更多的数据似乎都在指向，中国锂电正在走出衰退周期。 为了让读者朋友对锂电产业趋势与变化有一个更为清晰、直观的了解，24潮产业研究院 (TTIR) 根据100多家中国锂电上市/IPO公司2025年半年度财报中营收、预收款、归母净利润、对外投 资、经营与筹资现金流、总负债、资金净值、应收账款于存货等核心数据制作了十大排行榜。 24潮产业研究院 (TTIR) 统计数据显示，2025年上半年100多家锂电上市企业整体实现营业收入 6823.26亿元，约同比增长了10.09%，增速较2024年同期增长了25.64个百分点；整体实现盈利 （归母净利润） 486.73亿元，约同比增长了37.93%，增速较2024年同期增长了85.53个百分点。 此外，锂电上市企业整体上在造血 （经营现金流） 、筹资、总资产、资本实力等方面都实现了 全面提升，详见下表 | 核心指标 | 2025年上半年合计 | | 2023年同期增速 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 总资产 | 30.992.79 | 11.28% | 7.46% | | 总负债 | 17,783.66 | 11.88% | 8.74% | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The global energy transition is accelerating, leading to a significant surge in demand for energy storage solutions, particularly from Chinese companies, marking the beginning of a "great maritime era" for the storage industry [2][22]. Group 1: Energy Storage Market Overview - The first energy storage unit of the Uzbekistan solar storage project has been successfully installed, representing the largest single electrochemical storage project by China overseas, with a capacity to provide 2.19 billion kWh of power regulation, benefiting one million residents [2]. - The overseas energy storage market is expected to experience explosive growth starting in 2024, with new signed orders for energy storage system integration increasing by approximately 220% and energy storage batteries rising by 175% [2]. - By mid-2023, China's new energy storage cumulative installed capacity reached 101.3 GW, a year-on-year increase of 110%, marking a significant milestone [6]. Group 2: Company Performance - Sunshine Power (阳光电源) reported a revenue of 17.803 billion yuan from its energy storage business in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 127.78%, with a gross margin close to 40% [3][5]. - Sunshine Power maintained a shipment guidance of 40-50 GWh for the year, with a projected global compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for energy storage of 20% to 30% over the next few years [5][6]. Group 3: International Orders and Growth - From 2024 to August 2025, Chinese energy storage companies signed overseas orders totaling nearly 250 GWh, which is 3.07 times the new installed capacity of 81.5 GWh in the overseas energy storage market [11]. - The Middle East has emerged as a significant growth market for energy storage, with Chinese companies securing substantial orders, including 19 GWh from the UAE and 2 GWh from Saudi Arabia in the first half of the year [27][28]. Group 4: Regional Insights - In Latin America, particularly Chile, Chinese companies secured 9.6 GWh of orders in the first half of 2025, significantly outpacing the U.S. market [30]. - The European energy storage market is projected to grow rapidly, with a CAGR of 55% expected from 2024 to 2029, driven by high energy prices and supportive policies [42][41]. Group 5: Industry Dynamics - The energy storage industry is experiencing a "frenzy" across the entire supply chain, with significant increases in battery shipments and inverter exports, indicating a robust demand environment [21][17]. - The global consensus on the transition to clean energy is driving the rapid growth of the energy storage sector, with many countries implementing supportive policies to enhance energy storage deployment [22][38].

如今全球动力与储能电池产业进入深度洗牌与博弈周期，已是产业共识。 而在产业加速洗牌与搏击进程中，最为考验企业的战略定力与综合竞争实力；这样的产业大势 下，仍能持续突破的企业屈指可数，而他们的战略抉择与思考对产业持续发展而言也具有很高的 研究与参考价值。 作为近年锂电池制造领域，尤其户储领域最强黑马，瑞浦兰钧 (0666.HK) 无疑是其中最具代表性 的企业之一，笔者分析发现，其在过去一年多时间中，瑞浦兰钧在产业布局、技术创新、全球化 发展、资本实力等方面均取得了持续且重大突破。 在瑞浦兰钧董事长曹辉看来，"新能源电车行业仍处于高速发展期，但随着大量玩家的涌入，市场 竞争加剧，行业内卷严重，在这种情况下企业更要以体系为本、创新为魂，加速全球布局，以一 流的产品力、一流的渠道力去拥抱行业内卷。" 综合产业最新发展趋势与变化，笔者也分析认为，未来拥有 "技术突破与持续创新力，先进产能 布局与高效执行力，全球化布局与发展，财务健康与雄厚资本实力" 等能力的企业更具有穿越周 期，持续发展壮大的基因与实力。 瑞浦兰钧是谁？ 从股东与资本层面看，成立于2017年10月的瑞浦兰钧，穿透其股权，第一大股东是世界500强、 全球 ...

我们分析100多家锂电上市企业发现，中国锂电产业似乎正在走出衰退周期。 据24潮产业研究院 (TTIR) 统计：2025年上半年100多家中国锂电上市公司 "锂电业务收入" 合计 约为5379.95亿元，同比增长了14.95%，增速较24年同期 （同比下降了20.21%） 增长了35.16个 百分点。 具体到15个锂电细分产业链，上半年12个细分产业营收实现正增长 （24年同期只有两个细分产业 链实现正增长） ，其中10个细分产业营收增幅在10%以上，增长最快的3个细分产业依次为钴镍 （增长67.88%） 、锂电铜/铝箔 （增长37.22%） 、负极材料 （增长31.64%） 。 | 排序 | 环节 | 涉及上市 | 合计 | 同比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 公司数量 | 销售收入 | 上一年増长 | | | | (家) | (亿元) | | | | 上游锂资源 | 14 | 244.77 | -18.02% | | 2 | 三元前驱体 | 6 | 180.15 | -23.53% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chinese energy storage companies are rapidly expanding their overseas orders, with a total scale of nearly 250GWh signed from 2024 to August 2025, which is 3.07 times the new installed capacity of 81.5GWh in the overseas energy storage market for 2024 [2] Summary by Sections Overseas Order Distribution - The United States leads with nearly 60GWh in orders, followed by the Middle East at 52.96GWh, and Europe at 45.41GWh. Other regions include Australia (36.14GWh), Asia (23.82GWh), India (15.91GWh), and South America (12.77GWh) [2] Company Performance - 28 energy storage companies have overseas orders exceeding 1GWh, with 6 companies surpassing 10GWh. The top three companies are: - CATL (Ningde Times) with 49.65GWh - Hicharge Energy with 33.73GWh - Sungrow Power with 27.83GWh [2][4] Order Details - Detailed order information includes: - CATL: 49.65GWh across multiple regions including the US, Asia, and the Middle East - Hicharge Energy: 33.72GWh primarily in the US and Europe - Sungrow Power: 27.83GWh across the US, Europe, and Asia [4][5] Market Risks - Many overseas orders are only intentions, with execution cycles lasting 2-3 years or longer. The global energy storage industry is facing unprecedented challenges, including the bankruptcy of Powin, a top global energy storage system integrator, which could impact many companies' global development [7][8] Future Outlook - The global energy storage market may see more projects forced into "delay" or "termination" due to ongoing policy and market fluctuations. Companies must carefully manage investment scales and development rhythms to navigate these challenges [8]

Core Viewpoint - Xinneng'an, backed by industry giants CATL and ATL, is positioned as a leading player in the energy storage sector, leveraging its strong foundation and strategic investments to capture market share rapidly [2][4][10]. Group 1: Company Background and Development - Xinneng'an was established in 2021 through a joint investment by CATL and ATL, with CATL holding 70% and ATL 30% of the shares [4]. - The company has quickly emerged as a significant player in the small battery sector, achieving a revenue of 7.56 billion yuan in 2023, ranking 68th in the top 100 private enterprises in Fujian Province [2]. - Xinneng'an has established a lithium battery production base with a total investment of 70 billion yuan, aiming for an annual production capacity of 32 GWh [6]. Group 2: Market Position and Achievements - Within just over two years, Xinneng'an has become the global leader in drone battery shipments and holds the top market share in electric motorcycle lithium batteries, with a 30% share in the home energy storage market [7][11]. - The company has strategically focused on small and medium-sized energy storage solutions, capitalizing on the growing demand for home energy storage systems [12][15]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives and Future Plans - Xinneng'an is expanding into the commercial energy storage market, which is projected to grow significantly, with a potential market space exceeding 500 GWh [20]. - The company has introduced the Kunlun series of batteries, which offer a lifespan of 15,000 cycles, significantly enhancing the value proposition for commercial energy storage users [21][22]. - Xinneng'an aims to provide a full lifecycle solution, integrating battery cells, systems, energy management, and asset operation [28][29]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Challenges - The energy storage market is highly competitive, with established players like EVE Energy and Ruipu Lanjun dominating the market, making it challenging for Xinneng'an to secure its position [32][33]. - Price competition is intensifying, with significant price reductions observed in the commercial energy storage sector, which may impact profitability [36][37].

Core Viewpoint - Globalization is no longer a choice for companies but a consensus for industrial development and the ultimate direction, especially in the current highly competitive environment [2]. Group 1: Globalization Progress in China's Lithium Battery Industry - The 24潮产业研究院 (TTIR) analyzed 13 leading companies in China's lithium battery industry, showing that their total overseas revenue increased from 39.156 billion yuan in 2020 to 228.740 billion yuan in 2024, a growth of 484.18% [3][5]. - However, in 2024, the overseas revenue of these companies decreased by 7.14% year-on-year, and the proportion of overseas revenue to total revenue only increased by 6.48 percentage points over five years [5]. Group 2: Company-Specific Performance - Companies like 阳光电源, 中伟股份, 恩捷股份, and 科达利 have shown strong growth in overseas revenue from 2020 to 2024, with 中伟股份 maintaining over 30% growth for four consecutive years [5]. - Conversely, companies such as 天齐锂业, 贝特瑞, 格林美, 宁德时代, and 华友钴业 experienced negative growth in 2024, with 天齐锂业 facing the most significant decline of 81.13% [5][7]. Group 3: Investment and Capacity Planning - As of now, major companies like 宁德时代, 华友钴业, and others have planned or established significant overseas operations, with total investment budgets nearing 370 billion yuan [9]. - 宁德时代 is leading in overseas investment, planning to build five factories with a total investment budget of approximately 178.948 billion yuan [9]. Group 4: Challenges in Globalization - The globalization process is facing challenges, including project delays and terminations due to changing market conditions and legal disputes, as seen with 国轩高科 and other companies [10][12]. - The global lithium battery industry is experiencing a downturn, affecting the globalization efforts of Chinese companies, with many projects being postponed or canceled [12][13]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The future of globalization in the lithium battery sector is uncertain, with potential for more projects to be delayed or terminated due to ongoing global economic and policy fluctuations [14][15]. - Companies must balance their investment strategies with the need for financial health to survive in a competitive landscape [15].

Core Viewpoint - The company, CATL, continues to expand aggressively, with its total investment budget for major ongoing projects exceeding 400 billion RMB for the first time, marking a 21.40% increase from the end of 2024 [2][6]. Investment Budget Overview - The total investment budget for major ongoing projects is 4054.12 billion RMB, with a significant focus on the East China region, which has a budget of 1969.17 billion RMB, reflecting a 60.35% increase from the end of 2024 [6][20]. - The investment budget breakdown includes: - East China: 1969.17 billion RMB (60.35% increase) - Overseas: 617.42 billion RMB (no change) - Southwest: 560 billion RMB (4.50% decrease) - Central China: 474.99 billion RMB (no change) - South China: 432.54 billion RMB (no change) [6]. Strategic Focus - The strategic goal is to steadily advance battery capacity construction to meet global customer order delivery needs. The company is progressing with domestic projects in various bases and overseas projects in Hungary, Spain, and Indonesia [6][20]. - Since 2018, CATL has announced approximately 29 major investment projects with a total budget nearing 450 billion RMB, focusing on power batteries, energy storage batteries, and lithium battery recycling [7][20]. Historical Investment Trends - From 2014 to mid-2025, CATL's cumulative external investment reached 3256.21 billion RMB, with a notable acceleration in expansion since 2021, accounting for 76.83% of total investments over the past 11 years [11][20]. - The fixed asset scale has grown from 2.43 billion RMB at the end of 2014 to 1186.97 billion RMB by mid-2025, an increase of 487.47 times [11]. Production Capacity - CATL's battery production capacity has increased by 264.38 times from 2015 to mid-2025, with a current capacity of 690 GWh and an ongoing capacity of 235 GWh, aiming for a total planned capacity of 925 GWh [14][20]. - By 2025, the production capacity is expected to reach 1000 GWh, making CATL the first company to achieve TWh-level battery production [14][20]. Financial Strength - As of mid-2025, CATL's cash and cash equivalents reached 3237.85 billion RMB, with a net capital value of 2787.44 billion RMB after excluding short-term interest-bearing liabilities, positioning the company as the strongest in the industry [21][23]. - The gross profit margin for power batteries in 2024 was 23.94%, significantly higher than competitors such as Guoxuan High-Tech and Yiwei Lithium Energy [21][20]. Industry Positioning - CATL has extended its capital reach into upstream core supply chains, including lithium mines, lithium battery production equipment, and automotive chips, forming a vast commercial empire [20][17]. - The company's strategic investments and rapid capacity expansion are expected to yield substantial performance returns in the evolving industry landscape [21][20].

Core Viewpoint - The end of the mandatory energy storage policy has led to significant fluctuations in the renewable energy market, with contrasting views on the future of energy storage development in China [2][3]. Summary by Sections Policy Impact - The National Energy Administration's policies in January 2025, including the "430" and "531" deadlines, have caused dramatic changes in the installation scale of renewable energy, with solar power installations seeing a year-on-year growth of 388% in May, followed by a decline of -38.4% in June [2]. - Wind power installations also experienced volatility, with growth rates soaring from negative to 800.2% in a matter of months [2]. Energy Storage Market Trends - The cancellation of mandatory energy storage has sparked debate about the future of the domestic energy storage market, with pessimists predicting a severe decline in demand, while optimists foresee a significant increase in system flexibility needs as renewable energy penetration rises [2]. - Data from CNESA indicates that in June 2025, newly operational energy storage projects in China totaled 2.33GW/5.63GWh, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 65% and 66% respectively [2]. Independent Energy Storage Development - Independent energy storage projects are gaining traction, with many provinces planning substantial projects. For instance, Hebei has announced 6.4GW/20.9GWh of independent storage projects, predominantly funded by local state-owned and private enterprises [4][8]. - Economic models such as the "capacity price" in Hebei and "discharge compensation" in Inner Mongolia are proving to be viable, with Inner Mongolia's projects showing an internal rate of return (IRR) of 14.8% due to favorable price differentials [9][11]. Economic Viability of Energy Storage - The economic feasibility of independent storage is supported by stable revenue from capacity pricing and market-based earnings from the spot market, attracting local investment [4][11]. - The analysis indicates that energy storage can significantly enhance the economic returns of solar projects, especially when paired with self-generated storage to shift energy to higher price periods [12][13]. Future Projections - Predictions suggest that the domestic energy storage market will recover and grow rapidly in the coming years, with expected capacities reaching 160GWh and 210GWh in the next two years [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid growth and potential of Maitian Energy, a subsidiary of Qingshan Group, which is set to become a major player in the global energy storage market, particularly in household storage systems, with a valuation exceeding 10 billion yuan [2][13]. Group 1: Company Overview - Maitian Energy, established less than six years ago, has quickly risen to prominence in the global energy storage sector, achieving a valuation of over 10 billion yuan [2]. - The company has a strong shareholder background, receiving initial funding from Qingshan Group's Yongqing Technology and attracting investments from notable institutions like State Power Investment Corporation and CITIC Securities [7][11]. - The company has focused on overseas markets, with 70% of its revenue coming from Europe, and has consistently maintained over 93% of its revenue from international sales in the past three years [7][8]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, Maitian Energy's revenue from Europe is projected to reach approximately 2.33 billion yuan, accounting for nearly 70% of total revenue [27][28]. - The company has seen significant growth in Asian markets, with revenue skyrocketing from 0.4 million yuan in 2022 to 46.53 million yuan in 2024, a tenfold increase [28]. - Over the past three years, Maitian Energy's overseas revenue has grown from 2.367 billion yuan to 3.297 billion yuan, marking a 39.29% increase [33]. Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - Maitian Energy has established itself as the second-largest supplier of household energy storage systems among Chinese companies, surpassing established players like GoodWe and Pylon Technologies [14][18]. - The company has a market share of approximately 6% in global household energy storage capacity and 13% in the European market, with significant shares in countries like the UK (37%) and Poland (25%) [18][20]. - The company has adopted a differentiated strategy by focusing on integrated energy storage products, which combine batteries and inverters, to enhance market competitiveness [29]. Group 4: Challenges and Risks - Maitian Energy faces challenges due to its heavy reliance on overseas markets and low R&D expenditure, which may hinder its ability to innovate and compete with giants like Huawei and Tesla [8][36]. - The company has experienced a significant increase in accounts receivable, which rose by 83.96% year-on-year, raising concerns about cash flow sustainability [42]. - The reliance on imported core components, such as IGBT and ICs, poses a risk if international trade conditions change, potentially impacting operational performance [42][43].