Core Insights - Domestic rapeseed meal spot prices remained stable, with Dongguan rapeseed meal quoted at 2570 yuan/ton [1] - The futures market saw the main rapeseed meal contract closing at 2679.00 yuan/ton, with a slight decline of 0.07% [2] Price Overview - The rapeseed meal prices across various regions on June 20 are as follows: - Tianjin: 2630 yuan/ton - Fujian/Xiamen: 2590 yuan/ton - Liaoning/Yingkou: 2810 yuan/ton - Hubei/Jingzhou: 2570 yuan/ton - Jiangsu/Nantong: 2530 yuan/ton [2] Market Trends - Canadian canola seed exports decreased by 17.05% to 131,400 tons as of June 15 [3] - The number of rapeseed meal futures warehouse receipts recorded on June 20 was 25,824, a decrease of 30 from the previous trading day, with a cumulative reduction of 431 receipts over the past week, representing a 1.64% decline [3] Analysis - With the concentration of imported soybeans arriving at ports, oil mills have increased their operating rates, leading to a more relaxed supply that pressures meal prices [4] - The demand for rapeseed meal is expected to rise due to the peak season for aquaculture, although improved trade relations between China and Canada may increase supply and negatively impact rapeseed meal prices [4] - The rapeseed meal market is experiencing narrow fluctuations with a slight upward trend, suggesting a short-term trading approach [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Yuehai Feed, is facing significant challenges in its financial performance due to a prolonged downturn in the aquaculture market, leading to a substantial decline in revenue and profits, despite efforts to expand its market presence through initiatives like the "Victory Summer Action" [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - Yuehai Feed's revenue peaked at 7.092 billion yuan in 2022 but has since shown signs of fatigue, with revenue growth slowing from 15.08% to 5.45%, and net profit declining by 38.44% year-on-year [2]. - In 2023 and 2024, the company reported revenues of 6.872 billion yuan and 5.912 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year declines of 3.10% and 13.98% [3]. - For 2024, Yuehai Feed recorded its first annual loss in nearly a decade, with a net profit loss of 85.39 million yuan, a dramatic drop of 307.55% compared to a profit of 41.14 million yuan in the previous year [3]. Market Conditions - The aquaculture market has been adversely affected by extreme weather and diseases, leading to a persistent downturn in demand for aquaculture products [3][4]. - The company's receivables reached 1.148 billion yuan and inventory stood at 688.8 million yuan by the end of 2024, accounting for 56.6% of its current assets, complicating cash flow [4]. Business Segments - Yuehai Feed's two main business segments, aquaculture feed and animal health products, have both been declining, with aquaculture feed accounting for over 95% of total revenue [5]. - In 2024, the aquaculture feed segment generated 5.673 billion yuan, down 13.93% year-on-year, marking the second consecutive year of revenue decline [6]. - The animal health products segment saw even steeper declines, with revenue falling by 41.2% to 67.86 million yuan in 2024 [6]. Regional Performance - The company's primary revenue sources, the South China and East China regions, also experienced declines, with South China generating 4.245 billion yuan (down 10.47%) and East China 1.091 billion yuan (down 24.12%) in 2024 [6]. Investment Projects - The company's performance has been further impacted by delays in the execution of IPO fundraising projects, with two key projects experiencing significant delays and underperformance [8][9]. - The projects, aimed at increasing production capacity and enhancing competitiveness, have seen their completion dates pushed back to August 2025, with one project only 67.39% complete by the end of 2024 [8][9]. - The two completed projects reported disappointing results in 2024, with one project incurring a loss of 2.042 million yuan and the other generating a modest profit of 734,300 yuan [11].

Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Yuehai Feed Group Co., Ltd. (Yuehai Feed) has launched the "Yuehai Wealth Creation Campaign: Winning Summer Action" to capitalize on the peak season for aquaculture, aiming for dual goals of customer success in farming and a significant increase in group sales [2][3]. Group 1: Business Performance - From January to April this year, Yuehai Feed collected nearly 300 million yuan in advance payments, representing a year-on-year increase of nearly 50% [2]. - Product sales have shown significant growth, with high-end fish feed up over 15%, small shrimp feed up over 56%, yellow catfish feed up over 66%, live fish feed up nearly 50%, and puffed tilapia feed up over 36% [2]. Group 2: Strategic Focus - The "Winning Summer Action" will benchmark against industry leaders and focus on six strategic initiatives to enhance business operations [3]. - The company plans to strengthen channel cooperation and expand coverage of feed, seedling, and animal health products, while enhancing customer loyalty through continuous service [3]. Group 3: Market Expansion - Yuehai Feed will focus on high-end feed for shrimp, grouper, yellow catfish, and bass, as well as freshwater fish varieties like puffed tilapia and grass carp, targeting weak areas for market penetration [3][4]. - The company aims to achieve the highest market share in key regions and product categories [3]. Group 4: Service and Brand Development - To ensure service quality, Yuehai Feed will increase service frequency at farms and conduct skill competitions to strengthen the marketing team [3]. - Brand enhancement will be pursued through case studies, promotion of farming models, and community initiatives [3].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - On March 12, 2025, the market experienced fluctuations, with the computing power concept gaining strength. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.23%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.17%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.58%. The total market turnover was 1,683.51 billion yuan, an increase of 201.88 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2][14]. Market Performance - The market saw 2,666 stocks rise and 2,587 stocks fall. The performance of various indices ranked as follows: Growth > Stability > Cyclical > 0 > Financial > Consumer; Small-cap Value > Small-cap Growth > Mid-cap Value > Large-cap Growth > Large-cap Value > Mid-cap Growth. The CSI All Share Index outperformed the fund-heavy positions [2][19]. Industry Performance - Among the 30 CITIC first-level industries, the top performers were Media (1.84%), Comprehensive Finance (1.33%), and Communication (1.11%). The laggards included Home Appliances (-0.84%), Coal (-0.80%), and Food & Beverage (-0.78%). Most concept sectors declined, with significant increases in Broadcasting, Digital Watermarking, and Blind Box Economy, while PLC, Aquaculture, and Engineering Machinery saw declines [2][19][23]. Fund Flow Analysis - On March 12, 2025, the main funds experienced a net outflow of 11.935 billion yuan. Specifically, large orders saw a net outflow of 12.615 billion yuan, while small orders continued to see a net inflow of 18.238 billion yuan [3][24]. ETF Fund Flow - On March 12, 2025, the trading volume of major ETFs such as the Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and the Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF decreased compared to the previous trading day. The trading volumes were 1.493 billion yuan, 2.457 billion yuan, and others, with changes of -184 million yuan and -1.571 billion yuan respectively [3][30]. Global Market Performance - On March 12, 2025, major Asia-Pacific indices closed mixed, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.77% and the Nikkei 225 up 0.07%. European indices also saw declines, with the DAX down 1.29% and the FTSE 100 down 1.21%. The US markets also experienced declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.14% [4][5][34].