Core Insights - Another low-cost airline, Jetstar Asia, has ceased operations due to rising supplier costs, increased airport fees, and intensified competition in the region, leading to an expected loss of AUD 35 million in EBITDA for the current fiscal year [1] - The performance of low-cost airlines varies significantly between regions, with U.S. low-cost carriers struggling post-pandemic while some Chinese low-cost airlines are thriving [2][3] Group 1: Airline Performance - Jetstar Asia, established in 2004, primarily operated short-haul flights from Singapore, including routes to cities in China [1] - Other low-cost airlines, such as Spirit Airlines and Canada Jetlines, have also faced operational shutdowns, indicating a broader trend in the industry [1] - Southwest Airlines, a pioneer in low-cost travel, reported a 3% revenue decline in Q2 2023, contrasting with the strong performance of full-service airlines like Delta, which achieved a record revenue of USD 15.6 billion [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The recovery of business travel in the U.S. has favored full-service airlines, while low-cost carriers, which primarily serve leisure travelers, have seen slower recovery [2] - Southwest Airlines is adapting by introducing premium seating options and upgrading cabin services to attract cost-conscious travelers seeking better service [2] - In China, Spring Airlines, modeled after Southwest, has become the most profitable airline, while state-owned carriers have struggled to return to profitability [2][3] Group 3: Strategic Changes - The domestic market in China is experiencing a phase of capacity oversupply and changing passenger demographics, impacting revenue for airlines [3] - Spring Airlines has differentiated itself by offering "business economy seats" with increased legroom and additional services, similar to changes made by Southwest Airlines [3] - Airlines are increasingly focusing on diversifying their service offerings to meet the varied demands of different customer segments while controlling costs [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent shutdown of Jetstar Asia Airlines, a low-cost carrier under the Qantas Group, due to rising supplier costs, increased airport fees, and intensified competition in the region, leading to an expected loss of AUD 35 million in EBITDA for the current fiscal year [3][4]. Group 1: Industry Trends - Jetstar Asia Airlines ceased operations on July 31, marking another low-cost airline's failure post-pandemic, following Spirit Airlines and Canada Jetlines [3][4]. - The performance of low-cost carriers in the U.S. has been declining, with Southwest Airlines reporting a 3% revenue drop in Q2, while full-service airlines like Delta Air Lines achieved record revenues of USD 15.6 billion [3][4]. - In contrast, domestic airlines in China, particularly Spring Airlines, have thrived post-pandemic, with Spring Airlines reporting the highest net profit among listed airlines in 2023 [4][5]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape for low-cost airlines in Asia is challenging, with increased competition from carriers like AirAsia and Scoot, leading to a struggle for profitability [3][4]. - Spring Airlines has adopted a hybrid model, offering "business economy seats" with additional legroom and premium services, similar to changes made by Southwest Airlines to attract a broader customer base [5][6]. - The need for airlines to diversify their service offerings to meet varying customer demands is emphasized, as both low-cost and full-service airlines aim to reduce costs while expanding revenue sources [6].

Group 1 - The performance of low-cost airlines in the domestic market contrasts with that in the U.S., as evidenced by the shutdown of Jetstar Asia due to rising supplier costs, airport fees, and increased competition [1] - Jetstar Asia, which was established in 2004 and primarily operated short-haul flights from Singapore, is projected to incur a loss of AUD 35 million in EBITDA for the current fiscal year [1] - Other low-cost airlines, such as Spirit Airlines and Canada Jetlines, have also ceased operations, indicating a broader trend of challenges faced by low-cost carriers post-pandemic [1] Group 2 - In the U.S., full-service airlines have recovered faster due to a quicker rebound in business travel, while low-cost carriers have lagged behind [2] - Southwest Airlines has begun to diversify its offerings by introducing premium seating options and upgrading cabin services to attract cost-conscious travelers seeking better service [2] - In contrast, domestic airlines like Spring Airlines have thrived post-pandemic, with Spring Airlines achieving the highest net profit among listed airlines in 2023, and projected to remain the most profitable in 2024 [2][3] Group 3 - The differing fates of low-cost airlines in China and abroad can be attributed to temporary oversupply in the domestic market and changes in passenger demographics leading to revenue declines [3] - Spring Airlines has adopted a hybrid cabin layout, offering "business economy seats" with increased legroom, similar to the changes made by Southwest Airlines [3] - Airlines are increasingly required to develop a diverse service product system to meet the varied demands of low, medium, and high-end customers while simultaneously reducing costs and expanding revenue sources [4]

Group 1 - Jetstar Asia Airlines, a low-cost carrier, will cease operations on July 31, 2023, due to rising supplier costs, increased airport fees, and intensified competition in the region [1][3][5] - The airline, established in 2004, primarily operated routes within five hours from Singapore, including destinations in China [3] - The Australian airline group will refund affected customers and provide support for employees, while reallocating Jetstar Asia's 13 Airbus A320 aircraft to Australian and New Zealand routes [5][3] Group 2 - Other low-cost airlines have also faced challenges post-pandemic, with Spirit Airlines filing for bankruptcy in November 2022, reporting a loss of $336 million in the first half of 2024 [6] - Canada Jetlines and other low-cost carriers like Lynx Air and Swoop Airlines have also suspended operations due to financial difficulties [7] - In contrast, domestic low-cost carrier Spring Airlines has thrived post-pandemic, achieving the highest net profit among listed airlines in China in 2023 [8][9] Group 3 - The domestic aviation market has not seen any airline closures despite four years of losses during the pandemic, attributed to the high value of airline licenses and government support [7][10] - Spring Airlines has maintained profitability by leveraging its low-cost model and avoiding the impact of slow international route recovery [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Spring Airlines is "Accumulate" with a target price of CNY 65.5, representing a potential upside of 13.8% from the current price of CNY 57.55 [5][10]. Core Insights - Spring Airlines has demonstrated stable operating performance with a projected revenue of CNY 20 billion for 2024, reflecting an 11% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of CNY 2.27 billion, up 0.7% year-on-year [2]. - The airline's passenger turnover (RPK) increased by 18.8% in 2024, reaching 127% of 2019 levels, with international routes showing significant recovery [3]. - The average load factor for 2024 was 91.5%, although it slightly decreased to 90.6% in Q1 2025 due to external factors [4]. Financial Performance - For FY24, Spring Airlines is expected to achieve net sales of CNY 20 billion, with net profit projected at CNY 2.27 billion [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY25 is forecasted to be CNY 2.68, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.5 [6][10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of CNY 0.82 per share for FY24, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 1.4% [6]. Operational Metrics - The airline's aircraft utilization improved to 9.30 hours per day in 2024, which helped mitigate the impact of declining ticket prices [8]. - The fleet size is expected to grow from 129 aircraft at the end of 2024 to 160 by 2027, indicating ongoing expansion [9]. - The cost per available seat kilometer (ASK) decreased by 3.3% year-on-year, reflecting effective cost management strategies [8]. Market Position - Spring Airlines holds a competitive advantage in the low-cost airline sector, with a strong focus on leisure and low-cost business travel [10]. - The airline's market share in Shanghai's Pudong and Hongqiao airports increased in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year [9].

Group 1 - Indigo Airlines, India's largest airline, aims to double its passenger volume to 200 million by around 2030, driven by the rapid growth of the Indian aviation market, which is the third largest globally after China and the US [1][2] - The airline's CEO, Peter Elbers, stated that despite the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, demand for their services has not declined [1] - Indigo Airlines, established in 2006 as a low-cost carrier (LCC), has gained a reputation for quality service and has achieved rapid growth through large aircraft orders, holding over 60% market share in domestic routes [1] Group 2 - In 2024, Indigo Airlines is projected to carry 108 million passengers and plans to expand its international routes, focusing on Southeast Asia and the Middle East [1] - The airline is set to introduce business class on domestic routes in 2024 and on select international routes to Bangkok, Singapore, and Dubai next year [1] - Indigo Airlines has not joined any of the three major global airline alliances, maintaining an independent operational stance while having numerous partnerships [2] Group 3 - According to Cirium, Indigo Airlines ranked 15th globally in available seat kilometers (ASK) with 14.4 billion kilometers in March, surpassing All Nippon Airways and Japan Airlines [2]

Core Insights - Spring Airlines, despite its poor reputation among passengers, has consistently topped the profitability charts in the Chinese aviation industry, showcasing a unique low-cost business model [1][15][54] Group 1: Operational Model - The airline's operational model is characterized by extreme cost-cutting measures, including narrow seating, charging for services typically offered for free by other airlines, and minimal staff expenses [3][4][25] - Spring Airlines has developed its own IT system to enhance direct ticket sales and reduce costs, saving over 100 million yuan annually by not using the central ticketing system [17][18] - The airline's fleet consists solely of Airbus A320 and A321 models, which simplifies maintenance and training, resulting in significantly lower repair costs compared to competitors [20][21] Group 2: Development History - Founded in 2004, Spring Airlines was the first low-cost carrier in China, initially gaining attention with a one yuan ticket promotion in 2006 [7][8] - The airline expanded its fleet and routes over the years, achieving over 10 billion yuan in revenue by 2014 and establishing international routes [11][12] - Despite facing challenges during the COVID-19 pandemic, Spring Airlines quickly returned to profitability, reporting over 2 billion yuan in net profit for two consecutive years [14][15][32] Group 3: Revenue Generation - The airline's ancillary revenue streams, such as seat selection fees and in-flight sales, contribute significantly to its profitability, with ancillary income accounting for over 15% of total profits [28] - Spring Airlines has capitalized on subsidies from local governments for operating routes in second and third-tier cities, which has further boosted its revenue [29][30] Group 4: Market Position and Future Outlook - Spring Airlines has positioned itself as a leader in the low-cost segment, with a market share of 12.7% in China's domestic aviation market, indicating room for growth compared to the Asia-Pacific average of 28.3% [39][40] - The airline's focus on young, price-sensitive travelers has allowed it to thrive in a competitive environment, despite challenges related to service quality and customer satisfaction [49][48] - As the low-cost airline market continues to expand, Spring Airlines is expected to leverage its cost-effective model to provide affordable air travel to a broader audience [54][55]

Core Viewpoint - Spring Airlines is aggressively expanding its international routes in response to significant challenges in its domestic business, where revenue growth has sharply declined [1][3]. Group 1: Revenue Growth Trends - The revenue growth rate for Spring Airlines has been continuously declining, with a reported revenue of 20 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 11.5% year-on-year increase, compared to 114.34% in 2023 [3]. - In Q1 2024, the company's revenue growth further slowed to 2.88%, while net profit decreased by 16.39% year-on-year [4]. - The main business revenue growth for 2024 was only 11.1%, significantly lower than the previous year's 114.52% [5]. Group 2: Business Performance Analysis - Despite a recovery in the civil aviation market, Spring Airlines faces intense competition, leading to a decline in domestic business revenue growth to just 2.89% in 2024, down from 89.56% in 2023 [7]. - The company reported a total passenger turnover of 50.4 billion person-kilometers in domestic routes, a growth of 18.79%, but domestic revenue only reached 15.32 billion yuan [7]. - International business revenue grew by 66.89% to 4.017 billion yuan in 2024, increasing its share of total revenue from 13.42% to 20.08% [8]. Group 3: Cost and Profitability Challenges - The gross margin for the main business decreased by 0.63% to 12.04% due to rising operational costs [6]. - The average revenue per passenger-kilometer for domestic and international routes fell by 6.35% and 14.77%, respectively, indicating pressure on pricing [9]. Group 4: Shareholder Actions - Major shareholders of Spring Airlines are continuously reducing their holdings, with a recent announcement of a potential sale of up to 781,470 shares, representing 0.8% of the total share capital [10]. - Since 2018, these shareholders have repeatedly sold shares, with the latest reduction in March 2023, amounting to 1.05% of total shares [11]. - Institutional investors are also reducing their stakes, with one major shareholder decreasing its holdings by 54.7% from Q1 2023 to Q1 2024 [12].

2024 年民航客运量稳步增长，公司运力投放不断增长，全年客运运力投放同比增长16.1%，旅客周转量 同比增长18.8%，客座率91.49%，同比上升2.1pct，其中国际市场增速较快，地区市场有所下滑。因行 业市场下沉及价格竞争影响，公司全年客运运价有所下降，客公里收益0.385 元，同比下降6.5%。 成本费用稳定，全年业绩符合预期 2024 年公司成本费用表现基本稳定，尽管油价有所降低，但公司航油成本因用油量上升仍有所增长； 非油成本管控依旧较好，单位非油成本同比略有下降。费用端，公司各项费用稳中略降，其中销售、管 理、研发、财务费用率分别为1.25%、1.36%、0.80%、1.33%，同比分别下降0.08pct、上升0.07pct、持 平、下降0.12pct。整体来看，公司2024 年业绩基本符合预期。 春秋航空披露2024 年年报及2025 年一季报 税盾因素导致一季度业绩下滑，不含税业绩保持坚挺2025 年一季度公司运量保持增长，业务重心更偏 向于扩张国际航线，运价同比略有下降。值得一提的是，公司2025 年一季度有所波动的原因主要是税 盾用尽，税前利润同比依然坚挺，同比提高0.5%。 春秋航空 ...

发布时间：2025-05-08 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 证券研究报告：交通运输 | 公司点评报告 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 55.45 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）9.78 | / 9.78 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）542 | / 542 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 62.18 / 48.22 | | 资产负债率(%) | 60.3% | | 市盈率 | 23.80 | | 第一大股东 | 上海春秋国际旅行社 | | | (集团)有限公司 | 研究所 分析师:曾凡喆 SAC 登记编号:S1340523100002 Email:zengfanzhe@cnpsec.com 春秋航空(601021) 低成本航空韧性凸显，扣税盾业绩保持坚挺 l 春秋航空披露 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报 春秋航空披露 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报。2024 年公司营业 收入 200.0 亿元，同比增长 11.5%，实现归母净利润 22.7 亿元，同比 增长 0.7%，其中第四季度营业收入 40.2 亿元，同比增长 4.9%，归母 ...