S&P 500 [9]. Downturn Resilience - CF stock has underperformed the S&P 500 during several recent downturns, including a 49.1% decline during the inflation shock of 2022 compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 [11]. - During the COVID pandemic in 2020, CF stock fell 55.7%, while the S&P 500 experienced a 33.9% decline [11]. - In the global financial crisis of 2008, CF stock dropped 76.8%, compared to a 56.8% decline for the S&P 500 [12]. Overall Assessment - CF Industries' performance across various parameters indicates a very low valuation, making the stock an attractive investment choice [12]. - The company is rated as neutral in growth, very strong in profitability, strong in financial stability, and very weak in downturn resilience [14].

面对复杂风险环境,信用飞提醒年轻用户需建立"事前一事中—事后"的全周期防御体系。通过金融机构 官网、财经新闻平台、金融监管部门网站等渠道获取权威信息,警惕社交媒体上的"低息""稳赚"话术。 在签订借贷合同时,需重点关注"服务费""手续费""逾期计费"等条款,避免默认勾选、强制捆绑销售。若 遭遇诈骗,需第一时间保存聊天记录、转账凭证,并向公安机关报案。同时,联系银行冻结涉案账户,通过法 律途径追回损失。 在消费升级与金融科技深度融合的当下,年轻群体正以独特的消费逻辑重塑市场格局。作为金融服务领 域中的创新者,信用飞通过市场洞察揭示了当代青年"既要即时满足、又需长期规划"的消费特征,并在此 基础上构建了"量入为出+需求优先"的双维消费观,为超前消费与理性规划的平衡提供了实践样本。 当代年轻人展现出"矛盾但合理"的消费行为模式,如情绪消费崛起,某OTA平台数据显示,2024年演唱会的 门票销售量增长414%,其中95后客群的比例占据了69%。值得一提的是,更多年轻人开始打"飞的"出国看 演唱会,2024年出国观演订单同比增长达193%,反映了年轻消费者通过消费实现自我表达的需求。 对此,信用飞提出的"量入为出+需求 ...

Core Insights - Salesforce reported Q1 fiscal 2026 results with sales of $9.83 billion and earnings per share of $2.58, surpassing consensus estimates of $9.75 billion and $2.53 respectively [1] - The company announced the acquisition of Informatica for $8 billion, marking its largest acquisition since Slack in 2021 [1] - Salesforce raised its full-year forecast for adjusted earnings per share to $11.27-$11.33 and revenue to $41.0 billion-$41.3 billion, exceeding market expectations [1] Financial Performance - Salesforce's revenues grew by 8% to $9.8 billion in the latest quarter compared to $9.1 billion a year earlier, while the S&P 500 saw a 4.8% improvement [9] - The company has achieved an average revenue growth rate of 12.7% over the last three years, compared to 5.5% for the S&P 500 [9] - Salesforce's operating income over the previous four quarters was $7.9 billion, with an operating margin of 20.4%, higher than the S&P 500's 13.2% [12] Valuation Metrics - Salesforce has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 7.1, compared to 3.0 for the S&P 500, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 27 against the benchmark's 26.4 [9] - The price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio stands at 20.6, slightly above the S&P 500's 20.5 [9] - At a stock price of $280, Salesforce is trading at 7 times its trailing revenues [12] Financial Stability - Salesforce's balance sheet is considered robust, with a debt of $11 billion and a market capitalization of $265 billion, resulting in a low debt-to-equity ratio of 4.3% compared to 19.9% for the S&P 500 [12] - Cash and cash equivalents amount to $11 billion, constituting 11% of total assets of $99 billion, which is moderate compared to the S&P 500's 13.8% [12] Downturn Resilience - Salesforce stock has shown more severe impacts during downturns compared to the S&P 500, with a decline of 58.6% from its peak in November 2021 to December 2022 [13] - The stock fully rebounded to its pre-crisis high by March 2024, indicating some resilience [13] - Overall, Salesforce's performance across key metrics is rated as very strong, with financial stability categorized as extremely strong [13]

Core Insights - Axis Capital reported revenue of $1.55 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting an 8.3% increase year-over-year, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.65 billion by -5.92% [1] - The company's EPS was $3.17, up from $2.57 in the same quarter last year, exceeding the consensus EPS estimate of $2.64 by +20.08% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - The combined ratio for insurance was 86.7%, slightly better than the estimated 86.9% [4] - The net loss and loss expense ratio totaled 58.6%, outperforming the estimated 61.1% [4] - The total combined ratio was 90.2%, compared to the average estimate of 93.5% [4] - The acquisition cost ratio for insurance was 19.2%, above the estimated 18.2% [4] - General and administrative expense ratio for total was 9.8%, significantly lower than the estimated 12.7% [4] - Net investment income reached $207.71 million, surpassing the average estimate of $188.03 million, marking a +24.1% year-over-year increase [4] - Net premiums earned were $1.34 billion, below the estimated $1.42 billion, but showed a +6.6% change year-over-year [4] - Other insurance-related income was $3.58 million, significantly lower than the estimated $7.17 million, representing a -57.1% year-over-year decline [4] - Net premiums earned in the insurance segment were $1.01 billion, slightly below the estimated $1.04 billion, with a +10% year-over-year change [4] - Net premiums earned in the reinsurance segment were $330.73 million, below the estimated $366.10 million, reflecting a -2.8% year-over-year change [4] Stock Performance - Axis Capital's shares have returned -3.7% over the past month, compared to a -0.2% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating potential for outperformance in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Postal Realty Trust (PSTL) reported a revenue of $22.15 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 28.1% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $0.32, a significant improvement from -$0.01 in the same quarter last year [1] - The reported revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $21.14 million by 4.80%, while the EPS also surpassed the consensus estimate of $0.30 by 6.67% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Rental income was reported at $21.48 million, exceeding the average estimate of $19.58 million by analysts, marking a 29.4% increase compared to the previous year [4] - Fee and other revenues were $0.67 million, slightly below the average estimate of $0.77 million, representing a decrease of 1.9% year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Postal Realty Trust have returned -7.9%, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -0.2% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting potential for outperformance in the near term [3]

For the quarter ended March 2025, Bausch + Lomb (BLCO) reported revenue of $1.14 billion, up 3.5% over the same period last year. EPS came in at -$0.07, compared to $0.07 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.15 billion, representing a surprise of -0.86%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -333.33%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.03.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Stree ...

For the quarter ended March 2025, Honeywell International Inc. (HON) reported revenue of $9.82 billion, up 7.9% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $2.51, compared to $2.25 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue represents a surprise of +2.59% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.57 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $2.21, the EPS surprise was +13.57%.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to ...

Core Insights - German American Bancorp (GABC) reported a revenue of $81.41 million for Q1 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 33.9% and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $79.1 million by 2.92% [1] - The company's EPS for the same quarter was $0.79, up from $0.64 a year ago, representing a surprise of 9.72% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.72 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Efficiency ratio was reported at 61.3%, higher than the estimated 56.3% by analysts [4] - Net Interest Margin stood at 4%, surpassing the average estimate of 3.7% [4] - Net charge-offs to average loans were 0%, compared to the estimated 0.1% [4] - Total Average Interest Earning Assets reached $6.92 billion, exceeding the estimate of $6.85 billion [4] - Net Gains on Sales of Loan were $0.83 million, slightly below the estimated $0.90 million [4] - Total Non-interest Income was reported at $14.84 million, lower than the estimated $15.95 million [4] - Net interest income (FTE) was $67.89 million, compared to the average estimate of $62.41 million [4] - Service charges on deposit accounts were $3.49 million, below the estimated $3.81 million [4] - Net Interest Income was reported at $66.57 million, exceeding the estimate of $63.51 million [4] Stock Performance - Shares of German American Bancorp have returned -3.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -4.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating potential for outperformance in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Legget & Platt reported revenue of $1.02 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a 6.8% decline year-over-year and a slight miss of 0.53% against the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.03 billion [1] - The company's EPS was $0.24, which is an increase from $0.23 in the same quarter last year, resulting in a positive surprise of 4.35% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.23 [1] Revenue and Earnings Performance - The change in organic sales for Bedding Products was -12%, significantly worse than the estimated -4% [4] - Specialized Products saw a -5% change in organic sales, compared to an average estimate of -3.1% [4] - Furniture, Flooring, and Textile Products experienced a -1% change in organic sales, better than the estimated -5.4% [4] - Overall change in organic sales was -7%, against an estimate of -5.6% [4] Trade Sales and EBIT Analysis - Trade sales for Furniture, Flooring, and Textile Products were reported at $331.30 million, exceeding the average estimate of $322.63 million, with a year-over-year change of -0.5% [4] - Trade sales for Specialized Products were $300.10 million, slightly above the average estimate of $298.78 million, reflecting a -5% year-over-year change [4] - Trade sales for Bedding Products were $390.70 million, below the average estimate of $409.90 million, indicating a -12.8% year-over-year decline [4] - EBIT for Bedding Products was $9.60 million, significantly lower than the average estimate of $18.65 million [4] - EBIT for Specialized Products was $28.40 million, surpassing the average estimate of $20.42 million [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Specialized Products was $31.80 million, exceeding the average estimate of $23 million [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Bedding Products was $13 million, below the average estimate of $16.45 million [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Furniture, Flooring, and Textile Products was $21.70 million, above the average estimate of $18.90 million [4] Stock Performance - Legget & Platt's shares have returned -8.7% over the past month, compared to a -4.3% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]