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Boeing Options Cheap as 3,200 Union Workers Strike
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-08-04 14:55
Core Viewpoint - Boeing Co's shares have decreased by 0.5% to $220.85 following a strike by 3,200 union employees in Missouri and Illinois, marking the first strike since 1996 after rejecting a new contract offer [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Boeing's stock has been declining since reaching a 52-week high of $242.69 on July 29, post-earnings [1] - The stock has shown a 24% increase so far in 2025 [1] - The $220 level appears to be acting as support, along with the 40-day moving average [1] Group 2: Options Activity - There has been a notable increase in call options activity, with a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 2.42, ranking higher than 96% of readings from the past year [2] - The current options are considered reasonably priced, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 30%, which is in the low 6th percentile of its annual range, indicating low volatility expectations [3]
Cboe(CBOE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-01 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cboe reported a 14% year-over-year increase in net revenue, reaching a record $587 million, and adjusted diluted EPS also rose by 14% to $2.46 [6][20] - Adjusted operating expenses increased by 8% year-over-year to $213 million, while adjusted operating EBITDA grew by 19% to $387 million, resulting in an adjusted operating EBITDA margin expansion of 2.3 percentage points to 65.8% [20][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Derivatives markets net revenues grew by 17%, with options volumes increasing significantly due to heightened market volatility [7][20] - The Options segment achieved a record net revenue growth of 19% year-over-year, with a 20% increase in total Options average daily volume [21] - DataVantage business net revenue improved by 11% year-over-year, driven by strong new subscription and unit sales [14][23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The European cash equities business drove an 11% increase in cash and spot markets net revenue, with Europe and Asia Pacific segments achieving a 30% year-over-year growth [12][22] - Net transaction and clearing fees in the Europe and APAC segment rose by 39% year-over-year, reflecting strong industry volumes [12][22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on optimizing growth in core businesses while exploring organic and inorganic investment opportunities [31][32] - Cboe's decision to close its Japan equities business reflects a strategy to redirect resources to higher potential return activities [13][26] - The management emphasizes the importance of capital allocation and is committed to assessing the business portfolio for long-term shareholder returns [32][78] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the growth potential of options as an asset class, driven by continued uncertainty in monetary and trade policy [11][31] - The company remains committed to enhancing its product offerings and expanding its global presence, particularly in the Asia Pacific region [15][66] Other Important Information - Cboe expects to record a pretax charge of approximately $5 million related to the wind down of its Japanese equities business, which will be excluded from adjusted operating expenses [26] - The company repurchased $35 million in shares during the quarter, with year-to-date repurchases totaling $65 million [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Key priorities for the new CEO - The new CEO emphasized optimizing growth in core businesses and exploring compelling inorganic growth opportunities, while maintaining a flexible balance sheet [38][39] Question: Evaluation of business footprint - The CEO indicated that the company is rigorously evaluating all business operations to ensure capital is allocated to the best growth opportunities [42] Question: DataVantage revenue guidance - Management remains confident in the full-year guidance for DataVantage, noting strong momentum in new subscription sales and international demand [46][49] Question: Long-term growth for index options volume - The management highlighted the sustainability of zero DTE volumes and the potential for growth through retail broker partnerships and international expansion [51][53] Question: Competitive environment for single stock zero DTE - Management sees single stock zero DTEs as complementary to index options, with retail traders likely to migrate to index options as their sophistication increases [55][56] Question: Relationship with S&P Global - The CEO reaffirmed the long-term partnership with S&P Global and the importance of mutual growth and innovation [60][63] Question: Globalization strategy - The company is focused on importing flow from outside the U.S. into its markets, leveraging data as a key driver for growth [66] Question: Industry evolution and retail engagement - Management views the growth in retail engagement as a long-term trend and is committed to remaining relevant in a dynamic environment [71][73]
YETI: Bullish Signals Align As Options Flow, Insider Buying, And Earnings Setup Stack Up
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-29 13:30
Group 1 - The market movement observed in YETI Holdings appears to be a case of the market catching up rather than getting ahead of itself [1] - The author emphasizes a data-driven analysis approach combined with practical market understanding to identify trends and actionable investment ideas [1] - The article aims to share research and insights with investors interested in understanding market drivers [1] Group 2 - There is a potential for initiating a long position in YETI through stock or options purchases within the next 72 hours [2] - The article expresses the author's personal opinions and does not involve any compensation from companies mentioned [2]
UnitedHealth: Everything You Need To Know
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-29 13:12
Group 1 - The core focus of Quad 7 Capital is to provide investment opportunities through their BAD BEAT Investing platform, emphasizing both long and short trades [1] - Quad 7 Capital has a proven track record, being 95% long and 5% short on average since May 2020, and they are known for their significant market call in February 2020 [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in various fields, including business, policy, economics, and game theory [1] Group 2 - BAD BEAT Investing offers benefits such as understanding market dynamics, executing well-researched trade ideas weekly, and access to multiple chat rooms for discussions [2] - Members receive daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades, along with learning opportunities in basic options trading [2] - The platform provides extensive trading tools aimed at enhancing the trading proficiency of its users [2]
3 Dividend-Paying ETFs to Buy in July Even if the S&P 500 Sells Off
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-29 09:45
Core Insights - Investing in dividend-paying ETFs offers diversification and passive income regardless of market conditions [1] - The S&P 500 index is at an all-time high, up over 27% from its April low [1] Group 1: Dividend-Paying ETFs - The "V-Shaped" recovery may cause hesitation among investors, making diversified ETFs that generate passive income appealing [2] - Recommended ETFs include the Global X MLP ETF, Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF, and JP Morgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF [2] Group 2: Global X MLP ETF - This ETF focuses on midstream master limited partnerships (MLPs) that own natural gas pipelines and storage assets, offering a trailing-12-month distribution yield of 7.5% [4] - The ETF's performance shows little correlation with the S&P 500, providing a way to invest without increasing exposure to the index [5][7] - Natural gas is recognized for its crucial role in future energy provision, balancing the intermittency of renewable energy sources [8] Group 3: Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF - The ETF has a 30-day SEC yield of 3.8% and a low total expense ratio of 0.06% [9] - With net assets over $71 billion, it primarily holds large-cap stocks, which are less volatile and provide more reliable dividends [10] - Major holdings include Texas Instruments and Chevron, both with market caps exceeding $195 billion [11][13] Group 4: JP Morgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF - Launched in May 2022, this ETF aims to generate income through selling covered call options [14] - The ETF has a 30-day SEC yield of 11.2% as of June 30, 2025, and has gained 61.4% over three years when factoring in dividend income [18] - The fund's expense ratio is 0.35%, which is higher than typical index funds, but it offers unique income-generating strategies [22]
EchoStar: Dark Pools Are Buying, And Options Traders Smell Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-28 12:30
Core Insights - EchoStar (NASDAQ: SATS) is emerging as a compelling opportunity within the telecom and satellite sector after a prolonged period of regulatory challenges and investor fatigue [1] Financial Stability - The company's balance sheet has shown signs of stabilization, indicating a potential turnaround in its financial health [1] Regulatory Environment - Recent developments suggest that the regulatory overhang that has affected EchoStar is beginning to lift, which may positively impact investor sentiment [1]
OceanFirst Financial: Key Metrics Are Soft
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-25 16:22
Core Insights - BAD BEAT Investing, led by Quad 7 Capital, has been providing investment opportunities for nearly 12 years, with a notable call in February 2020 to sell everything and go short, maintaining an average position of 95% long and 5% short since May 2020 [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences, focusing on both long and short trades [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes short- and medium-term investments, income generation, special situations, and momentum trades, aiming to educate investors on becoming proficient traders [1] Benefits of BAD BEAT Investing - Investors can learn to understand market dynamics, execute well-researched trade ideas weekly, and utilize 4 chat rooms for discussions [2] - Daily complimentary summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades are provided, along with education on basic options trading and access to extensive trading tools [2]
Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock Eyes Worst Day Since 2017
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-24 14:41
Core Viewpoint - Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's stock has declined significantly following a revenue miss and a lowered annual sales forecast, leading to multiple price-target cuts from analysts [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock is down 12.1%, trading at $46.41, marking its largest single-day percentage loss since October 2017 [1][2]. - Year-to-date, the stock has decreased by 23.2% [2]. - The shares have gapped to their lowest level since April and are breaking below the 80-day moving average [2]. Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - Out of 31 analysts covering the stock, 23 have rated it a "buy" or better, indicating a generally positive outlook despite recent performance [2]. - The 12-month consensus target price is $59.80, representing a 29% premium to the current stock price [2]. Group 3: Options Activity - Today's options activity shows 72,000 calls and 56,000 puts traded, which is five times the typical volume for this time [3]. - The most active contract is the weekly 7/25 46-strike call, with new positions being bought to open [3].
Prosperity Bancshares: Highly Efficient Bank, Growing Dividend
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-23 15:58
Core Insights - BAD BEAT Investing, led by Quad 7 Capital, has been providing investment opportunities for nearly 12 years, focusing on both long and short trades [1] - The team is recognized for their February 2020 recommendation to sell everything and go short, maintaining an average position of 95% long and 5% short since May 2020 [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes short- and medium-term investments, income generation, special situations, and momentum trades [1] Group 1 - The company comprises a team of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences [1] - BAD BEAT Investing aims to educate investors to become proficient traders through a comprehensive playbook, providing in-depth research with clear entry and exit targets [1] - The firm has a proven track record of success in their investment strategies [1] Group 2 - Benefits of BAD BEAT Investing include understanding market dynamics, executing well-researched trade ideas weekly, and access to multiple chat rooms [2] - Subscribers receive daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades, along with learning opportunities in basic options trading and extensive trading tools [2]
Auto Stock Eyes Worst Day Since March After Earnings
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-22 14:33
Group 1 - General Motors Co (NYSE:GM) stock has decreased by 7% to $49.58, despite beating earnings and revenue expectations for Q2, with tariffs impacting profits by as much as $1.1 billion and a 35% decline in quarterly profit [1] - The stock is down 6.7% for 2025 and is on track for its lowest close in nearly a month, potentially logging its worst daily drop since March 27 [1] Group 2 - Traders have significantly increased activity in the options market, with 25,000 calls and 18,000 puts exchanged today, which is seven times the typical volume [2] - The most popular option is the weekly 7/25 53-strike call, followed closely by the 50-strike put from the same series [2] Group 3 - There has been a notable shift in sentiment among options traders, who have been more bearish than usual, as indicated by GM's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 1.27, ranking higher than 98% of readings from the past year [3] - Short-term traders are also exhibiting a put-bias, reflected in the Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.25, which stands in the 90th percentile of readings from the past 12 months [4]