Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Israel has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.5%, aligning with market expectations, amidst ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and a slight decrease in inflation rates over the past year [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - The inflation rate in Israel for July was reported at 3.1%, which is slightly above the target upper limit, but forecasts suggest it will return to the target range in the coming months [3]. - The government has decided to raise the fiscal deficit ceiling to 5.2%, indicating potential challenges in managing economic stability [3]. Group 2: Geopolitical Risks - The central bank highlighted various risks that could accelerate inflation or deviate from targets, including geopolitical developments, demand growth coupled with supply constraints, and deteriorating global trade conditions [3]. - The ongoing geopolitical uncertainty is expected to impact economic activity, with potential scenarios leading to increased supply constraints and slower economic recovery [3]. Group 3: Future Monetary Policy - The Bank of Israel's Governor, Amir Yaron, expressed a desire to lower interest rates three times next year to reach 3.75%, although the timing for such reductions remains uncertain [4]. - A lower risk premium could lead to a rapid expansion in demand, and the appreciation of the shekel is anticipated to help reduce inflation [5]. Group 4: Investment Climate - The Israeli economy faces uncertainties due to market and technological investment conditions, exacerbated by U.S. tariffs, which pose risks to the economy [6]. - The reliance of Israel's technology sector on U.S. venture capital funding makes it particularly vulnerable to these uncertainties, affecting overall economic performance [6].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased from 3.6% in June to 3.8% in July, indicating rising inflation pressures [1] - The core CPI, excluding energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, also saw a slight increase from 3.7% in June to 3.8% in July [1] - The CPI for services rose from 4.7% to 5.0%, reflecting broader inflationary trends in the service sector [1] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the rising CPI will put pressure on the Bank of England's monetary policy, making it difficult to further cut interest rates if inflation continues to rise [1] - The Bank of England recently lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4%, marking the fifth rate cut in a year [1] - The Bank of England forecasts that the inflation rate will peak at 4% in September before gradually returning to the target level of 2% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Israel has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.5%, which aligns with market expectations [1] Group 1 - The decision to keep the interest rate unchanged reflects the central bank's strategy to manage inflation and economic stability [1]

Core Viewpoint - The director of the Economic Policy Department of the Central Bank of Brazil, Diogo Guillen, stated that it is too early to consider lowering the benchmark interest rate (Selic) during the Copom meeting [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy - The Central Bank is still searching for the most suitable interest rate level to achieve inflation targets and will maintain this rate for a longer period once determined [1] - The current benchmark interest rate in Brazil remains at 15%, a level established in June and unchanged since the last monetary policy meeting at the end of July [1] Group 2: Market Observations - Guillen defended the effectiveness of the Central Bank's monetary policy, noting its observable impact on credit and foreign exchange markets [1] - Since 2025, there have been no unusual trends in the foreign exchange market, with the Brazilian real performing in line with global trends against the US dollar [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Norwegian central bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%, aligning with market expectations [1] Group 1 - The decision to keep the interest rate unchanged reflects the central bank's strategy to stabilize the economy [1]

Group 1 - The Norwegian central bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25% [1]

来源：中国新闻网 编辑：张嘉怡 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 泰国央行将基准利率下调0.25个百分点 中新社曼谷8月13日电 (记者 李映民)泰国央行货币政策委员会13日决定将基准利率下调0.25个百分点， 由1.75%降至1.50%，并即刻生效。 货币政策委员会指出，尽管2025年泰国经济增速与此前预测接近，但美国加征关税将进一步加剧结构性 问题并削弱竞争力，一些经济领域的脆弱性正加深，尤其是中小企业。同时，整体通胀率受供给因素影 响处于低位。在此背景下，委员会决定降息。 数据显示，2025年上半年泰国经济增长主要受益于电子产品出口、对美出口加快以及制造业扩张，但展 望下半年，受美国关税政策直接和间接影响，加之旅游及相关行业面临压力，中小企业、雇员及自由职 业者面临冲击，私人消费增速或将放缓。 货币政策委员会强调，将继续关注信贷扩张及汇率变动对经济活动的影响，并配合采取措施降低融资成 本、缓解弱势群体债务压力。 货币政策委员会重申，将在保持物价稳定的同时，兼顾经济可持续增长和金融体系稳定。未来货币政策 应维持在适度宽松水平，以支持经济增长，同时平衡中期经济金融稳定与有限的政策空间。(完) 本文为转载内容，授权 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Madagascar (BFM) is adopting a cautious strategy by maintaining the bank's benchmark interest rate at 12% during the monetary policy committee meeting held on August 5 [1] Group 1 - The decision to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged reflects the bank's careful approach to monetary policy [1]

Group 1 - The National Bank of Romania maintained the benchmark interest rate at 6.50%, aligning with market expectations [1]

Group 1 - The median benchmark interest rate of the Russian Central Bank is expected to decrease from the current 18% to 16% by the end of 2025 [1] - The median inflation rate is projected to be 6.7% by the end of 2025, a slight decrease from the previous survey's estimate of 7.0% [1]