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全品种价差日报-20250611
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 03:28
Report Summary Core View The report presents the basis, spot prices, futures prices, basis rates, and historical quantiles of various commodities and financial futures on June 11, 2025, covering multiple sectors such as ferrous metals, non - ferrous metals, precious metals, agricultural products, energy and chemicals, and stock index futures [1]. Summary by Category Ferrous Metals - **Silicon Iron (SF509)**: Spot price is 5528, futures price is 5174, basis is 354, basis rate is 6.84%, and historical quantile is 92.20% [1]. - **Silicon Manganese (SM509)**: Spot price is 5700, futures price is 5542, basis is 158, basis rate is 2.85%, and historical quantile is 51.70% [1]. - **Rebar (RB2510)**: Spot price is 3190, futures price is 3110, basis is 80, basis rate is 2.57%, and historical quantile is 59.60% [1]. - **Hot - Rolled Coil (HC2510)**: Spot price is 3089, futures price is 3033, basis is 56, basis rate is 1.85%, and historical quantile is 56.70% [1]. - **Iron Ore (I2509)**: Spot price (converted price of 62.5% Brazilian mixed powder) is 753, futures price is 745, basis is 8, basis rate is 1.07%, and historical quantile is 45.30% [1]. - **Coke (J2509)**: Spot price (converted price of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke) is 1357, futures price is 1349, basis is 8, basis rate is 0.60%, and historical quantile is 50.63% [1]. - **Coking Coal (JM2509)**: Spot price (converted price of S1.3 G75 main coking coal) is 838, futures price is 785, basis is 53, basis rate is 6.75%, and historical quantile is 34.50% [1]. Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper (CU2507)**: Spot price is 79275, futures price is 78880, basis is 395, basis rate is 0.50%, and historical quantile is 77.70% [1]. - **Aluminum (AL2507)**: Spot price is 20160, futures price is 19980, basis is 180, basis rate is 0.90%, and historical quantile is 86.66% [1]. - **Alumina (AO2509)**: Spot price is 3262, futures price is 2886, basis is 376, basis rate is 13.04%, and historical quantile is 90.74% [1]. - **Zinc (ZN2507)**: Spot price is 22090, futures price is 21845, basis is 245, basis rate is 1.12%, and historical quantile is 80.62% [1]. - **Tin (SN2507)**: Spot price is 264800, futures price is 263420, basis is 1380, basis rate is 0.52%, and historical quantile is 82.29% [1]. - **Nickel (NISE07)**: Spot price is 121600, futures price is 121390, basis is 210, basis rate is 0.17%, and historical quantile is 63.54% [1]. - **Stainless Steel (SS2508)**: Spot price is 12870, futures price is 12460, basis is 410, basis rate is 3.29%, and historical quantile is 80.90% [1]. Precious Metals - **Gold (AU2508)**: Spot price is 775.1, futures price is 772.8, basis is - 2.2, basis rate is - 0.29%, and historical quantile is 36.20% [1]. - **Silver (AG2508)**: Spot price is 8887.0, futures price is 8882.0, basis is 5.0, basis rate is 0.06%, and historical quantile is 74.30% [1]. Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal (M2509)**: Spot price is 3031.0, futures price is 2830, basis is 201.0, basis rate is 7.10%, and historical quantile is 79.60% [1]. - **Soybean Oil (Y2509)**: Spot price is 7960, futures price is 7758.0, basis is 202.0, basis rate is 2.60%, and historical quantile is 26.70% [1]. - **Palm Oil (P2509)**: Spot price is 8490, futures price is 8116.0, basis is 374.0, basis rate is 4.61%, and historical quantile is 65.50% [1]. - **Rapeseed Meal (RM509)**: Spot price is 2629.0, futures price is 2500, basis is 129.0, basis rate is 5.16%, and historical quantile is 11.90% [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil (O1509)**: Spot price is 9380, futures price is 9188.0, basis is 192.0, basis rate is 2.09%, and historical quantile is 59.80% [1]. - **Corn (C2507)**: Spot price is 2380, futures price is 2379.0, basis is 1.0, basis rate is 0.04%, and historical quantile is 48.20% [1]. - **Corn Starch (CS2507)**: Spot price is 2711.0, futures price is 2700, basis is - 11.0, basis rate is - 0.41%, and historical quantile is 9.20% [1]. - **Live Hogs (LH2509)**: Spot price is 14050, futures price is 13595.0, basis is 455.0, basis rate is 3.35%, and historical quantile is 52.30% [1]. - **Eggs (JD2507)**: Spot price is 2833.0, futures price is 2650, basis is 183.0, basis rate is 6.46%, and historical quantile is 15.90% [1]. - **Cotton (CF509)**: Spot price is 14644, futures price is 13520.0, basis is 1124.0, basis rate is 8.31%, and historical quantile is 78.50% [1]. - **Sugar (SR509)**: Spot price is 6170, futures price is 5717.0, basis is 453.0, basis rate is 7.92%, and historical quantile is 82.60% [1]. - **Apples (AP510)**: Spot price is 8600, futures price is 7523.0, basis is 1077.0, basis rate is 14.32%, and historical quantile is 74.80% [1]. - **Red Dates (CJ509)**: Spot price is 8995.0, futures price is 8300, basis is - 695.0, basis rate is - 7.73%, and historical quantile is 65.50% [1]. Energy and Chemicals - **Para - Xylene (PX509)**: Spot price is 6777.2, futures price is 6502.0, basis is 275.2, basis rate is 4.23%, and historical quantile is 93.30% [1]. - **PTA (TA509)**: Spot price is 4865.0, futures price is 4612.0, basis is 253.0, basis rate is 5.49%, and historical quantile is 84.30% [1]. - **Ethylene Glycol (EG2509)**: Spot price is 4365.0, futures price is 4269.0, basis is 96.0, basis rate is 2.25%, and historical quantile is 89.90% [1]. - **Polyester Staple Fiber (PF507)**: Spot price is 6500.0, futures price is 6358.0, basis is 142.0, basis rate is 2.23%, and historical quantile is 77.40% [1]. - **Styrene (EB2507)**: Spot price is 7505.0, futures price is 7346.0, basis is 159.0, basis rate is 2.16%, and historical quantile is 58.90% [1]. - **Methanol (MA509)**: Spot price is 2380.0, futures price is 2276.0, basis is 104.0, basis rate is 4.57%, and historical quantile is 79.30% [1]. - **Urea (UR509)**: Spot price is 1760.0, futures price is 1678.0, basis is 82.0, basis rate is 4.89%, and historical quantile is 37.00% [1]. - **LLDPE (L2509)**: Spot price is 7175.0, futures price is 7106.0, basis is 69.0, basis rate is 0.97%, and historical quantile is 38.20% [1]. - **PP (PP2509)**: Spot price is 7130.0, futures price is 6941.0, basis is 189.0, basis rate is 2.72%, and historical quantile is 67.80% [1]. - **PVC (V2509)**: Spot price is 4810.0, futures price is 4700.0, basis is 110.0, basis rate is 2.29%, and historical quantile is 49.90% [1]. - **Caustic Soda (SH509)**: Spot price is 2750.0, futures price is 2324.0, basis is 426.0, basis rate is 18.33%, and historical quantile is 88.20% [1]. - **LPG (PG2507)**: Spot price is 4548.0, futures price is 4119.0, basis is 429.0, basis rate is 10.42%, and historical quantile is 61.10% [1]. - **Asphalt (BU2509)**: Spot price is 3710.0, futures price is 3483.0, basis is 227.0, basis rate is 6.52%, and historical quantile is 85.40% [1]. - **Butadiene Rubber (BR2507)**: Spot price is 11600.0, futures price is 11230.0, basis is 370.0, basis rate is 3.29%, and historical quantile is 68.30% [1]. - **Glass (FG509)**: Spot price is 1032.0, futures price is 995.0, basis is 37.0, basis rate is 3.59%, and historical quantile is 76.00% [1]. - **Soda Ash (SA509)**: Spot price is 1254.0, futures price is 1208.0, basis is 46.0, basis rate is 3.67%, and historical quantile is 44.84% [1]. - **Natural Rubber (RU2509)**: Spot price is 13850.0, futures price is 13805.0, basis is 45.0, basis rate is 0.32%, and historical quantile is 97.95% [1]. Stock Index Futures - **IF2506.CFE**: Spot price (implied) is 3865.5, futures price is 3841.0, basis is - 24.5, basis rate is - 0.64%, and historical quantile is 11.90% [1]. - **IH2506.CFE**: Spot price (implied) is 2676.4, futures price is 2660.0, basis is - 16.4, basis rate is - 0.62%, and historical quantile is 30.20% [1]. - **IC2506.CFE**: Spot price (implied) is 5758.0, futures price is 5718.2, basis is - 39.8, basis rate is - 0.70%, and historical quantile is 10.00% [1]. - **IM2506.CFE**: Spot price (implied) is 6161.7, futures price is 6113.8, basis is - 47.9, basis rate is - 0.78%, and historical quantile is 26.00% [1]. - **TS2509**: Spot price (implied) is 102.44, futures price is 100.28, basis is - 0.07, basis rate is - 0.07%, and historical quantile is 24.30% [1]. - **TF2509**: Spot price (implied) is 106.12, futures price is 101.02, basis is - 0.02, basis rate is - 0.02%, and historical quantile is 40.70% [1]. - **T2509**: Spot price (implied) is 108.98, futures price is 107.61, basis is 0.20, basis rate is 0.19%, and historical quantile is 55.20% [1]. - **TL2509**: Spot price (implied) is 135.91, futures price is 120.16, basis is 0.39, basis rate is 0.32%, and historical quantile is 55.20% [1]. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report.
全品种价差日报-20250516
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-16 06:08
| 品种/合约 | 现货价格 | 期货价格 | 基差 | 基差率 | 历史分位数 | 现货参考 | | 留注 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 硅铁 (SF507) | 5778 | 5660 | 118 | 2.08% | 74.60% | 折算价:72硅铁合格块:内蒙-天津仓单 | | | | 硅罐(SM509) | 5920 | 5876 | 44 | 0.75% | 33.00% | 折算价:6517硅锰:内蒙-湖北仓单 | | | | 螺纹钢 (RB2510) | 3240 | 3118 | 122 | 3.91% | 56.40% | HRB40020mm:上海 | | | | 热卷 (HC2510) | 3300 | 3260 | 40 | 1.23% | 36.20% | Q235B: 4.75mm: 上海 | | | | 铁矿石 (12509) | 809 | 737 | 73 | 9.90% | 55.70% | 折算价:62.5%巴混粉(BRBF):淡水河谷:日照港 | | | | 焦炭 (J2509) ...
全品种价差日报-20250515
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-15 06:42
| 硅铁 (SF507) | 5778 | 5678 | 100 | 1.76% | 72.00% | 折算价:72硅铁合格块:内蒙-天津仓单 | 硅罐(SM509) | 56 | 折算价:6517硅锰:内蒙-湖北仓单 | 5920 | 0.95% | 35.70% | 5864 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 123 | 3127 | HRB40020mm:上海 | 3250 | 56.70% | 螺纹钢 (RB2510) | 3.93% | Q235B: 4.75mm: 上海 | 53 | 1.62% | 41.40% | 热卷 (HC2510) | 3320 | 3267 | | | | | | 72 | 809 | 737 | 9.82% | 折算价:62.5%巴混粉(BRBF):淡水河谷:日照港 | 铁矿石 (12509) | 55.40% | -2 | 焦炭 (J2509) | 1480 ...
广发期货全品种价差日报-20250429
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-29 02:44
| 89.30% | 280 | 硅铁 (SF506) | 5928 | 5648 | 5.00% | 折算价:72硅铁合格块:内蒙-天津仓单 | 硅罐(SM509) | 5950 | 2.50% | 折算价:6517硅锰:内蒙-湖北仓单 | 146 | 49.30% | 5804 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 111 | 3.50% | 3240 | 53.60% | 螺纹钢 (RB2510) | 3129 | HRB40020mm: 上海 | 43 | 37.60% | Q235B: 4.75mm: 上海 | 热卷 (HC2510) | 3280 | 3237 | 1.30% | | | | | | 87 | 798 | 63.20% | 711 | 12.30% | 折算价:62.5%巴混粉(BRBF):淡水河谷:日照港 | 铁矿石 (12509) | 1531 | 1562 | -2.00% ...
全品种价差日报-20250414
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-14 07:08
Report Date - The report is dated April 14, 2025 [3] Core Data Summary Ferrous Metals - Silicon iron (SF506) futures price is 5998, up 2.04% from the previous price, with a historical quantile of 75.80% [1] - Silicon manganese (SM505) futures price is 6070, up 1.91%, historical quantile 44.70% [1] - Rebar (RB2510) futures price change is 0.93%, historical quantile not shown [1] - Hot - rolled coil (HC2510) futures price change is 0.25%, historical quantile not shown [1] - Iron ore (I2509) futures price change and historical quantile are 61.40% and 11.59% respectively [1] - Coke (J2505) futures price is down 1.78%, historical quantile 40.06% [1] - Coking coal (JM2505) futures price is up 20.22%, historical quantile 71.10% [1] Non - ferrous Metals - Copper (CU2505) futures price is 75230, down 0.90%, historical quantile 6.25% [1] - Aluminum (AL2506) futures price is 19695, down 0.58%, historical quantile 17.91% [1] - Alumina (AO2505) futures price is 2763, up 3.86%, historical quantile 56.59% [1] - Zinc (ZN2506) futures price is 22660, up 0.18%, historical quantile 53.54% [1] - Tin (SN2505) futures price is 257450, down 1.42%, historical quantile 3.54% [1] - Nickel (NI2505) futures price is 121300, down 0.58%, historical quantile 24.58% [1] - Stainless steel (SS2506) futures price is 13370, up 5.28%, historical quantile 95.07% [1] - Industrial silicon (SI2505) futures price is 10100, up 6.82%, historical quantile 50.62% [1] - Lithium carbonate (LC2505) futures price is 71600, up 1.91%, historical quantile 63.39% [1] Precious Metals - Gold (AU2506) futures price is 757.8, up 0.06%, historical quantile 96.80% [1] - Silver (AG2506) futures price is 7970.0, up 0.18%, historical quantile 96.90% [1] Agricultural Products - Soybean meal (M2509) futures price is 3120, up 1.23%, historical quantile 25.00% [1] - Soybean oil (Y2509) futures price is 7680.0, up 3.65%, historical quantile 35.80% [1] - Palm oil (P2505) futures price is 8748.0, up 5.17%, historical quantile 67.80% [1] - Rapeseed meal (RM509) futures price is 2690.0, down 5.95%, historical quantile 5.00% [1] - Rapeseed oil (OI505) futures price is 9310.0, up 0.43%, historical quantile 20.10% [1] - Corn (C2505) futures price is 2220, down 2.20%, historical quantile 21.20% [1] - Corn starch (CS2507) futures price is 2663.0, down 0.49%, historical quantile 8.60% [1] - Live hog (LH2509) futures price is 14345.0, up 3.17%, historical quantile 57.10% [1] - Eggs (JD2505) futures price is 3137.0, down 0.22%, historical quantile 30.60% [1] - Cotton (CF505) futures price is 12810.0, up 10.97%, historical quantile 91.30% [1] - Sugar (SR505) futures price is 6086.0, up 2.04%, historical quantile 35.10% [1] - Apples (AP505) futures price is 7600, down 5.70%, historical quantile 5.60% [1] - Red dates (CJ505) futures price is 9020.0, down 6.87%, historical quantile 70.00% [1] Energy and Chemicals - Paraxylene (PX505) futures price is 6136.0, up 1.35%, historical quantile 58.90% [1] - PTA (TA505) futures price is 4358.0, down 1.33%, historical quantile 31.00% [1] - Ethylene glycol (EG2505) futures price is 4279.0, up 1.54%, historical quantile 86.20% [1] - Polyester staple fiber (PF506) futures price is 6136.0, up 2.59%, historical quantile 79.90% [1] - Styrene (EB2505) futures price is 7520.0, up 0.73%, historical quantile 39.80% [1] - Methanol (MA505) futures price is 2392.0, up 4.10%, historical quantile 77.30% [1] - Urea (UR505) futures price is 1910.0, up 2.14%, historical quantile 22.90% [1] - LLDPE (L2509) futures price is 7252.0, up 3.90%, historical quantile 84.90% [1] - PP (PP2509) futures price is 7189.0, up 1.54%, historical quantile 53.30% [1] - PVC (V2505) futures price is 4930.0, down 2.23%, historical quantile 49.00% [1] - Caustic soda (SH202) futures price is 2361.0, up 3.24%, historical quantile 65.80% [1] - LPG (PG2505) futures price is 5298.0, up 20.57%, historical quantile 92.50% [1] - Asphalt (BU2506) futures price is 3425.0, up 3.32%, historical quantile 75.70% [1] - Butadiene rubber (BR2505) futures price is 11775.0, up 1.91%, historical quantile 58.50% [1] - Glass (FG505) futures price is 1152.0, up 0.52%, historical quantile 64.00% [1] - Soda ash (SA505) futures price is 1347.0, up 1.48%, historical quantile 31.36% [1] - Natural rubber (RU2509) futures price is 14995.0, down 3.77%, historical quantile 68.95% [1] Financial Futures - CSI 300 (IF2506) futures price is 3686.6, down 1.73%, historical quantile 3.40% [1] - SSE 50 (IH2506) futures price is 2619.6, down 0.92% [1] - CSI 500 (IC2504) futures price is 5555.8, down 0.46%, historical quantile 46.80% [1] - CSI 1000 (IM2506) futures price is 5672.2, down 3.35%, historical quantile 6.00% [1] - 2 - year Treasury bond (TS2506) futures price is 102.66, down 0.24% [1] - 5 - year Treasury bond (TF2506) futures price is 106.41, up 0.03%, historical quantile 13.50% [1] - 10 - year Treasury bond (T2506) futures price is 108.99, up 0.03% [1] - 30 - year Treasury bond (TL2506) futures price is 136.90, up 0.13%, historical quantile 18.00% [1]