| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | 2025年8月27日 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | 价元 | F期现价差 | -3.59 | -8.97 | 57.70% | 52,20% | | | | | | | H期现价差 | 1.02 | -1.12 | 61.80% | 63.10% | 期现价差 | IC期现价差 | 21.00% | -47.67 | -5.37 | 31.50% | IM期现价差 | 60.00% | -61.07 | 4.46 | 25.10% | | 次月-当月 | -7.40 | -4.40 | 39.30% | 42.10% | 李月-当月 | 4 ...

| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Z0016628 | 叶信宁 | 205248月26日 | 品种 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | 价差 | 用新值 | 较前一日变化 | | | | | | | | | 86.40% | F期现价差 | 5.38 | -10.62 | 78.20% | H期现价差 | -11.24 | 2.15 | 67.2096 | 69.50% | 期现价差 | | | | | | | -42.30 | 27.00% | IC期现价差 | -29.85 | 36.0096 | IM期现价差 | -65.53 | 22.30% | -51.19 | 50.0096 | 50.70% | 次月-当月 | -3.00 | 3.20 | 59.0096 | | | 李月-当月 | -17. ...

纯苯苯乙烯日报 | 2025-08-26 纯苯去库而苯乙烯再度累库 纯苯与苯乙烯观点 市场要闻与重要数据 纯苯方面：纯苯主力基差-121元/吨（-3）。纯苯港口库存13.80万吨（-0.60万吨）；纯苯CFR中国加工费164美元/吨 （-3美元/吨），纯苯FOB韩国加工费147美元/吨（-5美元/吨），纯苯美韩价差58.7美元/吨（-4.0美元/吨）。华东纯苯 现货-M2价差-20元/吨（-10元/吨）。 纯苯下游方面：己内酰胺生产利润-1835元/吨（+5），酚酮生产利润-727元/吨（+0），苯胺生产利润-204元/吨（-43）， 己二酸生产利润-1277元/吨（+55）。己内酰胺开工率91.86%（-1.86%），苯酚开工率78.00%（+1.00%），苯胺开工 率70.10%（-1.47%），己二酸开工率65.50%（+3.80%）。 苯乙烯方面：苯乙烯主力基差25元/吨（+28元/吨）；苯乙烯非一体化生产利润-251元/吨（-13元/吨），预期逐步压缩。 苯乙烯华东港口库存179000吨（+17500吨），苯乙烯华东商业库存84000吨（+7500吨），处于库存回建阶段。苯乙 烯开工率78.5%（+ ...

| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | Z0016628 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 叶倩宁 | 2025年8月25日 | 全历史分位数 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 价差 | | | | | | | | | | 94.00% | 16.00 | 96,70% | F期现价差 | 21.87 | H期期价差 | 13,39 | 10,16 | 95.0096 | 08 30% | 前现价差 | | | | | | | IC期现价差 | 76.60% | 64.70% | -12.45 | 35.32 | IM湖砌价差 | -14.34 | -21.68 | 95.00% | 65.60% | 次月-当月 | 2.20 | 40.90% | 44.20% | -6.20 | | | 泰月-景月 | -19.20 | ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views The reports present a comprehensive overview of various financial markets, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, container shipping, and provide schedules of economic data releases. Each section details the latest market data, price changes, and relevant indicators, offering insights for investors to assess market trends and potential investment opportunities. Summary by Directory Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - The F spot-futures spread is -1.40, with a change of 5.78 from the previous day, and a 1-year historical percentile of 58.30%. Other spreads such as H spot-futures spread, IC and IM inter - period spreads also show different values and changes [1]. - Cross - variety ratios like CSI 500/SSE 300, CSI 200/CSI 50, etc., have their own latest values, changes, and historical percentiles [1]. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - For basis, the TS basis has an IRR of 1.2502, a latest value of 0.0243, and a change of - 0.0023 from the previous day, with a percentile of 11.20% since listing. Similar data is provided for TF, T, and TL basis [2]. - Inter - period spreads for TS, TF, T, and TL show different values and changes, as well as their respective historical percentiles [2]. - Cross - variety spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc., also have corresponding values, changes, and historical percentiles [2]. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - Domestic futures closing prices: The AU2510 contract closed at 772.68 yuan/gram, down 2.38 yuan (-0.31%) from the previous day; the AG2510 contract closed at 9042 yuan/kg, down 145 yuan (-1.58%) [6]. - Foreign futures closing prices: The COMEX gold main contract closed at 3392.20 US dollars/ounce, up 33.30 dollars (0.99%); the COMEX silver main contract closed at 37.90 US dollars/ounce, up 0.57 dollars (1.51%) [6]. - Spot prices: London gold was at 3347.34 US dollars/ounce, up 31.82 dollars (0.96%); London silver was at 37.86 US dollars/ounce, up 0.48 dollars (1.28%) [6]. - Basis, price ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and position data are also provided [6]. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - Spot quotes: MAERSK's Shanghai - Europe freight rate was 2364 US dollars/FEU, up 6 dollars (0.25%); CMA CGM's was 2913 US dollars/FEU, up 34 dollars (1.18%), etc. [8]. - Shipping indices: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index was 2180.17, down 55.3 (-2.47%); the SCFIS (US West route) was 1106.29, up 24.1 (2.23%) [8]. - Futures prices and basis: The EC2602 contract was at 1532.0, down 3.4 (-0.22%); the basis of the main contract was 700.2, down 43.0 (-5.79%) [8]. - Fundamental data: Global container shipping capacity supply remained unchanged at 3289.97 FTEU; Shanghai port on - time rate was 32.58, down 1.99 (-5.76%) [8]. Overseas and Domestic Data/Information Report - Overseas data includes economic indicators such as eurozone 8 - month manufacturing PMI, consumer confidence index, and US initial jobless claims, etc. [9]. - Domestic data includes steel production, inventory, and utilization rate, as well as various commodity data such as coal, coke, and lithium carbonate [10].

Group 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Presents the price spreads of stock index futures on August 20, 2025, including period - current spreads, inter - period spreads, and cross - variety ratios, along with their changes from the previous day and historical quantile information [1] Summary by Category - **Period - Current Spreads**: The F period - current spread is - 7.17, the H period - current spread is 2.98, the IC period - current spread is - 55.31, and the IM period - current spread is - 65.45 [1] - **Inter - period Spreads**: Different combinations of inter - period spreads for F, IH, IC, and IM are provided, showing various numerical values and changes [1] - **Cross - variety Ratios**: Ratios such as CSI 500/SSE 50, CSI 1000/CSI 300, and IC/IF are presented, with their current values, changes, and historical quantiles [1] Group 2: Bond Futures Basis and Spread Report Core View - Provides the basis, inter - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads of bond futures on August 19, 2025, along with their changes from the previous day and historical quantile information [2] Summary by Category - **Basis**: The TS basis is 1.2318, the TF basis is 1.1138, the T basis is 1.0701, and the TL basis is 1.1098 [2] - **Inter - period Spreads**: Different combinations of inter - period spreads for TS, TF, T, and TL are provided, showing various numerical values and changes [2] - **Cross - variety Spreads**: Spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, and TF - TL are presented, with their current values, changes, and historical quantiles [2] Group 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Presents the prices of domestic and foreign precious metals futures, spot prices, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions on August 19, 2025, along with their changes from the previous day [4] Summary by Category - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Domestic and foreign gold and silver futures and spot prices show different degrees of decline [4] - **Basis**: The basis of different combinations of precious metals shows various numerical values and changes, with historical quantiles provided [4] - **Ratios**: Ratios such as COMEX gold/silver and SHFE gold/silver are presented, with their current values, changes, and percentage changes [4] - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: The 10 - year US Treasury yield, 2 - year US Treasury yield, 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield, US dollar index, and offshore RMB exchange rate show different degrees of change [4] - **Inventory and Positions**: The inventory of precious metals on SHFE and COMEX and the positions of ETFs show different degrees of change [4] Group 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Presents the spot quotes, container shipping indexes, futures prices, basis, fundamental data of the container shipping industry on August 19, 2025, and relevant data for previous months, along with their changes and percentage changes [6] Summary by Category - **Spot Quotes**: The spot quotes of Shanghai - Europe shipping routes of different shipping companies show different degrees of rise and fall [6] - **Container Shipping Indexes**: The settlement price indexes of SCFIS and the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index show different degrees of rise and fall [6] - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The futures prices of different contracts of EC show different degrees of rise and fall, and the basis of the main contract declines [6] - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply remains unchanged, and indicators such as port on - time rate, port call situation, monthly export amount, and overseas economic data show different degrees of change [6] Group 5: Overseas and Domestic Data/Information Report Core View - Lists the economic indicators and financial events of overseas and domestic markets on different dates and times, along with their data sources [8] Summary by Category - **Overseas Data/Information**: Includes the eurozone's CPI data and the US's API and EIA crude oil inventory data [8] - **Domestic Data/Information**: Covers the production and sales of double - coking coal, China's one - year loan prime rate, China's port commercial crude oil inventory, and other data [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided reports. 2. Core Views - The reports mainly present the daily data of different futures, including price differences, closing prices, spot prices, and related economic indicators, aiming to help investors understand the market trends and price fluctuations of various futures [1][2][3][4][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **Price Differences**: The report provides the latest values, changes from the previous day, historical 1 - year percentiles, and all - time percentiles of stock index futures' term - to - spot spreads and inter - term spreads for different varieties such as IF, IH, IC, and IM [1]. - **Calculation Methods**: It explains the calculation methods of term - to - spot spreads, inter - term spreads, and cross - variety ratios [1]. 3.2 Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **Price Differences**: Presents the latest values, changes from the previous trading day, and percentiles since listing of the basis, inter - term spreads, and cross - variety spreads of different treasury bond futures varieties (TS, TF, T, TL) [2]. - **Calculation Notes**: Provides notes on the calculation of basis, percentiles, and spreads [2]. 3.3 Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Prices**: Shows the closing prices of domestic and foreign futures, spot prices, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions of precious metals (gold and silver) on different dates, along with their price changes and percentage changes [3]. 3.4 Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Spot Quotes**: Lists the spot quotes of shipping companies on the Shanghai - Europe route and their price changes and percentage changes [4]. - **Indices**: Provides the settlement price indices of shipping routes and Shanghai export container freight rates, along with their price changes and percentage changes [4]. - **Futures and Basis**: Presents the futures prices, price changes, and basis of container shipping futures contracts [4]. - **Fundamentals**: Includes data on shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators, export amounts, and overseas economic indicators, along with their changes and percentage changes [4]. 3.5 Trading Calendar - **Data Sources**: Specifies the time, data sources, and economic indicators or financial events of overseas and domestic data and information [5]. 3.6 Fund Flow and Key Seats' Position Changes Daily Report - The content of this report is incomplete and cannot be effectively summarized.

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core View - Pure benzene port inventory has decreased again due to a slowdown in Chinese arrivals and upcoming Korean aromatics maintenance in August - September, with limited subsequent inventory accumulation but still existing inventory pressure. For styrene, port inventory has entered a seasonal decline cycle, but downstream demand improvement is limited [3] Summary by Directory 1. Basis Structure and Inter - Period Spreads of Pure Benzene and EB - Pure benzene: The main basis is - 115 yuan/ton (- 26), and the spread between East China pure benzene spot and M2 is 0 yuan/ton (+ 5). Near - month BZ paper cargo - distal BZ2603 spread and BZ2603 - BZ2605 inter - period spread are recommended for reverse arbitrage when high [1][4] - Styrene: The main basis is 55 yuan/ton (- 5), and the EB2509 - 2510 inter - period spread is recommended for reverse arbitrage when high [1][4] 2. Production Profits and Internal - External Spreads of Pure Benzene and Styrene - Pure benzene: CFR China processing fee is 177 dollars/ton (- 3), FOB Korea processing fee is 163 dollars/ton (- 4), and the US - Korea spread is 83.8 dollars/ton (+ 4) [1] - Styrene: Non - integrated production profit is - 306 yuan/ton (+ 8), expected to gradually compress, and the EB - BZ spread is recommended to be shorted when high [1][4] 3. Inventory and Operating Rates of Pure Benzene and Styrene - Pure benzene: Port inventory is 14.60 tons (- 1.70), and the operating rate is not provided in the given text [1] - Styrene: East China port inventory is 148,800 tons (- 10,200), East China commercial inventory is 69,500 tons (+ 3,000), and the operating rate is 77.7% (- 1.2) [1] 4. Operating Rates and Production Profits of Styrene Downstream - EPS: Production profit is 218 yuan/ton (- 10), and the operating rate is 43.67% (- 10.58) - PS: Production profit is - 52 yuan/ton (- 30), and the operating rate is 55.00% (+ 1.70) - ABS: Production profit is 100 yuan/ton (- 23), and the operating rate is 71.10% (+ 5.20) [2] 5. Operating Rates and Production Profits of Pure Benzene Downstream - Caprolactam: Production profit is - 1715 yuan/ton (- 25), and the operating rate is 88.41% (- 1.79) - Phenol - acetone: Production profit is - 672 yuan/ton (+ 0), and the operating rate is 77.00% (+ 4.00) - Aniline: Production profit is 101 yuan/ton (+ 261), and the operating rate is 73.46% (- 0.48) - Adipic acid: Production profit is - 1504 yuan/ton (+ 0), and the operating rate is 54.40% (- 10.40) [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific report industry investment ratings are provided in the content. 2. Core Views of the Report - The overall market risk preference remains high. For stock index futures, it is recommended to continue holding long positions; for stock index options, it is advisable to appropriately reduce the directional exposure of small - cap stocks in the short term; for treasury bond futures, the bond market sentiment is relatively warm [1][2][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Views 3.1.1 Stock Index Futures - **View**: Continue to hold long positions. The basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM current - month contracts are - 8.47 points, - 1.51 points, - 38.14 points, and - 34.15 points respectively, with a month - on - month change of - 2.38 points, 0.31 points, - 7.57 points, and - 7.24 points. The spreads between current - month and next - month contracts are 13.6 points, - 1.0 point, 73.0 points, and 78.0 points, with a month - on - month change of 3.2 points, - 0.4 point, 9.4 points, and 6.2 points. The total open interest changes are 7431 lots, 2077 lots, 3443 lots, and 4114 lots. The upward trend of the market has not changed. In August, the tone is still positive due to factors such as strong capital inflow, low probability of mid - report disappointment, and the weakening US dollar index. It is recommended to continue holding IM long positions [8]. 3.1.2 Stock Index Options - **View**: Appropriately reduce the directional exposure of small - cap stocks in the short term. The underlying market showed mixed trends and was in a volatile state. The trading volume of the options market was 6 billion and 60 million yuan, a 16.85% increase from the previous day. The sentiment indicators remained similar to the previous day, with the MO skew reaching a half - year high, indicating continued defensive sentiment in the small - cap segment. Volatility increased in small - cap and ChiNext stocks. It is recommended to continue the medium - term covered call strategy and reduce the short - term directional exposure of small - cap stocks [2][9]. 3.1.3 Treasury Bond Futures - **View**: The bond market sentiment is warm. Most treasury bond futures closed higher, with the 30 - year, 10 - year, and 5 - year main contracts rising by 0.03%, 0.05%, and 0.05% respectively, and the 2 - year main contract remaining flat. The yields of major inter - bank interest - rate bonds generally declined. Although the central bank conducted a net withdrawal of 12.25 billion yuan in the open market, the capital market remained loose. The central bank's 70 - billion - yuan 3 - month outright reverse repurchase operation is beneficial to the bond market. However, the high market risk preference and potential factors such as the increase in long - term bond supply in the third quarter and the introduction of growth - stabilizing policies may have an impact on the bond market. Different strategies are proposed for different trading purposes [3][10][11]. 3.2 Economic Calendar - The economic calendar includes data such as the US factory orders in June, the US ISM non - manufacturing PMI in July, China's trade balance in July, the UK central bank's benchmark interest rate in August, the US initial jobless claims in the week ending August 2nd, and China's M2 money supply annual rate in July [12]. 3.3 Important Information and News Tracking - **Export**: In the first seven months, ASEAN was China's largest trading partner, with a total trade value of 4.29 trillion yuan, a 9.4% increase. The EU was the second - largest trading partner, with a total trade value of 3.35 trillion yuan, a 3.9% increase. The US was the third - largest trading partner, with a total trade value of 2.42 trillion yuan, an 11.1% decrease. China's total imports and exports to the Belt and Road Initiative countries increased by 5.5% [13]. - **Retail and Commerce**: The Shanghai SASAC launched a campaign for the rejuvenation of local state - owned time - honored brands, aiming to promote brand development through various measures such as open cooperation, improving market - oriented operation mechanisms, and attracting professional talents [13]. - **Power**: Shandong Province issued a reform plan for the market - based on - grid electricity price of new energy, stating that the on - grid electricity of new energy projects such as wind and solar power will enter the power market, and the on - grid electricity price will be determined through market transactions [14]. - **Education**: The state - wide policy of exempting preschool education fees for all children in the senior class of kindergartens is expected to benefit about 12 million people this autumn [14]. 3.4 Derivatives Market Monitoring - The content only lists the categories of stock index futures data, stock index options data, and treasury bond futures data, but no specific data is provided [15][19][31].

Group 1: Report's Core View - The port accelerated inventory accumulation this week. Overseas methanol production remained at a high level, increasing the pressure of arrivals in August. The Xingxing MTO device in the port area started a one - month maintenance at the end of July. In the inland area, there will still be some maintenance in the northwest in August, and the production will not fully recover until late August. The traditional downstream demand showed certain resilience, and the inventory of inland methanol factories decreased further. Overall, the inland market was stronger than the port market [3] Group 2: Market Data Inland Market - Q5500 Ordos thermal coal was 470 yuan/ton (unchanged), and the production profit of coal - based methanol in Inner Mongolia was 695 yuan/ton (+25). The inland methanol prices varied by region: Inner Mongolia North Line was 2110 yuan/ton (+25), Inner Mongolia South Line was 2100 yuan/ton (unchanged), Shandong Linyi was 2383 yuan/ton (+10), Henan was 2250 yuan/ton (unchanged), and Hebei was 2275 yuan/ton (+25). The inland factory inventory was 293,688 tons (-30,832), and the northwest factory inventory was 185,500 tons (-30,500). The inland factory's pending orders were 240,800 tons (+10,075), and the northwest factory's pending orders were 122,800 tons (+10,800) [1] Port Market - The methanol price in Taicang was 2388 yuan/ton (+15), the basis was - 8 yuan/ton (+16), CFR China was 268 US dollars/ton (+1), and the import price difference in East China was 13 yuan/ton (-3). The port inventory increased, with the total port inventory at 925,480 tons (+117,080), Jiangsu port inventory at 498,000 tons (+79,000), Zhejiang port inventory at 144,000 tons (-9000), and Guangdong port inventory at 170,000 tons (+15,000). The downstream MTO operating rate was 85.27% (+0.32%) [2] Regional Price Differences - There were various regional price differences, such as the Lubei - Northwest - 280 price difference of - 45 yuan/ton (-25), the Taicang - Inner Mongolia - 550 price difference of - 272 yuan/ton (-10), etc [2] Group 3: Strategy - Unilateral: Wait and see - Inter - period: Do reverse arbitrage when the MA09 - 01 inter - period spread is high - Cross - variety: Shrink the PP2601 - 3MA2601 spread when it is high [4] Group 4: Report Directory Summary Methanol Basis & Inter - period Structure - The report included multiple figures related to methanol basis and inter - period spread, such as the methanol Taicang basis and the main contract, and the spreads between different methanol futures contracts [7][22][24] Methanol Production Profit, MTO Profit, and Import Profit - Figures related to production profit (e.g., Inner Mongolia coal - based methanol production profit), MTO profit (e.g., East China MTO profit), and import profit (e.g., Taicang methanol - CFR China import price difference) were presented [26][34] Methanol Production and Inventory - Figures showed methanol port inventory, MTO/P operating rate, inland factory inventory, and China's methanol operating rate [36][38] Regional Price Differences - Figures presented various regional price differences, such as Lubei - Northwest, East China - Inner Mongolia, etc [44][48][51] Traditional Downstream Profits - Figures showed the production profits of traditional downstream products like Shandong formaldehyde, Jiangsu acetic acid, Shandong MTBE, and Henan dimethyl ether [52][60]