Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley strategists predict a rebound in U.S. Treasury bonds in the first half of 2026, with the Federal Reserve potentially implementing a 50 basis point rate cut [1] Group 1 - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is expected to decline to 3.75% by mid-next year, before rising to 4.05% in the fourth quarter [1] - For the entire year, the 10-year Treasury yield is anticipated to remain within a fluctuating range [1]

日线图上，黄金价格已形成标准的"空头排列"形态，价格持续运行在5日、10日、20日、60日均线下 方，各均线依次向下发散，对价格形成层层压制。KDJ指标虽处于超卖区间，但尚未出现明显的金叉反 转信号，且J线仍在向下延伸，表明短期下跌动能尚未完全释放。布林带呈现开口向下的扩张态势，价 格沿下轨持续下行，下轨支撑位同步下移至4030附近，上轨压力则位于4150一线，布林带的扩张形态进 一步确认了短期趋势的弱势。此外，日线级别上，前期低点4000一线作为重要心理关口与技术支撑位， 其有效性将成为下周走势的关键看点。 黄金行情分析： 近期黄金价格持续承压下行，核心逻辑在于市场对美联储12月降息的预期显著降温。此前，通胀数据的 阶段性回落与经济增长的温和放缓，让市场普遍押注美联储将启动宽松周期以支撑经济，但最新公布的 美国非农就业数据超预期强劲、核心PCE物价指数仍维持在2%以上的目标区间上方，叠加美联储官员 密集释放"维持高利率以巩固通胀降温成果"的鹰派言论，彻底扭转了市场的宽松预期。降息预期的消退 直接推升美元指数与美国国债收益率走强，而黄金作为无息资产，其吸引力大幅削弱。与此同时，短期 期货交易员在价格持续下挫过 ...

Group 1: Gold Market - Gold prices are attempting to close above $4240 [1] - The market is reacting to rising US Treasury yields, leading to profit-taking after a strong rebound [4] - The relative strength index remains at a moderate level, indicating potential for additional upward momentum in the short term [4] Group 2: Silver Market - The gold-silver ratio has risen above 79.00, causing silver prices to retreat to the $53.00 level [1][7] - Technically, silver needs to stay above the resistance level of $52.60-$52.80 to gain additional upward momentum in the short term [7] Group 3: Platinum Market - Platinum attempted to break through the resistance level of $1620-$1630 but lost momentum and retreated [9] - Platinum remains within the range between support at $1520-$1530 and resistance at $1620-$1630 [9]

本文由 AI 算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 【11月13日欧洲上午中段交易时段，美国国债收益率趋稳】此时美国政府即将重新开放，但谨慎情绪蔓 延。金融市场策略师Eric Chia称，市场仍保持谨慎，关注点转向待发布的积压数据，这些数据或显示劳 动力市场和整体需求疲软。 这种不安情绪源于本周疲软的ADP报告，该报告显示截至十月下旬四周 内，美国私营部门平均每周裁员11,250个。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury yields experienced an increase on November 10, with the 10-year yield rising to 4.1121% [1] Summary by Category Treasury Yields - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 1.55 basis points, reaching 4.1121% [1] - The 2-year Treasury yield increased by 2.92 basis points, now at 3.5908% [1] - The 30-year Treasury yield saw a slight rise of 0.29 basis points, standing at 4.7015% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield increased by 0.57 basis points to 4.0889% at the end of trading on November 7, with a total weekly rise of 1.14 basis points [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Treasury Yields - The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.0889%, marking a weekly increase of 1.14 basis points [1] - The 2-year Treasury yield remained unchanged at 3.5554%, with a total weekly decline of 2.03 basis points [1]

Group 1 - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has decreased to below 4.0850%, fully reversing earlier gains as U.S. consumer confidence hits a three-year low [1] - The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond has fallen below 3.55% [1] - The yield on the 10-year TIPS has retreated to below 1.8150%, while the 2-year TIPS yield remains temporarily above 1.02% [1] Group 2 - The Bloomberg Dollar Index has reached a new daily low [1] - The S&P 500 index has narrowed its decline to 0.54%, while the Nasdaq Composite index initially dropped by 1.53% but has since reduced its loss to less than 1% [1] - Spot gold remains steady above $3990, with an intraday gain of nearly 0.4% [1] - Bitcoin has turned positive, returning above $101,000 [1]

Group 1: Gold Market - Gold prices are hovering around the resistance level of $3990-$4000, with attempts to break through this level [1][4] - A successful breakthrough of $4000 could push gold prices towards the next resistance levels of $4170-$4180 [4] Group 2: Silver Market - Silver prices are stable around $48.00, with traders focusing on gold market performance and awaiting further catalysts [1][6] - If silver falls below $48.00, it may head towards support levels of $47.00-$47.20 [6] Group 3: Platinum Market - Platinum has retreated to around $1500, with concerns over demand affecting its price [1][8] - If platinum remains below $1520, it could move towards support levels of $1400-$1410 [8]

Core Viewpoint - US Treasury prices have increased, leading to a decline in the yield of the 10-year Treasury note by 3 basis points to 4.13% [1] Group 1 - The price of US Treasury securities has risen, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards safer assets [1] - The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has decreased, reflecting lower borrowing costs and potential implications for the broader economy [1]

Core Points - The U.S. government is facing an unprecedented shutdown, potentially becoming the longest in history, which began on October 1 [1] - The shutdown is expected to have significant negative impacts on the U.S. economy, particularly in sectors like aviation, food, and healthcare, raising the risk of an economic hard landing [1] - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the shutdown could reduce the U.S. GDP growth rate by 1-2 percentage points in Q4, with potential losses of $7 billion to $14 billion depending on the duration of the shutdown [2] - Consumer confidence is likely to be directly impacted, with delayed payments to federal employees and contractors exacerbating the situation, especially if the shutdown extends into the holiday season [2] - The shutdown poses a threat to U.S. sovereign credit ratings, with agencies like Scope Ratings downgrading the U.S. rating from "AA" to "AA-" due to deteriorating public finances and rising debt levels [3][4] - The shutdown has created a data vacuum, complicating economic assessments and policy decisions, which could lead to increased market volatility and uncertainty regarding future interest rate paths [5][6] - The liquidity tightening caused by the shutdown has led to a significant reduction in the Federal Reserve's reserve balances, further straining financial conditions and increasing borrowing costs [7]