争 匆 - 联创光电中标资阳商业航天发射技术研究院项目,合同金额 1,960万元, ● 标志着其商业航天电磁发射技术首个工程化订单成功交付,为未来批量化 订单积累经验,公司正积极准备产能以应对潜在的大规模需求。 可控核聚变被视为终极能源,2025年被认为是资本开支元年,联创光电 ● 基于超导磁体产品进行前瞻布局。2025年11月该领域招标额激增至 40 亿元,预示未来成都、南昌、上海等地将加大投入,为联创光电带来市场 机会。 可控核聚变核心投资逻辑在于其技术和市场潜力。联创光电在托卡马克装 ● 置中高温超导磁体设计和生产具备优势,价值量占比约 40%。参与南昌星 火 1 号反应堆项目,预计启动局将带来约 50 亿元订单。 联创光电在激光反无人机领域取得进展,"光刃一代"和"光刃二代"已 完成设计、研编和验收，主要用于短距离打击无人机，随着下游需求损害人。" 产品凝影搬家，主要用于短距离打击无人机，随着下游需求损需求损害骗小】 shuimu2026 bet 产品逐步成熟并具备广阔市场前景。 行研报 ： 方面,智能控制产品和背光源业务通过调整业务结构,提升管理能力,改 善盈利能力。2025年前三季度,公司毛利率达 ...

Cross-Border Trade - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, has initiated policies to promote cross-border trade facilitation, emphasizing its importance in creating a top-tier business environment [1] - Cross-border trade is expected to transition from "scale expansion" to "high-quality development," with an anticipated annual growth rate of over 15% from 2026 to 2030 [1] Low Altitude Economy - The E40H unmanned aerial vehicle system from Yufeng Future has received a type certificate from the Civil Aviation Administration of China, marking a significant milestone in the low-altitude economy [2] - The low-altitude economy is projected to reach a market size of 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025 and over 3.5 trillion yuan by 2035, driven by advancements in various sectors [2][6] Semiconductor Industry - Domestic semiconductor companies are increasingly disclosing major merger and acquisition plans, indicating a rapid acceleration in industry consolidation [3] - Key mergers include SMIC's acquisition of a 49% stake in Northern Semiconductor for 40.6 billion yuan, reflecting a strategic intent to enhance core competitiveness [3][4] Oil and Gas - A recent military conflict in Venezuela has led to a complete halt of the country's oil exports, significantly impacting global heavy crude oil supply and increasing oil price pressures [4][5] - The situation has raised concerns over energy supply security, with shipping risks in the Caribbean further exacerbating the issue [5] Commercial Aerospace - The commercial space sector in China is experiencing robust growth, with multiple rocket launches planned for 2025, contributing to the country's ambitions in space exploration [5][6] - The satellite internet market, leveraging low Earth orbit satellites, is becoming a focal point for global competition, with over 70,000 low Earth orbit satellite applications expected by the end of 2024 [6] Duty-Free Market - The Hainan duty-free market saw significant growth during the New Year holiday, with sales reaching 712 million yuan, a 128.9% increase year-on-year [7][8] - The zero-tariff policy has expanded significantly, now covering 6,600 product categories, which is expected to have a substantial impact on the local and national duty-free business [8] Nuclear Fusion - The EAST nuclear fusion experiment has confirmed the existence of a density-free zone, providing critical insights for high-density operation in magnetic confinement fusion devices [8][9] - The Chinese government is prioritizing nuclear fusion as a new economic growth point, with significant investments expected in the coming years [9] Brain-Computer Interface - Neuralink plans to start mass production of brain-computer interface devices in 2026, with advancements in automated surgical processes [10] - The industry is gaining traction with supportive policies from the government, indicating a growing interest in applications for movement disorders and mental health [10]

1月2日，中国科学院合肥物质科学研究院等离子体物理研究所科研团队宣布，有"人造太阳"之称的全超 导托卡马克核聚变实验装置（EAST）实验证实托卡马克密度自由区的存在，找到突破密度极限的方 法，为磁约束核聚变装置高密度运行提供了重要的物理依据。相关研究成果发表在国际学术期刊《科学 进展》上。 可控核聚变或成终极能源，全球能源体系有望重构，中美在核聚变领域竞逐加速。我国"十五五"规划建 议明确提出将核聚变作为新的经济增长点，此前国家发改委、国家能源局、工信部等均有表态支持核聚 变发展。与此同时，上海、四川、安徽、江西等地方层面也均有政策支持及装置规划，有望形成核聚变 产业集群。 证券时报表示，资本开支加速提升，叠加政策强力驱动，可控核聚变发展望全面提速。机构预测，未来 3-5年将是核聚变项目投招标的高峰时期，统计国内主要核聚变项目预计投入达到1460亿元，关注价值 量占比高以及具备先发优势的标的。 公司方面，据证券时报表示， 国光电气：公司是偏滤器、第一壁等核心部件供应商，国内唯一具备偏滤器整体研制能力，中标 CFETR项目包层系统订单，真空室制造技术国产化率100%。 四创电子：子公司华耀电源作为国内少数掌握核 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Increase" [6] Core Insights - The average price of liquid argon has doubled year-on-year, while the average price of rare gases remains low and fluctuating [2][6] - The operating load rate of China's industrial gas sector has decreased on a month-on-month basis, averaging 66.73% as of December 31, 2025, down by 1.88 percentage points [4][8] - Hangyang Group has joined the Controlled Nuclear Fusion Innovation Consortium, adding 42,000 Nm³/h of industrial gas services [4][6] Price Trends - Liquid argon price: 1,193 RMB/ton, up 3.56% month-on-month and up 106.35% year-on-year [6] - Liquid oxygen price: 346 RMB/ton, down 1.7% month-on-month and down 7.5% year-on-year [6] - Liquid nitrogen price: 367 RMB/ton, down 1% month-on-month and down 6% year-on-year [6] - Rare gases prices: - High-purity helium (cylinder): 89.17 RMB/m³, down 2.01% month-on-month and down 8.54% year-on-year [6] - Xenon: 21,250 RMB/m³, down 1.16% month-on-month and down 27.97% year-on-year [6] - Krypton: 196.67 RMB/m³, down 4.73% month-on-month and down 43.81% year-on-year [6] - Neon: 110 RMB/m³, unchanged month-on-month and down 12% year-on-year [6] Company Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Hangyang Co. and Shandong Energy Group, with related stocks being Zhengfan Technology, Fostar, and Zhongtai Co. [6][7]

Market Outlook - The A-share market has shown a fluctuating upward trend over the past 25 years, with expectations for a continued bull market in 2026, although the growth rate is anticipated to slow down. Investors are expected to focus more on fundamental improvements and economic verification [1] - The comprehensive competition between China and the U.S. may significantly impact A-share investments, with a warning about potential structural or phase pullbacks in the technology sector [1] Geopolitical Changes - A surprising news event during the New Year holiday was the U.S. military's operation, codenamed "Southern Spear," against Venezuela, which involved the swift capture of President Maduro and his wife, justified by the U.S. as a measure against drug-related terrorism but described as a military action aimed at resource control [4] Motivations for Action - **Heavy Crude Oil**: Venezuela holds the world's largest proven oil reserves at 303 billion barrels, accounting for nearly one-fifth of global reserves. The U.S. relies on high-sulfur crude oil for its extensive refining capacity, and with Mexico achieving energy independence and Canada seeking to diversify its oil exports, the U.S. faces risks to its industrial system if it does not secure Venezuelan heavy oil [7] - **Strategic Minerals**: The Orinoco mining belt in southern Venezuela contains vast strategic resources, including gold, niobium iron ore, and rumored uranium deposits. Venezuela's defense systems were reportedly unresponsive during the U.S. operation, raising questions about their preparedness [8][9] Future of Venezuela - Venezuela may face a future resembling either the "Panama model" (establishing a pro-U.S. government with oil flowing to the U.S.) or the "Iraq model" (entering prolonged turmoil and guerrilla warfare). Following the military action, former President Trump indicated that the U.S. would deeply engage in Venezuela's oil industry, promising significant investments to restore its infrastructure [11] Longxin Storage IPO - Longxin Storage, a leading domestic DRAM manufacturer, has disclosed plans for an IPO to raise 29.5 billion yuan for three major projects, including upgrades to its manufacturing lines and R&D for DRAM technology [12][13] Jingyi Equipment - Jingyi Equipment specializes in semiconductor equipment, particularly temperature control devices, and has broken foreign monopolies. The company has confirmed its products are compatible with advanced 3D NAND manufacturing lines, positioning itself to benefit from the domestic storage expansion wave [15] - The company is also expanding into the vacuum pump market, which has low domestic penetration, with products expected to be validated by Q1 2026 [16] Guang Steel Gas - Guang Steel Gas focuses on industrial gases for semiconductor manufacturing and has established a strong position in the market by breaking foreign monopolies. The company has secured significant contracts and is deeply integrated into the domestic storage chip supply chain [20][19] Wangzi New Materials - Wangzi New Materials is involved in controllable nuclear fusion and commercial aerospace, with significant developments in superconducting magnetic energy storage systems and electromagnetic launch technologies. The company is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for these advanced technologies in various sectors [25][24]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the positive outlook for domestic demand, which is expected to drive the development of new productive forces, as highlighted by the national financial work conference held on December 27-28, 2025 [5][13] - The aerospace sector continues to show high prosperity, with the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation achieving a record 73 space launch missions in 2025 [5][14] - The report recommends focusing on companies that align with the "S-curve" evolution, emphasizing supply chain reform, maintenance volume, and trends towards automation and intelligence [5][15] Industry Overview - The defense and aerospace industry is experiencing a significant increase in investment, with a focus on new productive forces and comprehensive human development [5][13] - The report notes the successful IPO acceptance of Blue Arrow Aerospace, which aims to raise 7.5 billion CNY, indicating strong market interest in commercial aerospace ventures [5][14] - The report identifies three key cycles within the industry: the evolution of the "S-curve," expansion of the "S-curve," and a new cycle focusing on emerging industries such as commercial aerospace, AI, and quantum computing [5][15] Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - **Aero Engine Corporation of China** (航发动力): Benefiting from high-end aviation equipment production and potential for domestic engine replacement in the civil aviation market [5][21] - **AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group** (中航西飞): A major manufacturer of military and civil aircraft, expected to benefit from modernization and military trade opportunities [5][22] - **China Power** (中国动力): Positioned to benefit from the recovery of the shipbuilding industry and the transition to dual-fuel engines [5][26] - **Aero Engine Control** (航发控制): Engaged in the production of control systems for military and civil aviation engines, with a strong competitive position [5][21] - **Ziguang Guowei** (紫光国微): Focused on the semiconductor industry with a strong emphasis on domestic market growth and AI integration [5][18] Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed financial metrics for key companies, including expected earnings per share (EPS), price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, and return on equity (ROE) for 2025 and 2026 [6] - For example, **航发动力** is projected to have an EPS of 0.34 CNY in 2026 with a PE ratio of 117.74 [6] - **中航重机** is expected to achieve a net profit of 11.21 billion CNY in 2025, with a dynamic PE ratio of approximately 28X [5][24] Market Performance - The report notes that the China Securities Military Industry Index has shown a weekly increase of 2.90%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component [5][34] - Year-to-date, the military industry index has increased by 42.34%, indicating strong market performance relative to other sectors [5][34]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a market strategy focused on maintaining stability during fluctuations, with a particular emphasis on mid-cap blue-chip stocks for timing and selection [4] - The steel industry is highlighted for its transformation towards high-end, green, and digital advancements, which is expected to enhance competitiveness in the special steel sector [4] - The report suggests that the controlled nuclear fusion sector may experience ongoing catalysts, indicating potential for sustained thematic investment opportunities [5] Market Strategy - The index has shown a rebound, recently surpassing 3900 points, with a clear oscillation pattern observed since late August [4] - A mid-term perspective is recommended, focusing on sectors with moderate valuations, low institutional allocation, and improving marginal conditions, particularly in advanced manufacturing and electronics [4] - Specific ETFs are mentioned for investment, including the CSI 500 ETF and cash flow ETFs, which align with the suggested sectors [4] Industry Strategy - The steel industry is undergoing significant policy adjustments aimed at reducing crude steel production and eliminating inefficient capacities, promoting a shift towards high-end special steel and high-performance materials [4] - Companies like CITIC Special Steel and Nanjing Steel are recommended for their focus on high-end special steel products and their potential for growth in exports [4] - The report indicates that the controlled nuclear fusion sector is transitioning from theoretical research to practical engineering, which is expected to drive substantial investment demand in the future [5]

证券研究报告 | 行业简评报告 2026 年 1 月 4 日 可控核聚变行业简评报告 大国能源必争之地，静待产业进展 中游制造/机械 本篇报告回顾了可控核聚变板块 2025 年以来的行情，梳理了相关事件催化，并 对 2026 年的行情做出了展望。整体来看，核聚变已成为我国重要战略发展方向， 目前，我国各聚变装置建设正稳步推进中。我们认为，2027 年我国 BEST 装置 点火、2028 年美国 Helion 装置接入电网交付微软、2030 年代谷歌与 CFS 的 200 兆瓦购电协议等事件有望重振板块关注度，产业链相关公司仍值得重视。 ❑ 风险提示：产业进展不及预期、政策不及预期。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 476 | 9.2 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 5003.4 | 4.6 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 4322.6 | 4.4 | fangjiamin@cmschina.com.cn 行业指数 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 8.0 29.1 45.2 相对表现 4.9 11.1 28. ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Guoguang Electric has resumed normal operations after the release of its general manager from detention, indicating stability in the company's management and operations [1] - Guoguang Electric has over 60 years of experience in the research and production of microwave devices and has been involved in key national engineering projects, establishing stable partnerships with major domestic enterprises and research institutions [1] - The company is actively pursuing opportunities in the commercial aerospace small satellite sector and has achieved small-scale sales [1] Group 2 - The implementation of the new Atomic Energy Law in January encourages and supports controlled thermonuclear fusion research and technology development, providing institutional guarantees for innovation in fusion energy [2] - The domestic investment in nuclear fusion projects exceeds 150 billion yuan, with significant future growth potential as the industry progresses [2] - Guoguang Electric has adjusted its fundraising projects to focus on special vacuum components and nuclear industry-specific parts, capitalizing on opportunities in controlled nuclear fusion and commercial aerospace [2]

本报记者 董红艳 北京报道 从区域上看，中关村板块成为年度最大亮点，办公新增需求呈现爆发式增长。据高力国际发布的数据， 中关村甲级写字楼市场2025年全年净吸纳量超17.6万平米，占全市总量的53%，创下近20年来的峰值纪 录，成为引领北京写字楼市场复苏的核心引擎。 2025年，房地产行业仍处于深度调整周期，价格低位循环、有效需求乏力等核心矛盾尚未根本化解。而 新质生产力方面，量子计算、可控核聚变等前沿赛道技术成果密集落地。 写字楼市场的冷暖变化，堪称经济景气度的"风向标"。2025年北京甲级写字楼市场呈现复苏态势，四季 度末空置率降至19.2%，同比下降1.5个百分点；全年空置率获得整体回调。中关村板块凭借科创产业集 聚优势，成为拉动市场回暖的核心动力源。 需要警惕的是，市场复苏基础仍不稳固。据高力国际向《华夏时报》记者透露的信息，2026年北京甲级 写字楼核心市场将迎来超70万平方米的新增供应，这一增量将直接推动年末空置率走高，市场承压格局 或将加剧。 高吸纳叠加低供给 2025年末，北京写字楼市场空置率实现实质性回落。据高力国际方面数据，北京甲级写字楼市场空置率 在今年四季度末降至19.2%，同比下降约 ...