Core Viewpoint - The Governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, indicated that the economic growth and price forecasts of the Bank of Japan may undergo significant adjustments based on changes in trade policies [1] Group 1 - The Bank of Japan's economic growth predictions are closely tied to trade policy developments [1] - Price forecasts may also be impacted by shifts in trade policies, suggesting a dynamic relationship between external trade factors and domestic economic indicators [1]

墨西哥财政部长：考虑到与美国贸易关系的不确定性，很难准确预测经济增长。 ...

Group 1 - The French Finance Minister expresses optimism about achieving the economic growth forecast for 2025 [1] - The government maintains its economic growth target without changes [1]

Core Viewpoint - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded Japan's economic growth forecast due to the impact of U.S. tariff policies under President Trump, indicating a slower pace of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan [1] Economic Growth Forecast - The IMF now expects Japan's economy to grow by 0.6% this year, a reduction of 0.5 percentage points from the January forecast [1] - For 2024, Japan's economic growth is projected to be only 0.1% [1] Impact of Tariffs - The tariffs announced on April 2 and the associated uncertainties are expected to negate the anticipated boost from increased private consumption [1] Monetary Policy Outlook - The IMF indicates that the Bank of Japan will raise its policy interest rate at a slower pace than previously assumed for October 2024, without specifying the timing of the next rate hike [1] - The central bank is expected to gradually increase rates towards a neutral level of around 1.5% in the medium term [1]

Core Viewpoint - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its economic growth forecast for the UK for 2025, while significantly raising the inflation expectation for this year [1] Economic Growth Forecast - The IMF has reduced the UK's economic growth forecast for 2025 from 1.6% to 1.1%, which is a larger downgrade compared to other major European economies [1] - Despite the downgrade, the UK's growth rate is still expected to surpass that of France, Italy, and Germany [1] - The IMF has also lowered the 2026 growth forecast from 1.5% to 1.4% [1] - The latest growth forecast is higher than the UK government's budget agency's estimate of 1.0% and the Bank of England's estimate of 0.75% [1] Inflation Expectations - The IMF has raised its inflation forecast for the UK from 2.4% to 3.1% for this year [1] - This increase in inflation expectations is primarily attributed to a one-time regulatory price adjustment factor [1]

Core Insights - The Ministry of Trade and Industry in Singapore may revise down its economic growth forecast for 2025 [1] Group 1 - The potential adjustment in the economic growth forecast indicates concerns about future economic performance [1]