Group 1 - The Trump administration has shifted its focus on large-scale immigration enforcement, ordering ICE officials to suspend raids and arrests in the agriculture, hotel, and restaurant sectors [1][3] - The directive from ICE senior official Tatum King emphasizes that investigations related to human trafficking, money laundering, and drug smuggling are still permissible, while agents are instructed not to arrest "non-criminal collateral individuals" [3] - The decision reflects the impact of immigration enforcement on industries and voters that Trump does not want to alienate, as protests against these actions have erupted in Los Angeles and spread to at least 24 other cities [4] Group 2 - The Department of Homeland Security confirmed the existence of the directive, stating that it will follow the President's instructions to target the most egregious illegal immigrant criminals [3] - Despite the protests, the Trump administration intends to continue its immigration enforcement actions, with the Secretary of Homeland Security affirming that ICE will maintain its enforcement activities [4] - Trump has indicated the possibility of invoking the Insurrection Act to grant greater powers to soldiers deployed in response to the protests in Los Angeles [4]

点击按钮▲立即预约 " 这是共和党人特朗普期待已久的局面：在民主党占绝对优势的加州，围绕一项核心的政治议题，与一位主要的政治对手，就其政治议程中的核心议题，展开一场 正面斗争。 " 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 抗议、暴力、冲突、骚乱、宵禁。这就是美国加州洛杉矶，这一周的新闻主题。 导火索是特朗普发起的"史上最大规模的驱逐行动"。6月6日，美国移民与海关执法局（简称ICE）等联邦执法部门，在洛杉矶执行非法移民搜查 抓捕行动。数百名示威者聚集，表达他们对此次逮捕行动的愤怒、不满和抗议。 接下来的数日里，局势陡然升级，民众的抗议活动演变成与执法部门之间的冲突。 身着防暴装备的执法人员展示了他们的执法温度，使用了警棍、橡皮子弹、闪光弹、胡椒球、催泪瓦斯、辣椒水。抗议者们也展示了他们的反抗 力度：辱骂特朗普的涂鸦与标语、鸡蛋、塑料瓶、玻璃瓶、石头砖块、燃烧瓶、烟花炮仗。 全网流传最广的视频，是那几辆正在燃烧的谷歌无人驾驶出租车。抗议者们砸碎车窗、扎破轮胎、喷漆涂鸦、纵火焚烧。高科技产品成为靶子， 也许是因为它搭载的360度无死角的摄像头，会记录违法的证据。 骚乱导致数百人被捕 。6月9日晚，市中心的23家 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the political turmoil in Los Angeles, California, triggered by President Trump's immigration enforcement actions, leading to widespread protests and clashes between demonstrators and law enforcement [1][2][10]. Group 1: Background of the Protests - The protests were ignited by Trump's "largest-ever deportation operation," which involved federal agencies conducting searches for illegal immigrants in Los Angeles [2][12]. - California has the highest number of illegal immigrants in the U.S., approximately 2.6 million, accounting for 24% of the nation's total [12]. - California's "California Values Act" provides sanctuary to illegal immigrants, limiting local law enforcement's cooperation with federal immigration authorities [13][15]. Group 2: Escalation of Violence - The protests escalated into violent confrontations, with law enforcement using riot gear and non-lethal weapons against demonstrators who retaliated with projectiles and vandalism [4][5][7]. - Hundreds were arrested, and significant property damage occurred, including looting of stores and destruction of high-tech vehicles [7][37]. Group 3: Political Implications - Trump's deployment of the National Guard and Marines in response to the protests has intensified the political conflict between him and California's Governor Gavin Newsom, with both sides exchanging harsh criticisms [9][31]. - The protests have become a political tool for both Trump and Newsom, with each seeking to gain political capital from the situation [10][35]. Group 4: Economic Impact - The protests and Trump's immigration policies are affecting local economies, particularly in sectors reliant on immigrant labor, such as construction and food services [42]. - The Los Angeles port has seen a 25% decrease in cargo volume due to Trump's tariffs, leading to significant job losses among dockworkers [44]. - The estimated cost of deploying troops to Los Angeles is around $134 million, adding to the financial strain on the local economy [37].

特朗普政府将通知来自古巴、海地、尼加拉瓜和委内瑞拉的移民，他们（在美国）的合法身份已被终 止。 ...

金十数据6月12日讯，美国总统特朗普在社交媒体最新发文："我们伟大的农民和酒店休闲行业从业者一 直表示， 我们非常强硬的移民政策正在让他们失去非常优秀的长期员工，而这些工作几乎难以替代。 在很多情况下，被极其愚蠢的拜登开放边境政策允许进入我国的'犯罪分子'正在申请这些工作。这很糟 糕。我们必须保护我们的农民，但也要让'犯罪分子'离开美国。 变革即将到来！" 订阅特朗普动态 +订阅 特朗普：移民政策致农旅业缺工 变革即将到来 ...

Group 1 - The Los Angeles Police Department reported that 225 individuals were arrested during protests on June 10, with 203 for failing to disperse, 17 for violating curfew, and others for various offenses [1] - A curfew was imposed in parts of downtown Los Angeles from 8 PM to 6 AM due to ongoing protests [1] - The U.S. Northern Command announced that 700 Marines were being trained for potential deployment to assist in managing the protests, although the timeline for their deployment remains unclear [1] Group 2 - In Chicago, 17 individuals were arrested during protests on June 10, with 4 facing felony charges and 10 facing misdemeanor charges [2] - Protests against the Trump administration's immigration policies spread nationwide, with plans for synchronized protests on June 14 coinciding with a parade in Washington, D.C., covering multiple states [2]

Group 1 - Protests in Los Angeles have led to the implementation of a curfew from June 10 at 8 PM to June 11 at 6 AM in certain areas due to ongoing unrest and looting [1][2] - Over the past four days, at least 378 arrests have been made in Los Angeles, with 225 individuals arrested on June 10 alone [1][2] - Protests are also occurring in other major cities across the U.S., including New York, where thousands participated in a significant demonstration on June 10 [3][5] Group 2 - The California government has filed a temporary restraining order against the federal government to prevent military deployment in Los Angeles, which has faced strong opposition from state officials [6] - The deployment of military personnel in the Los Angeles area has reached 4,800, with 700 active-duty Marines on standby [6] - The spread of misinformation and conspiracy theories related to the protests has been noted, with social media platforms being flooded with misleading content [8][9] Group 3 - Tensions between the U.S. and Mexico have escalated, with U.S. officials accusing the Mexican president of inciting protests in Los Angeles, which the Mexican president has denied [11][12] - The presence of Mexican flags at protests has sparked controversy, with some viewing it as evidence of "invasion" while others argue that most protesters are U.S. citizens exercising their rights [11][12]

Group 1 - The U.S. labor market is undergoing a profound structural change driven by the Trump administration's strict immigration policies, with May's non-farm payrolls dropping by 696,000, the largest monthly decline since the onset of the pandemic in 2020 [1][3] - The balance of supply and demand in the labor market is being artificially disrupted, leading to a significant reduction in labor supply, particularly affecting labor-intensive sectors such as construction, agriculture, and services [3] - Despite a historically low unemployment rate of 4.2%, only 139,000 new jobs were added in May, indicating a shrinking labor supply rather than an increase in job opportunities [3] Group 2 - The artificial labor shortage is causing multiple economic impacts, including rising wage levels that may exacerbate inflationary pressures, and a long-term reduction in the potential growth rate of the U.S. economy [3] - Morgan Stanley forecasts that average monthly job growth may remain at 170,000 in 2024 but decline to 90,000 by the end of 2025 and further to 80,000 in 2026, with the "breakeven job growth" needed to maintain stable unemployment potentially dropping to as low as 50,000 per month [3][4] - The structural changes in the labor market present unprecedented policy dilemmas for the Federal Reserve, as tight labor conditions and wage pressures necessitate a more hawkish monetary policy, while the ongoing reduction in economic growth potential requires policy flexibility [4] Group 3 - The uncertainty surrounding immigration policies complicates economic forecasts, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting net immigration numbers to fall to 2 million and 1.5 million in 2025 and 2026, respectively, significantly lower than the 3.3 million in 2023 [4] - This uncertainty not only affects the labor market but also has broader implications for consumption and investment, potentially impacting the overall economy [4] - Market participants should be cautious of the chain reactions stemming from these policy distortions, as short-term labor shortages may support a stronger dollar, while long-term growth potential reductions could lead to downward pressure on the dollar [4]

Core Viewpoint - The significant changes in the U.S. immigration landscape are distorting the employment market, making it harder for investors and policymakers to accurately assess the actual slowdown in the labor market [1] Group 1: Labor Market Dynamics - A reduction in immigration supply could lead to a tighter labor market, potentially suppressing the rise in unemployment rates, despite being a temporary and artificial effect [1] - Recent data shows a decrease of 696,000 jobs in May, the largest single-month drop since the historic decline at the beginning of the pandemic in 2020, with some economists attributing this decline to the Trump administration's immigration crackdown [1][2] Group 2: Employment Growth Metrics - The "breakeven" employment growth value, which indicates the net new jobs needed to keep up with the growth of the working-age population and maintain stable unemployment rates, is declining [4] - Morgan Stanley economists noted that the average monthly "breakeven" employment growth was 210,000 last year, dropping to 170,000 this year, and projected to fall to 90,000 by the end of the year and 80,000 next year [8] - Ryan Sweet from Oxford Economics predicts that due to weak labor supply growth, the "breakeven" employment growth is rapidly approaching 50,000 per month [8] Group 3: Implications for Monetary Policy - The low unemployment rate may persist but could be due to misleading reasons, as indicated by Sweet [9] - If predictions hold true, monthly job growth in the U.S. may continue to slow without raising the unemployment rate, creating a confusing signal for investors and policymakers [10] - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized the labor market's stability and low unemployment, but acknowledged the need to examine a broader set of labor market indicators for a more accurate assessment [10] Group 4: Immigration Projections - The Congressional Budget Office projected net immigration to be 2 million this year and 1.5 million next year, down from 3.3 million in 2023, but these estimates may be overly optimistic given the Trump administration's hardline stance on immigration [11] - Morgan Stanley economists have significantly revised their net immigration forecasts down to 800,000 this year and 500,000 next year, suggesting a potential "false" tight labor market with monthly non-farm job growth far below 100,000 [11]

【环球网报道】美国加利福尼亚州洛杉矶爆发的抗议活动和骚乱仍在持续。据美国《华盛顿邮报》报道，美国国土安全部长克丽丝蒂·诺姆当地时间10日指 控墨西哥总统克劳迪娅·辛鲍姆"煽动"洛杉矶抗议活动，辛鲍姆同日晚些时候对此予以驳斥。 报道称，诺姆早些时候在白宫对记者说，"辛鲍姆站了出来，煽动在洛杉矶举行更多抗议活动，我谴责她的行为。她不应煽动正在进行的暴力抗议活动。" "我对此（指暴力抗议）一直持反对态度，现在我肩负着重大责任，反对立场更甚以往。与此同时，我们的立场现在和将来都会是捍卫诚实、勤劳的墨西哥 人，他们既为美国经济做出了贡献，也支撑着他们墨西哥家人的生活。"辛鲍姆在帖文中说。 辛鲍姆随后在社交平台X上发帖称，这项指控"完全错误"，并在该帖中附上此前一天她接受记者采访时发表评论的视频。视频中，她谴责暴力行为，并呼吁 洛杉矶的墨西哥社区"以和平的方式行事"。 美国总统特朗普以国家安全为由推行强硬移民政策，再次入主白宫后下令大规模抓捕和驱逐非法移民。美国移民与海关执法局等联邦机构执法人员本月6日 开始在洛杉矶搜捕非法移民，引发抗议和骚乱。与此同时，墨西哥国旗在洛杉矶抗议活动现场飘扬，在美国引发巨大争议。一些美国媒 ...