亚太经济一体化

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柬埔寨国务大臣:面对全球不确定性,RCEP发挥关键作用
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-04 12:09
Economic Growth Outlook - Cambodia's economy is projected to grow by 5.2% in 2025, according to the Cambodian People's Party Chairman Hun Sen [1] - The World Bank has revised Cambodia's economic growth forecast for 2025 down to 4% from an earlier estimate of 5.5% [1] - The World Bank report highlights that while Cambodia's economy shows resilience, growth is uneven, particularly in labor-intensive manufacturing sectors like garments and footwear [1][3] Export Market Diversification - Cambodia is working on diversifying its export markets and products, despite the U.S. being its largest export market [1][3] - The Cambodian government is focusing on maintaining flexibility and resilience in the garment and footwear industries amid external pressures [3] Impact of U.S. Tariff Policies - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policies is significantly impacting Southeast Asia's economic growth, including Cambodia [2][3] - The Cambodian garment and footwear sectors are particularly vulnerable to potential U.S. tariffs, with many factories awaiting decisions from U.S. authorities [3] Agricultural Sector Development - Cambodia aims to enhance its agricultural value chain by focusing on the processing of products like cashews, bananas, and mangoes [4][5] - The country is pushing for local processing to add value to agricultural products, which is crucial for its economic foundation [4] RCEP and China-Cambodia Trade Relations - China remains Cambodia's largest trading partner, with ongoing benefits from the RCEP and China-Cambodia Free Trade Agreement [6] - Cambodia's trade deficit with China is expected to persist, as the country imports many intermediate goods for processing and re-export [6] Infrastructure and Belt and Road Initiative - The Belt and Road Initiative is crucial for Cambodia's infrastructure development, which is necessary for global competitiveness [8][9] - Future cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative will focus on industrial development and enhancing quality and standards in various sectors [9] Financial Cooperation and Currency Settlement - The cross-border RMB business between China and Cambodia is projected to reach approximately 20 billion yuan in 2024, doubling year-on-year [10] - The establishment of a currency settlement system will facilitate easier transactions between Cambodian and Chinese businesses [10] Youth and Technological Collaboration - Cambodia's young population is seen as a potential asset for technological collaboration with regions like the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [11] - There is a strong interest in fostering cooperation between young innovators from both regions to explore market opportunities [11]
21专访|专访澳经济学家罗震:中国正成为一系列未来产业的全球枢纽,澳大利亚要深化对华经济关系
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-06-10 12:42
Group 1 - Australia views China as a crucial economic partner, emphasizing that without China, true economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region is unattainable [1][5] - The Australia-China relationship is characterized by high economic complementarity, with Australia heavily reliant on China for minerals, energy, agriculture, education, and tourism [2][3] - Recent surveys indicate a positive outlook among Australian businesses regarding the bilateral relationship, with 86% of respondents expressing optimism and 76% believing that improved relations will positively impact their long-term development in China [1] Group 2 - The Australian government is committed to maintaining and expanding trade relations with China, with officials stating that trade with China is ten times more important than trade with the U.S. [4] - Australia has established a stable communication mechanism with China, with ongoing high-level political dialogues despite existing differences [2][3] - The potential for cooperation in emerging industries such as electric vehicles, renewable energy, and artificial intelligence is significant, with Australia needing to deepen its collaboration with China to secure a foothold in these sectors [9][10][12] Group 3 - The Chinese market is seen as a primary target for Australian businesses looking for future growth opportunities, particularly as Chinese households demand higher quality goods and services [9][12] - The recent improvement in China's business environment is viewed positively by Australian companies, with many expecting continued enhancements in the coming years [11] - The bilateral trade volume between China and Australia has reached 300 billion AUD, highlighting the importance of maintaining strong economic ties [14]