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投资策略周报:A股、港股暂时的折返,慢牛即是长牛-20250928
HUAXI Securities· 2025-09-28 11:07
Market Review - The A-share market experienced overall fluctuations this week, with major indices showing mixed performance. The semiconductor industry chain strengthened significantly, with the Sci-Tech 50 Index rising by 6.47%, driven by increased capital expenditure in the AI sector and breakthroughs in domestic lithography technology. Conversely, the consumer sector weakened, with indices in social services, retail, light industry, and textiles showing the largest declines. Market turnover decreased marginally, with net inflows of financing funds maintained, and stock ETFs saw a net subscription of 231 billion yuan this week. In the commodity market, internationally priced commodities strengthened, while domestically priced black commodities declined. The dollar index rose, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield returning to around 4.2%, and the RMB depreciated against the dollar [1][2]. Market Outlook - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets are expected to experience temporary fluctuations, with a "slow bull" market continuing. After a trend-driven rise in July and August, funding divergence has increased since September. With the upcoming long holiday, external funds entering the market may slow down, leading to potential short-term adjustments in both markets. However, the current bull market is still in play, supported by ample micro liquidity, policies aimed at stabilizing the stock market, and long-term capital inflows. Despite weak economic data, the effects of "anti-involution" policies are beginning to show, leading to marginal improvements in long-term profit expectations for A-shares. Key areas of focus include: - The technology sector remains the main focus, with both "prosperity investment" and "thematic investment" expected to coexist in October. Internal rotation within growth sectors is anticipated to accelerate, particularly in AI downstream applications, solid-state batteries, energy storage, computing power, and innovative pharmaceuticals. Attention should also be given to non-tech sectors showing positive trends, such as chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and engineering machinery [2][3]. International Perspective - On the international front, the Federal Reserve's "preventive" interest rate cuts have been implemented, but there is increasing divergence regarding future rate cut paths. In September, the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points as expected, with projections indicating a potential further reduction of 50 basis points within the year. However, there is significant disagreement among Fed officials regarding future cuts, with 9 out of 19 officials expecting two more cuts in 2025, while others foresee no further reductions. Current U.S. economic data remains resilient, and Fed Chair Powell's cautious signals regarding rate cuts suggest a potentially complicated path ahead [3]. Supply-Side Policies - The impact of supply-side "anti-involution" policies is gradually becoming evident, with industrial profits rebounding in August. Year-on-year growth in industrial profits for August was 20.4%, improving from a -1.7% decline in July to a cumulative growth of 0.9%. The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a narrowing decline of -2.9% year-on-year, marking the first contraction since March. This improvement is attributed to a low base effect and the gradual impact of supply-side policies, which have led to price increases in upstream commodities. The central bank has emphasized the challenges of insufficient domestic demand and low price levels, with recent policies aimed at boosting prices being implemented [3]. Structural Trends - In terms of structure, the technology sector is experiencing numerous catalysts, with high growth expectations for TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sectors. The new wave of technological advancements driven by AI is accelerating across various fields. Key factors include the increasing clarity of domestic and international AI industry trends, rapid growth in the performance of leading companies, and a focus on hard technology and new production capabilities in upcoming policy meetings. Market consensus on profit expectations indicates high growth for growth sectors in 2025, including military electronics, software development, IT services, optical electronics, gaming, new energy, semiconductors, and communication equipment [3]. Liquidity Conditions - The liquidity situation in the A-share market remains ample. In August, non-bank deposits increased by 550 billion yuan year-on-year, and the M1-M2 negative differential continues to narrow, reflecting a positive impact on residents' risk appetite. Unlike the previous "structural bull" market from 2019 to 2021, where residents favored active funds, this bull market sees a preference for passive investment products. Since the fourth quarter of 2024, the net asset value of stock ETFs has rapidly expanded, with index funds consistently outpacing active equity funds for three consecutive quarters, further promoting the trend towards indexation in the industry. The central bank's monetary policy remains moderately accommodative, with funding rates trending downward and bank wealth management products yielding historically low returns, suggesting that micro liquidity in the A-share market is likely to remain ample in the fourth quarter [3].
“智汇潇湘 才聚湖南”2025年湖南省促进高校毕业生就业创业系列行动上海站举行,长沙135家企事业单位提供高端高薪岗位近8000个
Chang Sha Wan Bao· 2025-09-28 02:18
Core Points - The event "Zhihui Xiaoxiang, Cai Ju Hunan" was held in Shanghai to promote employment and entrepreneurship for college graduates in Hunan Province, attracting over ten thousand participants [2][6] - Hunan brought over 17,000 job positions from more than 500 enterprises, with some positions offering annual salaries exceeding 500,000 yuan, particularly appealing to young talents in Shanghai [3][6] - The initiative aims to create a favorable environment for talent by providing high-quality job opportunities, research support, and a good living environment, showcasing Hunan as a land of opportunity for youth [3][6] Job Opportunities - The event featured 17 key industry chains, including intelligent manufacturing, artificial intelligence, biomedicine, and new energy, with an average monthly salary of 15,000 yuan [3] - High-end positions were particularly highlighted, with 8,000 positions offered by 135 enterprises from Changsha, aligning with the strengths of Shanghai's universities [3][4] Collaboration and Partnerships - Hunan Province signed cooperation agreements with several universities in Shanghai, focusing on practical collaboration in fields such as artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and biomedicine [4] - The partnerships aim to leverage the strengths of both Hunan and the universities to create tangible cooperation scenarios [4] Entrepreneurial Support - Companies like Wankang Technology announced initiatives such as a "million annual salary plan" for top talents and the establishment of innovation and entrepreneurship incubation bases [5] - Hunan is positioning itself as a destination for college student entrepreneurship, emphasizing low-cost startups and high-quality living [6] Future Plans - The recruitment initiative is part of a broader series of actions, with plans to visit multiple cities including Beijing, Xi'an, and Chengdu to attract graduates [7][8]
9家最值得关注的创新之星来了!73位投资人现场评选丨Demo China大揭密
创业邦· 2025-09-27 10:09
9 月 25 日, 2025 (第十九届) DEMO CHINA 在杭州圆满落幕。 本届大会由创业邦主办,由杭 州市拱墅区人民政府指导,拱墅区委人才办、杭州大运河数智未来城管委会联合主办。 作为早期创业者被看见和被发现的最佳平台 , 本届大会共吸引 590 余家企业报名,经过层层筛选, 126 家早期科技公司成功入围。大会现场,机器人 *智能硬件、人工智能创新应用、智能制造、医疗 科技以及高通创投 - 红杉中国创业大赛、海外人才等六大专场,为我 们带来硬核技术与前瞻商业构 想的集中呈现。 从初选到现场评审, DEMO CHINA 始终秉持 " 科学严谨 " 和 " 前 瞻视野 " 的原则,综合考量团 队背景、商业模式、产品服务、市场吸引力、运营状况、创新力及现场表现力等维度进行严格筛选。 参与展示的企业,平均成立时间仅有 2.76 年,均处于 A 轮及 A 轮前期,其中更有 16% 为尚未被 主流风险投资发现的 " 水下公司 " 。值得关注的是,这些企业创始人中硕士及以上占比高达 89% ,博士及博士后占比 65% ,超半数团队拥有海外经历,高知背景与国际视野成为早期科创团队的核 心底色。 大会现场, 经过多 ...
周红波会见港区省级政协委员联谊会考察团
Nan Jing Ri Bao· 2025-09-27 04:36
Core Viewpoint - The meeting between Nanjing's municipal leaders and the Hong Kong Provincial Political Consultative Conference delegation emphasizes the importance of enhancing economic and cultural cooperation between Nanjing and Hong Kong, particularly in the context of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and the Yangtze River Delta integration strategy [1]. Group 1 - The Hong Kong Provincial Political Consultative Conference is recognized as a significant force for patriotism and Hong Kong, serving as a connection for political consultative members and facilitating cooperation between Nanjing and Hong Kong [1]. - Both parties aim to expand economic and trade cooperation between Nanjing and Hong Kong, focusing on high-level openness and cultural exchanges [1]. - Key areas of collaboration include technological innovation, financial services, biomedicine, and cultural tourism, with the goal of attracting more Hong Kong businesses, investments, and young talents to Nanjing [1].
聚广州链全球!世界粤商大会将至,来看AI、生物医药特色展
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-09-27 03:04
南方都市报、南都大数据研究院"信心有数"栏目,用数据记录广东实现现代化的奋进之路,用数据描绘 万马奔腾共创美好的活力之路,用数据书写每一个你我昂扬向上的信心之路。 千里之行,系于你我;心中有数,广东可期。 四海粤商,接帖集结!2025世界粤商大会定于9月28日至30日举行。届时,超1387亿资本将强势汇聚, 36个超十亿级项目将进行现场签约。全球粤商精英天团即将齐聚广州,共赴这场商界"武林盛会"!南都 大数据研究院本期"信心有数"带你提前看:这场盛会的"雄厚家底"与粤商群体的强劲实力。 粤商大会"粤"联四海 历经7届越办越有料 "信心有数"栏目 广东民企不仅在"大",更胜在"活"和"新"。9月15日公布的2025中国企业500强榜单中,广东有54家企业 上榜,其中半数以上为民营企业。华为、腾讯、比亚迪等企业不仅在国内市场表现优异,更在全球创新 竞赛中实现从"跟跑"到"并跑"乃至"领跑"的转变。华为上半年研发投入969.5亿元,占营收22.7%;比亚 迪研发投入309亿元,同比增长53%;腾讯累计专利授权超4.6万项…… 这些成绩的背后,离不开广东对的"政策护航"。中华人民共和国民营经济促进法》今年施行后,广东 ...
明年上海高校毕业生预计25.8万 2026届上海高校毕业生秋季校园招聘会暨长三角联合招聘会举行
Jie Fang Ri Bao· 2025-09-27 02:39
Core Insights - The 2026 Shanghai University Graduates Autumn Campus Recruitment Fair was held, featuring over 1,000 employers offering 35,000 job opportunities across key industries such as integrated circuits, biomedicine, and artificial intelligence [1] - Shanghai is expected to have 258,000 university graduates next year, including 91,000 postgraduates, 113,000 undergraduates, and 54,000 vocational students [1] - A mechanism linking demand, enrollment, training, employment, and monitoring has been established in Shanghai to conduct comprehensive and long-term research on graduate employment status [1] Group 1 - The recruitment fair aims to address structural employment issues and enhance students' skill sets through pre-employment training systems [1] - The "Shanghai University Graduate Tracking Survey Sub-center" was established to support employment services for graduates [1] - Employers awarded certificates to representatives of 2025 Shanghai university graduates at the event, highlighting the importance of practical training [1]
《越南科技创新法》将于10月1日起生效
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-26 16:20
越南科技部部长阮孟雄表示,该法将越共中央政治局关于推进科技创新和国家数字化转型突破发展 的第57号决议具体化,是一份以知识与创造力建设强盛国家的"宣言"。科技部副部长黎春定认为,该法 充分彰显越南破解长期制约科技创新与数字化转型发展制度瓶颈坚定决心,为支持全面创新、推动科研 与市场深度融合提供了法律框架。在企业发挥核心作用背景下,该法落地后有望涌现更多具有竞争力 的"越南制造"科技产品,带动越南企业更深入融入全球价值链。 "创新"首次正式纳入法律,与"科学"和"技术"并列。如果说科技侧重于新知识和技术研发,那么创 新则涵盖了从构想、试验到商业化的全过程,并强调全社会广泛参与。企业首次在法律条款中拥有独立 章节。该法鼓励企业利用自身资源和国家支持,大规模投资研发。 (原标题:《越南科技创新法》将于10月1日起生效) 该法不仅弥补了以往制度不足,更确立了一种全新思路:充分激发全社会创新创造活力,以企业为 核心,支持科研成果商业化并构建数字化基础。凭借诸多创新性、突破性举措,新法有望成为越南在融 入国际社会新阶段加速发展、提升国家竞争力的重要推动力。 越通社9月26日报道,《越南科技与创新法》将于10月1日起生效, ...
博瑞医药拟1000万元至2000万元回购股份,公司股价年内涨92.57%
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-09-26 15:32
Core Viewpoint - 博瑞医药 plans to repurchase shares through centralized bidding, with a total amount between 10 million and 20 million yuan, and a maximum repurchase price of 139.77 yuan per share, which is 140.73% higher than the current price of 58.06 yuan, reflecting a significant increase in stock price of 92.57% year-to-date [1] Group 1: Share Repurchase Details - The repurchase will be funded by the company's own funds and is set to occur within 12 months [1] - The current stock price of 博瑞医药 is 58.06 yuan, with a year-to-date increase of 92.57% [1] - The maximum repurchase price is significantly higher than the current market price, indicating a strong confidence in the company's value [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - As of June 30, 博瑞医药 reported a decrease in revenue to 537 million yuan, down 18.28% year-on-year, and a net profit of 17.17 million yuan, down 83.85% year-on-year [2] - The number of shareholders decreased by 10.11% to 9,568, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 11.32% to 44,185 shares [2] Group 3: Dividend and Shareholder Information - 博瑞医药 has distributed a total of 246 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 129 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and a new entrant, Innovation Drug, which holds 2.81 million shares [3]
A股股民一年来人均赚超4万元
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-09-25 23:12
指数涨幅全球领先 2024年9月24日,国新办一场关于金融支持经济高质量发展的新闻发布会,触发A股迎来"史诗级反 弹"——上证指数6个交易日内一度大涨近千点。"9·24"行情一周年,政策与信心共同铸就了A股市场新 蜕变,行情走势也逐渐从"脉冲式反弹"到"结构性慢牛"。 Wind数据显示,截至9月23日,过去一年A股总市值从68万亿元攀升至104万亿元,增加36万亿元;上证 指数累计上涨39%,深证成指涨62.3%,而创业板、科创50、北证50指数涨幅均超100%,涨幅全球领 先,且科技股领跑。 其中,超1400只个股股价实现翻倍,个人投资者与长期资金双向涌入,A股新增投资者开户数超3000万 户。同时,有近800只基金收益一年翻倍,居民资金通过被动型产品入市,推动指数化投资趋势延续。 1400余只个股翻倍 过去一年来,A股主要指数自"9·24"行情以来均大幅上涨。截至9月23日,上证指数累计上涨39%,深证 成指涨62.3%,而创业板、科创50、北证50指数涨幅分别达103.5%、118.9%、158%;此外,恒生指数 上涨43.4%。 相较而言,纳斯达克综合指数同期上涨25.6%,德国DAX、日经225指数 ...
共商融合新机遇,第三届粤港澳大湾区发展工商大会加快构筑“韧性湾区”
Zhong Guo Qing Nian Bao· 2025-09-25 08:51
Group 1 - The third Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Business Conference was held in Guangzhou, focusing on cross-border finance, commercial law, artificial intelligence, and biomedicine [1][3] - The Greater Bay Area's modern industrial system is becoming increasingly robust, with emerging industries such as artificial intelligence, fintech, and biomedicine thriving alongside Hong Kong and Macao's developed financial and service sectors [3] - Guangdong has been recognized as the best province for business environment in China for four consecutive years, with over 20 million business entities, accounting for 10% of the national total, and more than 900,000 enterprises [3] Group 2 - The conference emphasized the need for Hong Kong's business community to collaborate with mainland enterprises to optimize the international industrial and supply chains in the Greater Bay Area [5] - The Greater Bay Area aims to become a global economic center by enhancing research capabilities, developing industries, and providing quality financial services [5] - The launch of the Greater Bay Area Exhibition Industry Alliance and the release of the "Greater Bay Area Supply Chain Promotion Report" and "Temporary Arbitration Guidelines for the Guangdong Free Trade Zone" provide new professional insights for business decision-making [7]