Content: --------- <doc id='1'>证券研究报告·金融工程报告 2025 年 12 月 18 日 江海证券研究发展部 金融工程定期报告 金融工程研究组 A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资动态 2025.12.18 ◆市场表现：2025 年 12 月 17 日, 各宽基指数（表 1）全部上涨，其中创业板指（3.39%） 投资要点：</doc> <doc id='2'>分析师：梁俊炜 执业证书编号：S1410524090001 A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资动 和中证 500（1.95%）涨幅最大。当年涨跌情况，创业板指（48.3%）涨幅最大，其 次是中证 2000（30.48%）和中证 500（24.66%），中证 1000（22.34%）和中证全指 （21.17%）涨幅扩大，而上证 50（11.43%）涨幅最小。 ◆均线比较：除了中证 1000 和中证 2000，其余跟踪指数已突破 5 日及 20 日均线。 创业板指率先突破 60 日均线。各跟踪指数单日修复程度较大。 ◆资金占比与换手：2025 年 12 月 17 日, 沪深 300（25.34%）交易金额占比最高， 相关研究报告</doc> <doc id='3'>态 2025.12.17 A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资动 态 2025.12.16 A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资动 态 2025.12.15 其次是中证 2000（23.94%）和中证 1000（20.51%）。各宽基指数当前换手率分别 为中证 2000（3.88），创业板指（2.41），中证 1000（2.24），中证全指（1.63）， 中证 500（1.56），沪深 300（0.54）和上证 50（0.23）。 ◆日收益率分布：创业板指的峰度负偏离最大，中证 1000 的峰度负偏离最小。上 证 50 和创业板指的负偏态最大，中证 1000 和中证 2000 的负偏态最小。 ◆风险溢价：2025 年 12 月 17 日, 创业板指（97.14%）和中证 500（96.59%）风险 溢价近 5 年分位值较高，中证 1000（88.41%）和中证 2000（69.05%）较低。</doc> <doc id='4'>◆PE-TTM：中证 500（95.04%）和中证 1000（93.47%）分位值较高，而中证 2000 （79.17%）和创业板指（57.69%）分位值较低。 ◆股债性价比：没有指数高于其 80%分位，中证 500 低于其 20%分位。 ◆股息率：创业板指（63.22%）和中证 1000（51.65%）所处近 5 年历史分位值较 高，而中证 2000（31.32%）和中证 500（24.55%）较低。 ◆破净率：当前，各指数破净率为上证 50（22.0%），沪深 300（16.33%），中证 500（11.2%），中证 1000（8.3%），中证 2000（3.8%），创业板指（nan%）和中 证全指（6.51%）。 ◆风险提示：本报告可能存在数据缺失、数据错误、数据不及时、模型处理错误 等风险。本报告仅从金融工程角度，对重要指数的市场数据进行跟踪、统计、分 析，不构成对市场指数、行业或个股进行预测或推荐。</doc> <doc id='6'>| 市场衣乳… | | --- | | 1.1 指数表现 … | | 1.2 指数与均线的比较 | | 1.3 资全占比与换手率 … | | 2 日收益分布 | | 2.1 收益区间分布对比 | | 22 分布形态变化对比 | | 3 风险溢价 … | | 3.1 各宽基指数的风险溢价 | | 32 风险溢价历史分布 | | 4 PE-TTM. | | 4.1 各宽某指数 PE-TTM 和分位值 | | 4.2 PE-TTM 历史对比… | | 4.3 股债性价比历史对比… | | 5 吸血率… | | 5.1 近一年各宽某指数股息率变化情况, | | 5.2 股息率历史对比… | | 6 玻璃率 | | 7 风险提示 . |</doc> <doc id='8'>| 表 1、各宽基指数表现情况 | | --- | | 表 2、各宽基指数与均线、近250交易日高位和低位的比较 … | | 表 3 、各宽基指数分布形态变化 … | | 表 4、各宽基指数和十年期国债即期收益率的风险溢价 | | 表 5、各宽基指数 PE-TTM 分位值和历史值 | | 表 6、各宽基指数当前股息率和历史情况 | | 图 1、各宽基指数交易全额占比和换手率 | | 图 2、各宽基指数每日收益率分布情况 | | 图 3、各宽基指数相对十年国债即期收益率的风险溢价 | | 图 4、各宽基指数相对沪深 300 的风险溢价的近 5年分布 . | | 图 5 、各宽基指数 PE-TTM 及其分位值 | | 图 6、各宽基指数的股债性价比… | | 图 7、各宽基指数股息率 | | 图 8、各宽基指数破净个股数和占比………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 10 |</doc> <doc id='10'>1 市场表现 本报告将从指数涨跌幅、连阴连阳、上涨下跌分布等维度对各宽基指数进 行评价和跟踪。 1.1 指数表现 </doc> <doc id='11'>2025 年 12 月 17 日, 各宽基指数（表 1）全部上涨，其中创业板指（3.39%） 和中证 500（1.95%）涨幅最大。当周涨跌情况，各跟踪指数全部下跌，其中 中证 2000（-1.22%）和中证 1000（-1.12%）跌幅最大。当月涨跌情况，各跟踪 指数涨跌各现，其中创业板指（4.04%）和中证 500（1.51%）涨幅最大，而中 证 2000（-0.89%）和中证 1000（-0.62%）下跌。当季涨跌情况，各跟踪指数除 了上证 50（0.09%）外全部下跌，其中中证 1000（-3.78%）和中证 500（-3.7%） 跌幅最大。当年涨跌情况，创业板指（48.3%）涨幅最大，其次是中证 2000（30.48%） 和中证 500（24.66%），中证 1000（22.34%）和中证全指（21.17%）涨幅扩大， 而上证 50（11.43%）涨幅最小。 表 1、各宽基指数表现情况 指数名称 指数代码 当日涨幅% 当周涨幅% 当月涨幅% 当季涨幅% 当年涨幅% 日K </doc> <doc id='12'>| 指数名称 | 指数代码 | 当日涨幅% | 当周涨幅% | 当月涨幅% | 当季涨幅% | 当年涨幅% | 日K 连阴连阳 | 周K 连阴连阳 | 月K 连阴连阳 | 季K 连阴连阳 | 年K 连阴连阳 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证50 | 000016.SH | 1.25 | -0.10 | 0.74 | 0.09 | 11.43 | | | |

- The report primarily focuses on tracking and analyzing the performance of broad-based indices in the A-share market, including their daily price movements, moving averages, turnover rates, and risk premiums[1][2][3] - The turnover rate for each index is calculated using the formula: $ \text{Turnover Rate} = \frac{\Sigma(\text{Circulating Shares of Component Stocks} \times \text{Turnover Rate of Component Stocks})}{\Sigma(\text{Circulating Shares of Component Stocks})} $ This provides insights into the liquidity and trading activity of the indices[17] - The risk premium is measured relative to the 10-year government bond yield, serving as a benchmark for risk-free rates. This metric evaluates the relative investment value and deviation of each index. For instance, the current risk premium for the CSI 500 is -0.79%, with a 5-year historical percentile of 21.98%[27][31] - The PE-TTM (Price-to-Earnings Trailing Twelve Months) ratio is used as a valuation reference. For example, the CSI 500 has a current PE-TTM value of 32.45, with a 5-year historical percentile of 94.96%, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to its historical range[39][43] - Dividend yield is analyzed as a measure of cash return. For instance, the CSI 500 has a current dividend yield of 1.45%, with a 5-year historical percentile of 24.96%, reflecting its position in the historical distribution of dividend yields[48][53] - The report also examines the net asset value (NAV) break rate, which represents the proportion of stocks trading below their book value. For example, the CSI 500 has a current NAV break rate of 11.0%, suggesting market sentiment and valuation levels[54][57]

- The report does not include any quantitative models or factors for analysis or construction[1][2][3] - The content primarily focuses on market performance, index comparisons, turnover rates, risk premiums, PE-TTM, dividend yields, and net-breaking rates of various broad-based indices[1][2][3] - No quantitative models or factors are explicitly mentioned or analyzed in the provided content[1][2][3]

- The report primarily focuses on tracking and analyzing the performance of broad-based indices in the A-share market, including their daily returns, moving averages, turnover rates, and valuation metrics such as PE-TTM and risk premiums[1][2][3] - The analysis highlights that all broad-based indices experienced gains on December 8, 2025, with the ChiNext Index (2.6%) and CSI 2000 (1.47%) showing the largest daily increases. For the year-to-date performance, the ChiNext Index (48.97%) recorded the highest growth, followed by CSI 2000 (33.97%) and CSI 500 (25.27%)[10][11] - All indices have surpassed their 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages, with CSI 1000 and CSI All Share also breaking above their 60-day moving averages. However, CSI 500 remains below its 60-day moving average, indicating a continued market recovery[14][15] - The turnover rates for December 8, 2025, were highest for CSI 2000 (4.34), followed by ChiNext Index (2.78) and CSI 1000 (2.47). The lowest turnover rates were observed for SSE 50 (0.26) and CSI 300 (0.61)[17] - The distribution of daily returns shows that the ChiNext Index has the largest negative kurtosis deviation, while CSI 1000 has the smallest. Similarly, the ChiNext Index exhibits the largest negative skewness, indicating a higher likelihood of extreme negative returns compared to other indices[23][25] - Risk premiums, calculated relative to the 10-year government bond yield, are highest for the ChiNext Index (2.60%) and CSI 2000 (1.46%), with their 5-year percentile ranks at 93.41% and 85.79%, respectively. In contrast, SSE 50 (0.57%) and CSI 300 (0.80%) have lower risk premiums and percentile ranks[27][31] - The PE-TTM ratios for broad-based indices show that CSI 1000 (97.52%) and CSI 500 (95.54%) have the highest 5-year percentile ranks, while CSI 2000 (84.3%) and the ChiNext Index (57.69%) are relatively lower. The ChiNext Index's 5-year percentile rank is below its danger threshold of 80%[39][43][44] - Dividend yields are highest for SSE 50 (3.30%) and CSI 300 (2.71%), while CSI 500 (1.37%) and CSI 2000 (0.75%) are the lowest. The ChiNext Index's 5-year historical percentile rank for dividend yield is relatively high at 66.69%[48][53][55] - The percentage of stocks trading below their book value (PB ratio < 1) is highest for SSE 50 (22.0%) and lowest for the ChiNext Index (1.0%), reflecting varying market valuation attitudes across indices[57]

- The report primarily focuses on tracking and analyzing the performance of broad-based indices in the A-share market, including metrics such as daily returns, moving averages, turnover rates, risk premiums, PE-TTM, and dividend yields[1][2][3] - The turnover rate of the indices is calculated using the formula: $ \text{Turnover Rate} = \frac{\Sigma(\text{Circulating Shares of Component Stocks} \times \text{Turnover Rate of Component Stocks})}{\Sigma(\text{Circulating Shares of Component Stocks})} $ This metric highlights the liquidity and trading activity of the indices, with the highest turnover rate observed for CSI 2000 (3.91) and the lowest for SSE 50 (0.22)[17] - The risk premium is calculated relative to the 10-year government bond yield, serving as a measure of the relative investment value of the indices. For instance, the current risk premium for CSI 500 is 1.15%, with a 5-year historical percentile of 85.24%, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to historical levels[27][31] - The PE-TTM (Price-to-Earnings Trailing Twelve Months) is used as a valuation metric. For example, the current PE-TTM for CSI 1000 is 46.97, with a 5-year historical percentile of 95.95%, suggesting a high valuation relative to its historical range[37][43] - Dividend yield is analyzed as a measure of cash return to investors. For instance, the current dividend yield for SSE 50 is 3.31%, with a 5-year historical percentile of 36.53%, indicating a moderate level compared to its historical distribution[48][53] - The report also examines the kurtosis and skewness of daily return distributions for the indices. For example, the CSI 2000 index has the smallest negative skewness (-0.37) and the highest kurtosis (1.38) among the indices, indicating a more concentrated return distribution with fewer extreme negative returns[23][25]

- The report tracks the performance of various broad-based indices in the A-share market, including their daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly changes. For instance, on November 18, 2025, all tracked indices fell, with the CSI 2000 and CSI 500 experiencing the largest declines of -1.32% and -1.17%, respectively[1][2][10] - The report compares the indices against their moving averages and their positions relative to the highest and lowest points over the past 250 trading days. For example, all tracked indices have fallen below their 5-day and 10-day moving averages, with the CSI 2000 still above its 20-day moving average[13] - The report provides data on the trading volume and turnover rates of the indices. On November 18, 2025, the CSI 2000 had the highest trading volume share at 24.98%, followed by the CSI 300 at 22.28% and the CSI 1000 at 22.17%. The turnover rates for these indices were 4.48, 2.85, and 2.83, respectively[15] - The report analyzes the distribution of daily returns for the indices, noting that the ChiNext Index has the largest negative kurtosis deviation, while the CSI 1000 has the smallest. The CSI 2000 has the smallest negative skewness, while the SSE 50 has the largest[21][23] - The report examines the risk premiums of the indices relative to the 10-year government bond yield. As of November 18, 2025, the SSE 50 and CSI 300 had relatively high 5-year percentile risk premiums of 37.62% and 24.29%, respectively, while the CSI 2000 and CSI 500 had lower values of 15.95% and 13.41%[25][28][29] - The report evaluates the PE-TTM (Price-to-Earnings ratio based on trailing twelve months) of the indices as a measure of valuation. The CSI 1000 and CSI 500 had high 5-year percentile values of 96.86% and 95.45%, respectively, while the CSI 2000 and ChiNext Index had lower values of 82.64% and 55.04%[37][40][41] - The report assesses the stock-bond yield ratio, which compares the inverse of the PE-TTM to the 10-year government bond yield. None of the indices were above their 80% percentile (opportunity value), and none were below their 20% percentile (danger value)[43] - The report tracks the dividend yields of the indices, noting that the ChiNext Index and CSI 1000 had relatively high 5-year historical percentile values of 70.58% and 39.17%, respectively, while the CSI 500 and CSI 2000 had lower values of 16.94% and 13.55%[45][50][51] - The report monitors the net asset value break rates of the indices, indicating the proportion of stocks trading below their net asset value. As of the latest data, the break rates were 22.0% for the SSE 50, 16.0% for the CSI 300, 11.6% for the CSI 500, 7.2% for the CSI 1000, 2.45% for the CSI 2000, 1.0% for the ChiNext Index, and 5.65% for the CSI All Share Index[52]

- The report provides a snapshot of the performance of broad-based indices in the A-share market, highlighting daily, monthly, and yearly changes in index values, with indices like CSI 2000 showing the highest daily increase of 0.63% and CSI 1000 at 0.27%[10][11][14] - CSI 2000 demonstrated a relatively independent trend, breaking through its 250-day high, while other indices remained below their 5-day moving averages[14] - Turnover rates and trading volume proportions were analyzed, with CSI 2000 having the highest turnover rate at 4.4 and the largest trading volume proportion at 25.29%[16] - The distribution of daily returns was examined, showing that CSI 2000 had the smallest negative skewness, while the ChiNext Index had the largest negative kurtosis[22][24] - Risk premium analysis was conducted using the 10-year government bond yield as a risk-free rate benchmark, revealing that CSI 2000 and CSI 1000 had relatively high risk premiums at 64.29% and 56.75%, respectively, over the past five years[26][30][33] - PE-TTM values were evaluated as a valuation metric, with CSI 1000 and CSI 500 showing high historical percentiles at 98.1% and 95.95%, respectively[36][39][40] - Dividend yield analysis indicated that the ChiNext Index had the highest 5-year historical percentile at 69.5%, while CSI 2000 had the lowest at 10.0%[44][49][50] - Current net-breaking rates were reported, with CSI 2000 having the lowest rate at 2.2%, reflecting market valuation attitudes[51][53]

- The report provides a snapshot of the daily investment dynamics of broad-based indices in the A-share market, highlighting the performance of indices such as the CSI 1000 (-0.72%) and CSI 2000 (-0.68%), which experienced the largest declines on November 12, 2025 [1][2][11] - The CSI 500, CSI 1000, and ChiNext indices showed consecutive three-day declines, with the ChiNext index achieving the highest annual growth rate of 45.78%, followed by CSI 2000 (33.78%) and CSI 500 (26.5%) [11][14] - The report compares indices against their moving averages and 250-day highs and lows, noting that the SSE 50 index broke above its 5-day moving average, while indices like CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 fell below their respective short-term averages [14] - Turnover rates and trading volume proportions are analyzed, with CSI 2000 showing the highest turnover rate (4.27%) and the CSI 1000 index accounting for 20.49% of trading volume [3][16][17] - Daily return distributions are examined, revealing that the ChiNext index has the largest negative skewness and kurtosis deviation, while CSI 1000 has the smallest negative kurtosis deviation [23] - Risk premium analysis indicates that SSE 50 and CSI 300 have relatively high 5-year percentile values (65.56% and 44.92%, respectively), while CSI 1000 and CSI 500 have lower values (26.35% and 25.32%) [3][25][29] - PE-TTM values are evaluated, showing that CSI 1000 (97.44%) and CSI 500 (96.2%) have high 5-year percentile values, while CSI 2000 (82.98%) and ChiNext (55.79%) are lower [38][39] - Dividend yield analysis highlights that ChiNext (69.01%) and CSI 1000 (36.53%) have high 5-year historical percentile values, while CSI 500 (16.28%) and CSI 2000 (13.97%) are lower [4][50][49] - Current net-breaking rates are reported, with SSE 50 at 20.0%, CSI 300 at 15.33%, and ChiNext at 1.0%, reflecting market valuation attitudes [51]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the banking wealth management industry, particularly in the context of the nationwide promotion of pension wealth management products [3]. Core Insights - The expansion of pension wealth management trials to a national level marks a significant shift, enhancing the third pillar of the pension system in China [10][11]. - The introduction of a new direct registration system for wealth management products is expected to improve data governance and operational efficiency across the industry [12][13]. - Recent trends show an increase in annualized returns for cash management products, with a recorded rate of 1.29%, reflecting a slight increase from the previous week [14][18]. Summary by Sections Regulatory and Industry Dynamics - The National Financial Regulatory Administration issued a notification promoting the sustainable development of pension wealth management, expanding trials nationwide and increasing the fundraising limits for wealth management companies [10][11]. - The new system implemented by ICBC Wealth Management and Suzhou Wealth Management enhances data reporting and regulatory oversight, improving the management of sales personnel and investor protection [12][13]. Yield Performance - Cash management products saw a near 7-day annualized yield of 1.29%, up 1 basis point from the previous week, while money market funds decreased to 1.16% [14][18]. - The overall bond market remains favorable, although market sentiment is expected to remain subdued due to ongoing uncertainties [16][17]. Net Value Tracking - The net value ratio of banking wealth management products decreased to 0.78%, down 0.32 percentage points, indicating a potential pressure on the net value if credit spreads continue to widen [23][25].

- The report provides a snapshot of the performance of broad-based indices in the A-share market, highlighting daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly changes in index returns, with the highest annual return observed for the ChiNext Index at 42.85%[10][11][13] - It compares indices against their moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA60, MA120, MA250) and their 250-day high and low levels, showing that all indices remain above their 5-day moving averages, except the CSI 2000, which fell below its 10-day moving average[13][14] - The turnover rate and trading volume share are analyzed, with CSI 2000 having the highest turnover rate at 3.56, while the CSI 300 accounts for the largest trading volume share at 26.89%[16][17] - Daily return distributions are examined, revealing that the ChiNext Index has the largest negative skewness and kurtosis deviation, while the CSI 300 has the smallest[23][24] - Risk premium analysis is conducted using the 10-year government bond yield as the risk-free rate, showing that the CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 have higher volatility in risk premiums compared to other indices[26][27][30] - PE-TTM ratios are evaluated as valuation metrics, with CSI 500 and CSI All Index showing the highest 5-year percentile values at 98.18% and 97.44%, respectively, while the ChiNext Index has the lowest at 58.51%[38][41][42] - Dividend yield analysis indicates that the ChiNext Index and CSI 1000 have the highest 5-year historical percentile values at 69.42% and 46.2%, respectively, while CSI 2000 and CSI 500 have the lowest at 20.25% and 16.28%[46][51][52] - The report also tracks the percentage of stocks trading below their net asset value (break-net ratio), with the highest ratio observed for the SSE 50 at 18.0% and the lowest for the ChiNext Index at 1.0%[53]