Group 1 - The company announced its Q1 2025 results, achieving revenue of 14.411 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.89%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 974 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.26% [1] - The average price of alumina in Q1 2025 remained high at 3,863.49 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 15.44%, while the price of electrolytic aluminum was 20,407.82 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 7.10% [1] - The company aims to produce approximately 3.01 million tons of electrolytic aluminum in 2025, with an estimated production of around 500,000 tons in Q1 2025, indicating limited scale effects [1] Group 2 - The "Aluminum Industry High-Quality Development Implementation Plan (2025-2027)" was released, which aims to enhance the resilience and safety of the supply chain, with a target of increasing domestic bauxite resources by 3%-5% and producing over 15 million tons of recycled aluminum [2] - The company, as a leader in green electricity aluminum, has a green aluminum capacity of 3.05 million tons as of the end of 2024, positioning itself to benefit from the industry's development trends [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.73, 1.84, and 2.01 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9, 8, and 8 times, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Debon Securities indicates that China Hongqiao (01378) has a well-established industrial chain, allowing it to gain profits from both upstream and downstream in the electrolytic aluminum industry. With the continuous increase in the proportion of green aluminum, the company's profitability and social contribution are expected to expand further. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 22 billion, 24.3 billion, and 24.9 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 156.169 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.69%. The pre-tax profit was 32.797 billion yuan, up 106.4%, and the net profit reached 22.372 billion yuan, reflecting a 95.21% increase [1] - The average price of alumina in Shandong reached 5,705.0 yuan/ton by December 31, 2024, with an annual average price of 4,035.7 yuan/ton, marking a 39% year-on-year increase. The average price of electrolytic aluminum was 19,790.0 yuan/ton at the end of 2024, with an annual average of 19,921.6 yuan/ton, showing an approximate 6.5% increase [1] Group 2: Production Capacity and Green Aluminum - In 2024, the operating rate of electrolytic aluminum in Yunnan province remained high, achieving nearly full production capacity with a utilization rate of 99.32%. This level was maintained close to 100% thereafter [2] - The company is actively expanding its green aluminum production, with projects in Wenshan and Honghe that may bring the total hydropower aluminum capacity close to 4 million tons. Hydropower aluminum has significantly lower carbon emissions compared to coal-fired aluminum, which is expected to provide a competitive advantage in the future [2] Group 3: Dividend Policy - The company declared a final dividend of 1.02 HKD per share, along with an interim dividend of 0.59 HKD per share, resulting in a total annual dividend of 1.61 HKD per share. The total cash dividend amounted to 14.1 billion yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of approximately 63%, a notable increase from the previous year's ratio of around 50% [3]