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政策转向难阻太阳能狂飙 高盛预测2030年装机量突破914吉瓦
智通财经网· 2025-08-08 02:47
智通财经APP获悉,尽管部分主要经济体政策转向,全球太阳能产业仍有望保持高速增长。高盛研究部最新预测显示,到2030 年全球太阳能装机容量将达914吉瓦,较2024年水平增长57%。这一乐观预期与当前部分国家政策调整形成对比——中国已取 消新建大型商业和工业太阳能项目的电网接入保障,美国联邦政府也在审查实施规则,可能从2028年起对太阳能装置产生下行 压力。 高盛全球大宗商品研究联席主管丹·斯特鲁文指出,太阳能发电正以"电力史上最快速度"扩张。该能源形式自兴起以来,11年间 累计发电量已达2129太瓦时,截至2025年7月的12个月内贡献了全球8%的电力供应。尽管中美近期政策调整可能带来短期波 动,但长期来看,太阳能仍有望成为全球能源结构的重要支柱。 图2 支撑太阳能长期发展的三大结构性因素依然稳固:首先是成本下降的正反馈循环:成本降低导致需求增加、供应增加,最终成 本再次降低。累计产量每翻一番,太阳能板成本下降20%,这种下降速度超越计算机和通信设备等现代投资品。 图1 当前行业面临多重挑战:澳大利亚和加州出现的负电价现象,暴露了太阳能与风能高比例接入电网时可能引发的供需失衡;西 班牙和葡萄牙今年四月因电源 ...
碳酸锂期货日报-20250808
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-08 01:38
Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: Carbonate Lithium Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: August 8, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Group 3: Core View - The carbonate lithium futures rose significantly, and the market continued to trade on the news of the production cut at Jianxiaowo Mine. As August 9th approached, the time window for the news to be realized was narrowing, and it was expected to have a greater impact on the market. The spot price increased by 150 to 71,100. The 08 contract on the market continued to trade at a discount to the spot, but contracts after 09 were at a premium to the spot. This week, the weekly production of carbonate lithium reached a new high of 19,556 tons. The production of carbonate lithium from lithium mica and salt lakes stopped falling and rebounded to 4,410 tons and 2,442 tons respectively, but was still lower than the previous high levels. Against the backdrop of positive profits for salt plants purchasing external salts, abundant lithium spodumene ore, and sufficient salt plant production capacity, the production of carbonate lithium from lithium spodumene reached 11,182 tons. The weekly inventory increased by 692 tons to 142,418 tons. The short - term market was rising under the influence of sentiment, but the fundamentals still exerted pressure, and the pattern of high production and high inventory remained unchanged. Even if the Jianxiaowo Mine stopped production, the positive profits of salt plants purchasing external lithium spodumene would offset the impact of the reduction in lithium mica production. Short - term chasing of highs was not advisable [11] Group 4: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Carbonate lithium futures rose sharply due to the news of production cut at Jianxiaowo Mine. The spot price increased by 150 to 71,100. The 08 contract was at a discount to the spot, while contracts after 09 were at a premium. Weekly production reached 19,556 tons, with lithium mica and salt lake production rebounding but still below previous highs, and lithium spodumene production reaching 11,182 tons. Weekly inventory increased by 692 tons to 142,418 tons. Caution was advised in short - term high - chasing [11] Group 5: Industry News - Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Battery Technology Co., Ltd. won a 400 million yuan bid for the energy storage equipment of the Xinrong Hebang 400MW/800MWh energy storage power station project, with a unit price of 0.5 yuan/Wh [14] - The Indonesian government plans to build solar power stations for "Kopdes Merah Putih" to cover rural and remote areas, aiming for a solar power installation capacity of up to 100 gigawatts [14]
欧盟6月光伏首次成为第一大发电来源
报告称,欧盟至少有13个国家,如德国、西班牙和荷兰等,6月太阳能发电量创历史新高。Ember高级 分析师克里斯.罗斯洛氏表示,这一结果表明欧盟电力系统的变化非常快。Ember指出,为了减少日照水 平低时的化石燃料用量,未来的研究方向是扩大电池储存系统的容量和提高电网的灵活性。(王英斌译 自路透社) 全球能源智库Ember近日发布报告称,6月太阳能发电量首次超过核能和风能,成为欧盟第一大发电来 源。 由于日照量创历史新高,且太阳能发电设备安装量增加,6月欧盟太阳能发电量达到45.4太瓦时,占总 发电量的22.1%,高于去年同期的18.9%;核能发电量占比为21.8%,风能发电量占比为15.8%;煤炭发 电量占比为6.1%,是有记录以来的最低水平,去年同期为8.8%;风电量5月和6月连续创历史新高。从 上半年的整体情况来看,包括天然气在内的化石燃料发电量同比增加了13%。 ...
第一太阳能上调全年业绩指引 称特朗普法案带来更强竞争优势
智通财经网· 2025-08-01 06:16
美国光伏巨头第一太阳能(FSLR.US)公布了好于预期的2025年第二季度财报,并上调了全年业绩指引。 财报显示,第一太阳能Q2净销售额为11亿美元,好于市场预期的10.2亿美元;摊薄后的每股收益为3.18美 元,好于市场预期的2.60美元。 该公司首席执行官Mark Widmar在财报电话会议上表示,在美国总统特朗普力推的税收和支出法案通过 后,该公司处于比前拜登政府于2022年出台更具里程碑意义的气候法案后更强劲的地位。该公司认为, 特朗普政府通过的法案正在推动对其在美国本土生产的太阳能面板的需求。 展望未来,第一太阳能预计,2025年净销售额将在49亿美元至57亿美元区间,此前预期为45亿美元至55 亿美元;预计毛利润为20.5亿美元至23.5亿美元(此前预期为19.6亿美元至24.7亿美元),经营利润为15.3亿 美元至18.7亿美元。 Mark Widmar表示:"我们认为,近期的政策和贸易发展总体上加强了第一太阳能在太阳能制造业中的 相对地位。""此外,我们认为,从基本面上看,凭借其具有成本竞争力的能源和更快的发电时间,无论 政策环境如何,公用事业规模的太阳能发电都是很有吸引力的,这使作为公用事业 ...
第一太阳能(FSLR.US)上调全年业绩指引 称特朗普法案带来更强竞争优势
智通财经网· 2025-08-01 03:43
Core Viewpoint - First Solar (FSLR.US) reported better-than-expected Q2 2025 financial results and raised its full-year guidance, indicating strong demand for its solar panels driven by recent U.S. tax and spending legislation [1] Financial Performance - Q2 net sales reached $1.1 billion, exceeding market expectations of $1.02 billion [1] - Diluted earnings per share were $3.18, surpassing the market forecast of $2.60 [1] Future Outlook - The company projects Q2 2025 net sales between $4.9 billion and $5.7 billion, up from a previous estimate of $4.5 billion to $5.5 billion [1] - Expected gross profit is forecasted to be between $2.05 billion and $2.35 billion, revised from $1.96 billion to $2.47 billion [1] - Operating profit is anticipated to range from $1.53 billion to $1.87 billion, an increase from the prior estimate of $1.45 billion to $2.0 billion [1] Market Position - CEO Mark Widmar stated that recent policy and trade developments have strengthened First Solar's relative position in the solar manufacturing industry [1] - The company believes that utility-scale solar power remains attractive due to its cost-competitive energy and faster generation times, reinforcing First Solar's leadership in the sector [1]
欧洲热浪引爆电价!风电产能骤降 煤气发电紧急补供
智通财经网· 2025-07-07 09:15
Core Viewpoint - The expected significant decline in wind power generation during the summer in Europe will lead to an increase in coal and gas power generation, resulting in higher electricity prices and increased emissions [1][4]. Group 1: Electricity Generation Trends - Major markets including Germany, France, and Spain are projected to see a 50% increase in coal power generation this month compared to June [1]. - Energy Aspects estimates a 40% decline in wind power generation for July and August [1]. - Historical fossil fuel power plants in Europe may be reactivated, highlighting their continued importance despite investments in renewable energy [1]. Group 2: Electricity Prices - On July 1, the hourly electricity price at the Paris EPEX Spot SE surged to €557.34 per megawatt-hour, nearly nine times higher than the lowest price of the day [1]. - The electricity futures price in Germany for next month is €80.94 per megawatt-hour, approximately one-third higher than in April [1]. Group 3: Weather Impact - Recent temperatures in parts of Germany have approached 40 degrees Celsius, exacerbating the situation for wind power generation [2]. - If the cessation of wind power generation continues for an extended period, fossil fuels will need to fill the evening demand gap in the electricity market [2]. Group 4: Emissions and Historical Context - According to BloombergNEF, emissions from EU power plants may increase by 14% this month compared to June [4]. - Similar patterns of low power generation were observed last winter and spring, necessitating increased output from fossil fuel power plants to ensure electricity supply [4].
中子星(青岛)能源科技有限公司成立,注册资本500万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 11:21
Company Overview - Neutron Star (Qingdao) Energy Technology Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 5 million RMB, fully owned by Neutron Star (Guangdong) Energy Technology Co., Ltd. [1] - The legal representative of the company is Zhang Yuhan [1]. Shareholding Structure - Neutron Star (Guangdong) Energy Technology Co., Ltd. holds 100% of the shares in Neutron Star (Qingdao) Energy Technology Co., Ltd. [2]. Business Scope - The company’s business scope includes solar power generation technology services, safety technology prevention system design and construction services, artificial intelligence public service platform technical consulting services, offshore wind power system research and development, carbon reduction, carbon conversion, carbon capture, and carbon storage technology research and development [2]. - Additional services include warehousing equipment leasing, transportation equipment leasing, photovoltaic power generation equipment leasing, container leasing, engineering management services, energy-saving management services, and various technical services [2]. - The company is also involved in the manufacturing and sales of photovoltaic equipment and components, as well as the sales of new energy power equipment [2]. Company Registration Details - The company is registered in Shandong Province, Qingdao City, with a business address at Room 1001, No. 3 Shouguang Road, Shibei District [2]. - The company is classified under the manufacturing industry, specifically in the petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing sectors [2]. - The business license allows the company to operate until June 30, 2025, with no fixed term thereafter [2].
欧洲能源交易所(EEX):德国太阳能发电量达创纪录的49.224兆瓦。
news flash· 2025-06-13 13:27
Core Viewpoint - The European Energy Exchange (EEX) reports that Germany's solar power generation has reached a record high of 49.224 gigawatts [1] Group 1 - Germany's solar power generation has achieved a new record of 49.224 gigawatts, indicating significant growth in renewable energy capacity [1]
天宸股份: 上海市天宸股份有限公司关于投资设立全资孙公司的公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-04 08:13
Overview of Investment - The company has announced the establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary named Wuhu Tianchen New Energy Engineering Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of RMB 40 million [1][2] - The investment is made by Tianchen Green Energy Technology (Wuhu) Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company, using its own funds [1][3] Investment Details - The investment falls within the approval authority of the company's general manager and does not require board or shareholder approval [2] - The investment does not involve related party transactions and does not constitute a major asset restructuring as defined by relevant regulations [2] Business Scope of the New Subsidiary - The new subsidiary will engage in various activities including electrical installation services, construction project management, renewable energy technology research, and sales of energy-related equipment [2] - Specific projects include solar power technology services, wind power technology services, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure operations [2] Strategic Importance - The investment aligns with the company's development strategy and is expected to contribute positively to its long-term growth [3] - The funding source is from the subsidiary's own capital, ensuring no adverse impact on the company's financial and operational status [3]
南通顺创农业有限公司成立,注册资本500万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 16:28
Company Overview - Nantong Shunchuang Agriculture Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 5 million RMB [1] - The legal representative of the company is Huang Haitao [1] - The company is jointly owned by Shanghai Shuntian Chuangyi Intelligent Agriculture Co., Ltd. (51% stake) and Jiangsu Hairui Chuang Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (49% stake) [1] Business Scope - The company’s business activities include agricultural machinery services, crop cultivation services, and agricultural scientific research and experimental development [1] - It also engages in the sale of agricultural products, including fresh vegetables, fruits, and aquatic products [1] - Additional services include agricultural production management, technology services, and intelligent agricultural management [1] Industry Classification - The company operates within the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors, specifically focusing on professional and auxiliary agricultural activities [1] - The registered address is located in the Jiangsu Province, specifically in the Tongzhou Bay Jianghai Linked Development Demonstration Zone [1] - The company is classified as a limited liability company with an indefinite business duration [1]