Core Viewpoint - Wallen Technology, the first GPU stock in Hong Kong, has seen strong subscription response with an oversubscription of 2363 times during its offering period [1] Group 1: IPO Details - Wallen Technology (stock code: 06082.HK) set its H-share issuance price at HKD 19.60 per share, raising a total of HKD 48.55 billion, marking the largest IPO since the implementation of Chapter 18C of Hong Kong's listing rules [1] - The company is expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 2, 2026, making it the first new stock listed in Hong Kong for the new year [1] - CICC, Ping An Securities (Hong Kong), and Bank of China International are serving as joint sponsors for the IPO [1] Group 2: Market Position and Product Pipeline - As the first GPU stock in Hong Kong, Wallen Technology fills a gap in the AI computing hardware sector within the Hong Kong market [1] - As of December 15, Wallen Technology has approximately RMB 1.241 billion in orders, indicating a clear growth trajectory for future performance [1] - The BR166 product is expected to achieve commercialization in the second half of 2025, while the BR20X series chips are planned for commercialization in 2026, with further new generation products like BR30X in the pipeline, showcasing the company's capability for continuous iteration and growth [1]

供应端：主要矿区扰动边际缓解，全球供应迎来修复窗口 2026年全球锡矿供应紧张局面有望结构性缓和。缅甸佤邦复产进程虽有波折但趋势明确，进口量预期回 升；印尼RKAB审批推进，合规产能释放加快；刚果（金）Bisie矿等核心项目的供应稳定性提升。随着 原料约束缓解，国内冶炼端开工率预计稳步回升，精锡产量有望实现同比小幅增长，全球供应弹性有所 恢复。 期货市场：宏观情绪回暖有色金属板块整体走强，隔夜伦锡收涨5.46%；最新收盘报42195，比前一交 易日上涨2185美元，涨幅为5.46%，成交量为840手，持仓量23981万增加96手；国内方面，夜盘沪期锡 高位运行，尾盘大幅收涨。主力合约沪锡2602收报329210元/吨，涨4830，涨幅报1.49%。 伦敦金属交易所（LME）12月30日伦锡库存量5330吨，较前一交易日库存量增加185吨。 长江锡业网讯：今日沪锡期货全线高开，主力月2602合约开盘报327910涨3530，9：15分沪锡主力2602 合约报327940涨3560；沪期锡开盘高开高走，盘面维持高位运行；宏观面，锡，这个常被忽视的工业金 属，正站在宏观与产业共振的"风口"。美联储"降息方向已定，节 ...

记者丨彭新 编辑丨骆一帆 国产DRAM（动态随机存取存储器）龙头长鑫科技IPO获受理。上海证券交易所网站于2025年12月30日披露，长鑫科技集团股份有限公司（下称"长鑫科 技"）科创板IPO上市申请已经获得受理，将发行不超过106.22亿新股，拟募集资金295亿元，保荐机构为中金公司和中信建投证券，意味着这家中国最大的 DRAM设计制造企业距离上市走出关键一步。 值得注意的是，长鑫科技IPO是科创板首单获受理的"预先审阅"项目。在招股书获受理的同日，上交所同步披露了两轮预先审阅问询与回复，显示监管层已 先后于2025年11月5日及11月19日发出问询。 2025年6月18日，证监会发布《关于在科创板设置科创成长层增强制度包容性适应性的意见》，首次明确提出试点IPO预先审阅机制。该制度可保护信息与 技术安全，满足关键核心技术攻关企业诉求，减少上市"曝光"时间，避免过早披露敏感信息引发经营与竞争风险 。正式申报时同步披露预审问询回复，压 缩审核周期，提高申报文件质量。 (安徽省合肥市经济技术开发区空港工业园兴业大道 388 号) 首次公开发行股票并在科创板上市 招股说明书 从募资规模来看，长鑫存储IPO有望成为 ...

今日早参 2025 年 12 月 31 日 座机：021-28972202 邮箱：hekang@htsc.com 今日热点 宏观：12 月美国金融条件进一步放松 近期数据显示美国经济增长动能整体改善：三季度 GDP 增速超预期（彭博 一致预期，下同）；12 月以来居民消费仍有韧性，企业投资意愿边际修复， 地产仍然偏弱；10-11 月美国私人就业维持扩张，11 月 CPI 通胀也超预期降 温，但两者均不同程度受到政府关门扰动；企业雇佣意愿和首申数据指示就 业趋势性改善；12 月 PMI 边际放缓但仍处扩张区间。12 月金融条件进一步 放松，主要受美元走弱、美股上涨推动。往前看，关注 12 月非农就业（1 月 9 日）、12 月 CPI（1 月 13 日）、联储主席人选（1 月初宣布）以及美联储 1 月 FOMC 会议（1 月 27-28 日）。 风险提示：美国就业市场走弱速度超预期，美国流动性紧张缓解不及预期。 研报发布日期：2025-12-30 研究员 易峘 SAC:S0570520100005 SFC:AMH263 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 何康 策略首席研究员兼金融工程首 ...

Group 1 - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets showed a growth style leading the rally in December, with the ChiNext and North Star 50 indices rising over 5% [1] - The core drivers for the cyclical sector include economic recovery expectations and the revaluation of strategic resources, particularly benefiting from global manufacturing recovery and resource security themes [1][2] - The growth style focuses on technological self-reliance and new productivity, with capital concentrating on sectors like defense, communication, and AI-related high-end manufacturing [1][2] Group 2 - In January, the A-share market will enter a critical data verification period, influenced by policy effects, macro data, corporate performance, and liquidity changes, leading to potential increased volatility [2] - Key sectors such as defense, 6G, and satellite internet will require performance or order validation to digest previous gains, while commercial aerospace and AI computing sectors may still present active opportunities [2] - Strategic resource segments, especially rare metals like antimony, tungsten, and rare earths, are being revalued by the market due to their essential role in advanced technology breakthroughs [2] Group 3 - The company has excellent asset allocation in mineral resources, with a projected CAGR of 24% for copper production and 12% for gold production from 2020 to 2024, leading in growth among major copper/gold mining companies [6] - The company has successfully completed several significant acquisitions, contributing to production and profit, with ongoing projects expected to support sustainable growth in copper and gold businesses [6][8] - The company has effectively controlled costs, with production costs for copper and gold remaining competitive, positioning it within the top 20% globally [7] Group 4 - The company is benefiting from a stable coal production capacity of 48 million tons/year and has seen an increase in profitability due to low extraction costs and high long-term contracts [18] - The company is expanding its electrolytic aluminum capacity, with a projected increase to 121,000 tons/year by the end of 2025, supported by cost advantages from proximity to coal sources [19] - The company is actively promoting clean energy transition, with significant growth in renewable energy installations, aiming for 700,000 kW by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [19] Group 5 - The company is a leading supplier of air conditioning refrigeration valves, with rapid growth in automotive and humanoid robot businesses, actively developing new growth curves [47] - The company achieved a revenue of 240.29 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 16.86%, and a net profit of 32.42 billion yuan, up 40.85% [47] - The company is focusing on the development of robotic components, with plans for overseas mass production to strengthen its position in the global supply chain [49]

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities highlights that the communication index has experienced significant volatility in 2025 due to concerns over AI computing power narratives and geopolitical impacts, but is expected to gradually return to pricing logic based on industry trends, with AI computing power becoming the main market theme [1] Investment Themes for 2026 - The company is optimistic about three main investment lines for 2026: 1) Embrace the AI computing power theme, focusing on investment opportunities in both domestic and international computing power supply chains [1] 2) The first secondary theme is new productive forces, with emerging sectors such as commercial aerospace, satellite internet, low-altitude economy, and quantum communication and computing expected to accelerate development due to the initiation of the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] 3) The second secondary theme is core assets, where leading companies with long-term competitiveness and resilient performance, such as telecom operators, are anticipated to see valuation enhancement opportunities as market liquidity improves [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the promising sectors in the technology industry for the upcoming year, highlighting the performance of various segments in 2023 and projecting growth opportunities for 2024 [1]. Group 1: Domestic Substitution Chain - The domestic substitution chain, particularly related to the Ascend industry chain, is expected to perform well next year, with companies experiencing significant stock price increases due to recent news [4]. - Confidence in the 950 series and other domestic AI chips like HWJ, Kunlunxin, and PPU is noted, with expectations for increased market share as domestic wafer production capacity and yield improve [4]. Group 2: Autonomous Driving - The autonomous driving sector is divided into Robotaxi and Robovan, with significant growth anticipated in both areas [5][6]. - Recent policy changes encouraging Level 3 autonomous driving indicate a supportive regulatory environment, which could lead to reduced costs and improved profitability for companies in this space [6][7]. Group 3: Aerospace - The aerospace sector is gaining attention, with government policies favoring its development. The success of rocket recovery technology could lead to numerous opportunities in satellite applications [8]. Group 4: Memory - The memory sector has seen a significant market rally, with expectations for the upcoming IPO of CX, which is projected to reach a trillion-dollar market value [9]. - The current market dynamics differ from previous years, with major manufacturers likely to maintain production levels to capitalize on profitability rather than rapidly expanding capacity [9]. Group 5: Liquid Cooling - The liquid cooling market is expected to grow 5-10 times next year, driven by increasing demand from chip manufacturers facing thermal management challenges [10][11]. - Innovations in liquid cooling technologies, such as multi-channel covers and immersion cooling, are being explored to enhance performance [11]. Group 6: AI Power - The AI power sector remains a focus, particularly in the context of stable and continuous power supply, which is more readily available in domestic markets compared to North America [12]. - Opportunities in AI power are identified in areas such as gas turbines and energy-efficient solutions for data centers, with a notable increase in interest in off-grid power technologies [12].

Core Insights - The fund managed by Ren Jie, Yongying Technology Smart A, achieved an impressive year-to-date return of 239.78% as of December 30, 2025, securing the annual fund champion title ahead of its competitors [1][3][7] - This performance surpassed the previous record of 226.24% held by legendary fund manager Wang Yawei for 17 years, setting a new historical record [1][7] - Ren Jie, a relatively new fund manager who began managing public funds in late October 2024, successfully transitioned from a researcher to a fund manager overseeing over 10 billion yuan [1][12] Performance Metrics - As of December 30, 2025, Yongying Technology Smart A recorded a maximum drawdown of 27.04% and an annualized volatility of 47.42% [3] - In comparison, the average return for equity mixed funds during the same period was approximately 33%, with an average maximum drawdown of about 15% and an average annualized volatility of around 23% [6] Fund Characteristics - Yongying Technology Smart A was established on October 30, 2024, with an initial scale of approximately 10.32 million yuan, of which about 98% was subscribed by Yongying Fund and company employees [6] - By the end of the third quarter of 2025, the fund's scale surged to 11.52 billion yuan, achieving over a thousand-fold growth in just one year [6] Investment Strategy - The fund's significant performance was attributed to a strategic shift towards the "overseas computing power industry chain" in the second quarter of 2025, which was a key differentiating decision compared to many tech funds that were still focused on domestic developments [8][10] - Ren Jie emphasized the importance of capturing "changes" in the market, focusing on both performance changes validated by high-frequency data and valuation changes driven by market dynamics [14][21] Stock Selection and Concentration - The fund's holdings were heavily concentrated in leading stocks within the optical communication and PCB sectors, which demonstrated substantial performance, with many stocks rising over 75% in the latter half of 2025 [10] - The top ten holdings as of the end of the third quarter included companies like Xin Yi Sheng, Zhong Ji Xu Chuang, and Tian Fu Communication, all of which are key players in the overseas computing power industry chain [10] Market Context and Future Considerations - The fund's extreme performance is seen as a result of deep industry research, precise sector shifts, and favorable market conditions, but it also faces challenges related to high concentration, volatility, and limited capacity [20][21] - The phenomenon of "champion curse" suggests that funds with extreme high returns often experience significant drawdowns in subsequent years, raising questions about the sustainability of such performance [20]

Core Insights - The company, Chip Origin Co., reported that as of December 25, 2025, it signed new orders worth 2.494 billion yuan in the fourth quarter, with over 84% of these orders related to AI computing power projects, including both cloud-side and edge-side AI applications [1] Group 1 - The total new orders signed by the company in Q4 amounted to 2.494 billion yuan [1] - AI computing power-related orders constituted more than 84% of the total new orders [1] - The projects include both cloud-side and edge-side AI applications [1]

本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 2025年即将收官，回顾这一年，杠杆资金成为A股市场的主要推动力之一。 截至 12月26日，A股市场融资余额约为25265亿元，相比去年末的 18541亿元，增加超6700亿元，是市场主要的增量资金之一 。 资料来源：Choice 融资余额是指投资者通过券商的融资融券业务借入资金购买股票的金额，融资资金属于杠杆资金（因此，一般也用"杠杆资金"指代融资融券）， 具有助涨助跌的作用。通常而言， 融资余额规模走高，代表资金做多情绪浓厚，投资者愿意借入资金加杠杆投资。 0 1 " 杠杆资金 " 大举加仓 AI 算力、新能源、机器人等方向！ 那么，2025年的"杠杆资金"偏爱哪些行业呢？笔者梳理了融资余额的行业分布，根据Choice数据， 目前融资余额最高的行业是电子行业，融资 余额约为 3814亿元 。 电力设备紧随其后，融资余额超2260亿元。 此外， 非银金融、计算机、医药生物、机械设备、有色金属、通信、汽车、 基础化工 等8个行 业的融资余额均在1000亿元以上。 从融资变化来看，2025年 "杠杆资金" 融资净买入最多的行业是电子行业，融资净买入 ...