Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The weak market trends of coke and coking coal futures continue, and there may still be new lows in the next two weeks. However, positive factors in the fundamentals and news are gradually accumulating. Attention should be paid to whether a bottom - rebounding turning point can occur in about the next two weeks due to changes in tariff policies and the restoration of confidence in the steel market [11][12]. 3. Summary by Sections 3.1 Market Review and Future Outlook - **Market Performance on May 27**: The main contract 2509 of coke futures narrowed its decline after reaching a low, and the main contract 2509 of coking coal futures first declined and then rose, hitting new lows for September contracts since January 2017 and September 2016 respectively [7]. - **Spot Market and Technical Analysis**: The daily KDJ indicators of the coke 2509 contract continued to diverge, with the J - value rising, the K - value turning up, and the D - value falling, showing a potential golden cross. For the coking coal 2509 contract, the J - and K - values continued to rise, and the D - value continued to fall, approaching a golden cross. The daily MACD green bar of the coke 2509 contract continued to slightly expand, while that of the coking coal 2509 contract began to narrow. On the same day, the ex - warehouse price index of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke remained unchanged in major ports, and the aggregated price of low - sulfur main coking coal in some areas decreased [10]. - **Future Outlook for Coke**: In the past five weeks, the coke output of independent coking plants has hovered near the highest level since early August last year, while the coke output of steel mills has slightly declined since late April. Port coke inventories have significantly decreased, but the inventory reduction speed of steel mills and coking plants is slow, adding downward pressure on coke prices. After two weeks of profit, the profit per ton of coke turned into a loss [11]. - **Future Outlook for Coking Coal**: From January to April, the year - on - year growth of coking coal imports turned negative, but the absolute import volume remained high, and the overall loose supply pattern was difficult to reverse. The raw coal inventory of coal washing plants increased significantly, and the clean coal inventory rose again to a relatively high level. In the past five weeks, the inventory of independent coking plants decreased significantly, and port inventories returned to normal levels before early August last year, but steel mill inventories increased steadily. If coking plants also adopt inventory reduction strategies, coking coal prices are likely to fall [11]. - **News Impact**: The National Development and Reform Commission will continue to promote urban renewal and issue the central budget investment plan for urban renewal in 2025 by the end of June. The rising US Treasury bond auction interest rate led to a triple - kill in the US stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets, reducing the risk appetite in the international financial market [11]. 3.2 Industry News - **Industrial Profits**: From January to April 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above the designated size in China was 2.11702 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1.4%. The mining industry's profit was 287.5 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 26.8%; the manufacturing industry's profit was 1.55493 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.6%; and the power, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry's profit was 274.58 billion yuan, an increase of 4.4% [13]. - **Environmental Protection Inspection**: On May 26, the fourth batch of the third - round central environmental protection inspections was launched, covering five provinces (regions) and three central enterprises [13]. - **Ningxia's Industrial Data**: From January to April, Ningxia's industrial coal production decreased by 3.0% year - on - year, while sales increased by 3.8%. Industrial power generation increased by 5.6%, with renewable energy power generation growing by 21.3% [14]. - **Ningxia's Energy Plan**: Ningxia plans to increase fossil energy supply, develop new energy, and promote energy storage construction. It also aims to achieve energy - saving and carbon - reduction goals in key industries by the end of 2025 [14]. - **Corporate Strategies**: Shanxi Coking Coal will implement a "three - matching" production strategy, and Chongqing Iron and Steel terminated the absorption and merger of Xingang Changlong [14][15]. - **Automobile Sales**: In April 2025, global automobile sales reached 7.56 million units, a year - on - year increase of 5%. From January to April, sales were 30.26 million units, a year - on - year increase of 5%. China accounted for 33% of global sales from January to April [15]. - **Coal Market Research**: From January to April 2025, the coal market showed a marginal slowdown in supply growth and stronger non - power demand than power demand. It is expected that the coal price may recover in the summer [15]. - **International News**: South Africa plans to import liquefied natural gas from the US, and the European Central Bank President called for reforms to reduce Europe's impact from international order changes [15]. 3.3 Data Overview The report provides multiple charts showing data on the spot price index of metallurgical coke, the aggregated price of main coking coal, production and utilization rates of coking plants and steel mills, iron water production, inventory levels of coke and coking coal, and basis differences [16][17][19][30][34][35].

Core Insights - Ningxia plans to initiate new projects totaling 24.26 million kilowatts in 2024 and 21.85 million kilowatts in 2025, with current renewable energy installations reaching 44.56 million kilowatts, accounting for 57% of the region's total power capacity [1][4]. Group 1: Renewable Energy Development - The region has developed four major green electricity park plans focusing on modern coal chemical, silicon-based, aluminum-manganese, and big data computing industries, aiming to significantly increase the share of green electricity by 2027 [4]. - In 2024, 6.74 million kilowatts and in 2025, 7.02 million kilowatts of green electricity park projects are included in the annual renewable energy development plan [4]. - Currently, 9.49 million kilowatts have been approved and recorded, with 7.56 million kilowatts under construction and 0.5 million kilowatts already operational [4]. Group 2: Energy Efficiency and Emission Reduction - Ningxia aims to enhance energy efficiency by 10% to 20% through the introduction of advanced gasification technology and waste heat recovery systems in coal chemical enterprises, significantly reducing energy consumption and CO2 emissions [4]. - The region is committed to aligning with national advanced standards and increasing investment in energy-saving technological upgrades [4]. Group 3: Coal Production and Infrastructure Development - The government plans to expedite the construction of approved coal mine projects, including the expansion of Weisan and Yinxing No. 1 wells, aiming for coal production to exceed 105 million tons by 2025 [5]. - The construction of the Ningxia section of the West-to-East Gas Pipeline Phase III will enhance the natural gas emergency peak-shaving capacity through a multi-source and multi-pipeline network [5]. - Efforts will be made to ensure a 100% startup rate for projects included in the annual development plan and a production rate exceeding 70% [5].

Core Viewpoint - Ningxia is advancing the construction of green electricity parks, leveraging the entire new energy industry chain to build a clean, low-carbon, safe, and efficient new energy system, becoming the first province in China to promote this initiative at the provincial level [1][2] Group 1: New Energy Development - Ningxia has a complete coal, electricity, chemical, and new energy industry chain, making it a significant base for modern coal chemical innovation and a key hub for "West-to-East Power Transmission" and "West-to-East Gas Transmission" [1] - The installed capacity of new energy in Ningxia has reached 44.56 million kilowatts, accounting for 57% of the total installed power capacity in the region [1] Group 2: Coal and Gas Production - The government plans to increase coal production capacity, aiming for a coal output of over 105 million tons by 2025, with ongoing projects like the expansion of Weisan and Yinxing coal mines [1] - Natural gas production is also set to increase, with an additional capacity of 300 million cubic meters planned by 2025, targeting a total output of 800 million cubic meters [1] Group 3: Energy Storage Initiatives - By 2025, Ningxia aims to add 3 million kilowatts of new energy storage, exploring the construction of large-scale storage stations in energy-rich areas [2] - The region is optimizing the layout of storage stations and enhancing the participation of independent storage in the market, with a goal to increase the comprehensive utilization hours of storage to over 1,100 hours [2] Group 4: Energy Efficiency and Carbon Reduction - Ningxia is committed to energy-saving and carbon reduction in high-energy-consuming industries, targeting a benchmark efficiency level of 30% for steel, electrolytic aluminum, synthetic ammonia, and refining industries by the end of 2025 [2] - The region is also focused on building zero-carbon and low-carbon parks, implementing special actions for energy-saving and carbon reduction in key industries [2]