Core Viewpoint - Expectations for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in December have increased significantly, with odds rising to nearly 80% from 40% [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The shift in expectations may be a strategic move by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, potentially to secure his position [2] - The change in sentiment follows weeks of hawkish views from the Fed's policy-setting committee, which had previously advocated for a pause in rate cuts due to inflation concerns and strong economic growth [3][5] - Some Fed members, including New York Fed President John Williams, believe current monetary policy is still somewhat restrictive, indicating potential for further adjustments to the federal funds rate [4][5] Group 2: Impact on ETFs - Fixed income ETFs, particularly the Neuberger Berman Total Return Bond ETF (NBTR), could benefit from a rate cut, positioning it as a better alternative to traditional passive bond funds [2][3] - NBTR's smaller roster of 445 bonds reflects the management team's conviction and flexibility in response to changing interest rates [4] - The potential for a "Santa Claus rally" in ETFs like NBTR is suggested, as the market adjusts to the new expectations surrounding rate cuts [5]

If another 2019-style liquidity crunch hits the economy, your money-market fund will be the first domino. ...

Investor Michael Burry making another big call against the market. The Big short investor calling Tesla shares ridiculously overvalued. Tom Ryan covers Tesla and other automakers for RBC and joins us now.Tom, great to see you. Thank you for being with us. We can start with Tesla, but I would love to talk about how representative it is of the larger auto space and how difficult it is to be to get a handle on exactly the supply demand dynamics at a time of post-pandemic transition and post tariff realization. ...

US stock futures trod water on Tuesday morning as investors assessed a fragile start to December trading. Contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F), S&P 500 (ES=F) and tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) all nudged down around 0.1%. The lackluster trading follows a down session on Wall Street that snapped five-day winning streaks for all three major indexes. A resurgence of risk-off sentiment has been fueled by stubborn inflation concerns, stretched valuations and fresh questions over the payof ...

The S&P 500 has gained almost 5% over the last five trading days. That steep rise looks the more significant when you consider that the index is up about 17% so far this year. Now investors are asking: Will the Santa rally show up next? Seasonal patterns suggest that December is usually one of the best-performing months for stocks. But — as the old saying goes — past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Experts warn that this year’s scenario differs from the usual playbook, with a possible Decem ...

Group 1 - Seasonality in the market can be unpredictable, with December being noted as one of the best months historically, but it does not guarantee positive outcomes every year [1][2] - November was a challenging month, with minimal trading volume and a late-month rally barely pushing the market into positive territory [2][3] - Current S&P 500 price targets for 2026 average at 7580, indicating a generally bullish outlook among banks [3] Group 2 - There is a prevailing consensus that AI will lead to significant profitability, but skepticism exists regarding the actual financial outcomes for companies investing heavily in this technology [6] - The current market sentiment suggests that the easy profits have already been realized, indicating a potential retrenchment in certain sectors, reminiscent of the internet bandwidth buildout [7] - The healthcare sector performed well recently, and there is an expectation that the market will broaden beyond a few leading stocks, allowing for a more diverse investment landscape [8][9] Group 3 - Investors are encouraged to focus on companies with solid earnings, dividends, and cash flows rather than speculative hype, as this approach is deemed more sustainable [11] - The market is currently experiencing a shift where investors are looking beyond a small group of dominant stocks, which is seen as a positive development [10]

Core Insights - The Indian economy grew at 8.2% in the second quarter of FY26, surpassing the RBI's projection of 6.8%, marking the fastest growth in six quarters [5][8] - Retail inflation dropped to 0.25% in October, the lowest since 2015, complicating the RBI's monetary policy decisions [5][8] - A poll of 20 economists showed 12 expect a 25 basis points rate cut to 5.25%, while 8 anticipate the rate will remain unchanged [8] Economic Growth - The nominal GDP growth for the second quarter was recorded at 8.7%, slightly down from 8.8% the previous year [5][8] - Economists are cautious about future growth, with expectations of a slowdown in the second half of FY26 [7][8] Inflation Forecast - The RBI has revised its full-year FY26 inflation estimate down to 2.6% from 4.2% in February, with forecasts of 4% in Q4 FY26 and 4.5% in Q1 FY27 [6][8] - Current estimates suggest inflation could undershoot the RBI's forecast by 50-60 basis points, potentially supporting a rate cut in December [7][8] Monetary Policy Outlook - The RBI has cut the policy rate by 100 basis points since February, maintaining a pause since August, while rates on outstanding loans have decreased by 54 basis points [8] - Economists express mixed views on the upcoming RBI rate decision, with some indicating a need for caution due to low nominal growth numbers [7][8]

Market Overview - Markets are experiencing a sharp rebound as the year-end approaches, indicating increased confidence in potential rate cuts and Q3 earnings that have largely exceeded expectations despite signs of weakening consumer spending [1] Analyst Insights - Gary Alexander, with extensive experience in covering technology companies and advising startups, has been a contributor to Seeking Alpha since 2017, providing insights into themes shaping the industry [1]

Group 1 - Markets are experiencing a sharp rebound as year-end approaches, driven by increased confidence in potential rate cuts and Q3 earnings that have largely exceeded expectations, despite indications of weakening consumer spending [1] - The technology sector is influenced by various themes, with insights from experienced analysts who have worked both on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley, as well as advising seed-round startups [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the importance of Q3 earnings performance in shaping market sentiment, suggesting that positive earnings reports can bolster investor confidence even amid economic challenges [1] - There is a noted contrast between the market's recovery and the underlying consumer spending trends, indicating a complex economic environment [1]

false Trading Ideas Stock Market Crypto Forex Economic Commodity Video World Wall Street close: Nasdaq extends rally to five days as markets eye Fed rate cut Written by Devesh KumarDevesh K. Devesh Kumar Sub-Editor Devesh Kumar Sub-Editor Devesh is a sub-editor at Invezz, where he writes and edits news reports. He is dedicated to clear communication, collaborative teamwork, and delivering practical financial insights. read more. Written onNov 28, 2025 Reading time 3 minutes If the Fed pulls the trigger, it ...