Market Performance - Developed markets outperformed last week, with MSCI Global at +0.0%, MSCI Developed Markets at +0.2%, and MSCI Emerging Markets at -1.5% [9] - Among developed markets, the UK FTSE 100 showed the strongest performance at +2.6%, while the South Korean Composite Index was the weakest at -3.5% [9] - In the emerging markets, the Shanghai Composite Index performed best at +0.0%, while the ChiNext Index was the worst at -2.3% [9] Trading Sentiment - Significant increase in trading volume for European and American stock indices, while Hong Kong and A-share trading volumes decreased [23] - The short-selling ratio in Hong Kong rose to 17.5%, indicating low investor sentiment, while North American sentiment reached a historical high with the NAAIM Manager Exposure Index at 100.7% [23][27] - Volatility decreased in Hong Kong, US, and European markets, while Japanese market volatility increased [23] Earnings Expectations - Hong Kong's earnings expectations for 2025 were slightly revised upward, with the Hang Seng Index's EPS forecast adjusted from 2064 to 2065 [73] - The S&P 500's EPS forecast for 2025 remained stable at 273, with the technology sector seeing the largest upward revision [73] - European earnings expectations for the STOXX50 index remained unchanged at 330, with telecommunications showing the most significant upward revision [74] Economic Expectations - Economic sentiment indicators showed a decline across major markets, with the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index for the US, Europe, and China all decreasing [5] - Factors contributing to the decline include cautious Fed rate cut expectations, lower inflation data, and disappointing employment figures [5] Fund Flows - The Federal Reserve's cautious stance on rate cuts for 2026 was noted, with market expectations for two rate cuts remaining unchanged from the previous week [58] - Global liquidity trends indicated a tightening of dollar liquidity, with significant inflows into mainland China, the US, Japan, India, and South Korea [66] - In Hong Kong, a total of 55 billion HKD flowed into the stock market, with flexible foreign capital inflows of 97 billion HKD [68]

Market Performance - Global markets rebounded last week, with MSCI Global up by 2.3%, MSCI Developed up by 2.4%, and MSCI Emerging up by 1.8% [1] - The Hong Kong cyclical sector led the gains, while US tech and consumer discretionary sectors performed well, and European financials and real estate showed strong performance [1] - US 10Y Treasury yields increased, and oil prices saw significant gains [1] Trading Sentiment - Trading volume increased in US and European markets, while Japanese and Korean markets saw a decrease [1] - Investor sentiment in Hong Kong decreased but remained at historical highs, while US investor sentiment increased and also reached historical highs [1] - Volatility decreased in Hong Kong, US, and European markets, while Japanese market volatility increased [1] - Overall valuations in developed and emerging markets improved compared to the previous week [1] Earnings Expectations - Earnings expectations were revised upward across major markets, with Japanese stocks showing the best performance in 2025 EPS expectations [2] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index 2025 EPS expectation was revised from 2192 to 2194 [2] - US S&P 500 Index 2025 EPS expectation was revised from 267 to 268 [2] - European STOXX 50 Index 2025 EPS expectation remained unchanged at 335 [2] Economic Expectations - China's economic expectations were marginally revised upward, influenced by positive policy sentiments and overseas technology developments [2] - The US and European economic surprise indices declined, affected by various geopolitical and economic factors [2] Capital Flows - Global macro liquidity expectations remained stable, with a slight increase in expectations for US Federal Reserve rate cuts following the non-farm payroll data [3] - As of August 8, market expectations indicated a 2.3 rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year, a decrease from the previous week [3] - There was a net inflow into Hong Kong stocks from the southbound trading, while foreign capital outflow from Hong Kong stocks was noted [3]