Santa Claus rally
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Dow closes higher on first day of 2026, still no Santa Claus rally
MINT· 2026-01-02 21:02
Market Overview - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 311.99 points, or 0.67%, closing at 48,383.22, marking the end of a four-day losing streak [3] - The S&P 500 gained 12.52 points, or 0.18%, ending at 6,858.02, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 5.30 points, or 0.02%, to 23,236.69 [3] Sector Performance - Chip stocks, particularly Nvidia and Intel, contributed positively to the market, with the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index showing significant gains [2] - Industrials and utilities sectors also experienced upward movement, with companies like Caterpillar and Boeing seeing sharp increases [2] Consumer Discretionary Sector - The consumer discretionary sector faced pressure, notably with Amazon's stock declining [3] - Tesla's shares slipped as the company reported a second consecutive year of annual sales decline [3] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is expected to influence global markets in 2026, with expectations of a more dovish Fed chair leading to potential interest rate reductions [5] - Upcoming labor market data is anticipated to be a key focus, especially in light of the Fed's cautious stance on further interest rate cuts until job market clarity is achieved [6] Tariff Developments - President Trump's decision to postpone tariff hikes on upholstered furniture, kitchen cabinets, and vanities for another year positively impacted furniture retailers, with stocks of Wayfair, Williams-Sonoma, and RH rising sharply [8]
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500 edge higher to kick off 2026, semiconductor stocks rally
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-02 21:00
Market Performance - US stocks mostly edged higher on the first trading day of 2026, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining about 0.6% and the S&P 500 increasing by 0.2% [1] - The Nasdaq Composite fell below the flat line despite gains in semiconductor companies like Nvidia, AMD, and Micron [1] - The S&P 500 rose over 16% in 2025, while the Nasdaq Composite led with a more than 20% increase [2] Economic Outlook - The outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with Wall Street forecasters predicting a fourth consecutive year of stock market rallies [3] - However, risks remain, including potential faltering of the AI boom, surprises in the US economy, and uncertainties surrounding President Trump's tariffs [3] Commodity Performance - Gold and silver advanced at the start of 2026, building on their best annual performances since 1979, while aluminum crossed $3,000 per ton for the first time since 2022 [4] - The S&P 500 is down nearly 1% during the "Santa Claus rally" period, indicating a potential third consecutive down period for this seasonal trend [4] Federal Reserve Focus - The Federal Reserve remains a key focus for Wall Street in 2026, with ongoing divisions expected to continue from 2025 [5] - President Trump is expected to appoint a new chair to replace Jerome Powell, while traders anticipate the central bank will hold steady on interest rates later this month [5]
Stock market today: Nasdaq, Dow, S&P 500 rise as Wall Street kicks off 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-02 08:13
Market Performance - US stocks opened positively in 2026, with the Nasdaq Composite leading gains by over 1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 increased by more than 0.2% and 0.5% respectively [1] - The S&P 500 rose over 16% in 2025, and the Nasdaq Composite saw a more than 20% increase [2] Economic Outlook - The outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with all Wall Street forecasters predicting a stock rally for a fourth consecutive year [3] - However, potential risks include a possible falter in the AI boom, unexpected changes in the US economy, and uncertainties surrounding President Trump's tariff policies [3] Commodity Market - Gold and silver prices advanced at the start of 2026, building on their best annual performances since 1979, while aluminum prices surpassed $3,000 per ton for the first time since 2022 [3] Federal Reserve - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its current interest rates, although there are mixed expectations for the March meeting, with divisions within the central bank likely to persist [4] - President Trump is anticipated to appoint a new chair to replace Jerome Powell this month [4]
Stocks Are on Track to End the Year With 4-Day Losing Streak
Barrons· 2025-12-31 17:52
Group 1 - The S&P 500 ended 2025 with a 16% gain despite a recent downturn [1] - The stock market is experiencing a four-day losing streak, with the S&P 500 down 0.3%, the Dow down 152 points (0.3%), and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.2% [1] - Wall Street has not followed historical seasonal trends, such as the Santa Claus rally, leading to stagnation in recent trading sessions [2]
Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow Jones Futures Down As Santa Rally Hopes Fade—Investors Await Initial Jobless Claims Report - SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)
Benzinga· 2025-12-31 09:09
Market Overview - U.S. stock futures are down on New Year's Eve, with markets closing lower on Tuesday, diminishing hopes for a year-end Santa Claus rally [1] - The Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 all experienced declines in premarket trading [4] - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.12%, while the two-year bond was at 3.44%, with an 82.8% likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining current interest rates in January [3] Stocks in Focus - iSpecimen Inc. (NASDAQ:ISPC) shares rose 36.95% pre-market after announcing a $5.5 million private placement [6] - Anghami Inc. (NASDAQ:ANGH) shares increased by 56% following a report of a 97% year-over-year revenue surge [6] - Urgent.ly Inc. (NASDAQ:ULY) saw a significant rise of 52.49% on Tuesday and an additional 26.81% pre-market on Wednesday after adjourning its annual stockholder meeting [6] - Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:VNDA) shares climbed 19.06% pre-market after FDA approval of its new drug for motion-induced vomiting [13] - Core AI Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:CHAI) shares increased by 2.78% after announcing a divestiture agreement, despite a previous drop of 5.75% [13] Economic Indicators - Investors are anticipating the Initial Jobless Claims report set to be released before market opening [2][11]
Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow Jones Futures Down As Santa Rally Hopes Fade—Investors Await Initial Jobless Claims Report
Benzinga· 2025-12-31 09:09
Market Overview - U.S. stock futures are down on New Year's Eve, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 all showing negative changes of -0.13%, -0.26%, -0.41%, and -0.42% respectively [4] - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) is down 0.28% at $685.10, while the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) has declined 0.41% to $616.89 [4] Economic Indicators - The 10-year Treasury bond yield is at 4.12%, and the two-year bond yield is at 3.44% [3] - The CME Group's FedWatch tool indicates an 82.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January [3] Company Performance - iSpecimen Inc. (NASDAQ:ISPC) shares are up 36.95% pre-market after announcing a $5.5 million private placement [6] - Anghami Inc. (NASDAQ:ANGH) shares have surged 56% pre-market following a report of a 97% year-over-year increase in revenue [6] - Urgent.ly Inc. (NASDAQ:ULY) shares increased by 52.49% on Tuesday and another 26.81% pre-market after adjourning its annual stockholder meeting [6] - Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:VNDA) shares are up 19.06% pre-market after receiving FDA approval for its new drug NEREUS [13] - Core AI Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:CHAI) shares rose 2.78% after announcing a definitive agreement to divest Siyata Mobile [13] Sector Performance - Consumer discretionary, materials, and financials sectors experienced the largest losses on Tuesday, while energy, real estate, and utilities sectors ended the day positively [7]
S&P 500, Nasdaq end slightly down in holiday-thin trade, Meta gains on deal
The Economic Times· 2025-12-31 02:02
Market Overview - Major stocks ended a six-session winning streak, the longest since September, with the S&P 500 reaching a record high last week [1][10] - The S&P 500 lost 9.50 points (0.14%) to close at 6,896.24 points, the Nasdaq Composite fell 55.27 points (0.23%) to 23,419.08, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 94.87 points (0.20%) to 48,367.06 [4][11] Sector Performance - Losses in Goldman Sachs and American Express negatively impacted the Dow, while Citigroup's stock fell 0.8% following the announcement of the sale of its Russian unit, AO Citibank, to Renaissance Capital, resulting in a pre-tax loss of approximately $1.2 billion [3][11] - Communication services stocks gained, driven by a 1.1% rise in Meta Platforms, which announced the acquisition of AI startup Manus [10] Economic Indicators - The S&P 500 and Dow are on track for their eighth consecutive month of gains, the longest winning streak since 2017, with some investors anticipating a "Santa Claus rally" [5][11] - The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in its upcoming meeting on January 27-28, following a nuanced debate about economic risks [6][7] Trading Activity - Trading volumes were lower than average, with U.S. exchanges recording 12.63 billion shares, compared to a 20-day average of 16.03 billion [9][11] - On the NYSE, declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 1.06-to-1 ratio, while on the Nasdaq, the ratio was 1.64-to-1 [9][11] Global Events Impact - Russia's toughened negotiating stance following accusations against Kyiv has supported oil prices, leading to a 0.8% rise in S&P's energy sub-index [8][11]
Why the Fed could be on hold, volatility and the bull market, 2026 could be big for Waymo
Youtube· 2025-12-30 22:34
Market Overview - All three major indices are in the red, with the Dow and Nasdaq down about one-tenth of a percent, while the S&P 500 remains mostly flat [1] - Over the past five days, the S&P 500 has seen a gain of about 0.4%, with expectations for a 1.3% gain to confirm a Santa Claus rally [1] - Commodities show mixed results, with gold reversing a selloff and silver experiencing its largest drop in five years before gaining momentum [1] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes reveal a split among officials regarding rate cuts, with some favoring cuts due to job market concerns while others prefer to hold rates steady due to inflation worries [2][4] - Fed officials expect inflation to remain somewhat elevated in the near term, with concerns about tariffs potentially impacting consumer prices [3] - The job market is anticipated to stabilize, but uncertainty remains due to delays in official government data [4] Investment Strategies for 2026 - Optimism for 2026 is driven by anticipated stimulus, rate cuts, and strong profit momentum, suggesting a continued bull market [10][11] - Financials and consumer discretionary sectors are viewed as attractive due to expected economic stability and deal-making activity [21] - International investments are recommended as U.S. investors may have underweighted this area, with potential benefits from a weaker dollar and fiscal reforms in Europe and Japan [20] Oracle's Position - Oracle's stock has dropped approximately 30% this quarter, facing risks related to its partnership with OpenAI, which is reportedly losing around $12 billion a quarter [25][27] - Concerns about Oracle's earnings growth stem from nonrecurring items, with core operating income growing at a respectable 12-15% [29] - Oracle's credit spreads are widening due to increased capital expenditures, raising concerns about its financial health [31] AI and Technology Sector - The AI sector remains a focal point, with companies like Nvidia in advanced talks to acquire AI startup AI21 Labs for up to $3 billion [49] - The AI trade has slowed, but the overall market has held steady, indicating resilience beyond tech stocks [10] - Concerns about AI valuations being too high are prevalent, but the market is expected to continue benefiting from profit growth [15] Space Sector Developments - The space sector is evolving beyond launches to focus on data, connectivity, and infrastructure, with companies like Planet Labs leveraging AI for data analysis [39] - Global Star is enhancing connectivity through satellite technology, partnering with Apple for improved services [42] - Intuitive Machines is positioned for growth with upcoming projects related to lunar exploration and satellite manufacturing [45][47]
Dow Jones Today: Stock Futures Little Changed After Indexes Slip for 2nd Straight Session; Gold, Silver Rebound
Investopedia· 2025-12-30 13:00
Market Overview - Stock futures were little changed with Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures down 0.1% each, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were also marginally lower after major equities indexes pulled back for a second consecutive session [1][7] - The tech-heavy Nasdaq, blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average, and benchmark S&P 500 finished down 0.5%, 0.5%, and 0.4% respectively, diminishing investors' hopes for a Santa Claus rally through the start of 2026 [2] Company Performance - Shares of Tesla (TSLA), Palantir (PLTR), Oracle (ORCL), and Nvidia (NVDA) closed between 1.2% and 3.3% lower, with Tesla and Palantir rebounding modestly in premarket trading while Oracle and Nvidia were fractionally lower [3] - Meta Platforms (META) shares were slightly lower after acquiring Singapore-based AI startup Manus for over $2 billion [4] Commodity Market - Precious metals futures rebounded after a drop, with gold futures rising 1.3% to $4,400 an ounce and silver futures bouncing back more than 5% to $74.15 after a significant decline [5] - The 10-year Treasury yield edged higher to 4.12%, influencing interest rates on various loans [6]
2026 bull market case builds despite volatility, Jeff Hirsch of Hirsch Holdings
Youtube· 2025-12-30 12:17
Market Indicators - The Santa Claus rally is viewed as a bullish indicator, particularly during the last five days of the year and the first two days of the new year, which often sees increased stock buying due to tax-loss selling [2][5] - The January barometer, which has historically shown that the S&P is up 90.6% of the time with an average gain of 17.7% over 29 to 32 years, is another key indicator to watch alongside the Santa Claus rally [5] Presidential Term Trends - The second year of a presidential term typically sees an average gain of 3.3% on the S&P, while the sixth year of a president's term is characterized by efforts to cement their legacy, often leading to market-friendly policies [6][7][8] - The current administration's focus on legacy and economic performance has resulted in a robust stock market, with new highs for the Dow in December [9] Seasonal Market Behavior - Historical trends indicate seasonal weakness in the market during the summer months (May through October), which can be exacerbated by midterm elections that divert attention from economic issues [12][13] - The period from August to October is traditionally seen as a weak seasonal period, but this year did not follow that trend, which is considered a bullish sign for a potential Q4 rally [15] Q4 Market Expectations - The Q4 of a midterm year to Q2 of a pre-election year has historically shown significant market gains, with the Dow and S&P up 19% and 20%, respectively, and the NASDAQ up nearly 30% during this period [16] - Despite some profit-taking following a strong AI tech boom, the outlook remains positive for continued market growth as the calendar year turns [17]