Investment Rating - The report assigns a Neutral rating to Infratil (IFT.NZ) [1][4][15] Core Insights - The FY25 results were softer than expected, with Proportionate EBITDAF declining by 4% compared to Goldman Sachs estimates, leading to a downgrade in FY26 guidance to NZ$1,000-1,050 million, which is 3%-5% lower than previous estimates [1][4] - Infratil plans to monetize NZ$1 billion of assets that are unlikely to scale under the current ownership model, with the capital reinvested in businesses that can provide more meaningful returns [2] - The healthcare portfolio is performing strongly, with RHCNZ and Qscan expecting accelerating EBITDAF growth into FY26 [2] - Longroad Energy is targeting an OpCo run-rate EBITDA of US$370 million by March 2026, driven by contributions from projects that are operational or under construction [2] Financial Performance - FY26-28 EBITDAF estimates have been revised down by 3% to 4% due to CDC deferrals and increased costs for One NZ [4][13] - The 12-month target price is set at NZ$10.70, reflecting a 3% decrease from previous estimates [4][14] - Key financial metrics include projected revenue growth of 22.7% for FY25, with a decline in EPS for FY26 expected at NZ$0.13, compared to a previous estimate of NZ$0.09 [10][11] Investment Thesis - Infratil is positioned to benefit from increased digital consumption and AI adoption, particularly through its investments in digital infrastructure and renewable energy [15] - Despite positive long-term themes, the current market valuation appears to have already factored in these growth prospects, leading to a Neutral rating [15]

Core Insights - Western Digital's stock has increased by over 5% in a single trading day and nearly 40% over the past month, driven by positive developments in the company's financial performance and strategic initiatives [1] Group 1: Share Buyback Program - Western Digital announced a $2 billion share buyback program, reflecting strong confidence in its long-term prospects and reinforcing its shareholder-oriented capital allocation strategy [2] Group 2: Q3 Earnings Performance - In Q3 FY25, Western Digital reported $2.3 billion in revenue, a 31% year-over-year growth despite a 5% quarterly decrease. Non-GAAP EPS rose by 15% to $1.36, with gross margin increasing to 40.1% [3] - The Cloud division generated $2.0 billion, accounting for 87% of total revenue, and experienced a 38% year-over-year growth, driven by increased data demands from hyperscale cloud providers and AI adoption [3] Group 3: Positive Guidance - For the fiscal fourth quarter ending June 27, 2025, Western Digital provided a positive revenue forecast of $2.45 billion ± $150 million and non-GAAP EPS of $1.45 ± $0.20, both exceeding analyst expectations [4] - The company expects to maintain gross margins between 40.0% and 41.0%, with non-GAAP operating expenses managed between $330 million and $340 million, positioning itself favorably to benefit from the growing demand for high-capacity storage due to AI adoption [4] Group 4: Stock Volatility - Over the past four years, Western Digital's stock has shown significant volatility compared to the S&P 500, with annual returns of 18% in 2021, -52% in 2022, 66% in 2023, and 14% in 2024 [5] Group 5: Valuation Insights - Current assessment places Western Digital's stock value around $49 per share, aligning closely with its market value, indicating a balanced valuation perspective [7]

Kyndryl (KD) Q4 2025 Earnings Call May 08, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company Participants Lori Chaitman - Global Head, IRMartin Schroeter - Chairman & CEODavid Wyshner - CFOIan Zaffino - Managing DirectorDivya Goyal - Director - Equity Research - Technology, Software & ServicesTyler DuPont - Equity Research Associate Conference Call Participants Jamie Friedman - Senior FinTech and IT Services Research AnalystTien-tsin Huang - Senior Analyst Operator Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Kindrel Fou ...

Kyndryl (KD) Q4 2025 Earnings Call May 08, 2025 08:30 AM ET Speaker0 Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Kindrel Fourth Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during this session, you will need to press 11 on your telephone. You would then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, pl ...

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