美国非农就业报告

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受美国政府停摆影响,美国9月非农就业报告暂未公布
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-10-03 12:44
10月3日,受美国政府停摆影响,原定于北京时间20:30公布的美国9月季调后非农就业人口变动、美国9 月失业率数据尚未公布。 ...
金价创纪录后回落,非农报告成美联储政策路径关键指引
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 23:53
但投资者更聚焦于周五公布的美国月度就业报告。现货黄金价格收跌0.4%,报每盎司3545.63美元,盘中最低曾触及3511.44美元/盎司。投资者们将目光锁定 在即将公布的美国非农就业报告上,这份数据可能直接左右美联储的降息节奏,并进而影响黄金的走势。在当前环境下,疲软的就业指标强化了降息预期, 同时也支撑了黄金的避险需求,但如果数据超出预期,黄金或面临更大压力。 金价在创纪录高位后下滑,主要源于交易商的获利了结行为。经过一轮强劲上涨,市场积累了大量多头仓位,许多投资者选择在高点兑现利润,导致价格短 期回落。周三的疲软职位空缺数据进一步巩固了对美国降息的押注,这本应利好黄金,但周四公布的上周美国初请失业金人数增幅超过预期,却引发了市场 的谨慎情绪。初请失业金人数增加至23.7万人,高于预期的23万人,反映出劳动力市场持续降温。这种数据疲软虽强化了美联储降息的预期,却也让投资者 在非农报告前选择观望,避免大举押注。 周五(9月5日)亚市早盘,现货黄金交投于3542美元/盎司附近,金价周四下滑,因交易商在创纪录的涨势后获利了结,目前焦点转向美国非农就业报告, 以寻找美联储政策路径的新线索。周四早些时候的数据显示,上 ...
9.5黄金原油晚间走势分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 09:48
只要非农就业新增数据能落在"甜蜜点"区间,股票投资者或许就能对疲软的报告淡然处之——这个区间 需足够疲软,足以支撑美联储9月降息的合理性,但又不能太弱,以免加剧衰退担忧。 金价昨日高位获利了结,投资者们将目光锁定在即将公布的美国非农就业报告上,这份数据可能直接左 右美联储的降息节奏,并进而影响黄金的走势。在当前环境下,疲软的就业指标强化了降息预期,同时 也支撑了黄金的避险需求,但如果数据超出预期,黄金或面临更大压力,日内操作建议逢低做多为主。 今日大非农,预计今日的波动会比较剧烈,投资者操作需谨慎 北京时间周五晚8:30,美国劳工统计局将公布8月非农就业报告,这份报告预计将确认劳动力市场正处 于疲软状态。但疲软程度如何,才是对投资者至关重要的问题。 根据经济学家的共识预测,美国经济上月新增7.5万个就业岗位,仅略高于7月报告中惨淡的7.3万新增就 业数。失业率预计也将小幅上升,从4.2%升至4.3%,为2021年以来的最高水平。平均时薪月率预计环 比持平,同比增速从3.9%放缓至3.7%。 上周新申请失业救济金人数增幅超过预期,支持了美联储本月降息的预期,宽松的氛围也会压制原油价 格,整体的宽松供需格局继续看 ...
ATFX策略师:美国8月大非农预期悲观,美元指数或遭冲击
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 09:14
Group 1 - The core point of the articles revolves around the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report, with expectations of a slight increase in employment figures, but concerns about the impact of immigration policies on labor data [1][2] - The previous non-farm employment figure was 73,000, with a forecast of 75,000 for the upcoming report, indicating a trend of employment figures remaining below 100,000 since May [1] - The unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly from 4.2% to 4.3%, reflecting a stable trend in U.S. employment data since July 2024 [1] Group 2 - The ADP employment data for August showed a significant drop to 54,000 from the previous 106,000, suggesting that the non-farm payroll report may also reflect poor employment growth [1] - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book indicates that employment levels have remained largely unchanged across most regions, suggesting that the non-farm payroll data will not deviate significantly from the previous figures [2] - The outcome of the non-farm payroll report is critical for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on September 18, with a poor report increasing the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut [2] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that the U.S. dollar index has been experiencing low volatility and is forming a descending triangle pattern, with a potential downward breakout if the non-farm payroll report is disappointing [4] - Key support level for the dollar index is noted at 97.52, and a breach of this level could lead to a new downward trend [4]
美联储降息以及避险需求推动,银价刷新历史新高至41美元下方
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 09:18
来源:白银网 (华通国标一号银日K线图) 目前市场重点关注周五美国非农就业报告,该报告可能会提供更多关于美联储降息路径的线索,并推动银价的走势。 技术分析上看,日相对强弱指数(RSI)出现了轻微超买的情况,这反过来又促使银价附近出现了一些获利回吐。尽 管如此,本周银价突破本年迄今高位,若随后强势突破40美元的心理关口,被视为多头交易的关键触发因素,暗示任 何进一步回调都可能被视为买入机会。 然而,如果回落到40.00美元的整数下方,可能会将银价拖至39.50美元的支撑区域。后者应该是近期内的一个坚实基 础,如果这个基础被决定性地打破,可能会继续看跌。银价可能会加速跌向39.00美元的关口,最终跌至38.50-38.40美 元区域。 (国际现货银半小时图) 银价周三触及14年新高,但后续买盘支撑不够。 日相对强弱指数略有超买,促使银价多头部分获利了结。 技术面走势表现在较低水平出现逢低买盘的观点。 周三(9月3日)亚洲盘交易时段,现货白银创下14年以来新高40.97美元/盎司,后小幅回落。欧市盘前银价再次上探 但未能突破,目前持续交投于40.70美元附近,当日下跌近0.50%。越来越多的人接受美联储将于本月降息 ...
美国初请数据:强劲凸显劳动力市场韧性
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 19:06
本文由 AI算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 【分析师称初请数据强劲凸显美国劳动力市场韧性】分析师Giuseppe Dellamotta对美国初请数据进行点 评,指出该数据表现强劲,尤其是在续请失业金人数下修的情况下。失业金申领数据持续证实劳动力市 场具有韧性。目前,市场焦点将转向ISM采购指数中的就业分项、ADP私营就业数据和美国非农就业报 告。 ...
分析师:8.26黄金连续拉伸,午夜最新趋势解析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 14:44
Group 1 - Gold prices surged after finding support at 3351, breaking last week's high of 3378 and reaching a peak of 3386, before fluctuating between 3380 and 3367 [3] - The market is currently focused on the upcoming US non-farm payroll report, which is expected to significantly impact interest rate expectations [3] - Current support levels are identified at 3365-3364, while resistance is noted at 3383-3386, with trading strategies suggested for both long and short positions [3] Group 2 - The commentary emphasizes the importance of self-discipline and facing one's mistakes as fundamental to success in trading [3] - The analysis covers a comprehensive understanding of the global economic system and highlights the need for investors to grasp key financial fundamentals [3] - The content encourages investors to pay attention to daily market interpretations of commodities such as gold, silver, and oil [3]
两年期美债收益率跌幅扩大至约24个基点,延续美国非农就业报告发布之后的跌势
news flash· 2025-08-01 14:12
Group 1 - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell nearly 15 basis points, reaching a daily low of 4.2237%, after briefly rising to a daily high of 4.4060% just ten minutes before the U.S. non-farm payroll report was released [1] - The 2-year Treasury yield dropped approximately 24 basis points, hitting a daily low of 3.7124%, and remained around the 3.95% level prior to the non-farm payroll report [1] - The U.S. dollar index decreased by 1.2%, settling at 98.67 points [1] Group 2 - The S&P 500 index experienced a decline of 1.74%, while the Dow Jones dropped 684 points, reflecting a 1.54% decrease [1] - The Nasdaq fell by 495 points, marking a 2.34% drop, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor index decreased by 3.13% [1] - The Russell 2000 index also saw a decline of 2.39% [1]
提醒:北京时间20:30,将公布美国7月非农就业报告。
news flash· 2025-08-01 12:29
Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payroll report for July will be released at 20:30 Beijing time [1]
ATFX:聚焦美国非农就业报告对美联储利率轨迹的影响
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 11:37
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report for July, with expectations of an increase of 110,000 jobs, a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.2%, and an annual wage growth of 3.8% [1][4] - Despite a strong overall employment report in June, the labor market shows signs of cooling due to cautious economic outlook and reduced labor supply, with private sector hiring slowing down [3][4] - The unemployment rate is expected to slightly increase to 4.2%, influenced by lower labor force participation rates, particularly among foreign-born workers, which may prevent a sharp rise in unemployment even as hiring demand declines [4] Group 2 - The July non-farm payroll is estimated to have increased by approximately 110,000, down from the 147,000 increase in June, attributed to the timing of the survey week and a pullback in government hiring [3][4] - Average hourly wage growth is projected to remain stable, with a 0.2% increase in July and a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [4] Group 3 - The article also discusses the neutral outlook for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD currency pairs, indicating potential resistance and support levels for traders [5][8]