Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is neutral, with mixed signals from various indicators [2][5] - The moving averages indicate a sell signal across short-term periods (MA5, MA10, MA20) while longer-term averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) suggest a buy signal [4][5] - Technical indicators show a mix of buy and sell signals, with the RSI indicating a neutral position and the Stochastic oscillator showing overbought conditions [5][7] Group 2 - The support and resistance levels are identified, with classic pivot points at 24193.9 (S3) and 25863.4 (R3) [7] - Fibonacci levels also provide additional support and resistance insights, with key levels at 24564.2 (S2) and 25677.2 (R2) [7] - The market is characterized by low volatility as indicated by the ATR value [5]

Group 1 - The overall market sentiment indicates a strong buy recommendation based on various technical indicators [2][8] - The moving averages suggest a consistent buy signal across different time frames, with MA5 at 14000.5 and MA10 at 13946.4 [4][5] - The RSI and MACD indicators also support a buy position, with RSI at 62.082 and MACD at 127.200 [7] Group 2 - The market is showing signs of being overbought, as indicated by the Stochastic oscillator reading of 95.693 [7] - The pivot points and Fibonacci levels suggest potential resistance and support levels, with key pivot point at 13993.0 [8] - The overall analysis reflects a strong bullish trend with multiple indicators signaling buy opportunities [2][8]

Summary - The article discusses the current market indicators and technical analysis for investment decisions, highlighting a general "buy" sentiment across various metrics [2][5][6]. Group 1: Market Sentiment - The overall recommendation is to "buy," with 8 indicators suggesting a buy and 4 indicating a sell [2]. - The moving average indicators show a mixed sentiment, with short-term averages suggesting a buy while longer-term averages indicate a sell [4][5]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 56.667, indicating a buy signal [5]. - The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows a value of 379.100, also suggesting a buy [5]. - The ADX (Average Directional Index) is at 47.200, indicating a strong trend and a buy signal [5]. - The Stochastic indicator is at 97.587, indicating an overbought condition [5]. Group 3: Support and Resistance Levels - Key support and resistance levels are identified, with S1 at 24929.4 and R1 at 25230.4 [6]. - Fibonacci levels indicate potential price targets, with resistance at 25393.7 and support at 25092.7 [6].

文章来源：公众号喵姐交易日记 今天开始美国宏观重磅消息陆续发布，本周不仅会有PCE，失业率，大非农等重要的数据，还有美股财报，周四还有白宫数字资产报告。 当然最备受关注的还是周四凌晨2点的美联储议息会议和鲍威尔的讲话，将给市场信心和预期产生重大影响，大家都盼着好消息早点到来！ 另外以太坊基金会前天又砸盘了，以太坊十周年大会还跌吗？ 以上全部是可以影响行情走向的关键事件，因此这个超级宏观周的行情走势就变得尤其重要，最近比特币一直处于高位横盘震荡位置，也在等待 一个方向出来，这也决定了以太山寨是三浪继续上涨，还是要迎来四浪的深度回调？ 7月29日，数字货币市场继续高位震荡。比特币全天在116，900-119，224美元之间窄幅波动，最终收于117，886美元，日线形成十字星形态。以 太坊同样走出冲高回落行情，盘中最高触及3885美元后回落至3792美元收盘，日线连续两日回调。 这种走势背后暗藏玄机——比特币连续5个交易日未能有效突破119，200美元阻力位，在日线图上形成连续的更低高点，同时被红色Supertrend动 态阻力位（119，792美元）牢牢压制。 比特币 凌晨比特币短暂跌破117，000美元关口，最 ...

Core Insights - Stock index futures trading serves as both a risk management tool and a wealth accelerator, allowing investors to profit from market fluctuations regardless of upward or downward trends [1][2] - The dual trading mechanism of stock index futures provides flexibility but requires investors to possess keen market insight and precise judgment [1] - Successful traders maintain a calm demeanor amidst market volatility, overcoming emotions like greed and fear to make rational decisions [1][2] Market Dynamics - Stock index futures act as a "weather forecast" for financial markets, enabling investors to predict future market movements and generate returns [1] - Time is critical in stock index futures trading, where every market fluctuation can lead to significant gains or losses [1] - Technical analysis tools such as candlestick charts, moving averages, and trading volume are essential for traders to interpret market signals [1] Investor Characteristics - Long-term survival and profitability in stock index futures trading depend on the ability to grasp market rhythms, manage risks effectively, and continuously adapt to market changes [2] - The trading environment is described as a high-stakes game that rewards those who are willing to take risks and think critically [2] - Each trade represents a risk, and every decision has the potential to alter an investor's financial trajectory [2]

Group 1 - Xiaomi Group's stock price is currently experiencing a volatile consolidation pattern, trading at 56.65 HKD, down 1.31% as of 13:46 [1] - The stock is below the 10-day moving average (57.49 HKD) but above the 30-day (56.96 HKD) and 60-day (54.55 HKD) moving averages, indicating short-term adjustment pressure while the medium-term trend remains intact [1] - Technical indicators show divergence, with multiple moving averages signaling "sell," while MACD and Bollinger Bands also indicate selling pressure; however, RSI at 54 is in a neutral zone, suggesting a lack of consensus in market direction [1] Group 2 - Key support levels for Xiaomi are at 55.2 HKD (Support 1) and 53.6 HKD (Support 2), while resistance levels are at 58.4 HKD (Resistance 1) and 60.3 HKD (Resistance 2) [1] - If the stock can regain 57.5 HKD, it may challenge the 58.4 HKD resistance; conversely, a drop below 55.2 HKD could lead to a decline towards 53.6 HKD [1] Group 3 - On July 24, when Xiaomi's stock fell by 2.82%, related derivative products performed well, with Societe Generale's bear certificate (57008) rising by 16% and JPMorgan's bear certificate (56964) soaring by 30% [3] - Put options from JPMorgan (16863) and UBS (17706) recorded gains of 10% and 11%, respectively, showcasing the leverage effect of derivative instruments in trending markets [3] Group 4 - Various derivative options are available for bullish investors, including HSBC's call options (14677) with a strike price of 61.05 HKD, offering 5.9x leverage and the lowest implied volatility, or another call option (18005) with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and the lowest premium [6] - For bearish investors, JPMorgan's put option (16863) has a strike price of 53.99 HKD and 4.8x leverage, while other options like UBS's put (17904) and Societe Generale's bear certificate (54560) offer varying leverage and strike prices [10]

1、恆指:市場看多氣氛比較強，投資者認為明日期結，上至25800-26000，轉牛證，收回價24900。也有看空投資者，認為25400變阻力，繼續熊證，收回價 在25688點。 Simon:指數橫盤格局。信號總結為"買入"，偏向好一些。阻力位在25760點和26600點。而下方支持位在24700左右。而投資者選擇牛證收回價在24900，相對 危險一些，建議選擇逼近第二個支持位24200的產品會比較安全。 | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | 賞 | O | 11 | 2、京東集團-SW (09618.HK)：是否這周回踩120元？投資者持有認沽證，行使價116.8元 Simon:從日線圖看股價比較跳躍，每日波幅比較大。目前信號總結為"買入"。當前支持位126.1元，第二支持位120.7，與投資者的目標價比較接近。 | | | 3、京東健康 (06618.HK)： 守住48元，能站穩50元嗎？ Simon:收市價49.95元，接近全日高位50元，股價繼續向上走。技術信號總結為"買出"。阻力位在50.8元，剛好企穩在50元之上。根據目前分析，50元是比 ...

今日（28 日）上午港股市場氣氛有啲反覆。回顧上日（25日），快手（01024）股價跌咗 4.86%，全日收報72.5 元，成交額 49.52 億元，睇得出賣壓都幾明顯。不過截 至今日上午10點33分，快手股價企穩喺72 元附近，究竟係短線底部定仲有下調空間，真係值得留意。 從技術角度睇，多個指標綜合起來，總結信號為「買入」，強度 12，算幾強勁。多條移動平均線呈現「強力買入」信號，反映中長期走勢仲係向好；但多 個震盪指標就偏「中立」，RSI 指標 57，都係中性區域，顯示短期市場仲有啲猶豫。 支持位同阻力位方面，第一支持位喺 66.2 元，再下邊就係 61.1 元；阻力位嘅話，第一個係 78.7 元，更高啲到 83.9 元。依家股價處喺中間位置，系統評估上 升概率有 55%，近 5 日振幅達 13.2%，波動相當大，投機空間都幾夠。 回顧之前嘅產品表現，7 月 23 日推薦嘅法興熊證（59208）同摩通熊證（53656），兩日後分別升咗 60% 同 70%，同期快手股價跌咗 6.93%，充分顯示咗槓 桿產品嘅放大效應，但風險都要留意。 窩輪方面，如果睇好快手反彈，國君認購證（25903）有 7 倍槓桿，行使 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) shows bullish sentiment with investors expecting an increase to 26,000, while some anticipate a pullback to 25,000 [1] - Current resistance is at 25,928 points, with a potential challenge to 26,700 points if breached [1] - Support is noted at 24,864 points, indicating cautious positioning for both bullish and bearish investors [1] Group 2: AIA Group (01299.HK) - AIA's stock price reached a high of 74.75 HKD, signaling a strong buy recommendation [3] - There is potential for the stock to challenge 77.6 HKD in the near term [3] Group 3: Ping An Insurance (02318.HK) - Ping An's stock hit a new high of 57.65 HKD, closing above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong bullish momentum [6] - Resistance levels are identified at 59.2 HKD and 61.1 HKD, with support at 52.8 HKD [6] Group 4: Xiaomi Corporation (01810.HK) - Xiaomi is experiencing significant selling pressure, with investors looking for support levels [9] - A buyback strategy is being considered with a recovery price set at 55.5 HKD [9] Group 5: Sands China (01928.HK) - Sands China is currently in a sideways trading pattern, with a recent rebound noted [12] - Technical analysis suggests a buy signal, with resistance at 19.6 HKD and 20.1 HKD [12] Group 6: Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - Sunny Optical opened high but closed lower, with a potential resistance at 78.2 HKD [14] - Investors are considering waiting for a drop to 70 HKD before re-evaluating their positions [14]

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to continue its upward momentum in the coming weeks, potentially breaking through the previous high set on October 8, leading to a significant market rally [1]. Funding Aspects - Recent funding conditions have seen five major positive developments, with substantial capital inflows into the stock market: - Southbound funds recorded a single-day purchase of HKD 20.184 billion in Hong Kong stocks, bringing the total net purchase for the year to HKD 820.028 billion, surpassing last year's total of HKD 807.9 billion, marking a historical high for the same period [2]. - Public funds have shown improvement, with mixed funds growing by CNY 121.3 billion to CNY 3.68 trillion in June, alongside a slight increase in share volume [2]. - The M1-M2 spread has narrowed, indicating a potential shift in liquidity dynamics [3]. - Public bond funds experienced their largest single-day redemption since January, with nearly CNY 100 billion sold, suggesting a possible reshuffling of asset allocations [3]. - Life insurance products are expected to see a decrease in interest rates, with the current standard rate set at 1.99%, down 14 basis points from the previous 2.13% [3]. Technical Aspects - Three technical indicators suggest a bullish outlook, with a short-term target above 3700: - The gap analysis from the island reversal gap on May 7 to the continuation gap on July 21 indicates a potential upward movement above 3700 [4]. - A descending flag pattern formed since October 8 has been effectively broken in June, also suggesting a target above 3700 [4]. - The wave count indicates a strong trend, currently in a 3-3 formation, supporting the bullish sentiment [5]. Summary - The market is poised for a strong upward attack in the short term, with a focus on maintaining appropriate positions. For those less adept at stock selection, ETFs are recommended as a viable investment option [6].