Group 1 - The central bank of China has raised the RMB to USD midpoint by 49 points to 7.0523, marking the highest appreciation since September 30, 2024 [2] Group 2 - Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran stated that without further interest rate cuts next year, the U.S. economy risks entering a recession [4] - Miran emphasized that the current policy stance must be adjusted to mitigate risks, although he does not foresee an immediate economic downturn [4] - He noted that rising unemployment should prompt Federal Reserve officials to consider continuing rate cuts [4]

Group 1 - The central bank of China has raised the RMB to USD midpoint by 49 points to 7.0523, marking the highest appreciation since September 30, 2024 [2] Group 2 - Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran stated that without further interest rate cuts next year, the U.S. economy risks entering a recession [4] - Miran emphasized that the current economic conditions do not predict an immediate downturn, but rising unemployment should prompt the Fed to continue lowering rates [4]

Group 1 - The central bank of China has raised the RMB to USD midpoint rate by 49 points to 7.0523, marking the highest level since September 30, 2024 [2][8] Group 2 - Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran warns that without further interest rate cuts next year, the U.S. economy risks entering a recession [3][10] - Miran stated that if the policy stance is not adjusted, there will indeed be risks, although he does not expect an economic downturn in the short term [10] - He emphasized that rising unemployment should prompt Federal Reserve officials to continue lowering interest rates [10]

拉长时间来看，今年以来，人民币兑美元整体走出一个单边上扬的形态。2025年初，离岸人民币兑美元汇率 以7.27开局，随后美国连续暂停降息，美元曾呈现强势，离岸人民币汇率的低点在今年4月8日产生，一度触 及7.42879；但随着美联储降息的态势越来越明确，美元高位跳水，人民币走强，9月17日离岸人民币兑美元 汇率"破7.1"，最低触及7.08532。进入12月之后，人民币出现强突破迹象，12月18日，离岸人民币兑美元升破 7.04关口。美元指数也同步走低，最低跌破98整数关。 据同花顺数据统计，今年以来，离岸人民币兑美元汇率累计升值逾4%，在岸人民币兑美元汇率累计升值逾 3.5%。 展望后市，人民币怎么走，短期可能破7吗？ 漫画 王建明 深圳商报记者 钟国斌 人民币兑美元汇率持续走高，在岸、离岸频频创逾一年来新高。12月18日，离岸人民币兑美元汇率已击穿 7.04关口，在岸人民币兑美元汇率盘中触及7.04，双双创下2024年10月以来新高。截至12月19日发稿，离岸人 民币兑美元汇率报7.03642，在岸人民币报7.0411。 人民币兑美元汇率中间价同样上调。中国人民银行授权中国外汇交易中心公布的数据显示，12 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent appreciation of the Renminbi (RMB) against the US dollar is attributed to a combination of factors, including the decline of the US dollar index and increased demand for currency settlement by enterprises at year-end [1][2]. Group 1: Recent Exchange Rate Movements - The offshore RMB/USD exchange rate broke the 7.04 mark on December 18, 2024, marking a new high since October 2024, while the onshore rate also touched 7.04 [1]. - As of December 19, 2024, the offshore RMB/USD exchange rate was reported at 7.03642, and the onshore rate at 7.0411 [1]. - Since late November, the onshore RMB has appreciated over 700 basis points from around 7.11 to 7.04, while the offshore RMB has risen nearly 800 basis points from 7.11 to approximately 7.03 [1]. Group 2: Year-to-Date Performance - Year-to-date, the offshore RMB/USD exchange rate has appreciated over 4%, while the onshore rate has risen more than 3.5% [2]. - The offshore RMB/USD exchange rate reached a low of 7.42879 on April 8, 2024, before recovering as the Fed's interest rate stance became clearer [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Short-term projections suggest that while the RMB may experience temporary fluctuations, it is expected to remain strong, with a potential to break the 7.0 mark due to seasonal settlement demands [3]. - By 2026, the RMB is anticipated to have room for appreciation, supported by seasonal settlement needs, although export support for the exchange rate may weaken [3]. - Analysts predict that the RMB/USD exchange rate may fluctuate between 6.9 and 7.3, with a possibility of breaking 7.0 if the US dollar remains structurally weak [3].

Core Viewpoint - The offshore Chinese yuan (CNH) appreciated against the US dollar, closing at 7.0327 yuan per dollar, reflecting a gain of 75 points compared to the previous trading day [1] Group 1 - The closing exchange rate of the offshore yuan against the US dollar was reported at 7.0327 yuan [1] - The appreciation of the yuan indicates a positive movement in the currency market, with a rise of 75 points from the previous day [1]

12月16日，在岸、离岸人民币兑美元汇率再次走强。 | < W | 美元兑人民币(CFETS) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | USDCNY.IB | | | | | | 7.0424 | | 前收 | 7.0505 | 开盘 | 7.0474 | | -0.0081 -0.11% | | 卖田 | 7.0425 | 买入 | 7.0424 | | 最高 | 7.0477 | 今年来 | -3.51% | 20日 | -0.99% | | 最低 | 7.0417 | 10日 | -0.41% | 60日 | -1.13% | | सेने | 五日 | 目K | 周K | 月K | 甲名 (0) | | 盖加 | | | | | | | 7.0591 | | | | | 0.12% | | 7.0505 | | | | | 0 00% | | | | | | | -0.9-2%- | | 9:30 | 13:45 | | 18:15 | 22:30 | 3:00 | 编辑 ｜ 钉钉 离岸人民币兑美元汇率击穿7.04，盘中一度升至7.037 ...

离岸人民币兑美元汇率今日盘中一度升至7.04，创2024年10月4日以来新高；在岸人民币兑美元汇率盘中最高升至7.04， 创下2024年10 月8日以来新高。 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青表示，人民币走势偏强会提振资本市场信心，也会吸引更多海外资金流入国内资本市场，并与汇市走强形成良 性联动。他认为短期内人民币还会处于偏强运行状态，后续要重点关注美元走势、人民币中间价调控力度，以及国内稳增长政策的力度和节 奏。 德意志银行 预计，到2026年底，人民币兑美元汇率将升值至6.7，并在2027年底进一步升至6.5。 下载财联社APP获取更多资讯 准确 快速 权威 专业 7x24h电报 头条新闻 VIP资讯 实时盯盘 ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 12月16日，人民币兑美元中间价报7.0602，上调54点，创2024年10月9日以来新高！离岸人民币升破 7.04。 12月16日，人民币兑美元中间价报7.0602，上调54点，创2024年10月9日以来新高！离岸人民币升破 7.04。 短期内人民币对美元汇率仍将处于偏强运行状态 市场普遍认为，受益于美元整体偏弱的外部环境、国内权益市场表现亮眼吸引外资流入等，人民币对美 元汇率稳中有升，整体维持较强韧性。展望未来，短期内人民币对美元汇率仍将处于偏强运行状态，并 有望在2026年保持温和升值。 美联储明年1月维持利率不变的概率为75.6% 据CME"美联储观察"：美联储明年1月降息25个基点的概率为24.4%，维持利率不变的概率为75.6%。到 明年3月累计降息25个基点的概率为43.5%，维持利率不变的概率为47.5%，累计降息50个基点的概率为 9.1%。 责任编辑：郭建 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 短期内人民币对美元汇率仍将处于偏强运行状态 市场普遍认为，受益于美元整体偏弱的外部环境、国内权益市场表现 ...

12月15日，人民币兑美元中间价报7.0656，下调18点。 美联储明年1月维持利率不变的概率为75.6% 据CME"美联储观察"：美联储明年1月降息25个基点的概率为24.4%，维持利率不变的概率为75.6%。到 明年3月累计降息25个基点的概率为41.9%，维持利率不变的概率为49.8%，累计降息50个基点的概率为 8.3%。 哈塞特谈接掌美联储：考虑特朗普意见 但坚持决策独立性 美国白宫国家经济委员会主任哈塞特表示，如果他被选中领导美联储，他会考虑特朗普的政策意见，但 美联储的利率决定仍将保持独立。哈塞特周日表示："总统对于我们应该做什么，持有非常强烈且有充 分根据的看法。但最终，美联储的职责是保持独立，并与理事会和FOMC的成员们合作，就利率应处于 的水平达成集体共识。"哈塞特表示："就算当了美联储主席，每天也会很乐意与总统交谈，直到我们俩 都去世，因为和他交谈'太有趣了'。"然而，他驳斥了总统的意见将与FOMC有投票权的成员具有同等分 量的说法，称政策制定者可以自由地拒绝他的意见并"以不同的方式投票"。哈塞特说："不，不，他不 会有任何分量。只是，如果他的意见是好的、基于数据的，那它才重要。" 来源 ...