以下文章来源于妙投APP ，作者刘国辉 妙投APP . 虎嗅旗下二级市场投研服务品牌，为您提供精选上市公司价值拆解，热门赛道产业链梳理 出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 刘国辉 编辑 | 关雪菁 头图 | 李蓓个人公众号 李蓓就是太懂流量了。 在私募行业，有很多响当当的人物，然而能把投资和流量都玩明白的，似乎只有李蓓一人。但因为懂流量，而被"耽误"的，也只能是李蓓。 当业绩好的时候，流量是推波助澜再上层楼的浪；而在你颠簸时，流量就要"覆你的舟"。 李蓓，这位投资界的网红、半夏投资创始人，出圈不仅靠高低起伏的业绩，更是有公开征婚、用周易算卦预判市场等出位的举动，以及地产股十 年一遇的机会、小盘股是火葬场等犀利的投资观点，在市场上影响巨大。 最近在11月28日参加活动时，李蓓沿袭一贯的风格，发表了鲜明的投资观点，如AI投资泡沫、黄金价格明显高估等，再次引发了热议。观点发 布在半夏投资公众号上，不仅阅读量10W+，转发也达到1.6W以上，影响力可见一斑。 私募主要针对机构客户和高净值客户，往往给人"好酒不怕巷子深"的感觉。李蓓则是例外，不仅乐于输出鲜明的投资观点，不怕打脸，更是乐于 将自己的日常生活、情感展示给公众。 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the rise and fall of Li Bei, a prominent figure in the private equity industry, highlighting her unique ability to blend investment acumen with social media influence [2][3][4] - It emphasizes the dual nature of her career, where her strong performance was initially supported by her ability to generate significant public interest, but recent performance declines have led to a backlash against her public persona [9][10][12] Company Overview - Li Bei founded Hanxia Investment in 2017 after a decade of experience in public and private equity, gaining recognition for her investment strategies and public engagement [4][5] - Hanxia Investment quickly grew to manage over 100 billion yuan, leveraging Li Bei's social media presence to attract clients and enhance brand visibility [7][8] Performance Analysis - Hanxia's performance peaked between 2018 and 2021, with average returns of 16.67%, 6.38%, 99.99%, 64.42%, and 0.74% from 2018 to 2022, respectively [10][11] - However, post-2022, the firm faced significant challenges, with Li Bei's misjudgments leading to substantial losses, including a 30% net value decline and underperformance compared to market indices [12][14][20] Market Position and Strategy - The article notes that Li Bei's strategy shifted from a low-volatility approach inspired by Bridgewater to a high-risk, high-reward model akin to Soros, which initially yielded high returns but later contributed to volatility and losses [23][24] - The competitive landscape has evolved, with quant funds gaining traction and outperforming traditional discretionary strategies, posing a challenge to Hanxia's business model [29][30] Future Outlook - Despite recent setbacks, there is potential for recovery if macroeconomic conditions improve and if Hanxia can adapt its strategies to align with market trends [31][32] - The article suggests that while Li Bei's expertise in macroeconomic analysis remains valuable, her reliance on personal judgment may hinder future performance in a rapidly changing investment environment [20][30]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, quantitative strategies are recommended over subjective ones in private securities investment institutions [1] - The private securities investment fund industry in China is characterized by increasing industry concentration with significant advantages for leading institutions, and an enhanced trend of diversified and international investment strategies [23][24] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Background - Affected by geopolitical conflicts and US tariff policies, the global stock market rose in the first half of 2025. A-shares showed an "N-shaped" trend, Hong Kong stocks performed better, and US stocks achieved a "V-shaped reversal". By the end of June 2025, the number of A-share listed companies reached 5,420, an increase of 37 from the end of 2024, and the total market value exceeded 100.02 trillion yuan, hitting a record high. The Beizheng 50 Index soared 39.45% in the first half of the year, leading the world in terms of gains. Industries such as non-ferrous metals (17.93%) and enterprise services (16.85%) led the rise, while industries such as coal (-10.02%) and real estate (-6.52%) faced pressure [4] - Chinese private securities investment funds are privately raised from qualified investors and mainly invest in publicly traded financial assets. They have more flexible investment strategies compared to public funds, lower liquidity, and can achieve differentiated returns through personalized strategies. Their operation must meet strict standards for qualified investors and emphasize the principle of self-risk assumption [5] - The development of Chinese private securities investment funds has evolved from disorderly exploration to standardization and specialization. Since 2025, driven by structural opportunities in the A-share market and excess returns from quantitative strategies, the issuance of private securities funds has recovered. In the first half of the year, over 5,400 new products were filed, with the filing scale increasing by 75% year-on-year [6] Market Status - As of the end of August 2025, the outstanding scale of Chinese private securities investment funds reached 5.56 trillion yuan, accounting for 27.4% of the total scale of private funds, a 6.5% increase from 5.24 trillion yuan at the beginning of 2025. Stock strategies dominate, and diversified strategies such as quantitative hedging and macro strategies are also developing rapidly. In July 2025, 1,313 new private securities funds were filed, with a scale of 79.281 billion yuan, a record high for the year. In the first half of the year, a total of 5,461 new filings were made, a 53.6% increase year-on-year, reflecting a significant trend of funds "entering the market through funds" [7][8] - As of the end of August 2025, there were 7,722 private securities fund managers, 385 fewer than at the end of 2024, mainly due to regulatory cleanup of "fake private funds". Geographically, Shanghai, Beijing, and Shenzhen account for over 50% of the total number of managers, and their management scales account for 25.2%, 23.2%, and 9.7% respectively [9] - The market demand for private securities funds shows a trend of diversification and stratification. The number of qualified investors has continued to expand, covering high-net-worth individuals, insurance funds, pensions, and foreign institutions. Insurance funds are accelerating the allocation of equity assets through pilot programs, and foreign institutions are also increasing their layout in the A-share market. Investor demand is significantly differentiated, with conservative funds preferring low-volatility products such as quantitative hedging and macro strategies, and aggressive funds focusing on stock long strategies. Market structural opportunities and policy guidance also affect the flow of funds and drive the continuous iteration of private securities fund strategies [10] Market Competition - The selection of the top ten private securities investment institutions follows a multi-dimensional quantitative evaluation model, with core indicators including management scale and stability, historical performance, and excess return ability [11] - The current industry competition shows a pattern of "siphoning by leading players" and "strategy differentiation". Leading quantitative private funds dominate with technical barriers and excess return ability. In 2025, the number of 10-billion-yuan quantitative private funds reached 41, exceeding that of 10-billion-yuan subjective private funds (40) for the first time. In the first half of the year, the average yield of quantitative private funds was 13.54%, significantly higher than that of subjective private funds (5.51%). Quantitative strategies perform well in volatile markets, while subjective strategies face challenges [12] - Ten institutions, including Gao Yi Asset, Orient Harbor, and Ningbo Magic Square Quantitative, are introduced, each with its own characteristics in terms of management scale, investment strategy, and core team [13][14][15] Development Trends - The Chinese private securities investment fund industry shows a significant "Matthew effect", with leading institutions having significant advantages in terms of funds, talent, technology, data, and trading systems. The number of 10-billion-yuan private fund managers has exceeded 100, and their share of the total industry management scale continues to rise. Small and medium-sized private funds face survival pressure, and foreign private funds are accelerating their localization layout, intensifying industry competition and promoting the concentration of resources to leading institutions [23] - With the deepening of China's capital market reform and the enrichment of financial derivative tools, private securities investment strategies are developing in a diversified direction from traditional stock long to quantitative hedging, macro strategies, event-driven, and cross-border investment. Regulatory authorities encourage private funds to serve the real economy and introduce long-term funds, and the cooperation between private funds and financial institutions such as securities firms and banks is deepening. In the future, strategy innovation and international layout will become core competitiveness [24]

Group 1 - As of August 18, 15 billion private equity firms appeared among the top ten circulating shareholders of 28 listed companies, with a total holding value exceeding 29 billion yuan [1] - Nearly 130 listed companies have disclosed their mid-year reports, with over 660 companies reporting, indicating a significant presence of private equity in the market [1] - The top holdings of private equity firms include companies in various sectors, primarily in industrial and information technology [4] Group 2 - In the second quarter, 14 stocks were increased in holdings by billion private equity firms, while 6 stocks were reduced, indicating a mixed sentiment towards certain investments [2][3] - High Yi Asset's top holdings reached approximately 12.3 billion yuan, with significant reductions in holdings for three stocks, including Guoci Materials and Dongcheng Pharmaceutical [2] - The average stock price increase for nearly 130 private equity heavy stocks has reached 41% year-to-date, with over 80% of these stocks experiencing price increases [5] Group 3 - The industry distribution of private equity heavy stocks shows a concentration in industrial, information technology, materials, consumer discretionary, and healthcare sectors [4] - The majority of private equity firms' heavy stocks are focused on small to mid-cap companies, with over 70% of total market value below 10 billion yuan [5] - The performance of private equity firms has been strong, with over 80% of firms reporting positive returns this year, averaging a return rate of 20% [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the private equity firm Panyao Asset has conducted research on a listed company, Youningwei, which operates as a one-stop service provider in the life sciences sector, offering reagents, consumables, instruments, and laboratory services [1] - Youningwei's R&D investment for 2024 is projected to be 62.77 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.10% [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its proprietary brand product matrix, which currently has an overall gross margin of approximately 50% [1] - Youningwei anticipates a nearly 30% year-on-year revenue growth for 2024, although its revenue share remains relatively low [1] - The company has utilized 25.99 million yuan to repurchase 927,600 shares and has launched a new share repurchase plan [1] - Youningwei's business is primarily concentrated in the domestic market, but it has established a company in Singapore in 2024 to accelerate the international expansion of its proprietary brand products [1] - The company is pursuing investments and collaborations with potential upstream and downstream targets that have synergistic effects with its existing business, guided by its "two extremes strategy" [1] Group 2 - Panyao Asset Management Co., Ltd. was established on December 4, 2014, with a registered capital of 10 million yuan and holds a private equity license [2] - The firm is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and primarily employs a long-only equity strategy, having launched over 100 products with a cumulative scale exceeding 5 billion yuan [2] - Panyao Asset emphasizes research-driven investment and rigorous scientific processes, aiming for sustainable asset growth and effective risk control [2] - The firm has received multiple awards for its investment strategies and performance, including the 2015 China Sunshine Private Equity Golden Yangtze Award and the 2019 Best Private Equity Fund Company Award [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recognition of Xueqiu Asset Management at the 2024 Jin Changjiang Awards, showcasing its strong asset allocation capabilities and outstanding product performance, which led to multiple awards in the private equity sector [1][2][4]. Group 1: Company Achievements - Xueqiu Asset Management won three awards at the 2024 Jin Changjiang Awards, including the "Fast-Growing Private Fund Company" and two "Annual Rising Star Private Fund Manager" awards for its managers [1][2][3]. - The company has managed to exceed a total management scale of 10 billion since its inception in 2015, positioning its core strategies among the top in the industry [4][8]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - The macro-hedging strategy led by manager Yang Xinbin focuses on global asset risk-balanced allocation, aiming for long-term stable absolute returns while controlling risk and volatility [5]. - The stock long/short strategy managed by Chen Juntao emphasizes value investment, utilizing a contrarian approach with a focus on high certainty and low valuation, while diversifying investments across different markets to mitigate risks [6][7]. Group 3: Industry Context - The private equity industry is entering a new phase that emphasizes higher quality and sustainable development, with strategy innovation and refinement being key drivers for growth [7][8]. - Strengthening risk control, deepening long-term rational investment philosophies, and enhancing client experience are essential for firms to stand out in the evolving industry landscape [8].

Group 1: Company Overview - Delong Holdings has made significant progress in solid-state battery research, with samples passing third-party safety tests in 2023 and a national invention patent expected in 2024 [1] - A cooperation agreement with Jiangling Group is set to be signed in August 2024, with a pilot production line expected to be completed by January 2025 [1] - The company plans to invest 300 million yuan in a solid-state battery pilot and industrialization project, as well as an intelligent motor industrialization project, with the investment agreement signed with the local government in Huzhou on May 30, 2025 [1] Group 2: Market Position and Performance - Kaku Si, a subsidiary, focuses on producing and selling thermal insulation, noise reduction, and lightweight products, serving clients such as Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Audi, and Volkswagen [1] - The operational performance of Kaku Si is expected to improve in 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, driven by enhanced operational efficiency and revenue growth in the new energy vehicle sector [1] - Kaku Si has a global production capacity layout, standardized production processes, and a quality control system, along with a world-class R&D center providing one-stop product development services [1] Group 3: Future Developments - Kaku Si aims to optimize its product structure, focusing on the development of new energy vehicle customer needs and aligning with domestic automakers' overseas supply requirements [1] - The company successfully developed a hydraulic retarder in 2023, which gained market recognition in 2024, leading to an increase in mass production and delivery scale [1]