Core Insights - The A-share market has been performing strongly, leading to a notable shift in investor preferences from quantitative products to actively managed equity products [1][2][3] - Quantitative products, which aim to track indices while generating excess returns, have recently struggled to outperform the market, resulting in a phenomenon of "negative excess returns" [2][4] - In contrast, actively managed products have seen significant returns, with some private equity funds reporting returns close to 14% in mid-August [2][5] Market Performance - Major indices in the A-share market have risen, with the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices increasing by 3.88% and 4.09% respectively from August 11 to August 15 [1] - Quantitative private equity products have largely underperformed, with a notable example showing returns of only 1.56% and 0.98% for the same period [1][2] Investor Behavior - Investors are increasingly reallocating their funds from quantitative products to actively managed products, with some private investors planning to redeem their quantitative investments [3][4] - FOF fund managers are also reducing their allocation to quantitative strategies in favor of more aggressive active products, reflecting a broader trend in investment strategy [3][4] Strategy Shift - The shift in investor sentiment is supported by data indicating a decline in the proportion of aggressive quantitative products, which fell from 46% in July to 36% in August [4] - The active management strategy is regaining prominence as market conditions become more favorable for its application, with many actively managed products reporting gains exceeding 30% since late June [2][4] Comparative Analysis - Both quantitative and active management strategies have their respective advantages, with quantitative strategies relying on strict models and data, while active management focuses on fundamental analysis and market timing [5][6] - The integration of both strategies is emerging as a potential future direction for asset management, as firms seek to combine the strengths of quantitative and subjective approaches [6]

Group 1 - The average net value growth rate of products from 36 billion-level quantitative private equity institutions reached 18.92% in the first seven months, with all achieving positive net growth [1][2] - Among the 90 billion-level private equity institutions by the end of July 2025, 44 are quantitative, indicating a strong market preference for quantitative strategies [1] - In July, three subjective private equity institutions exited the billion-level club, while three new or returning institutions joined, with two being quantitative, reflecting ongoing market interest in quantitative strategies [1] Group 2 - In the 55 billion-level private equity institutions with net value displays, the average net value growth rate was 16.60%, with 54 institutions achieving positive growth, representing 98.18% [2] - Among the 42 billion-level private equity institutions with an average net value growth rate exceeding 10%, 32 are quantitative, highlighting their superior performance compared to subjective and mixed strategy institutions [2] - The average net value growth rate for 16 billion-level subjective private equity institutions was 13.59%, with 15 achieving positive growth, indicating a relatively weaker performance compared to quantitative peers [3] Group 3 - The active trading and accelerated sector rotation in the A-share market this year have created favorable conditions for quantitative strategies, particularly benefiting from the strength of small-cap stocks [3] - Quantitative private equity institutions demonstrate strong competitiveness in specific market environments due to their systematic advantages, while subjective institutions face greater challenges in rapidly changing markets [3]

Group 1 - Since 2025, the A-share market has shown a structural trend with a focus on small and mid-cap stocks, leading to impressive performance from quantitative strategy private equity, with the best achieving a 73% return [1] - As of mid-year, 51 large private equity firms with performance data reported an average return of 10.87% for the first half of the year, with 94.12% of them achieving positive returns [1] - Among the profitable large private equity firms, 21 had returns within 10%, another 21 had returns between 10% and 19.99%, and 6 firms achieved returns of 20% or more [1] Group 2 - In the quantitative long strategy, the quantitative stock selection strategy private equity products have performed well, with an average return rate close to 20%, and the best product exceeding 54% [2] - The quantitative index enhancement strategy private equity products have an average return rate of 17%, with 94% achieving positive returns, and one product exceeding 73% [2] - As of July 14, the number of large private equity firms reached 89, with quantitative private equity firms increasing to 41, surpassing the number of subjective private equity firms for the first time in history [2] Group 3 - Quantitative investment strategies rely on extensive historical data and statistical analysis to identify price change patterns and trading opportunities, characterized by strong systematic features and strict adherence to model results [3] - While quantitative private equity is not the main driver of small-cap stocks, its growth can influence small-cap styles, although the excess returns from quantitative strategies may revert to neutral levels [3] - The primary risk for small and micro-cap styles comes from liquidity concentration, and potential market themes could absorb liquidity from small and micro-cap stocks, leading to corrections [3]

Core Insights - Since 2025, the A-share market has shown a structural trend favoring small and mid-cap stocks, leading to impressive performance from quantitative strategy private equity funds, with the best performers achieving a return of 73% [1] - The number of private equity funds with over 10 billion yuan in assets has rapidly expanded, surpassing the number of subjective private equity funds for the first time [2] Group 1: Performance Metrics - As of mid-year, 51 private equity funds with over 10 billion yuan reported an average return of 10.87% in the first half of the year, with 94.12% of these funds achieving positive returns [1] - Among the 48 funds that made profits, 21 had returns within 10%, another 21 had returns between 10% and 19.99%, and 6 funds achieved returns of 20% or more [1] - In the quantitative long strategy category, over 800 private equity products reported positive returns this year, with a success rate of approximately 94% [2] Group 2: Strategy Insights - Quantitative stock selection strategies have shown particularly strong performance, with an average return close to 20%, and the best product exceeding 54% [2] - The average return for quantitative index enhancement strategies is 17%, with 94% of these products achieving positive returns [2] - The growth of quantitative private equity funds is not solely driven by small-cap stocks, but rather reflects a broader strategy that can adapt to various market conditions [3]

Core Insights - The private equity industry in China is undergoing a significant restructuring, with the number of newly registered private funds reaching 1,540 in June 2025, and the total assets under management surpassing 20.26 trillion yuan, marking a historical peak [1][8]. Group 1: Quantitative Institutions - New quantitative institutions are emerging with distinct technological characteristics, such as Micro博易, which focuses on low-latency algorithmic trading and manages approximately 6 billion yuan [2]. - 蒙玺投资, established in 2016, has developed a multi-market quantitative platform and has surpassed the 10 billion yuan mark in assets under management [2]. - 千衍投资 has gained traction with its mid-to-low frequency quantitative strategies, leveraging a team with experience from notable firms [2]. Group 2: Subjective Strategy Institutions - The subjective strategy segment is experiencing a noticeable contraction, with firms like 合远私募 facing performance-related challenges leading to a decline in scale [3]. - 一村投资, now known as "上海承壹私募," has also dropped out of the 10 billion yuan club due to frequent changes in ownership and instability in strategy [3]. - Other firms, including 半夏投资 and 远信投资, have temporarily fallen behind due to regulatory and market adjustments [3]. Group 3: Performance Differentiation - As of June 2025, quantitative private equity firms have a median return of 28.74% over the past three years, while subjective firms have a mean return of 34.86%, indicating a performance gap [4]. - The current market environment, characterized by increased stock volatility and a preference for small-cap stocks, provides ample trading opportunities for quantitative strategies [4]. Group 4: Technological Barriers - Leading quantitative firms are establishing three major technological barriers: depth of data mining, AI iteration capabilities, and system response speed [5]. - Firms like 天演资本 leverage academic resources to build unique factor libraries, while 蒙玺投资 focuses on AI-enabled strategy development [5]. Group 5: Market Trends and Policy Support - The issuance market is recovering, with new private fund registrations totaling 500.57 billion yuan in June 2025, driven by increased trading activity in the A-share market and declining risk-free interest rates [8]. - Policy support has also been a key driver, with recent initiatives encouraging insurance capital to invest in private equity funds [8]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The industry is witnessing a "Matthew Effect," where leading firms gain more advantages, while three major changes are emerging: shorter strategy lifecycles, a shift towards hybrid strategies, and an increasing demand for global asset allocation [9]. - The dynamics of billion-yuan private equity firms reflect the industry's ecological changes, with quantitative firms capitalizing on market volatility while subjective firms need to balance deep value and growth sectors [9].

Group 1 - The A-share market showed a fluctuating upward trend in the first half of the year, with small-cap growth styles performing prominently and structural market characteristics being evident [1] - Among the 50 billion-level private equity institutions with performance displays, the average return rate of their products reached 10.93% as of June 30, with 47 institutions achieving profitability, accounting for 94% [1] - Performance distribution revealed that 20 institutions had average returns within 10%, 21 institutions achieved returns between 10% and 19.99%, and 6 institutions exceeded 20% returns [1] Group 2 - Quantitative private equity institutions performed exceptionally well, with 32 billion-level quantitative private equity institutions achieving an average return rate of 13.72% [2] - Among the 27 billion-level private equity institutions with average returns exceeding 10%, 24 were quantitative institutions, representing 88.89% [2] - The strong performance was attributed to the active small-cap stock market and improved market liquidity [2] Group 3 - The average return rate for four billion-level private equity institutions employing a "subjective + quantitative" strategy was 7.62%, with three institutions achieving profitability [3] - Private equity institutions generally hold a positive outlook for the market, with expectations of policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and reducing competition [3] - The A-share market is seen as being in a critical phase of valuation reconstruction, with structural opportunities expected to dominate future trends, particularly in the consumer and technology sectors [3]